Ariel Edwards-Levy
@aedwardslevy.bsky.social
Polling editor at CNN, keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. I like puns.
Pinned
How do you read a poll? CNN polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy walks you through it yourfirstbyline.substack.com/p/how-to-rea...
How to Read a Poll
CNN polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy walks you through everything you need to know.
yourfirstbyline.substack.com
Excited to share some tips for writing about polls for anyone coming in cold to the subject!
(Pictured: a thing on which pollsters are probably not calling you these days).
(Pictured: a thing on which pollsters are probably not calling you these days).
exciting news: got to demonstrate real-life zeugma yesterday when I ran into a friend and then, promptly, ran into a light-post
November 16, 2025 at 1:21 PM
exciting news: got to demonstrate real-life zeugma yesterday when I ran into a friend and then, promptly, ran into a light-post
people who dislike LA because they think a particular type of person lives there are making the same category mistake as people who think "Washington" is equivalent to "DC," except that the sheer vastness of LA makes it even more ridiculous
November 15, 2025 at 9:24 PM
people who dislike LA because they think a particular type of person lives there are making the same category mistake as people who think "Washington" is equivalent to "DC," except that the sheer vastness of LA makes it even more ridiculous
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Characteristics of SNAP recipients, from new @pewresearch.org analysis:
—87% born in the US, 13% born elsewhere
—27% employed in all months of the year, 12% employed in some months, 61% employed in no months
Full analysis and downloadable data: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
—87% born in the US, 13% born elsewhere
—27% employed in all months of the year, 12% employed in some months, 61% employed in no months
Full analysis and downloadable data: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
November 14, 2025 at 6:37 PM
Characteristics of SNAP recipients, from new @pewresearch.org analysis:
—87% born in the US, 13% born elsewhere
—27% employed in all months of the year, 12% employed in some months, 61% employed in no months
Full analysis and downloadable data: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
—87% born in the US, 13% born elsewhere
—27% employed in all months of the year, 12% employed in some months, 61% employed in no months
Full analysis and downloadable data: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
i see we're once again doing that thing of "this profile was clearly meant as a puff piece! oddly, somehow, nevertheless, *I* took away a deeply unflattering view of the subject from the quotes and details included. but the author didn't use the word 'bad' and perhaps others are less bright than me"
November 14, 2025 at 6:10 PM
i see we're once again doing that thing of "this profile was clearly meant as a puff piece! oddly, somehow, nevertheless, *I* took away a deeply unflattering view of the subject from the quotes and details included. but the author didn't use the word 'bad' and perhaps others are less bright than me"
"let me write a wry quote-post indicating that this applies to me also," I thought, and I don't want to talk about how much subsequent time I spent trying to workshop the text of said post
look as someone who can be incapacitated for weeks by the fear that I put the wrong number of exclamation points into an email this has been a fascinating glimpse into a some brains that work extremely! differently! from! mine!
November 13, 2025 at 7:30 PM
"let me write a wry quote-post indicating that this applies to me also," I thought, and I don't want to talk about how much subsequent time I spent trying to workshop the text of said post
the band-name-joke has been done to death but Mischievous Respondent would be a good band name
November 13, 2025 at 6:00 PM
the band-name-joke has been done to death but Mischievous Respondent would be a good band name
looking forward to joining the 1% of Americans* who are currently watching a webinar to learn about issues with measuring rare traits in survey research
*this is joke, although I am in fact looking forward to the webinar
*this is joke, although I am in fact looking forward to the webinar
November 13, 2025 at 5:00 PM
looking forward to joining the 1% of Americans* who are currently watching a webinar to learn about issues with measuring rare traits in survey research
*this is joke, although I am in fact looking forward to the webinar
*this is joke, although I am in fact looking forward to the webinar
continually feel hashtag-blessed that I get to write about public opinion from a descriptive and not a prescriptive perspective
November 13, 2025 at 4:09 PM
continually feel hashtag-blessed that I get to write about public opinion from a descriptive and not a prescriptive perspective
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
I like that this question starts “Ideally, if you had the opportunity” rather than pretend that tens of millions of people are actually planning to leave the country.
November 13, 2025 at 2:25 PM
I like that this question starts “Ideally, if you had the opportunity” rather than pretend that tens of millions of people are actually planning to leave the country.
The trend here is remarkable, but will just note that this is the epitome of an expressive responding question -- answering yes is a way to signal profound dissatisfaction, not really a declaration of intention to move.
November 13, 2025 at 2:20 PM
The trend here is remarkable, but will just note that this is the epitome of an expressive responding question -- answering yes is a way to signal profound dissatisfaction, not really a declaration of intention to move.
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Cuffing season is short for fisticuffing seasons because I want to fight the weather
November 13, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Cuffing season is short for fisticuffing seasons because I want to fight the weather
can I file some sort of appeal
November 13, 2025 at 2:08 PM
can I file some sort of appeal
can repeat a little insight, as a treat
November 12, 2025 at 9:39 PM
can repeat a little insight, as a treat
social media is because if I said every pun aloud someone would defenestrate me and IRL is because if I wrote every pun down everyone would block me
November 12, 2025 at 9:07 PM
social media is because if I said every pun aloud someone would defenestrate me and IRL is because if I wrote every pun down everyone would block me
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
I hope this email finds you before you find it.
September 24, 2025 at 2:35 PM
I hope this email finds you before you find it.
no more pennies? that's just non-cents
November 12, 2025 at 7:58 PM
no more pennies? that's just non-cents
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
How the government asks about race and ethnicity reflects shifts in how Americans think about their identity. Here are some changes made by the Census Bureau in measuring race and ethnicity over time 🧵⬇️
November 12, 2025 at 7:11 PM
How the government asks about race and ethnicity reflects shifts in how Americans think about their identity. Here are some changes made by the Census Bureau in measuring race and ethnicity over time 🧵⬇️
i do in fact usually think of myself as a party
![Variable(s):
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a: [PARTY]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:prpvntklgieefdnv234z5gae/bafkreib5a2i7uqrbj3zh4f3xtrafyjlydcctkchsx5swigconffrgday5a@jpeg)
November 12, 2025 at 6:02 PM
i do in fact usually think of myself as a party
sir isaac newton, gazing up at the apple tree and furiously rubbing his head:
DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT
DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT
November 12, 2025 at 5:56 PM
sir isaac newton, gazing up at the apple tree and furiously rubbing his head:
DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT
DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
🧵
Deep dive on voters Mamdani added to Democratic coalition — specifically those who didn't vote for Kamala Harris in '24
They are younger, more ethnically diverse, and less affluent than consistent voters, and they voted for somewhat distinct reasons
Analysis: www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
1/
Deep dive on voters Mamdani added to Democratic coalition — specifically those who didn't vote for Kamala Harris in '24
They are younger, more ethnically diverse, and less affluent than consistent voters, and they voted for somewhat distinct reasons
Analysis: www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
1/
The voters Mamdani added to the Democratic coalition in New York, a CBS News analysis
Zohran Mamdani's mayoral campaign turned out lots of voters who didn't back Kamala Harris last year — they are ethnically diverse, younger and less affluent.
www.cbsnews.com
November 12, 2025 at 12:23 AM
🧵
Deep dive on voters Mamdani added to Democratic coalition — specifically those who didn't vote for Kamala Harris in '24
They are younger, more ethnically diverse, and less affluent than consistent voters, and they voted for somewhat distinct reasons
Analysis: www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
1/
Deep dive on voters Mamdani added to Democratic coalition — specifically those who didn't vote for Kamala Harris in '24
They are younger, more ethnically diverse, and less affluent than consistent voters, and they voted for somewhat distinct reasons
Analysis: www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new...
1/
for the record I once wandered straight out of the secured section of the Kansas City airport during a layover because I was too laser-focused on obtaining a coffee to look at silly things like large signs, but I share that purely as a story of self deprecation
November 11, 2025 at 9:44 PM
for the record I once wandered straight out of the secured section of the Kansas City airport during a layover because I was too laser-focused on obtaining a coffee to look at silly things like large signs, but I share that purely as a story of self deprecation
people appear to care a lot more than I do about this one way or the other, but my main question here is why is James Bond falling asleep in the shower
James Bond’s death in No Time to Die is causing a nightmare for the next film. Writers are stuck because Bond “was blown to pieces.”
Anthony Horowitz, author of three 007 novels, says:
“You can't have him wake up in shower and saying it was all a dream."
radaronline.com/p/james-bond...
Anthony Horowitz, author of three 007 novels, says:
“You can't have him wake up in shower and saying it was all a dream."
radaronline.com/p/james-bond...
November 11, 2025 at 4:26 PM
people appear to care a lot more than I do about this one way or the other, but my main question here is why is James Bond falling asleep in the shower
This is as sharply written as everyone in my feed recommending it keeps saying it is
i can't express how fast and hard i clicked on this and how little i was surprised to see @adamserwer.bsky.social's byline atop this banger
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Why Elon Musk Needs Dungeons and Dragons to Be Racist
The fantastical roots of “scientific racism”
www.theatlantic.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:27 PM
This is as sharply written as everyone in my feed recommending it keeps saying it is
just walked by a man standing on the metro escalator holding an open laptop, which he appeared to be actively looking at
November 11, 2025 at 2:40 PM
just walked by a man standing on the metro escalator holding an open laptop, which he appeared to be actively looking at