JLRay
@jlray.bsky.social
Texas. Senior director of polling at YouGov. Adviser to Young Men Research Initiative.
johnlray.github.io
johnlray.github.io
The latest from YouGov: "Do you think that U.S. foreign military interventions more often improve or worsen situations in the countries where they occur?"
Improve - Worsen:
All: -8
18-29: -3
30-44: -22
45-64: -4
65+: +0
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
Improve - Worsen:
All: -8
18-29: -3
30-44: -22
45-64: -4
65+: +0
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
January 4, 2026 at 6:45 PM
The latest from YouGov: "Do you think that U.S. foreign military interventions more often improve or worsen situations in the countries where they occur?"
Improve - Worsen:
All: -8
18-29: -3
30-44: -22
45-64: -4
65+: +0
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
Improve - Worsen:
All: -8
18-29: -3
30-44: -22
45-64: -4
65+: +0
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
The latest from YouGov: people seem narrowly sour on the Venezuela crisis but I'm looking at the high shares of Don't Know across the board. People don't know what's going on. I continue to think this will barely impact the nat'l GOP brand - prob help it in Florida.
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
January 4, 2026 at 2:21 PM
The latest from YouGov: people seem narrowly sour on the Venezuela crisis but I'm looking at the high shares of Don't Know across the board. People don't know what's going on. I continue to think this will barely impact the nat'l GOP brand - prob help it in Florida.
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
today.yougov.com/topics/overv...
Very obvious that Republican insiders viewed this as an insider trading opportunity
January 3, 2026 at 6:18 PM
Very obvious that Republican insiders viewed this as an insider trading opportunity
Unfortunately, I think these numbers are likely to go up now that Trump is actually doing it. Especially with signoff from those who are laughably characterized as "moderates."
Some polling:
Invading Venezuela - 19% approve, 60% disapprove
OK to go w/o Congressional approval - 11% yes, 74% no
👇
Invading Venezuela - 19% approve, 60% disapprove
OK to go w/o Congressional approval - 11% yes, 74% no
👇
Invading Venezuela is a close second:
19% approve, 60% disapprove.
19% approve, 60% disapprove.
January 3, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Unfortunately, I think these numbers are likely to go up now that Trump is actually doing it. Especially with signoff from those who are laughably characterized as "moderates."
Reminding folks once again that the people most likely to end up wearing those boots on the ground, political drift in 2024 be what it may, absolutely do not want this.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...
Young men may not be isolationists. They certainly don’t want war.
YMRP’s May Poll reveals mixed attitudes on Iranian regime change
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com
January 3, 2026 at 7:16 AM
Reminding folks once again that the people most likely to end up wearing those boots on the ground, political drift in 2024 be what it may, absolutely do not want this.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...
Reposted by JLRay
Caracas is under attack.
January 3, 2026 at 6:18 AM
Caracas is under attack.
Da Ros and Gehrke (2026): How to Bring Authoritarians to Justice
Looks like having a Supreme Court and Superior Electoral Court that did not share Bolsonaro's preferences and objectives was key to preventing an authoritarian takeover in Brazil
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Looks like having a Supreme Court and Superior Electoral Court that did not share Bolsonaro's preferences and objectives was key to preventing an authoritarian takeover in Brazil
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
January 2, 2026 at 7:02 PM
Da Ros and Gehrke (2026): How to Bring Authoritarians to Justice
Looks like having a Supreme Court and Superior Electoral Court that did not share Bolsonaro's preferences and objectives was key to preventing an authoritarian takeover in Brazil
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Looks like having a Supreme Court and Superior Electoral Court that did not share Bolsonaro's preferences and objectives was key to preventing an authoritarian takeover in Brazil
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Scary numbers from YouGov today: Only 13 percent of Americans say they have a go-to hangover remedy
January 2, 2026 at 5:41 PM
Scary numbers from YouGov today: Only 13 percent of Americans say they have a go-to hangover remedy
Republican billionaires want to be able to manufacture child pornography at such scale they want to engineer a political environment where they're allowed to get away with it as long as SmarterChild will tell law enforcement "oopsie!" every time they do it
so x dot com’s ai generated CSAM and they admitted it may violate US law and … i haven’t seen in anyone in power say much at all or call to stop using the platform
January 2, 2026 at 1:39 AM
Republican billionaires want to be able to manufacture child pornography at such scale they want to engineer a political environment where they're allowed to get away with it as long as SmarterChild will tell law enforcement "oopsie!" every time they do it
Reposted by JLRay
Unprecedented corruption. Everyone gets a taste.
"Salus had never received a federal contract before, according to government spending records."
"Salus had never received a federal contract before, according to government spending records."
DHS reportedly fast-tracked a contract worth almost $1 billion to a company led by a donor to a pro-Trump nonprofit group where one of the officials overseeing the deal previously worked.
That raises serious ethics concerns.
That raises serious ethics concerns.
DHS fast-tracked $1 billion contract to pro-Trump donor’s company
A DHS official leading the process previously worked at the America First Policy Institute, a pro-Trump nonprofit where the contractor’s CEO was a donor.
www.washingtonpost.com
January 2, 2026 at 12:15 AM
Unprecedented corruption. Everyone gets a taste.
"Salus had never received a federal contract before, according to government spending records."
"Salus had never received a federal contract before, according to government spending records."
Glad someone pointed this out! Happy to report, this wave of our survey included women 18-29 as well! About 58 percent of Trump-voting young women also agreed with this view.
But also important to note *far* fewer young women voted Trump than young men.
static1.squarespace.com/static/68262...
But also important to note *far* fewer young women voted Trump than young men.
static1.squarespace.com/static/68262...
January 1, 2026 at 11:58 PM
Glad someone pointed this out! Happy to report, this wave of our survey included women 18-29 as well! About 58 percent of Trump-voting young women also agreed with this view.
But also important to note *far* fewer young women voted Trump than young men.
static1.squarespace.com/static/68262...
But also important to note *far* fewer young women voted Trump than young men.
static1.squarespace.com/static/68262...
I say this as an Austinite who genuinely likes it here, genuinely likes Texas, and wants our city to grow and prosper: lol
January 1, 2026 at 10:55 PM
I say this as an Austinite who genuinely likes it here, genuinely likes Texas, and wants our city to grow and prosper: lol
Reposted by JLRay
According to our data, 75 percent of MAGA men 18-29 agree with the statement, "things are better when men work and women care for the home." Hard to date people who want your life and career to be fundamentally different from what you want!
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
December 31, 2025 at 9:04 PM
According to our data, 75 percent of MAGA men 18-29 agree with the statement, "things are better when men work and women care for the home." Hard to date people who want your life and career to be fundamentally different from what you want!
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
Reposted by JLRay
Map of the growing Iranian protests, via Faytuks Network. Orange are ones that started today.
January 1, 2026 at 4:39 PM
Map of the growing Iranian protests, via Faytuks Network. Orange are ones that started today.
Reposted by JLRay
Millions of peoples' health insurance skyrockets in a few hours. Let's check in on the president.
Trump, celebrating New Year's at Mar-a-Lago, bids $100,000 for a painting
January 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM
Millions of peoples' health insurance skyrockets in a few hours. Let's check in on the president.
Reposted by JLRay
What a fantastic year with @ymriofficial.bsky.social with so much new data and research its hard to pick the highlights. New social media listening tools, research on Trump voters, AI, civic engagement... Consider supporting our work if you've found it interesting!
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
Donate to Young Men Research Initiative
Show your support with a contribution.
secure.actblue.com
December 31, 2025 at 5:11 PM
What a fantastic year with @ymriofficial.bsky.social with so much new data and research its hard to pick the highlights. New social media listening tools, research on Trump voters, AI, civic engagement... Consider supporting our work if you've found it interesting!
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
According to our data, 75 percent of MAGA men 18-29 agree with the statement, "things are better when men work and women care for the home." Hard to date people who want your life and career to be fundamentally different from what you want!
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
December 31, 2025 at 9:04 PM
According to our data, 75 percent of MAGA men 18-29 agree with the statement, "things are better when men work and women care for the home." Hard to date people who want your life and career to be fundamentally different from what you want!
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/who-are-th...
What a fantastic year with @ymriofficial.bsky.social with so much new data and research its hard to pick the highlights. New social media listening tools, research on Trump voters, AI, civic engagement... Consider supporting our work if you've found it interesting!
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
Donate to Young Men Research Initiative
Show your support with a contribution.
secure.actblue.com
December 31, 2025 at 5:11 PM
What a fantastic year with @ymriofficial.bsky.social with so much new data and research its hard to pick the highlights. New social media listening tools, research on Trump voters, AI, civic engagement... Consider supporting our work if you've found it interesting!
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
secure.actblue.com/donate/ymri
There are too many instances of this to count but hey bluesky, for 2026 can we commit to understanding the difference between "a survey found [result]" and "a pollster is absolutely delighted to report, and personally is in full agreement with, [result]"
What’s the funniest reason someone got mad at you on Bluesky this year?
December 31, 2025 at 12:41 AM
There are too many instances of this to count but hey bluesky, for 2026 can we commit to understanding the difference between "a survey found [result]" and "a pollster is absolutely delighted to report, and personally is in full agreement with, [result]"
This administration is teaching a generation of good people who want to protect their Republic and uphold its values: don't bother
“Justice officials felt sure Homan would not be able to obtain a security clearance based on the evidence gathered in the corruption probe, which they and FBI agents believed had shown Homan unsuitable for a trusted senior role. It remains unclear how Homan was eventually granted a security.”
Border czar Tom Homan didn’t receive normal background check during bribery probe
President-elect Trump initially balked at submitting names of likely nominees to the FBI for background checks, a basic step intended to flag possible financial conflicts or ethical problems.
www.ms.now
December 30, 2025 at 7:11 PM
This administration is teaching a generation of good people who want to protect their Republic and uphold its values: don't bother
Sad to see the DLCC closing out 2025 by lying to Democrats to try take their money.
❌ No such thing as "DLCC membership"
❌ You do NOT need to pay to be a Dem (fucking baffling to imply you do)
❌ I *have* donated to DLCC this year. Their slop consultant just needed to shit out some copy
Bad stuff!
❌ No such thing as "DLCC membership"
❌ You do NOT need to pay to be a Dem (fucking baffling to imply you do)
❌ I *have* donated to DLCC this year. Their slop consultant just needed to shit out some copy
Bad stuff!
December 30, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Sad to see the DLCC closing out 2025 by lying to Democrats to try take their money.
❌ No such thing as "DLCC membership"
❌ You do NOT need to pay to be a Dem (fucking baffling to imply you do)
❌ I *have* donated to DLCC this year. Their slop consultant just needed to shit out some copy
Bad stuff!
❌ No such thing as "DLCC membership"
❌ You do NOT need to pay to be a Dem (fucking baffling to imply you do)
❌ I *have* donated to DLCC this year. Their slop consultant just needed to shit out some copy
Bad stuff!
Reposted by JLRay
New @vox.com - there are significant differences among Gen Z men, with younger Gen Z significantly less rightwing
www.vox.com/politics/473...
www.vox.com/politics/473...
December 29, 2025 at 4:43 PM
New @vox.com - there are significant differences among Gen Z men, with younger Gen Z significantly less rightwing
www.vox.com/politics/473...
www.vox.com/politics/473...
New @vox.com - there are significant differences among Gen Z men, with younger Gen Z significantly less rightwing
www.vox.com/politics/473...
www.vox.com/politics/473...
December 29, 2025 at 4:43 PM
New @vox.com - there are significant differences among Gen Z men, with younger Gen Z significantly less rightwing
www.vox.com/politics/473...
www.vox.com/politics/473...
2026 is shaping up to be an incredibly exciting year for Democrats, democracy, and the Republic. Consider helping the organizers here in the Texas Young Democrats build and win for the long-term, and supporting the general nominee fund for our 2026 Senate race.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
Support Texas organizers.
Show your support with a contribution.
secure.actblue.com
December 29, 2025 at 12:23 AM
2026 is shaping up to be an incredibly exciting year for Democrats, democracy, and the Republic. Consider helping the organizers here in the Texas Young Democrats build and win for the long-term, and supporting the general nominee fund for our 2026 Senate race.
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...
secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...