Simon Galle
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simongalle.bsky.social
Simon Galle
@simongalle.bsky.social

🇧🇪 Economist interested in trade & development, technology, and labor market inequality.

PhD UC Berkeley. Associate Prof at BI, Oslo.

https://www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/

Political science 49%
Sociology 27%
Pinned
New version of our paper "The Labor Market Impact of Technical Change: Inspecting the Mechanisms," with F. Carpena.

www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/wp-c...

We present a stylized, tractable model on how occupation-specific technical change affects the wage distribution.
#EconSky

Meanwhile destroying any lingering hope of maintaining a solid Western alliance.
In his mission to acquire Greenland, Donald Trump deployed his trademark bargaining strategy: Take the maximalist position — in this case the barely veiled threat of using military force — then dial back
Trump Finds His Greenland Framework and Pulls Back Threats
The president retreats from use of military force or tariffs.
bloom.bg
In his mission to acquire Greenland, Donald Trump deployed his trademark bargaining strategy: Take the maximalist position — in this case the barely veiled threat of using military force — then dial back
Trump Finds His Greenland Framework and Pulls Back Threats
The president retreats from use of military force or tariffs.
bloom.bg

The European Council / Entmoot seems to be changing course.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xzug...

One thing that now even the most hopeful have to admit, is that the unctuous European tactic of flattering, praising, massaging Trump has been a catastrophic failure and made things worse.

One option is retaliation.

Another option is to ignore this bluff/BS and send as many exports as possible through non-tariffed EU/EEA members. (Sorry, Brexiteers.)

Clearly, Dear Leader spent more time writing this post than thinking through the policy implications.
New tariff just dropped.

Americans set to pay an additional 10% tax on all goods from Germany, the UK, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland.

It starts in two weeks, rising to 25% by June.

(Aside: A trade war with one EU country is a trade war with the entire EU).

New tariff just dropped.

Americans set to pay an additional 10% tax on all goods from Germany, the UK, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland.

It starts in two weeks, rising to 25% by June.

(Aside: A trade war with one EU country is a trade war with the entire EU).

European tripwire forces make a military land grab of Greenland drastically more costly to the Trump admin:

Harming European forces will force Europe to strongly retaliate economically and destroy any defense cooperation.

In turn, this may trigger a backlash both in Congress and in the US military
This. Greenland defense is a tripwire—putting various European countries’ personnel in harms way in an attempt to deter attack—not an effort to win a war with the US.

A real Europe-US war would destroy the world. The goal is to not have one. Which was more than accomplished by a robust NATO. Alas.
Finding the reactions to this bleakly funny. Lads, the point isn’t that you are sending enough people to “win”, because we in fact, can’t win. It is just to have a tripwire! If you are going “why not 13, like Germany?” you have not understood how bad things are.
This. Greenland defense is a tripwire—putting various European countries’ personnel in harms way in an attempt to deter attack—not an effort to win a war with the US.

A real Europe-US war would destroy the world. The goal is to not have one. Which was more than accomplished by a robust NATO. Alas.
Finding the reactions to this bleakly funny. Lads, the point isn’t that you are sending enough people to “win”, because we in fact, can’t win. It is just to have a tripwire! If you are going “why not 13, like Germany?” you have not understood how bad things are.
BREAKING: The UK is sending a single military officer to Greenland at the request of Denmark to participate in a multi-nation exercise
The French Army just announced that it will be part of the military force that goes to Greenland

Germany is also part of it, on top of Sweden

If the US invades Greenland, it means that two NATO nuclear powers will be fighting against each other
La France va participer à une mission militaire européenne au Groenland
L'Allemagne aussi doit participer à cette mission, dont l'objectif est de soutenir le territoire menacé d'annexion par les Etats-Unis de Donald Trump.
www.franceinfo.fr

Reposted by Simon Galle

Full 2025 Chinese trade data now out. Headline is clearly a historical global record $1.2 trillion surplus with the world

What of Europe?

📈China's trade surplus with the EU: +18.1%
📈 with Germany: +108%
📈 with France: +23.9%
📈 with Italy: +32.6%
📈 with Netherlands: +1.4%

Reposted by Simon Galle

BREAKING: Woman shot and killed during ICE operation in Minneapolis. New video shows the circumstances

Some people in the Trump administration may benefit from a clear visualization of what "Nothing" means.

"American dominance" is our new foreign policy. And it will create a counter-reaction, everywhere.

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
Trump’s ‘American Dominance’ May Leave Us With Nothing
The president’s moves in Venezuela foretell a new global system.
www.theatlantic.com

Reposted by Simon Galle

Today is one of those days when I should have taken my own advice. Flooded with rage tweets on the other platform. Garbage way to communicate that only brings out the worst in people. All dunks, no conversation. Complete waste of time trying to engage there www.gelliottmorris.com/p/you-should...
You should quit social media for good
Platforms optimized for engagement warp our politics, erode attention, and harm our wellbeing. Here’s how I minimize time on the (anti‑)social web.
www.gelliottmorris.com

Market statistics from EconJobMarket.org.

Good thing there's Europe.
This paper shows: the 2022 energy crisis led to record global profits for fossil fuel companies. The US gained the most, with claims on US$301 billion, exceeding its US$267 billion investment in low-carbon energy. Half of profits went to the top1%, mainly through stock ownership

Reposted by Simon Galle

But how can I make the Nobel about me?
an experience I think about a lot: I was visiting a class in DC Jail shortly after Kim Kardashian visited and had brought in her camera team. I relayed critiques of her "performative", "virtue signalling" acts I had heard on the outside. the response was somewhere between a shrug and an eye roll
anyone else notice that the west took a turn for the worse once the concept of signaling one’s own social virtue became derogatory, almost as if cynically deriding all displays of charity and good will is indicative of a deeply cynical and nihilistic society capable of collaborating in genocide
her advocacy for Palestinians doesn't bother me nearly as much as she is so desperately doing all this as an actual act of transparent virtue signaling, to fill the absence she has in depth of character

Reposted by Simon Galle

De #Nobelprijs #Economie ligt onder vuur. Critici stellen dat de prijs een misleidende autoriteit verleent aan een discipline die vaak ideologisch gekleurd is.

Lees het antwoord van prof. @simongalle.bsky.social (BI Norwegian Business School).

👉 www.tijdschriftkarakter.be/de-nobelprij...
Karakter
Tijdschrift van wetenschap biedt een etalage op recente vernieuwingen in de internationale wetenschap
www.tijdschriftkarakter.be
I don’t understand the framing of this Politico story at all. Trump’s post is saying Europe is strong enough to back Ukraine on its own…. US is out, hence he closes with “Good luck to all.” This ain’t good.

www.politico.eu/article/dona...
Trump’s apparent U-turn on Ukraine cheers Europeans amid deeper skepticism about US policy
Elation over Trump’s pro-Ukraine post vied with doubts that he will ever follow through with tougher action against Russia.
www.politico.eu

Extremely useful resource.

Reposted by Simon Galle

Excited to see the new Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics (Volume 6), edited jointly with Dave Donaldson come out: www.sciencedirect.com/handbook/han.... Fantastic set of chapters on recent advances and pointing the way to exciting further research @treballen.bsky.social @siepr.bsky.social
Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics | Volume 6, Issue 1: Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics | ScienceDirect.com by Elsevier
Read the latest chapters of Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics at ScienceDirect.com, Elsevier’s leading platform of peer-reviewed scholarly literature
www.sciencedirect.com

BI is hiring PhD candidates in economics.

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Please share #EconSky 🙏🙏

bi.easycruit.com/vacancy/3539...
Handelshøyskolen BI Programområdet - Doktorgrad - PhD Candidate in Economics
PhD Candidate in Economics
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