Gavin Kelly
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gavin-kelly.bsky.social
Gavin Kelly
@gavin-kelly.bsky.social

Chief Executive, Nuffield Foundation

Previous lives:
Chief Executive & Exec. Chair, Resolution Foundation
Founding Chair, Living Wage Commission
Deputy Chief of Staff, 10 Downing Street
Council of Economic Advisors, HMT .. more

The Resolution Foundation is an independent British think tank established in 2005. Its stated aim is to improve the standard of living of low- to middle-income families.

Source: Wikipedia
History 37%
Political science 20%

Reposted by Christian Odendahl

I was fortunate enough to look at a facsimile of 1984 tonight - much of it (neatly) handwritten, with loads of notes, scribbles & crossing-outs. Amazing.

Incredible that the household income threshold used to determine eligibility for the most generous student loan has been frozen at £25k since *2008* (since when nominal earnings have risen 60+%).

Really consequential changes are being made to the lifetime disposable income of graduates via freezes to loan repayment thresholds & interest rate thresholds. Big distributional consequences too.

The research by John Jerrim & Maria Palma Carvajal
is packed full of interesting findings for all those interested in education, social mobility, inequalities and cohort studies.

johnjerrim.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
johnjerrim.wordpress.com

It also looks at university experience: which students still continue to live at home?

It shows that - even for students getting the same grades & going to the same uni - the odds are almost twice as high that those from disadvantaged backgrounds will continue living with their parents.

The study also looks at trajectories by gender & ethnicity. It shows that high attaining white working class pupils are significantly less likely to progress to RG unis than other pupils. The only group that does worse than white working class boys is WWC girls.

Reposted by Stephen Evans

Major @nuffieldfoundation.org funded research on the trajectory of high-achieving pupils at age 11 (from poorer & better-off families) through school into HE (or not).

The class gap in entry to the Russel Group is very large, mostly (not exclusively) explained by attainment & seems to have narrowed

From @theifs.bsky.social Annual Report on Education Spending, funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org. A brilliant resource for all those interested in policy, education and children.

ifs.org.uk/publications...
Annual report on education spending in England: 2025–26 | Institute for Fiscal Studies
This annual report compares spending across different stages of education in England and analyses the pressures and choices facing policymakers.
ifs.org.uk

Reposted by Will Jennings

What's happened to spending at different stages of the education spending over recent decades?

- HE fallen all the way back to where it was in c.2005
- secondary schools & FE still below 2010
- early years has doubled since 2010
- primary up 12% since 2010
This week, an X user created an AI video of me being chloroformed and prepared for rape.

Victims are told it's not real and they're getting offended for no reason.

But nudification tools are weapons of sexual assault, and the harm they cause is real 👇

jessasato.substack.com/p/ai-nudific...
AI nudification: the latest weapon of violence against women and girls
In Julie Burchill’s recent article in the Spectator, Does it really matter if Grok undresses us all?, she makes the argument that those who, like me, have repeatedly had their clothes removed by socia...
jessasato.substack.com

There’s been no reduction in self-reported mental ill health in the post Covid years versus the Covid/lockdown era. Remarkable.
thanks gavin! i updated this the other day - so stark that the post-covid data look the same as the lockdown years: bsky.app/profile/xiao...
The latest USoc wave lets us split out the Covid years from what came after.

So striking that they look the same!

Average mental ill health (based on a general screening instrument) is no better now than during the lockdown years, at any age. @alexbryson.bsky.social @dannyblanchy.bsky.social

Reposted by Gavin Kelly

thanks gavin! i updated this the other day - so stark that the post-covid data look the same as the lockdown years: bsky.app/profile/xiao...
The latest USoc wave lets us split out the Covid years from what came after.

So striking that they look the same!

Average mental ill health (based on a general screening instrument) is no better now than during the lockdown years, at any age. @alexbryson.bsky.social @dannyblanchy.bsky.social

Agree. Trouble is, there are lots of other pressing things we could add to your list. What a time to be allocating resources.

Reposted by Will Jennings

What should we do less of? The question that, in so many different contexts, we all like to duck. All the more so if the answer gets anywhere near private consumption.
A thousand times this.
If we want to take defence spending from circa 2.5% of GDP to circa 3.5-4% of GDP the question isn’t “how do we pay for it?”. That’s the easy bit - a combination of taxes and borrowing.
The real question is about real resources and what do we want to do less of?
There's a lot of talk about rearmament and breaking US dependence. I understand the logic completely. But I wonder if people have fully absorbed the economic/consumption implications of serious rearmament, especially when we also consider the state of public opinion and the information environment.

Reposted by Gavin Kelly

Delighted to see our Director of Justice, Rob Street, writing in the @lawsocietygazette.bsky.social about the Foundation’s Public Right to Justice programme & the importance of evidence-led reform in the civil, family & tribunal systems in England & Wales.

Find out more about PRTJ: bit.ly/49L7csU
A thousand times this.
If we want to take defence spending from circa 2.5% of GDP to circa 3.5-4% of GDP the question isn’t “how do we pay for it?”. That’s the easy bit - a combination of taxes and borrowing.
The real question is about real resources and what do we want to do less of?
There's a lot of talk about rearmament and breaking US dependence. I understand the logic completely. But I wonder if people have fully absorbed the economic/consumption implications of serious rearmament, especially when we also consider the state of public opinion and the information environment.

Which means the longstanding 'hump' shape of despair (peaking in middle age) has disappeared. Now, despair starts high and (broadly) declines with age.

Reposted by Jonathan Burton

Levels of despair have surged among the young:

'..for men under 25, despair more than doubled between 2009 and 2021. The percentage of young women in despair rose even more sharply, with most of the increase coming after 2016.'

Enjoyed Rye Lane - uplifting (rom-com) movie & fine love letter to London.

www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/epis...
Rye Lane
Two youngsters, reeling from bad breakups, connect over an eventful day in south London.
www.bbc.co.uk
Please help spread the word on this, especially to those who may be feeling cold winds towards their research.

We’ve opened the call for our International Fellowships, enabling early career researchers to work for two years at a UK research institution
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...

Reposted by Gavin Kelly

We’re thrilled to share that Lisa Harker, Director of
@nuffieldfjo.bsky.social, joins Impetus today as a trustee.

With extensive experience in research, policy, journalism, campaigning and service delivery, Lisa will provide crucial guidance for our work.

More here: impetus.org.uk/news-and-vie...

Correct answer on best album.

A decade to the day since Bowie died. The man who man who invented multiple futures for the rest of us to explore.

www.economist.com/obituary/201...
Starman Jones
David Bowie, musician, actor and icon, died on January 10th, aged 69
www.economist.com

Reposted by Will Jennings

Want to use evidence (and your judgment) to improve society? Come and be a trustee of @nuffieldfoundation.org. Exciting times ahead.

www.saxbam.com/appointment/...
Nuffield Foundation
The Nuffield Foundation seeks a new member of its Board of Trustees. The Nuffield Foundation tackles the UK’s biggest social challenges by funding
www.saxbam.com

10 years on from the National Living Wage's introduction, after a decade of rapid increases, a *smaller* share of employees are paid at the wage floor now than in 2016 (6.1% v 6.7%). Something that basically no-one predicted and very few appreciate, even today.

That is a fine & evocative view, what a city…

Quite so. Will get worse before it gets better!

Hoping it’s a good one.