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billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare
@billhare.bsky.social
1.3K followers 300 following 180 posts

Climate science, impacts, policy and 1.5C

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Environmental science 31%
Economics 28%
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billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 1d
IPCC input into Paris Agreement 2nd Global Stocktake, due in 2028, is under threat.

This is critical. The IPCC input to first Stocktake was vital to call to transition away from fossil fuels, tripling renewables, reductions in methane and deforestation.

climateanalytics.org/comment/ipcc...
IPCC input into the second Global Stocktake still on the table – but…
No certainty on delivery of key reports for the second Global Stocktake as IPCC fails to agree on dates for AR7 at IPCC-63 in Lima
climateanalytics.org

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 1d
There is increasing evidence that the Albanese government proposed changes to Australia’s in environmental assessment legislation could go backwards rather than forwards, in terms of environment, biodiversity and climate protection.

www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
Will Labor’s environment laws actually address Australia’s biodiversity crisis? Five reasons to be concerned
Experts say the proposed legislation is full of problems, including excessive ministerial discretion and relaxing like-for-like offset rules
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 4d
New research out today demonstrates that reaching #realzero is achievable and economically competitive in many major emitting sectors.

EU road freight could reach real zero by 2040, while global steel and shipping could reach real zero by 2050.
climateanalytics.org/publications...
Real zero is within reach
This analysis explores the technical feasibility and economic benefits of real zero. Our analysis demonstrates that reaching real zero is achievable in many sectors and identifies the economic benefit...
climateanalytics.org

Reposted by Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 4d
After years of political failure, the world can still rescue 1.5°C – if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition”, starting now.

New report from Climate Analytics and @pik-potsdam.bsky.social shows how it’s possible.

Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...
Rescuing 1.5°C: new evidence on the highest possible ambition to…
This study shows that, even after years of insufficient action, the world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate ac...
climateanalytics.org

Reposted by Peter Thorne, Bill Hare

ketanjoshi.co
Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 6d
Okay, yes, humanity did not enact the single best possible outcome in response to the single worst problem we have ever faced as a species

In no way was it wrong to try, and in no way is it wrong to continue trying to jam a wrench in the greedy fossil fuel economy. Everything is still on the table
World ‘very likely’ to exceed 1.5C climate goal in next decade: UN
Despite Paris Agreement pledges, countries 'have landed off target' on climate goals multiple times, the UN warns.
www.aljazeera.com

Reposted by Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 7d
Ten years on, the Paris Agreement is working—just not fast enough. Our new report tracks 22 ways it’s changing the world: uniting countries behind 1.5°C and net zero, and cutting projected 2100 warming by ~1°C (≈3.6°C → ≈2.7°C).
climateanalytics.org/publications...
What has the Paris Agreement done for us?
Ten years on, the Paris Agreement is working, but not nearly fast enough. Since 2015 it has become the essential organising framework for global climate action: uniting countries behind the 1.5°C temp...
climateanalytics.org

Reposted by Bill Hare

drpauldorfman.bsky.social
Dr Paul Dorfman @drpauldorfman.bsky.social · 7d
Michael Mann to Bill Gates: You can’t reboot the planet if you crash it
#climate
thebulletin.org/2025/10/you-...
Michael Mann to Bill Gates: You can’t reboot the planet if you crash it
What Gates is putting forward aren’t legitimate arguments that can be made in good faith. They are shopworn fossil fuel industry talking points.
thebulletin.org

Reposted by Bill Hare

mrrexpatrick.bsky.social
Rex Patrick @mrrexpatrick.bsky.social · 7d
The duopoly just joined forces in the Senate to vote down an #AUKUS inquiry. Never mind the political, technical & management risks associated with the program, or the $365B price tag - the two major parties are happy sleepwalking with your national security and money. #auspol

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
What we have seen in the last few years is many countries, including very rich ones such as Australia, Qatar, Norway, UAE, USA, support massive new development of fossil fuels notably oil and gas. Unless this stops the world will literally cook.

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
A very serious political response is needed at CO30 in Belem, Brazil to the Paris Agreement NDC Synthesis Report yesterday that collectively these would cut emissions only 17 per cent below the 2019 levels by 2035. It’s not nearly enough.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
World’s climate plans fall drastically short of action needed, analysis shows
Recent plans submitted to UN by more than 60 countries would cut carbon by only 10%, a sixth of what is needed
www.theguardian.com

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
The next few years are going to be critical in deciding whether the world can avoid the worst global warming damages, or lock in escalating damages. In this context the upcoming UNFCCC COP30 in Brazil is the most important since the Paris Agreement was adopted in 2015.

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
Hurricane #Melissa, which the WMO has called the storm of the century, has caused catastrophic damage in Jamaica and is now heading for Cuba. Melissa is example of the events that will get more and more destructive unless warming is limited.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
Live: Cuba braces as Hurricane Melissa hits the region, 700,000 people evacuated
The World Meteorological Organization says the Caribbean region faces a "catastrophic situation" in the coming hours.
www.abc.net.au

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
We can stop global warming by midcentury if we reach global net-zero CO₂ by 2050
Every year above 1.5°C raises the risk of crossing tipping points—irreversible ice loss, shifts in ocean circulation, ecosystem collapse, increasing economic damage due to heat, flooding, more intense storms.

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
This means immediate, sustained emissions cuts across all sectors, rapid phase-out of fossil fuels. Countries need to stop using forests to “offset” fossil fuel emissions. We have never been in a better position to achieve this due to rapidly reducing costs of renewable power

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
Getting back well below 1.5°C before 2100 is still possible, but only if we act now to peak global warming as close as possible to 1.5˚C and minimise overshoot to reduce chance of crossing tipping points and to avoid catastrophic damages.
climateanalytics.org/publications...
Latest science on the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement
This briefing provides a comprehensive overview of what the science is saying now about the 1.5°C warming limit – what it means, what is at stake, and what actions are needed to limit the risks of ove...
climateanalytics.org

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 13d
Yesterday, the UN SG António Guterres said the world has failed to prevent overshoot of 1.5°C of warming, the Paris Agreement limit.

This is a massive political failure.

Urgent action is needed now to limit the magnitude and duration of overshoot.

www.theguardian.com/environment/...
‘Change course now’: humanity has missed 1.5C climate target, says UN head
Exclusive: ‘Devastating consequences’ now inevitable but emissions cuts still vital, says António Guterres in sole interview before Cop30
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Bill Hare

australia.theguardian.com
Guardian Australia @australia.theguardian.com · 17d
Australia fiddles with fossil gas while the country swelters in record heat. It doesn’t make sense | Bill Hare
Australia fiddles with fossil gas while the country swelters in record heat. It doesn’t make sense | Bill Hare
Australians have an obvious interest in action against global warming. Focusing on gas instead of renewables for the energy transition risks sabotaging our future * Sign up for climate and environment editor Adam Morton’s free Clear Air newsletter here Sydney’s record October heat; high winds battering both Melbourne and New Zealand, causing death and destruction; the algal bloom caused by South Australia’s marine heatwave wreaking havoc on our marine environment; coral in both the Great Barrier and Ningaloo reefs suffering horrific bleaching. There’s barely an Australian who hasn’t been affected by one extreme weather event or another, some badly. Some have lost their lives, their homes or both. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 18d
Labelling heavy industry like steel as “hard-to-abate” allows them to argue against reducing emissions now, or to justify using CCS or offsets to meet climate goals.

But existing tech and demand reduction can cut emissions in these sectors, writes @billhare.bsky.social on
@climatechangenews.com
Is "hard-to-abate" really that hard - or is it a justification for delay?
Labelling heavy industry like steel as "hard-to-abate" has shaped policy and business action in ways that risk undermining global efforts to cut emissions
www.climatechangenews.com

Reposted by Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 26d
Our CEO @billhare.bsky.social called the new data “alarming and worrying.”

“Let there be no mistake, this is a very clear warning sign that the world is heading into an extremely dangerous state – and this is driven by the continued expansion of fossil fuel development, globally.”
UN agency says C02 levels hit record high last year, causing more extreme weather
The United Nations weather agency reports that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere reached record highs last year, intensifying climate change and extreme weather.
apnews.com

Reposted by Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · Oct 8
"Asia is at a crossroads: while these countries haven't yet gone down a high carbon capture and storage (CCS) route, many have tailored their CCS policies to protect their fossil fuel industry, especially in Japan, South Korea and Australia," @billhare.bsky.social told The Times of India.
Asia’s CCS plans could add 25 billion tonnes of extra emissions by 2050, risking the Paris Agreement’s warming limit goal: Report - The Times of India
Environment News: A Climate Analytics report warns that deploying carbon capture and storage (CCS) in Asian countries could add 25 billion tonnes of extra GHG emissions
timesofindia.indiatimes.com

Reposted by Dirk Pilat, Bill Hare

ketanjoshi.co
Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · Oct 7
There's a very nice new report from @climateanalytics.org on precisely this: "Hard to abate" has become its own form of subtle climate delay --->>

@billhare.bsky.social @cindybax.bsky.social

ca1-clm.edcdn.com/assets/Clima...
Conclusion The persistent classification of iron and steel and cement as “hard-to-abate” sectors has shaped both policy and industrial responses in ways that risk undermining the urgency and effectiveness of global climate mitigation efforts. While the technical and process-related challenges in these sectors are non-trivial, the evidence presented in this report demonstrates that their decarbonisation is not only possible but highly achievable with existing and emerging technologies—especially when guided by integrated, whole-of-system approaches and supported by robust policy frameworks. A narrow focus on production-side constraints—such as process emissions in clinker production or the fossil fuel dependence of BF-BOF steelmaking—has encouraged decarbonization strategies put forward by the industry to rely heavily on CCUS and offsetting as core mitigation strategies. This framing assumes that a substantial portion of sectoral emissions are unavoidable, which justifies delayed action and continued operation of high-emissions infrastructure. However, our analysis shows that much of what is labelled “residual” or “unavoidable” emissions can, in fact, be abated at source through a combination of clean technology deployment, material efficiency, and demand-side reductions. In the iron and steel sector, commercially available technologies—particularly electric arc furnaces (EAFs) coupled with high scrap availability and direct reduced iron (DRI) using green hydrogen—can replace the BF-BOF pathway. While steel production capacity is long-lived and capital-intensive, studies show that aligning investment timelines with early retrofit and decommissioning schedules could reduce cumulative emissions by up to 66% over 2020–2050, compared to just 47% if low-carbon measures are delayed by five years.

Reposted by Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · Oct 6
REPORT: If Asian economies were to carry out their plans to deploy risky and expensive carbon capture & storage (CCS) to address fossil fuel emissions, they could add an extra 25 billion tonnes of emissions to the atmosphere by 2050. Their economies would suffer.
climateanalytics.org/publications...
The global climate risks of Asia’s expansive carbon capture and…
This report looks at the climate and economic implications of Asia’s promotion of carbon capture and storage (CCS) to reduce fossil fuel emissions.
climateanalytics.org

Reposted by Bill Hare

allouryesterdays.bsky.social
All Our Yesterdays @allouryesterdays.bsky.social · Sep 25
55 yrs ago today (Sept 26, 1970), the Medical Journal of Australia runs “Notes on Some Aspects of Pollution”.

More C02 build-up risks "turning the tropics into hothouses, making the temperate zones tropical, and beginning to melt the polar ice caps."

allouryesterdays.info/2025/09/25/s...
September 26, 1970 - Medical Journal of Australia - All Our Yesterdays
Fifty five years ago, on this day, September 26th, 1970, the Medical Journal of Australia runs an article on “Notes on Some Aspects of Pollution”. “The carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere has inc...
allouryesterdays.info

Reposted by Niklas Höhne, Bill Hare

climateactiontracker.org
Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · Sep 25
#China's new #climate target is unlikely to drive down emissions: the country will already achieve it under its current policies.
It's a net target that includes land use & forestry; an absolute target wld be more transparent
It's a shift from emissions & energy intensity to absolute emissions

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · Sep 25
And finally, I think there’s very strong case that the present loud support for CCS by oil and gas industry, with solid support from the West train government for example is much more about avoiding decommissioning costs than about storing CO2.

drilled.media/news/ccs-aus...
In Australia, a New Way to Avoid Decommissioning Oil Fields: Call Them Carbon Capture Projects
Converting oil fields that are no longer productive into carbon capture and sequestration projects could turn a cost into a revenue stream for fossil fuel companies in Australia, thanks to climate pol...
drilled.media

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · Sep 25
And just a reminder that in Australia this became very explicit with the public funds allocated to clean coal actually being used for promotional advertising of coal, including in an election context.

www.abc.net.au/news/2017-02...
Clean coal research funds used for pre-election advertising campaign
The coal industry's multi-million-dollar advertising and lobbying campaign in the run-up to the last federal election was bankrolled by money deducted from state mining royalty payments and meant to f...
www.abc.net.au

billhare.bsky.social
Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · Sep 25
Indeed, it was never really going to work and in my view was always meant to be a means of distracting the political class doing the right thing.

Here is a potted history

reneweconomy.com.au/the-great-ca...
reneweconomy.com.au

Reposted by Timothy Snyder, Richard E. Lenski, Michael Wagner , and 30 more

rbreich.bsky.social
Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · Sep 24
The richest man on earth owns X.

The second richest man on earth is about to be a major owner of TikTok.

The third richest man owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.

The fourth richest man owns The Washington Post.

See the problem here?

Reposted by Mark Lubell, Bill Hare

climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · Sep 24
Wonderful turnout for our #ClimateWeekNYC event last night featuring a keynote by Dr Piers Forster on the latest climate science and a panel discussion on how the ICJ opinion can shape politics and how to align global action with 1.5°C.

Missed the event? Watch the recording:
New York Climate Week 2025: Holding the line: 1.5°C, overshoot, and the urgency of now
YouTube video by Climate Analytics
www.youtube.com

Reposted by Bill Hare

allouryesterdays.bsky.social
All Our Yesterdays @allouryesterdays.bsky.social · Sep 20
Australia and its dismal, criminal, history of climate targets (1988-2025)

In which Groundhog Day happens again and again, but somehow it’s just not funny or enlightening.

1/7
allouryesterdays.info/2025/09/20/a...
David Pope cartoon "You are now leaving the Holocene"