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Climate Analytics
@climateanalytics.org
Global climate science and policy institute working to accelerate climate action and keep warming below 1.5°C.
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After years of political failure, the world can still rescue 1.5°C – if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition”, starting now.

New report from Climate Analytics and @pik-potsdam.bsky.social shows how it’s possible.

Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...
Rescuing 1.5°C: new evidence on the highest possible ambition to…
This study shows that, even after years of insufficient action, the world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate ac...
climateanalytics.org
ANALYSIS: the new AEMO gas projections for WA highlight the state's lack of climate policies.

The high gas use AEMO projects for at least the medium term doesn't have to become reality - high emissions and energy bills can be avoided.
#auspol

climateanalytics.org/publications...
AEMO's gas projections for Western Australia: analysis
The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has just released its gas projections for Western Australia, the results of which highlight the absence of climate policies in the state.
climateanalytics.org
December 19, 2025 at 3:59 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #Norway combines strong climate policies at home with a fossil fuel export model that shifts much of its climate impact abroad: its new 2035 NDC is 1.5°C aligned – domestically, but the country still relies heavily on oil & gas.
CAT rating: "Almost sufficient"
bit.ly/CAT_NOR
December 18, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
2035 TARGET ANALYSIS: #Chile's new 2035 climate target is not 1.5˚C aligned according to its fair share, and the gap between its target and 1.5˚C pathways has grown compared to 2030. The 2035 emissions level would require additional action to meet.
bit.ly/CAT_CHI_2035
December 17, 2025 at 8:23 PM
As we celebrate 10 years of the #ParisAgreement, we look back at why 1.5°C was set as the warming limit.

@billhare.bsky.social explains why 1.5°C is the legal, moral, and scientific boundary for the world – and what’s at stake if we ignore it.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCWt...
1.5°C: target—or a planetary limit? | Bill Hare (Climate Analytics)
YouTube video by Climate Analytics
www.youtube.com
December 15, 2025 at 9:34 PM
🗓️ Join SWITCH-Asia on 16 Dec 2025 for a high-level discussion on #COP30 outcomes and how the circular economy is reshaping climate mitigation and adaptation, featuring panelists @manjeetdhakal.bsky.social and Tenzin Wangmo. Register 👉 www.switch-asia.eu/event/betwee...
Between Ambitions and Pragmatism for actionable climate outcomes: the circular economy enabler › | SWITCH-Asia
Webinar Series: EU Green Deal Policies and their Relevance in Asia-Pacific
www.switch-asia.eu
December 15, 2025 at 2:48 PM
“The 1.5°C limit [for rising global temperatures] and the net zero goal have reshaped policy, finance, litigation and sectoral rules, helping to rewire how states, markets and institutions work,” @billhare.bsky.social told @theguardian.com.
‘A shift no country can ignore’: where global emissions stand, 10 years after the Paris climate agreement
The watershed summit in 2015 was far from perfect, but its impact so far has been significant and measurable
www.theguardian.com
December 14, 2025 at 7:18 PM
10 years on – what has the #ParisAgreement done for us?

Warming is new predicted to reach 2.6–2.7°C – about one full degree less than what was expected before Paris

One degree sounds small. It isn’t.
December 14, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Ten years ago in Paris, governments agreed to limit warming to 1.5°C and get global GHG emissions to net zero in the second half of this century.

Since then, they’ve adopted policies and targets that bring projected warming down one full degree less.

Our blog outlines what must happen next.
The Paris Agreement is working. Ten years later, the world needs to…
Whether the Agreement ultimately succeeds depends on whether political leaders and their governments have the courage to close the ambition gap, phase out fossil fuels, scale up finance for a just tra...
climateanalytics.org
December 11, 2025 at 11:18 PM
To commemorate 10 years of the Paris Agreement, we held an event on Dec. 10 with the French Embassy to Germany and @helmholtzklima.bsky.social in Berlin. Our Head of Science, Dr Melania Guerra, chaired a panel discussion exploring how to accelerate ambitious collective action.
December 11, 2025 at 3:12 PM
“Instead of messing with the science,Türkiye needs to focus on strengthening its climate policies and implementation so it can be a forward-looking host of COP31, helping the world deal with the climate crisis that everyone else seems to recognise,” @billhare.bsky.social told @climatechangenews.com.
COP host Türkiye tries to weaken UN summit climate language
The COP31 host sought to downplay the climate crisis, climate science and the importance of Indigenous and young people
www.climatechangenews.com
December 10, 2025 at 3:04 PM
The world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate action, starting now. Here's what Climate Analytics' @neilgrant.bsky.social had to say recently at COP30. Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...
November 27, 2025 at 2:27 PM
"Australia cannot continue to develop and expand fossil fuel exports and pretend it’s going to be a renewable superpower supporting a 1.5C limit"
@billhare.bsky.social in @australia.theguardian.com
#auspol #COP30 #fossilfuels #climate
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
How can Australia convince the world to give up fossil fuels if Anthony Albanese is contradicting himself on gas expansion? | Bill Hare
Getting to net zero CO2 emissions globally means we can halt global warming. This requires a rapid phase-out. It’s physics
www.theguardian.com
November 24, 2025 at 2:25 AM
As COP30 comes to a close, read the statement from CA CEO @billhare.bsky.social. This COP did not deliver the bold fossil fuel phaseout roadmap needed, but it did nudge other goals forward.

National leaders must now close the gap between promises and reality.

climateanalytics.org/press-releas...
Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, comments at the end of COP30
After COP30, it is now up to national leaders to close the gap between promises and reality.
climateanalytics.org
November 22, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
2025 was again a severe #hurricane season with 4 major hurricanes (3 cat 5 hurricanes).
In terms of accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) it was slightly above a normal season.
Seasonal forecasts (including ours 🥳) predicted the ACE well this year 💪
November 20, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
To give a flavour of our G20 country factsheets in the report:

➡️ #China alone delivering on the global energy and methane goals could reduce emissions by 44% below current policies by 2035, esp by expanding renewables, and increasing electrification.
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
This weekend the #G20 meets in Johannesburg: Our new report shows if governments, by 2030 (and beyond) act on three COP28 Energy & Methane goals, it will make a big difference to end of century warming.
But the heavy lifting needs to come from the G20.
🔗 climateactiontracker.org/publications...
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
While climate leaders have conceded that the world is on track to overshoot this climate goal, @neilgrant.bsky.social told @apnews.com: “We have the tools to transition away from fossil fuels. Although the hour is dark, we still have agency.”
Guterres and Lula to push negotiators at COP30 as deadline looms
United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres and Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are jumping into the United Nations climate talks as they get to crunch time.
apnews.com
November 19, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
Now we need to see them implement these agreed goals to address #climate change.
➡️ there must be finance especially for poorer countries
➡️ And if they also worked to end deforestation the result would be even bigger.
November 19, 2025 at 1:21 PM
“We know that the world’s richest countries are continuing to invest in oil and gas development,” our CEO @billhare.bsky.social told @politico.com. “This simply should not be happening.”
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
‘Additional promises mean nothing’: The awkward flaw in the world’s climate talks
World leaders have vowed to fight rising temperatures for years. Many of those pledges fade when the summits end.
www.politico.com
November 19, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
REPORT: If governments were to implement the promises they made in 2023, to triple renewables, double energy efficiency, reduce methane by 2030 & beyond, they could
✅ significantly cut projected warming - by 0.9˚C
✅ cut warming rate by a third by 2035 and halve it by 2040
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_COP30_GST
November 19, 2025 at 1:21 PM
"We are running out of time and governments need to be taking this seriously."

Watch Sarah Heck of Climate Analytics provide an update to @CNBC on the state of climate progress.

www.cnbc.com/video/2025/1...
Climate Analystics: China is setting achievable climate targets
Sarah Heck, climate policy analyst at Climate Analytics, discusses COP and climate inaction.
www.cnbc.com
November 17, 2025 at 8:06 PM
Media at #COP30: join Climate Analytics and @greenpeace.org at noon for a news conference in Press Room 2, Area D. Greenpeace will launch a new report on climate ambition, and Climate Analytics will present their findings on the latest Global
Temperature update of the Climate Action Tracker.
November 17, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Catch @billhare.bsky.social speaking at #icci #COP30 event– The Perils of Ignoring Science and 1.5°C at COP30: Tipping Points in the Cryosphere.

He presents our work on limiting overshoot and returning warming back well below 1.5°C by 2100.

📅 Nov 14 15:00-16:30 BRT
📍 Side Event Room 9
November 14, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Tomorrow at #COP30, join us at the Evidence 4 Action pavilion for Rescuing 1.5°C, presenting the latest science and introducing the Highest Ambition Pathway, one which minimises overshoot and gets temperatures well below 1.5ºC before 2100. Speakers: Piers Forster, @neilgrant.bsky.social, Anne Olhoff
November 14, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Join @wriclimate.bsky.social and CA at #COP30 for this session hosted by #SystemsChangeLab to explore findings from #StateofClimateAction 2025

📅 Nov 14 | 1–2 PM (GMT-3)
📍 Renewable Energy Action Pavilion (C108), Blue Zone
November 13, 2025 at 1:37 PM