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climateanalytics.org
Climate Analytics
@climateanalytics.org
Global climate science and policy institute working to accelerate climate action and keep warming below 1.5°C.
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After years of political failure, the world can still rescue 1.5°C – if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition”, starting now.

New report from Climate Analytics and @pik-potsdam.bsky.social shows how it’s possible.

Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...
Rescuing 1.5°C: new evidence on the highest possible ambition to…
This study shows that, even after years of insufficient action, the world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate ac...
climateanalytics.org
We’re at #COP30 in Belém this week! Come find us at events showcasing our work on NDC ambition, pathways to limit warming to 1.5°C, how international collaboration can cut emissions and costs, and more. Bookmark this page for daily updates: climateanalytics.org/events/clima...
Climate Analytics at COP30
COP30, the UN climate change conference, takes place in Belém, Brazil in November 2025. Come find us at events covering a range of our work, from NDC ambition, to the pathways needed to limit global w...
climateanalytics.org
November 10, 2025 at 11:09 AM
1/ The IPCC’s role in the GST2 is at risk after the latest meeting. The failure to agree delivery dates for the AR7 reports threatens to push the crucial Working Group III report beyond the end of GST2 in 2028. tinyurl.com/29bnmyjb
IPCC input into the second Global Stocktake still on the table – but…
No certainty on delivery of key reports for the second Global Stocktake as IPCC fails to agree on dates for AR7 at IPCC-63 in Lima
tinyurl.com
November 10, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Senior Climate Scientist @fahadiii.bsky.social features in this @granthamicl.bsky.social documentary speaking on the @wwattribution.bsky.social study of the catastrophic 2022 floods in Pakistan.

"The study played an important role in shaping the global negotiation around loss and damage,” he said.
🎬 With #COP30 just days away, we’re delighted to share our new film, Inside COP: Science, Politics and the Fight for Loss & Damage.

Told through the eyes of negotiators and scientists, it reveals the story behind the historic agreement to establish Loss and Damage Fund. 👇
youtu.be/IeA6ggnq6yk?...
Inside COP: Science, Politics and the Fight for Loss and Damage
YouTube video by Grantham Institute, Imperial College London
youtu.be
November 7, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #China's 2035 NDC is unlikely to drive emissions down, but should be understood as a floor not a ceiling.
We project 2025 could mark a year of peak CO2 emissions if current momentum continues.
Its overall rating remains "Highly insufficient"
bit.ly/CAT_CHN
November 7, 2025 at 3:55 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
A must-read for anyone at #COP30 and beyond thinking about how to rescue 1.5°C and limit #overshoot!
November 6, 2025 at 6:01 PM
New research out today demonstrates that reaching #realzero is achievable and economically competitive in many major emitting sectors.

EU road freight could reach real zero by 2040, while global steel and shipping could reach real zero by 2050.
climateanalytics.org/publications...
Real zero is within reach
This analysis explores the technical feasibility and economic benefits of real zero. Our analysis demonstrates that reaching real zero is achievable in many sectors and identifies the economic benefit...
climateanalytics.org
November 7, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
1.5°C still achievable – if the world pursues ‘highest possible ambition’.

#ParisAgreement #ClimateAction @climateanalytics.org

www.csofutures.com/news/1-5degc...
1.5°C still achievable – if the world pursues ‘highest possible ambition’
"The window to minimise overshoot is still open but narrowing fast."
www.csofutures.com
November 6, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
👉 Looking forward to engage in discussions about rescuing the 1.5°C in the upcoming #COP30.

Despite the -collective- political failure to address the issue, the 1.5°C window is still open, but we need to double down on action ✊ aka Highest Possible Ambition!

Enjoy it and feel free to reach out!
November 6, 2025 at 12:06 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
Does this mean we should give up on 1.5ºC?

No – 1.5ºC endures as a legal and ethical imperative as we approach, meet and potentially exceed 1.5ºC. See @joerirogelj.bsky.social's great piece on this: bsky.app/profile/joer...
What becomes of the 1.5°C goal now that global warming is approaching that level?🌍🔥🌡️

In a new @science.org Policy Forum we explain how the 1.5°C goal remains a critical legal & ethical benchmark, even as the world nears and may soon exceed 1.5°C of global warming🧵1/
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
The pursuit of 1.5°C endures as a legal and ethical imperative in a changing world
As the world nears 1.5°C of global warming, near-term emissions reductions and adequate adaptation become ever more important to ensure a safe and livable planet for present and future generations
www.science.org
November 6, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
🚨🚨🚨 NEW REPORT ALERT 🚨🚨🚨
@climateanalytics.org has a new report out today that I’m really excited about. It’s all about 1.5ºC...

▶️ Is overshooting 1.5ºC inevitable?
▶️ Can we still get temperatures back below 1.5ºC?
▶️ If so, how?

If you’re interested in our findings, buckle up for a mega thread...
November 6, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
A new @climateanalytics.org report has come out today, with a profoundly hopeful message: even though the world is on track to exceed 1.5°C of global warming, we can peak at 1.7°C and get temperatures back down well below 1.5°C by end of century.

But.... only if we phase out fossil fuels, fast. 🧵
November 6, 2025 at 11:02 AM
After years of political failure, the world can still rescue 1.5°C – if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition”, starting now.

New report from Climate Analytics and @pik-potsdam.bsky.social shows how it’s possible.

Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...
Rescuing 1.5°C: new evidence on the highest possible ambition to…
This study shows that, even after years of insufficient action, the world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate ac...
climateanalytics.org
November 6, 2025 at 11:49 AM
The @unep.org’s #EmissionsGap Report says global temperatures now predicted to reach 2.3-2.5°C, down from 2.6-2.8°C last year.

While this is progress, we must go faster.

Our CEO @billhare.bsky.social told AP that the numbers indicate “a lack of political will”.
apnews.com/article/clim...
UN report: Climate-fighting efforts show slight gain but still fall far short
A new United Nations report finds that global plans to fight climate change will barely reduce future warming, mainly caused by the burning of fuels like gas, oil and coal.
apnews.com
November 4, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Ten years on, the Paris Agreement is working—just not fast enough. Our new report tracks 22 ways it’s changing the world: uniting countries behind 1.5°C and net zero, and cutting projected 2100 warming by ~1°C (≈3.6°C → ≈2.7°C).
climateanalytics.org/publications...
What has the Paris Agreement done for us?
Ten years on, the Paris Agreement is working, but not nearly fast enough. Since 2015 it has become the essential organising framework for global climate action: uniting countries behind the 1.5°C temp...
climateanalytics.org
November 4, 2025 at 9:51 AM
“Keeping warming to 1.5°C now hinges on one thing: speed,” says our CEO @billhare.bsky.social.

“The science is unequivocal: the world isn’t moving fast enough. Every year of delay makes the task harder, and only rapid, sustained cuts can keep 1.5°C within reach.”
#StateOfClimateAction
‘All systems flashing red’: World off track for all climate targets
Despite record clean energy investment, coal, deforestation and fossil fuel finance are still rising, warns new report.
www.euronews.com
November 3, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: Despite a weak target, #VietNam builds momentum for deeper renewable energy integration & coal phase-out. Ambitious new targets & polices for solar & offshore wind signal stronger long-term alignment w the clean energy transition
Still "Critically insufficient"
bit.ly/CAT_VietNam
November 3, 2025 at 3:27 AM
Climate policy analyst @thomashle.bsky.social told #TheStraitsTimes that Indonesia is lagging when it comes to building out renewables.

“Its latest power grid plan delayed a lot of the renewable deployment until after 2030 and includes near-term increases in fossil-fuel generation,” he said.
ST Explains: Why are renewables not easy to talk about at UN climate summits?
The ramp-up of renewables can be deemed a threat to oil and fossil-reliant countries. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.
www.straitstimes.com
November 3, 2025 at 9:18 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: "much done, much more to do" is our summary of the new UK government's first year on #climate policy, achieving moderate success in addressing the implementation gap.
Overall rating remains "Insufficient"
bit.ly/CAT_UK
October 31, 2025 at 10:06 AM
We’re thrilled to launch the Global Methane Explorer – a comprehensive dashboard for methane emissions, targets and policies.

You can use it monitor progress, identify gaps, and support urgent, evidence-based action to accelerate methane mitigation worldwide.

methane-explorer.climateanalytics.org
October 30, 2025 at 9:43 AM
Faster action on #methane this decade, alongside deep cuts in CO2, is essential for limiting near term warming.

Our new report assesses emissions, targets, and policies for 72 countries that account for over 90% of global methane emissions.
Clearing the air on methane: a global review of emissions, ambition…
This report assesses emissions, targets, and policies for 72 countries that collectively account for over 90% of global methane emissions, providing a robust foundation for understanding progress and ...
climateanalytics.org
October 30, 2025 at 6:59 AM
What will it take to finally get climate #adaptation into the political mainstream?

Catch @manjeetdhakal.bsky.social, Head of our LDC Support Team speak on how #COP30 can deliver real progress at
@climatechangenews.com webinar tomorrow, Oct 30, 2:00 PM CEST.
As the Amazon hosts COP30, the world faces a defining test: can adaptation become a pillar of global climate policy?
🎟️ Register now to hear how leaders plan to make it happen. buff.ly/lnJf5Vt
October 29, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Important thread from @billhare.bsky.social on António Guterres' statements on climate yesterday. ⬇️
Yesterday, the UN SG António Guterres said the world has failed to prevent overshoot of 1.5°C of warming, the Paris Agreement limit.

This is a massive political failure.

Urgent action is needed now to limit the magnitude and duration of overshoot.

www.theguardian.com/environment/...
‘Change course now’: humanity has missed 1.5C climate target, says UN head
Exclusive: ‘Devastating consequences’ now inevitable but emissions cuts still vital, says António Guterres in sole interview before Cop30
www.theguardian.com
October 29, 2025 at 9:18 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
📣 Today we have updated our summary of net zero targets across 40+ of the world's largest emitters. What do we see?

🛑 Ten years after the adoption of the Paris Agreement, the design of most net zero targets remains inadequate.

🔗 climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-n...
October 28, 2025 at 10:30 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #Egypt is slowly emerging from its economic crisis, where climate action saw limited progress. The govt has a renewable energy target of 42% by 2030, but deployment has largely stalled. Instead, it has opted for massive fossil gas expansion
➡️ "Highly Insufficient"
bit.ly/CAT_EGY
October 27, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Save the date! Our Head of Policy Claudio Forner will speak in Comunidad #PorElClima’s webinar “NDCs under the microscope: what do these climate plans really say?”.

⏲️Thursday, 30 Oct, 16:00 CEST.
🇪🇸The webinar will be held in Spanish.
✍️Register: www.wri.org/events/2025/...
October 27, 2025 at 1:12 PM