Natalie Jones
@nataliejones.bsky.social
Energy & climate policy at IISD. Sometimes international lawyer. Working on a managed phase-out of oil and gas production in line with Paris Agreement goals.
Some bad news at the start of #COP30
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
unfccc.int
November 10, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Some bad news at the start of #COP30
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
The #COP30 agenda just got adopted smoothly.
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda
November 10, 2025 at 3:23 PM
The #COP30 agenda just got adopted smoothly.
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda
Reposted by Natalie Jones
#COP30 AGENDA FIGHT: Battle looms over which issues to discuss at COP30 (an "agenda fight")
Proposed late additions to agenda:
* trade
* finance
* deforestation
* ambition
* reporting
Hence, now on 4th version of agenda (!)
This must be resolved before negotiations begin 🧵
1/
Proposed late additions to agenda:
* trade
* finance
* deforestation
* ambition
* reporting
Hence, now on 4th version of agenda (!)
This must be resolved before negotiations begin 🧵
1/
November 9, 2025 at 8:29 PM
#COP30 AGENDA FIGHT: Battle looms over which issues to discuss at COP30 (an "agenda fight")
Proposed late additions to agenda:
* trade
* finance
* deforestation
* ambition
* reporting
Hence, now on 4th version of agenda (!)
This must be resolved before negotiations begin 🧵
1/
Proposed late additions to agenda:
* trade
* finance
* deforestation
* ambition
* reporting
Hence, now on 4th version of agenda (!)
This must be resolved before negotiations begin 🧵
1/
As #COP30 kicks off today, President Lula's words from last Friday hang in the air:
"Earth can no longer sustain the development model based on the intensive use of fossil fuels that has prevailed over the past 200 years."
"Earth can no longer sustain the development model based on the intensive use of fossil fuels that has prevailed over the past 200 years."
November 10, 2025 at 12:46 PM
As #COP30 kicks off today, President Lula's words from last Friday hang in the air:
"Earth can no longer sustain the development model based on the intensive use of fossil fuels that has prevailed over the past 200 years."
"Earth can no longer sustain the development model based on the intensive use of fossil fuels that has prevailed over the past 200 years."
Reposted by Natalie Jones
Earth Can No Longer Sustain Intensive Fossil Fuel Use, President Lula tells #COP30
#climatecrisis
HT @carbonbrief.org
www.barrons.com/news/earth-c...
#climatecrisis
HT @carbonbrief.org
www.barrons.com/news/earth-c...
Earth Can No Longer Sustain Intensive Fossil Fuel Use: Lula
Earth can no longer sustain a development model based on intensive use of fossil fuels responsible for planet-harming emissions, Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva told a climate summit Frid...
www.barrons.com
November 10, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Earth Can No Longer Sustain Intensive Fossil Fuel Use, President Lula tells #COP30
#climatecrisis
HT @carbonbrief.org
www.barrons.com/news/earth-c...
#climatecrisis
HT @carbonbrief.org
www.barrons.com/news/earth-c...
The Export Finance for Future coalition -- dedicated to greening taxpayer-backed export credit agency financing -- has published its annual transparency report today.
And it reveals some interesting trends 🧵
www.linkedin.com/posts/export...
And it reveals some interesting trends 🧵
www.linkedin.com/posts/export...
E3F Annual Transparency Report 2025 | Export Finance for Future (E3F)
🌍 𝗘𝟯𝗙 𝗔𝗻𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝘆 𝗥𝗲𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗣𝗮𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗼 𝗦𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲
We're proud to share the latest insights from the Export Finance for Future Coalition (E3F) ahead of COP30 in Brazil,...
www.linkedin.com
November 7, 2025 at 3:01 PM
The Export Finance for Future coalition -- dedicated to greening taxpayer-backed export credit agency financing -- has published its annual transparency report today.
And it reveals some interesting trends 🧵
www.linkedin.com/posts/export...
And it reveals some interesting trends 🧵
www.linkedin.com/posts/export...
Yesterday, the President of the Marshall Islands wrote to President Lula in a powerful letter:
"We support [Minister Silva]'s call to convene discussions on a global energy roadmap for the fossil fuel transition."
www.highambitioncoalition.org/statements/o...
"We support [Minister Silva]'s call to convene discussions on a global energy roadmap for the fossil fuel transition."
www.highambitioncoalition.org/statements/o...
Open Letter to President Lula on the Occasion of the Belém Climate Summit — The High Ambition Coalition
November 6th, 2025
www.highambitioncoalition.org
November 7, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Yesterday, the President of the Marshall Islands wrote to President Lula in a powerful letter:
"We support [Minister Silva]'s call to convene discussions on a global energy roadmap for the fossil fuel transition."
www.highambitioncoalition.org/statements/o...
"We support [Minister Silva]'s call to convene discussions on a global energy roadmap for the fossil fuel transition."
www.highambitioncoalition.org/statements/o...
"Despite Cop28’s global stocktake calling on all nations to contribute to “transitioning away from fossil fuels”, collectively there are still plans to produce more than double the amount of fossil fuels in 2030 than is consistent with ... 1.5C."
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Net zero is an insidious loophole that distracts from the scientific imperative to eliminate fossil fuels | Joëlle Gergis
History tells us that polite incrementalism and political kowtowing will prevail at Cop30 – even as catastrophe unfolds around us
www.theguardian.com
November 7, 2025 at 12:12 PM
"Despite Cop28’s global stocktake calling on all nations to contribute to “transitioning away from fossil fuels”, collectively there are still plans to produce more than double the amount of fossil fuels in 2030 than is consistent with ... 1.5C."
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Strong piece from former President of Colombia, Juan Manuel Santos, arguing in support of a roadmap to transition away from fossil fuels at #COP30.
"It is in the interests of producers and consumers alike to engage constructively."
english.elpais.com/opinion/2025...
"It is in the interests of producers and consumers alike to engage constructively."
english.elpais.com/opinion/2025...
To make peace with nature, we need a fossil fuel-free Amazon
It is necessary to support Brazil’s proposal to develop a roadmap for carrying out the comprehensive transition to renewable energy
english.elpais.com
November 7, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Strong piece from former President of Colombia, Juan Manuel Santos, arguing in support of a roadmap to transition away from fossil fuels at #COP30.
"It is in the interests of producers and consumers alike to engage constructively."
english.elpais.com/opinion/2025...
"It is in the interests of producers and consumers alike to engage constructively."
english.elpais.com/opinion/2025...
Important new research published last month in Nature Sustainability shows that the oil and gas industry has only a 1.42% share of global renewable energy.
Only 20% of the 250 largest oil and gas companies operate any renewable energy projects.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#COP30
Only 20% of the 250 largest oil and gas companies operate any renewable energy projects.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#COP30
Oil and gas industry’s marginal share of global renewable energy - Nature Sustainability
The decarbonization of oil and gas companies may not be as speedy or robust as advertised. This analysis finds that renewable energies make up just a minor fraction of the total energy production by t...
www.nature.com
November 7, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Important new research published last month in Nature Sustainability shows that the oil and gas industry has only a 1.42% share of global renewable energy.
Only 20% of the 250 largest oil and gas companies operate any renewable energy projects.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#COP30
Only 20% of the 250 largest oil and gas companies operate any renewable energy projects.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
#COP30
The #COP30 world leaders summit is about to start, and on this thread I'll be tracking how world leaders address energy transition (specifically fossil fuels) in their speeches. Let's go!
November 6, 2025 at 1:39 PM
The #COP30 world leaders summit is about to start, and on this thread I'll be tracking how world leaders address energy transition (specifically fossil fuels) in their speeches. Let's go!
A new @climateanalytics.org report has come out today, with a profoundly hopeful message: even though the world is on track to exceed 1.5°C of global warming, we can peak at 1.7°C and get temperatures back down well below 1.5°C by end of century.
But.... only if we phase out fossil fuels, fast. 🧵
But.... only if we phase out fossil fuels, fast. 🧵
November 6, 2025 at 11:02 AM
A new @climateanalytics.org report has come out today, with a profoundly hopeful message: even though the world is on track to exceed 1.5°C of global warming, we can peak at 1.7°C and get temperatures back down well below 1.5°C by end of century.
But.... only if we phase out fossil fuels, fast. 🧵
But.... only if we phase out fossil fuels, fast. 🧵
The new UNEP Emissions Gap Report points out that "no NDCs set targets to reduce oil and gas production or trim inefficient fossil fuel subsidies".
That countries are not addressing fossil fuels - at the heart of the climate crisis - is deeply worrying.
wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/ha...
That countries are not addressing fossil fuels - at the heart of the climate crisis - is deeply worrying.
wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/ha...
wedocs.unep.org
November 5, 2025 at 12:15 PM
The new UNEP Emissions Gap Report points out that "no NDCs set targets to reduce oil and gas production or trim inefficient fossil fuel subsidies".
That countries are not addressing fossil fuels - at the heart of the climate crisis - is deeply worrying.
wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/ha...
That countries are not addressing fossil fuels - at the heart of the climate crisis - is deeply worrying.
wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/ha...
Shocking new report from @foejapan.bsky.social showing that JBIC's (Japan's publicly backed export credit agency) drove 408 million tons of CO2eq in 2024 - mostly in overseas fossil projects.
If JBIC were a country, that would make it the 20th largest global emitter.
foejapan.org/en/issue/202...
If JBIC were a country, that would make it the 20th largest global emitter.
foejapan.org/en/issue/202...
New Report on Climate Impacts of Japan’s Public Finance | Friends of the Earth Japan
Read the report: Climate Impacts of Japan’s Public Finance: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from...
foejapan.org
November 5, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Shocking new report from @foejapan.bsky.social showing that JBIC's (Japan's publicly backed export credit agency) drove 408 million tons of CO2eq in 2024 - mostly in overseas fossil projects.
If JBIC were a country, that would make it the 20th largest global emitter.
foejapan.org/en/issue/202...
If JBIC were a country, that would make it the 20th largest global emitter.
foejapan.org/en/issue/202...
In light of today's news that Brazil has greenlighted oil exploration in the mouth of the Amazon www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...
it's worth recalling my excellent colleagues' @energy.iisd.org @wwfbrasil.bsky.social @sdgbenchmarks.bsky.social research www.iisd.org/publications...
it's worth recalling my excellent colleagues' @energy.iisd.org @wwfbrasil.bsky.social @sdgbenchmarks.bsky.social research www.iisd.org/publications...
Brazil at a Crossroads
Petrobras is driving oil and gas expansion in Brazil. Its frontier projects can only pay off in a dangerously overheated world. Here's how to pivot.
www.iisd.org
October 21, 2025 at 11:19 AM
In light of today's news that Brazil has greenlighted oil exploration in the mouth of the Amazon www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...
it's worth recalling my excellent colleagues' @energy.iisd.org @wwfbrasil.bsky.social @sdgbenchmarks.bsky.social research www.iisd.org/publications...
it's worth recalling my excellent colleagues' @energy.iisd.org @wwfbrasil.bsky.social @sdgbenchmarks.bsky.social research www.iisd.org/publications...
Reposted by Natalie Jones
The Government of New Zealand has made a new tourism ad and it's surprsingly honest and informative!
Honest Government Ad | Visit New Zealand!
YouTube video by thejuicemedia
www.youtube.com
October 10, 2025 at 5:49 AM
The Government of New Zealand has made a new tourism ad and it's surprsingly honest and informative!
Reposted by Natalie Jones
Jane Goodall's work insisting, with evidence from her brilliant and tenacious fieldwork, that we were not so separate from animals, and they were much more like us than the Eurocentric theorists asserted, was so important.
October 1, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Jane Goodall's work insisting, with evidence from her brilliant and tenacious fieldwork, that we were not so separate from animals, and they were much more like us than the Eurocentric theorists asserted, was so important.
Reposted by Natalie Jones
Pope Leo XIV denounced people who deny climate change today, arguing that they are contributing to the destruction of God's creation.
Pope Leo rebukes climate skeptics after Trump calls warming a ‘con job’
The Illinois native’s comments come a week after the U.S. president derided the fight against climate change.
www.politico.eu
October 1, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Pope Leo XIV denounced people who deny climate change today, arguing that they are contributing to the destruction of God's creation.
I’m at the #LaudatoSi #RaisingHope Conference in Castel Gandolfo this week—today we all got literally blessed by the Pope—and here are my top takeaways from day 1 🧵
October 1, 2025 at 3:48 PM
I’m at the #LaudatoSi #RaisingHope Conference in Castel Gandolfo this week—today we all got literally blessed by the Pope—and here are my top takeaways from day 1 🧵
I don’t often post about New Zealand politics but this piece about the recent energy reforms is too spot on not to share. theintegrityinstitute.substack.com/p/integrity-...
Integrity Briefing: The Govt's energy reforms are a cowardly capitulation to the gentailers
After months of anticipation, the Government has unveiled its electricity market reforms.
theintegrityinstitute.substack.com
October 1, 2025 at 5:47 AM
I don’t often post about New Zealand politics but this piece about the recent energy reforms is too spot on not to share. theintegrityinstitute.substack.com/p/integrity-...
I'm writing today to share some (rare) good climate news!
New research released today by @energy.iisd.org @oilchange.bsky.social @foeus.bsky.social shows that members of the Clean Energy Transition Partnership have cut their international public finance for fossil fuels by up to 78%.
New research released today by @energy.iisd.org @oilchange.bsky.social @foeus.bsky.social shows that members of the Clean Energy Transition Partnership have cut their international public finance for fossil fuels by up to 78%.
September 30, 2025 at 8:46 AM
I'm writing today to share some (rare) good climate news!
New research released today by @energy.iisd.org @oilchange.bsky.social @foeus.bsky.social shows that members of the Clean Energy Transition Partnership have cut their international public finance for fossil fuels by up to 78%.
New research released today by @energy.iisd.org @oilchange.bsky.social @foeus.bsky.social shows that members of the Clean Energy Transition Partnership have cut their international public finance for fossil fuels by up to 78%.
Reposted by Natalie Jones
The 2025 #ProductionGap report warns by 2030, fossil fuel production is projected to be:
⚠️>2x above the 1.5°C temperature limit
⚠️77% above 2°C
To deliver on the Paris Agreement, gov'ts must implement the commitment to transition away from fossil fuels.
Read the report: www.iisd.org/publications...
⚠️>2x above the 1.5°C temperature limit
⚠️77% above 2°C
To deliver on the Paris Agreement, gov'ts must implement the commitment to transition away from fossil fuels.
Read the report: www.iisd.org/publications...
September 23, 2025 at 5:32 AM
The 2025 #ProductionGap report warns by 2030, fossil fuel production is projected to be:
⚠️>2x above the 1.5°C temperature limit
⚠️77% above 2°C
To deliver on the Paris Agreement, gov'ts must implement the commitment to transition away from fossil fuels.
Read the report: www.iisd.org/publications...
⚠️>2x above the 1.5°C temperature limit
⚠️77% above 2°C
To deliver on the Paris Agreement, gov'ts must implement the commitment to transition away from fossil fuels.
Read the report: www.iisd.org/publications...
Reposted by Natalie Jones
Some highly questionable industry assertions about ‘tiebacks’ and new oil & gas exploration licensing covered by the Sunday Times this morning, incl. the volume of potential production & the impact on jobs & supply chains. Let's take a closer look: www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
Labour looks to water down North Sea drilling ban
Ed Miliband is expected to allow exploration next to existing sites to increase fossil fuel production without breaking a manifesto pledge
www.thetimes.com
September 21, 2025 at 8:30 AM
Some highly questionable industry assertions about ‘tiebacks’ and new oil & gas exploration licensing covered by the Sunday Times this morning, incl. the volume of potential production & the impact on jobs & supply chains. Let's take a closer look: www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
Reposted by Natalie Jones
Two remarkable assumptions in the modelling for Australia's new climate target
#1 (via @tomswann.bsky.social) - a very significant drop in demand for coal and gas supplied by Australia (and a subsequent drop in domestic emissions because digging that shit up is so profoundly dirty)
#1 (via @tomswann.bsky.social) - a very significant drop in demand for coal and gas supplied by Australia (and a subsequent drop in domestic emissions because digging that shit up is so profoundly dirty)
Coal and gas production falls a fair bit in all scenarios behind the govts emissions reduction targets.
The fact it's almost the same in each policy scenario suggests it is driven mostly not by Aust policy in the model.
The fact it's almost the same in each policy scenario suggests it is driven mostly not by Aust policy in the model.
September 19, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Two remarkable assumptions in the modelling for Australia's new climate target
#1 (via @tomswann.bsky.social) - a very significant drop in demand for coal and gas supplied by Australia (and a subsequent drop in domestic emissions because digging that shit up is so profoundly dirty)
#1 (via @tomswann.bsky.social) - a very significant drop in demand for coal and gas supplied by Australia (and a subsequent drop in domestic emissions because digging that shit up is so profoundly dirty)
Australia's new NDC is out. Others have commented on the headline target, so here I'll focus on the "transition away from fossil fuels" elements. 🧵
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
unfccc.int
September 18, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Australia's new NDC is out. Others have commented on the headline target, so here I'll focus on the "transition away from fossil fuels" elements. 🧵
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...