Natalie Jones
@nataliejones.bsky.social
Energy & climate policy at IISD. Sometimes international lawyer. Working on a managed phase-out of oil and gas production in line with Paris Agreement goals.
And on NDCs and fossil fuels
- "exploration of opportunities, barriers and enablers to accelerate action to transition away from fossil fuels"
- The "XXXX Roadmap" to identify opportunities to accelerate NDC implementation
- also a "no text" option i.e. consideration under GST 2 (the default)
- "exploration of opportunities, barriers and enablers to accelerate action to transition away from fossil fuels"
- The "XXXX Roadmap" to identify opportunities to accelerate NDC implementation
- also a "no text" option i.e. consideration under GST 2 (the default)
November 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
And on NDCs and fossil fuels
- "exploration of opportunities, barriers and enablers to accelerate action to transition away from fossil fuels"
- The "XXXX Roadmap" to identify opportunities to accelerate NDC implementation
- also a "no text" option i.e. consideration under GST 2 (the default)
- "exploration of opportunities, barriers and enablers to accelerate action to transition away from fossil fuels"
- The "XXXX Roadmap" to identify opportunities to accelerate NDC implementation
- also a "no text" option i.e. consideration under GST 2 (the default)
On unilateral trade measures, there's an option to establish an annual dialogue. Alternative options include maintaining discussions under the response measures forum.
November 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
On unilateral trade measures, there's an option to establish an annual dialogue. Alternative options include maintaining discussions under the response measures forum.
On 9.1 (finance provision), there's options to establish a three-year work programme and action plan -- or merely to reaffirm the NCQG and note the Baku to Belem Roadmap.
November 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
On 9.1 (finance provision), there's options to establish a three-year work programme and action plan -- or merely to reaffirm the NCQG and note the Baku to Belem Roadmap.
There's also an opportunity to reaffirm 1.5C goal (shouldn't be contentious as has been done several times before in UNFCCC -- but regardless I can imagine some groups objecting).
November 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
There's also an opportunity to reaffirm 1.5C goal (shouldn't be contentious as has been done several times before in UNFCCC -- but regardless I can imagine some groups objecting).
So let's go through the text.
First, after last week's disappointment that some countries felt over the IPCC not being referred to as the best available science, that argument could be rehashed here (third point):
First, after last week's disappointment that some countries felt over the IPCC not being referred to as the best available science, that argument could be rehashed here (third point):
November 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
So let's go through the text.
First, after last week's disappointment that some countries felt over the IPCC not being referred to as the best available science, that argument could be rehashed here (third point):
First, after last week's disappointment that some countries felt over the IPCC not being referred to as the best available science, that argument could be rehashed here (third point):
Significantly, the text keeps open the possibility for a Belem Action Mechanism
See the background for the mechanism idea here: climatenetwork.org/wp-content/u...
See the background for the mechanism idea here: climatenetwork.org/wp-content/u...
November 15, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Significantly, the text keeps open the possibility for a Belem Action Mechanism
See the background for the mechanism idea here: climatenetwork.org/wp-content/u...
See the background for the mechanism idea here: climatenetwork.org/wp-content/u...
Previous text on transitioning away from fossil fuels has survived, but still is accompanied by a no text option.
November 15, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Previous text on transitioning away from fossil fuels has survived, but still is accompanied by a no text option.
First, discussions on the just transition work programme have come up with a new text.
In it is the first mention of fossil fuel subsidy reform of this COP:
But there's a "no text" option indicating this text is opposed by some
In it is the first mention of fossil fuel subsidy reform of this COP:
But there's a "no text" option indicating this text is opposed by some
November 15, 2025 at 12:36 PM
First, discussions on the just transition work programme have come up with a new text.
In it is the first mention of fossil fuel subsidy reform of this COP:
But there's a "no text" option indicating this text is opposed by some
In it is the first mention of fossil fuel subsidy reform of this COP:
But there's a "no text" option indicating this text is opposed by some
And on outputs - note the "no text" option before every paragraph.
November 13, 2025 at 8:08 PM
And on outputs - note the "no text" option before every paragraph.
There are also divergences on timeline.
November 13, 2025 at 8:08 PM
There are also divergences on timeline.
This text reveals large divisions remain (but that's no surprise).
Take scope, for instance. Paragraph 4 has 4 options. The first would cover all of the global stocktake outcome, but particularly noting means of implementation
The second would explicitly note energy transition and forests
Take scope, for instance. Paragraph 4 has 4 options. The first would cover all of the global stocktake outcome, but particularly noting means of implementation
The second would explicitly note energy transition and forests
November 13, 2025 at 8:08 PM
This text reveals large divisions remain (but that's no surprise).
Take scope, for instance. Paragraph 4 has 4 options. The first would cover all of the global stocktake outcome, but particularly noting means of implementation
The second would explicitly note energy transition and forests
Take scope, for instance. Paragraph 4 has 4 options. The first would cover all of the global stocktake outcome, but particularly noting means of implementation
The second would explicitly note energy transition and forests
Option 1 is supported by the UK, EU, AILAC, AOSIS, New Zealand
Option 2 is supported by LMDCs, Arab Group, African Group, LDCs, India
Option 3 (no text) is supported by Russia
Option 2 is supported by LMDCs, Arab Group, African Group, LDCs, India
Option 3 (no text) is supported by Russia
November 13, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Option 1 is supported by the UK, EU, AILAC, AOSIS, New Zealand
Option 2 is supported by LMDCs, Arab Group, African Group, LDCs, India
Option 3 (no text) is supported by Russia
Option 2 is supported by LMDCs, Arab Group, African Group, LDCs, India
Option 3 (no text) is supported by Russia
3️⃣ 2pm: Advancing Financial and Fiscal Incentives for a Just, Orderly, and Equitable Transition Away from Fossil Fuels.
COFFIS and CETP are two of the leading coalitions on redirecting public financial flows away from fossil fuels and towards renewables. This promises to be a very interesting event.
COFFIS and CETP are two of the leading coalitions on redirecting public financial flows away from fossil fuels and towards renewables. This promises to be a very interesting event.
November 13, 2025 at 1:02 PM
3️⃣ 2pm: Advancing Financial and Fiscal Incentives for a Just, Orderly, and Equitable Transition Away from Fossil Fuels.
COFFIS and CETP are two of the leading coalitions on redirecting public financial flows away from fossil fuels and towards renewables. This promises to be a very interesting event.
COFFIS and CETP are two of the leading coalitions on redirecting public financial flows away from fossil fuels and towards renewables. This promises to be a very interesting event.
Notably that text from Bonn contains two complete text options. Saudi Arabia for the LMDCs was very vocal in wanting only the first option to be used as the basis for text.
Perhaps because the second option includes explicit language around energy transition (e.g:
Perhaps because the second option includes explicit language around energy transition (e.g:
November 12, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Notably that text from Bonn contains two complete text options. Saudi Arabia for the LMDCs was very vocal in wanting only the first option to be used as the basis for text.
Perhaps because the second option includes explicit language around energy transition (e.g:
Perhaps because the second option includes explicit language around energy transition (e.g:
One of the main issues is the scope of the dialogue.
The paragraph establishing it was found within the "Means of implementation and support" part of the GST decision -- so some (LMDCs, Arab Group) argue it should *only* cover those topics.
The paragraph establishing it was found within the "Means of implementation and support" part of the GST decision -- so some (LMDCs, Arab Group) argue it should *only* cover those topics.
November 12, 2025 at 4:33 PM
One of the main issues is the scope of the dialogue.
The paragraph establishing it was found within the "Means of implementation and support" part of the GST decision -- so some (LMDCs, Arab Group) argue it should *only* cover those topics.
The paragraph establishing it was found within the "Means of implementation and support" part of the GST decision -- so some (LMDCs, Arab Group) argue it should *only* cover those topics.
As part of the historic Global Stocktake decision adopted at COP28 in 2023, Parties agreed to hold a dialogue on implementing the Global Stocktake outcomes.
November 12, 2025 at 4:33 PM
As part of the historic Global Stocktake decision adopted at COP28 in 2023, Parties agreed to hold a dialogue on implementing the Global Stocktake outcomes.
The geographical distribution of financing flows is tilted towards high-income countries. From 2015-2024, more than half of clean energy financing went to high-income countries.
November 7, 2025 at 3:01 PM
The geographical distribution of financing flows is tilted towards high-income countries. From 2015-2024, more than half of clean energy financing went to high-income countries.
In 2024, E3F members' fossil fuel financing stayed roughly constant, at EUR 1.2 billion.
Financing for renewable energy and electric infrastructure was approximately quadruple that for fossil fuels, at EUR 4.4 bn.
However, this was a decrease from the previous year's record high of 7.8 bn.
Financing for renewable energy and electric infrastructure was approximately quadruple that for fossil fuels, at EUR 4.4 bn.
However, this was a decrease from the previous year's record high of 7.8 bn.
November 7, 2025 at 3:01 PM
In 2024, E3F members' fossil fuel financing stayed roughly constant, at EUR 1.2 billion.
Financing for renewable energy and electric infrastructure was approximately quadruple that for fossil fuels, at EUR 4.4 bn.
However, this was a decrease from the previous year's record high of 7.8 bn.
Financing for renewable energy and electric infrastructure was approximately quadruple that for fossil fuels, at EUR 4.4 bn.
However, this was a decrease from the previous year's record high of 7.8 bn.
Only if there is a much faster phase out of fossil fuels!
Production and consumption of all fossil fuels would need to peak immediately and fall rapidly.
Coal needs to be effectively phased out by the 2040s, gas in the 2050s and oil in the 2060s.
With advanced economies taking the lead.
Production and consumption of all fossil fuels would need to peak immediately and fall rapidly.
Coal needs to be effectively phased out by the 2040s, gas in the 2050s and oil in the 2060s.
With advanced economies taking the lead.
November 6, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Only if there is a much faster phase out of fossil fuels!
Production and consumption of all fossil fuels would need to peak immediately and fall rapidly.
Coal needs to be effectively phased out by the 2040s, gas in the 2050s and oil in the 2060s.
With advanced economies taking the lead.
Production and consumption of all fossil fuels would need to peak immediately and fall rapidly.
Coal needs to be effectively phased out by the 2040s, gas in the 2050s and oil in the 2060s.
With advanced economies taking the lead.
Ciao for now!
(pictured with my most favourite of Italian trees, the stone pine)
(pictured with my most favourite of Italian trees, the stone pine)
October 1, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Ciao for now!
(pictured with my most favourite of Italian trees, the stone pine)
(pictured with my most favourite of Italian trees, the stone pine)
Finally, Pope Leo was clear about where responsibility lies. “The most effective solutions will come not from individual efforts but from political decisions at the international, national and local levels.”
He urged citizens around the world to get involved in politics.
He urged citizens around the world to get involved in politics.
October 1, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Finally, Pope Leo was clear about where responsibility lies. “The most effective solutions will come not from individual efforts but from political decisions at the international, national and local levels.”
He urged citizens around the world to get involved in politics.
He urged citizens around the world to get involved in politics.
Second, the Catholic Church is an incredibly powerful force. As @schwarzenegger.bsky.social pointed out, there are 1.4 billion Catholics in the world, 200,000 churches. What potential.
October 1, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Second, the Catholic Church is an incredibly powerful force. As @schwarzenegger.bsky.social pointed out, there are 1.4 billion Catholics in the world, 200,000 churches. What potential.
I’m at the #LaudatoSi #RaisingHope Conference in Castel Gandolfo this week—today we all got literally blessed by the Pope—and here are my top takeaways from day 1 🧵
October 1, 2025 at 3:48 PM
I’m at the #LaudatoSi #RaisingHope Conference in Castel Gandolfo this week—today we all got literally blessed by the Pope—and here are my top takeaways from day 1 🧵
Even more concerning is that clean energy finance has not kept pace. In 2024, CETP countries increased their support for clean energy by only USD 3.2 billion, meaning that less than a fifth of the finance shifted out of fossil fuels has been redirected to clean energy.
September 30, 2025 at 8:46 AM
Even more concerning is that clean energy finance has not kept pace. In 2024, CETP countries increased their support for clean energy by only USD 3.2 billion, meaning that less than a fifth of the finance shifted out of fossil fuels has been redirected to clean energy.
But some countries continue to violate the agreement. Countries led by Germany, Italy, Switzerland and the United States have approved USD 10.9 billion in fossil fuel financing in 2023-2024 in violation of the pledge.
September 30, 2025 at 8:46 AM
But some countries continue to violate the agreement. Countries led by Germany, Italy, Switzerland and the United States have approved USD 10.9 billion in fossil fuel financing in 2023-2024 in violation of the pledge.