Natalie Jones
@nataliejones.bsky.social
Energy & climate policy at IISD. Sometimes international lawyer. Working on a managed phase-out of oil and gas production in line with Paris Agreement goals.
It's day 13 of #COP30 and it may be the last day, for real this time.
Several "L docs" have dropped--ie text in decision format--but we're still waiting on the big one (the "mutirao text").
Several "L docs" have dropped--ie text in decision format--but we're still waiting on the big one (the "mutirao text").
It's day 12 of #COP30 and finally we have movement on the text.
In summary, it looks like the small minority of opponents of transitioning away from fossil fuels have been allowed to run roughshod over this text.
But let's dive in...
In summary, it looks like the small minority of opponents of transitioning away from fossil fuels have been allowed to run roughshod over this text.
But let's dive in...
It's day 11 of #COP30 and it's the second dawn without a new text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
November 22, 2025 at 1:46 PM
It's day 13 of #COP30 and it may be the last day, for real this time.
Several "L docs" have dropped--ie text in decision format--but we're still waiting on the big one (the "mutirao text").
Several "L docs" have dropped--ie text in decision format--but we're still waiting on the big one (the "mutirao text").
Of course France will say this, but if you ask India, they'll say the EU is blocking on finance and this is the main obstacle to a deal.
"France said Friday that Russia, Saudi Arabia and India, along with many emerging economies, were the main obstacles to a #Cop30 deal on phasing out fossil fuels"
Live blog
#climatecrisis
www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
Live blog
#climatecrisis
www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
Cop30 live: standoff over inclusion of fossil fuel phaseout in final text escalates
Following a dramatic fire yesterday, the climate summit is due to finish this evening, but disagreements over the final text look difficult to resolve
www.theguardian.com
November 21, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Of course France will say this, but if you ask India, they'll say the EU is blocking on finance and this is the main obstacle to a deal.
Reposted by Natalie Jones
It’s very hard to see what the opposition is to a roadmap beyond ‘we just want to burn lots more fossil fuels’. It’s just a promise to discuss a roadmap and it’s for a ‘transition away’ from fossil fuels, not a full phase out.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Cop30: dozens of countries threaten to block resolution unless it contains roadmap to fossil fuel phase-out
Exclusive: The Guardian understands Brazil had been planning to drop a roadmap to a transition away from fossil fuels amid opposition from petro states
www.theguardian.com
November 21, 2025 at 7:28 AM
It’s very hard to see what the opposition is to a roadmap beyond ‘we just want to burn lots more fossil fuels’. It’s just a promise to discuss a roadmap and it’s for a ‘transition away’ from fossil fuels, not a full phase out.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
It's day 12 of #COP30 and finally we have movement on the text.
In summary, it looks like the small minority of opponents of transitioning away from fossil fuels have been allowed to run roughshod over this text.
But let's dive in...
In summary, it looks like the small minority of opponents of transitioning away from fossil fuels have been allowed to run roughshod over this text.
But let's dive in...
It's day 11 of #COP30 and it's the second dawn without a new text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
It's day 10 of #COP30 and several media are reporting more than 80 countries support a roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels.
Meanwhile, we're waiting on new text that was promised to drop this morning...
Meanwhile, we're waiting on new text that was promised to drop this morning...
November 21, 2025 at 11:16 AM
It's day 12 of #COP30 and finally we have movement on the text.
In summary, it looks like the small minority of opponents of transitioning away from fossil fuels have been allowed to run roughshod over this text.
But let's dive in...
In summary, it looks like the small minority of opponents of transitioning away from fossil fuels have been allowed to run roughshod over this text.
But let's dive in...
It's day 11 of #COP30 and it's the second dawn without a new text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
November 20, 2025 at 12:14 PM
It's day 11 of #COP30 and it's the second dawn without a new text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
Looks to be another fairly quiet day today until we get that draft text.
It's day 10 of #COP30 and several media are reporting more than 80 countries support a roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels.
Meanwhile, we're waiting on new text that was promised to drop this morning...
Meanwhile, we're waiting on new text that was promised to drop this morning...
It's day 9 of #COP30 and there are several new texts out overnight. Let's dive in...
It's day 8 of #COP30 and overnight we got the first informal note on the Presidency consultations on four of the most contentious issues of COP: NDCs, BTRs, 9.1 (provision of finance) and unilateral trade measures.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
November 19, 2025 at 11:29 AM
It's day 10 of #COP30 and several media are reporting more than 80 countries support a roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels.
Meanwhile, we're waiting on new text that was promised to drop this morning...
Meanwhile, we're waiting on new text that was promised to drop this morning...
And, more importantly, @carbonbrief.org :'(
ChatGPT and X hit by outage at online security group Cloudflare on.ft.com/4i6E6I9
ChatGPT and X hit by outage at online security group Cloudflare
San Francisco-based company blames incident on ‘spike in unusual traffic’ to one of its services
on.ft.com
November 18, 2025 at 1:36 PM
And, more importantly, @carbonbrief.org :'(
It's day 9 of #COP30 and there are several new texts out overnight. Let's dive in...
It's day 8 of #COP30 and overnight we got the first informal note on the Presidency consultations on four of the most contentious issues of COP: NDCs, BTRs, 9.1 (provision of finance) and unilateral trade measures.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
unfccc.int
November 18, 2025 at 12:01 PM
It's day 9 of #COP30 and there are several new texts out overnight. Let's dive in...
It's day 8 of #COP30 and overnight we got the first informal note on the Presidency consultations on four of the most contentious issues of COP: NDCs, BTRs, 9.1 (provision of finance) and unilateral trade measures.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
unfccc.int
November 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
It's day 8 of #COP30 and overnight we got the first informal note on the Presidency consultations on four of the most contentious issues of COP: NDCs, BTRs, 9.1 (provision of finance) and unilateral trade measures.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Here are some highlights:
Reposted by Natalie Jones
History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes, a #climatefinance story:
After the $100bn climate finance goal was agreed in 2009, the UN Secretary General created a High-Level Advisory Group on Climate Change Financing (AGF) to study potential sources of revenue to meet the new goal, led by the PMs of 🇪🇹&🇳🇴
After the $100bn climate finance goal was agreed in 2009, the UN Secretary General created a High-Level Advisory Group on Climate Change Financing (AGF) to study potential sources of revenue to meet the new goal, led by the PMs of 🇪🇹&🇳🇴
High-Level Advisory Group on Climate Change Financing - Final Report
web.archive.org
November 14, 2025 at 11:25 PM
History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes, a #climatefinance story:
After the $100bn climate finance goal was agreed in 2009, the UN Secretary General created a High-Level Advisory Group on Climate Change Financing (AGF) to study potential sources of revenue to meet the new goal, led by the PMs of 🇪🇹&🇳🇴
After the $100bn climate finance goal was agreed in 2009, the UN Secretary General created a High-Level Advisory Group on Climate Change Financing (AGF) to study potential sources of revenue to meet the new goal, led by the PMs of 🇪🇹&🇳🇴
Good morning #COP30 watchers! It's day 6 of COP30 and here's what I'm keeping a close eye on today:
It's day 5 of #COP30 and here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ Partnerships for a Just Transition: Accelerating Action on Methane Reduction and Planning for the Transition Away from Oil and Gas - 10:30am in the Nigeria Pavilion
Interested to see if there are any announcements to be made at this event.
1️⃣ Partnerships for a Just Transition: Accelerating Action on Methane Reduction and Planning for the Transition Away from Oil and Gas - 10:30am in the Nigeria Pavilion
Interested to see if there are any announcements to be made at this event.
It's day 4 of #COP30 and here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
November 15, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Good morning #COP30 watchers! It's day 6 of COP30 and here's what I'm keeping a close eye on today:
It's day 5 of #COP30 and here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ Partnerships for a Just Transition: Accelerating Action on Methane Reduction and Planning for the Transition Away from Oil and Gas - 10:30am in the Nigeria Pavilion
Interested to see if there are any announcements to be made at this event.
1️⃣ Partnerships for a Just Transition: Accelerating Action on Methane Reduction and Planning for the Transition Away from Oil and Gas - 10:30am in the Nigeria Pavilion
Interested to see if there are any announcements to be made at this event.
It's day 4 of #COP30 and here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
It's day 3 of #COP30 and as an experienced COP-watcher, here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
November 14, 2025 at 1:07 PM
It's day 5 of #COP30 and here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ Partnerships for a Just Transition: Accelerating Action on Methane Reduction and Planning for the Transition Away from Oil and Gas - 10:30am in the Nigeria Pavilion
Interested to see if there are any announcements to be made at this event.
1️⃣ Partnerships for a Just Transition: Accelerating Action on Methane Reduction and Planning for the Transition Away from Oil and Gas - 10:30am in the Nigeria Pavilion
Interested to see if there are any announcements to be made at this event.
It's day 4 of #COP30 and here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
It's day 3 of #COP30 and as an experienced COP-watcher, here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
November 13, 2025 at 1:02 PM
It's day 4 of #COP30 and here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
1️⃣ The third contact group on Article 2.1(c) (Paris Agreement overarching finance goal) begins now. After the Arab Group blocked production of text last night, what will happen next?
Reposted by Natalie Jones
Good thread from Dave about the new IEA "Current Policies Scenario" making a lot of the headlines.
Here is a very quick mock-up I made of what this scenario assumes for solar PV additions through to 2035, with historical context.
I'll let you decide whether this seems likely.
Here is a very quick mock-up I made of what this scenario assumes for solar PV additions through to 2035, with historical context.
I'll let you decide whether this seems likely.
November 12, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Good thread from Dave about the new IEA "Current Policies Scenario" making a lot of the headlines.
Here is a very quick mock-up I made of what this scenario assumes for solar PV additions through to 2035, with historical context.
I'll let you decide whether this seems likely.
Here is a very quick mock-up I made of what this scenario assumes for solar PV additions through to 2035, with historical context.
I'll let you decide whether this seems likely.
It's day 3 of #COP30 and as an experienced COP-watcher, here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
November 12, 2025 at 1:01 PM
It's day 3 of #COP30 and as an experienced COP-watcher, here's what I'm watching today:
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
1️⃣ First up, right now informal consultations begin on Article 2.1(c) -- the goal of the Paris Agreement that's about aligning financial flows with low-carbon, climate-resilient development.
Reposted by Natalie Jones
NEW: Global fossil fuel use will peak before 2030 – unless 'stated policies' are abandoned
Contra some terrible news coverage, IEA World Energy Outlook shows coal near peak, oil peaking by 2030 & gas by 2035 (see chart)
What's going on? 🧵 + cool charts
www.carbonbrief.org/iea-fossil-f...
Contra some terrible news coverage, IEA World Energy Outlook shows coal near peak, oil peaking by 2030 & gas by 2035 (see chart)
What's going on? 🧵 + cool charts
www.carbonbrief.org/iea-fossil-f...
November 12, 2025 at 9:02 AM
NEW: Global fossil fuel use will peak before 2030 – unless 'stated policies' are abandoned
Contra some terrible news coverage, IEA World Energy Outlook shows coal near peak, oil peaking by 2030 & gas by 2035 (see chart)
What's going on? 🧵 + cool charts
www.carbonbrief.org/iea-fossil-f...
Contra some terrible news coverage, IEA World Energy Outlook shows coal near peak, oil peaking by 2030 & gas by 2035 (see chart)
What's going on? 🧵 + cool charts
www.carbonbrief.org/iea-fossil-f...
Reposted by Natalie Jones
🤡OIL DEMAND WILL KEEP RISING🤡
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
November 12, 2025 at 6:10 AM
🤡OIL DEMAND WILL KEEP RISING🤡
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
Reposted by Natalie Jones
Huge COPs are an equity issue.
We don't hear marginalised voices above the din of who can afford the pavilions, flights, comms teams, or hosting.
theconversation.com/the-un-clima...
We don't hear marginalised voices above the din of who can afford the pavilions, flights, comms teams, or hosting.
theconversation.com/the-un-clima...
The UN climate talks have become too big for their own good
Cop30 will have 50,000 delegates. But bigger Cops are not better Cops.
theconversation.com
November 11, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Huge COPs are an equity issue.
We don't hear marginalised voices above the din of who can afford the pavilions, flights, comms teams, or hosting.
theconversation.com/the-un-clima...
We don't hear marginalised voices above the din of who can afford the pavilions, flights, comms teams, or hosting.
theconversation.com/the-un-clima...
Reposted by Natalie Jones
📢China's emissions are flatlining 📢https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-have-now-been-flat-or-falling-for-18-months/
Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been flat or falling for 18 months - Carbon Brief
China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were unchanged from a year earlier in the third quarter of 2025, extending a flat or falling trend that started in March 2024.
www.carbonbrief.org
November 11, 2025 at 3:55 PM
📢China's emissions are flatlining 📢https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-have-now-been-flat-or-falling-for-18-months/
🚨Colombia just supported in #COP30 plenary the fossil fuel roadmap idea.
That brings the number of countries supporting it out loud in negotiations to 8 (that I have heard)
That brings the number of countries supporting it out loud in negotiations to 8 (that I have heard)
November 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM
🚨Colombia just supported in #COP30 plenary the fossil fuel roadmap idea.
That brings the number of countries supporting it out loud in negotiations to 8 (that I have heard)
That brings the number of countries supporting it out loud in negotiations to 8 (that I have heard)
Intrigued to see that in #COP30 plenary speakers are being cut off if they go over the allotted time for statements (3 minutes?)
Has that ever happened before?
Has that ever happened before?
November 11, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Intrigued to see that in #COP30 plenary speakers are being cut off if they go over the allotted time for statements (3 minutes?)
Has that ever happened before?
Has that ever happened before?
🚨Switzerland for EIG supports Lula's roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels -- in discussions on the UAE Dialogue.
Others, including Saudi Arabia for LMDCs, and India, strongly oppose "adding new elements" to the discussion.
Others, including Saudi Arabia for LMDCs, and India, strongly oppose "adding new elements" to the discussion.
November 11, 2025 at 2:10 PM
🚨Switzerland for EIG supports Lula's roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels -- in discussions on the UAE Dialogue.
Others, including Saudi Arabia for LMDCs, and India, strongly oppose "adding new elements" to the discussion.
Others, including Saudi Arabia for LMDCs, and India, strongly oppose "adding new elements" to the discussion.
Last night at #COP30 the presidency consulted on four crucial topics: response to NDCs, transparency (BTRs), article 9.1 (provision of finance by developed countries), and unilateral trade measures.
These four elements will be key to the outcome, despite being dropped from the official agendas.
These four elements will be key to the outcome, despite being dropped from the official agendas.
November 11, 2025 at 1:07 PM
Last night at #COP30 the presidency consulted on four crucial topics: response to NDCs, transparency (BTRs), article 9.1 (provision of finance by developed countries), and unilateral trade measures.
These four elements will be key to the outcome, despite being dropped from the official agendas.
These four elements will be key to the outcome, despite being dropped from the official agendas.
Some bad news at the start of #COP30
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
unfccc.int
November 10, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Some bad news at the start of #COP30
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
Last week, you'll recall the UN's synthesis report of national climate plans (NDCs) said current NDCs will result in a 17% decrease in emissions by 2035 if fully implemented.
Well, there's been an update, and now it's down to 12%.
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
The #COP30 agenda just got adopted smoothly.
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda
November 10, 2025 at 3:23 PM
The #COP30 agenda just got adopted smoothly.
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda
That sets a positive tone and momentum for the rest of the conference.
With the following stipulations:
- Item on implementation of GST 1 decision was withdrawn
- 8 items proposed by parties not included in the agenda