Events on Monday 10 November:
- Planetary Science Pavilion, 13:15, The Earth energy imbalance
- Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion, 15:45, LNG carrier EIA report and oversupply
- Australia Pavilion, 18:00, Lethal humidity and human survival

4/ Governments must urgently lock in an AR7 timetable that guarantees robust, timely IPCC input into GST2. Effective climate action depends on it.

3/ GST2 is meant to guide the next round of ambition to limit warming to 1.5°C. Without up-to-date IPCC mitigation science, Parties will be negotiating in the dark, just when the best available science on how to minimise overshoot will be urgently needed.

2/ The Global Stocktake (GST) is the backbone of the Paris Agreement’s ambition mechanism, designed to review progress towards 1.5°C every 5 years. GST1 at COP28 was grounded in IPCC AR6. That science underpinned the call to transition away from fossil fuels, 3x renewables, reduce methane.

In the race to zero, innovators and leaders will reap the benefits, while laggards will be consigned to the history books. Only time will tell which corporations are ready to lead the charge to a fossil-free economy.

Read the reports to find out more!
climateanalytics.org/publications...

This report looks in-depth at the economic opportunities of reaching real zero in three so called “hard-to-abate” sectors of the economy, compared to business as usual (or BAU+CCS/CDR):
🚚 the transition to battery electric trucks in Europe
🛠️ green steel in Japan
🌱 green fertiliser in India

The report, Real zero: an opportunity, not a cost, examines the economic feasibility of real zero.

It shows that a move to zero-carbon alternatives is a direct investment in competitiveness and resilience.
ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications...

The report, Real zero: delivering a fossil free future shows that pathways exist to eliminate fossil fuels in key global sectors like – trucks, steel, shipping, power and light-duty vehicles making a real zero future technically feasible.
ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications...

"Net zero is not the same as zero. To keep 1.5°C in reach, we must drive as many sectors as possible to real zero before 2050,” said @billhare.bsky.social, CEO of Climate Analytics. “That is needed to reduce reliance on uncertain and costly negative emissions and deliver durable decarbonisation.”

Real zero means the complete elimination of fossil fuels by replacing them with zero-carbon alternatives, rather than compensating for them with offsets, carbon dioxide removal or fossil carbon capture and storage.

Does this mean we should give up on 1.5ºC?

No – 1.5ºC endures as a legal and ethical imperative as we approach, meet and potentially exceed 1.5ºC. See @joerirogelj.bsky.social's great piece on this: bsky.app/profile/joer...

This roadmap shows is it is still within our power to bring warming back well below 1.5ºC by 2100.

Next week at #COP30, countries must act urgently and start to implement a rescue plan for 1.5ºC. Read our report to find out more
climateanalytics.org/publications...

Carbon removal also scales up. Nature-based removals are limited, given the risks of overrelying on natural sinks in a warming world.

Carbon removals scale within previously identified sustainability and feasibility bounds. But removals are a necessity, not a choice, to get back below 1.5ºC.

There are also strong methane cuts – energy-sector methane halved in the 2020s, and waste and agriculture emissions also falling.

Electrification drives a rapid fossil fuel phaseout. Advanced economies are fossil free by 2050; the world as a whole by 2070).