Ailsa Henderson
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ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson
@ailsahenderson.bsky.social
1.9K followers 580 following 100 posts

PoliSci Prof at Edinburgh - run Scottish Election Study, co-run Union survey/Future of England survey
Voting, polling, attitudes to the union

@scotvoting.bsky.social @theunionsurvey.bsky.social

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Political science 65%
History 13%
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ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Nov 15
Interested in Scottish voting data?

Follow Scottish Election Study team at account below

Or individually:
@ailsahenderson.bsky.social
@robjohns75.bsky.social
@cjcarman.bsky.social
@jaclarner.bsky.social
@chanret.bsky.social
@martamiori.bsky.social
(Fraser's arriving soon)
scotvoting.bsky.social Scottish Election Study @scotvoting.bsky.social · Oct 1
New blog ‼️

Following the Scottish Conservative leadership election, we decided to crunch some numbers and take a look at the party's standing across constitutional and ideological divides 🔵📊

Keep an eye out for more on the other parties soon 👀

scottishelections.ac.uk/2024/10/01/g...
Are there really so-called “Tartan Tories” in the Scottish electorate?
Following a bruising leadership contest, at the end of September the Scottish Conservative Party opted to elevate Russell Findlay MSP to a job described by some commentators as a “poisoned chalice” wi...
scottishelections.ac.uk

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

canadianpolling.bsky.social
Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d
"I am willing to accept slower economic growth in Canada if it means greater economic independence from the United States"

🟢 Agree: 70%
🔴 Disagree: 19%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/budget-wee...
Budget Week Opens with Rising Public Skepticism
Canadians remain split on Carney's ability to deliver results, while dissatisfaction with Ottawa ticks upward
canadianpolling.substack.com

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · 11d
Newly out from James Mitchell and me, explaining the 2024 UKGE in Scotland
@edinburghpir.bsky.social

academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...

Email me if you want access and can't get it via your institution
Shifting sands: Sources of voter volatility in the 2024 UK General Election in Scotland
Abstract. In one sense, the 2024 UK General Election in Scotland provided a significant departure from what we have come to expect from elections in the af
academic.oup.com

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Oct 1
New SES methodology incoming. Flawless.
comradekenobi.bsky.social RDCK98 @comradekenobi.bsky.social · Oct 1
I cannot believe someone has signed off a post saying they are confident about what the Scottish are like because they drink Ardberg
rawkitbawl.bsky.social rawkitbawl @rawkitbawl.bsky.social · Oct 1
This dork has an army of either bots or losers who think like him.

And I very much believe it's a bot army and very much don't care.

Pretty sure the Scottish are not just sexist all the time. Confident about this as an Ardbeg drinker.

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

comradekenobi.bsky.social
RDCK98 @comradekenobi.bsky.social · Oct 1
I cannot believe someone has signed off a post saying they are confident about what the Scottish are like because they drink Ardberg
rawkitbawl.bsky.social rawkitbawl @rawkitbawl.bsky.social · Oct 1
This dork has an army of either bots or losers who think like him.

And I very much believe it's a bot army and very much don't care.

Pretty sure the Scottish are not just sexist all the time. Confident about this as an Ardbeg drinker.

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 22
Was just drawing distinction with English single tier locals, London boroughs etc

Not a comment on speed, flavour of devolved govt formation!

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 22
Indeed. While often ignoring the devolved elections in May, which *will* lead to government formation

Both UK Lab and UK Cons making life difficult for their devolved parties by fighting the next UKGE 4 years early
stephenkb.bsky.social Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · Sep 22
It just straightforwardly *insane* how much political chatter in the United Kingdom is about the next general election, an event that is a long way in the future, and how basically none of it is about 'uh, this policy agenda doesn't look adequate to the scale of the inherited problem'.

Reposted by Will Jennings, Scott L. Greer, Steve Peers , and 7 more

stephenkb.bsky.social
Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · Sep 22
It just straightforwardly *insane* how much political chatter in the United Kingdom is about the next general election, an event that is a long way in the future, and how basically none of it is about 'uh, this policy agenda doesn't look adequate to the scale of the inherited problem'.

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 21
You need breadcrumbs to navigate back out

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 20
Advice for the age
josiah.writes.news Josiah Mortimer @josiah.writes.news · Sep 20
The conclusion was: if it's bunting, it's a fete.

If there's no bunting and an anti-refugee message, it's the far right.

Just flags: could be for the women's rugby...

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

josiah.writes.news
Josiah Mortimer @josiah.writes.news · Sep 20
The conclusion was: if it's bunting, it's a fete.

If there's no bunting and an anti-refugee message, it's the far right.

Just flags: could be for the women's rugby...

Reposted by Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Ailsa Henderson , and 5 more

jaclarner.bsky.social
Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · Sep 16
Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 12
Well done James!

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 10
Calls to mind this beloved Quebec classic.

Wee Habs fan's mum navigates the English catalogue badly, gets him a Leafs sweater by mistake. Drama ensues

Can't imagine it quite working like that with mystery SPL options tho

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson, Andrew Perchard

britishacademy.bsky.social
The British Academy @britishacademy.bsky.social · Sep 10
Humanities, arts and social sciences degrees are disappearing in many UK regions.

With more young people than ever studying close to home, course cuts are narrowing their choices at university.

@timeshighered.bsky.social covers our 'Cold Spots' report today. Read more at https://bit.ly/46e3wOy
Humanities and arts degrees disappearing in parts of UK
Students from rural and disadvantaged areas disproportionally affected by subject cuts, British Academy warns
bit.ly

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 7
No!!

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

canadianpolling.bsky.social
Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · Sep 6
Those who say the Western provinces should join the United States:

🔴 MB: 6%
🔴 AB: 6%
🔴 BC: 4%
🔴 SK: 3%

Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...
Western Canadians Cooling On Separation
While many believe they'd be better off on their own, support for leaving remains low
open.substack.com

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 6
Department of Offense
atrupar.com Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · Sep 5
Trump: "We decided to go woke and we changed the name to Department of Defense. So we're going to Department of War ... I think it's a much more appropriate name especially in light of where the world is right now."

Reposted by Stephen Cushion

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Sep 6
Featuring @scotvoting.bsky.social data and our recent blog

You can read it, and other great SES analysis, here:
scottishelections.ac.uk/category/blog/

Reposted by Fabián Muniesa, Ailsa Henderson, Jussi T. Eronen , and 4 more

atrupar.com
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · Sep 5
Trump: "We decided to go woke and we changed the name to Department of Defense. So we're going to Department of War ... I think it's a much more appropriate name especially in light of where the world is right now."

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

aedwardslevy.bsky.social
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · Sep 3
158. AP-GfK, 2009: "If you had to choose, would you prefer to attend a wedding that served champagne and caviar, wine and chicken breasts, or beer and pigs in a blanket?"

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

aedwardslevy.bsky.social
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · Sep 3
153. Gallup/CNN/USA Today, 1998: "For the next question, assume that the Seinfeld characters were real people. Aside from how funny you think they are, would you generally consider them to be likeable people or annoying people?"

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

richardwynjones.bsky.social
Richard Wyn Jones @richardwynjones.bsky.social · Aug 29
NEWYDD - gan @ailsahenderson.bsky.social a minnau.

NEW by me and my fellow student of Englishness, Prof. Ailsa Henderson.

theconversation.com/nigel-farage...
Nigel Farage and the political power of English grievance
The Conservatives and Labour have allowed resentment to fester in the biggest part of the UK – and the only region not to have its own parliament.
theconversation.com

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Aug 28
My own was mostly loop of Cartier to Riel, but esp 1759-1885. Could have wept when 1st yr uni history was New France to Confederation. Again.

Did get a break for causes ww1, Russian revolution at one pt in high school

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Aug 28
Up here we get WW2 as a break from the endless cycle of Romans and wars of independence

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

alainggagnon.bsky.social
Alain-G. Gagnon @alainggagnon.bsky.social · Aug 17
centre.irpp.org/research-stu...
A Less Resentful Federation? Findings from the 2025 Provincial Resentment Index - Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation
The fourth edition of the Provincial Resentment Index shows that, on average, Canadians feel slightly less aggrieved about their province’s place in the federation than at any point since the index wa...
centre.irpp.org

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Aug 17
Same is visible in SQA data (which admittedly is begging out for control vars like course choice)

Large gap at Nat5
Visible gap at Highers
Gone by Adv Highers - pity we don't use those for uni entrance as much

www.itv.com/news/2025-08...
www.itv.com

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

andydphilip.bsky.social
Andy Philip @andydphilip.bsky.social · Aug 14
I grew up near the route of the old Aberdeen-Ellon-Fraserburgh railway - it would have made my life a lot easier.
Freight was still using the line after oil was struck, and towns mushroomed.
Maybe a pipe dream, but this would be great for the region.
www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/politics/...
Fraserburgh and Peterhead now 'strongest candidates in Scotland' for new rail links
Campaigners say it’s more important than ever to reverse historic railway cuts in north Aberdeenshire - ahead of a major energy conference.
www.pressandjournal.co.uk

ailsahenderson.bsky.social
Ailsa Henderson @ailsahenderson.bsky.social · Aug 14
I think it's really nice they do this but this is my fairly regular request that someone in the PSA puts the Scottish Higher results day in the diary and creates an equivalent post.

We need Scottish students to study politics as well.

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
Political Studies Association @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social · Aug 14
Good luck to #Students receiving their #ALevel results today. If you are continuing your studies at #University why not consider a #Politics degree! Here are some helpful pointers from PSA CEO Michelle Doyle Wildman. buff.ly/1LYW8F8
#ALevelResultsDay #ALevelResults2025
Considering doing a degree? Why not choose Politics? | The Political Studies Association (PSA)
Exam results season 2025 is well and truly underway. If you are considering clearing or applying for a university place in the future, I’ve set out a few pointers below on why choosing to do a…
buff.ly

Reposted by Ailsa Henderson

ukandeu.bsky.social
UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · Aug 11
❗Calling all social scientists ❗

🔎 Want your work to get noticed by non-academic audiences?

Our blog page provides clear and insightful analysis on topical issues, especially UK-EU relations🇬🇧🇪🇺

Got an idea? Send it to info@ukandeu.ac.uk

Check out our latest blogs 👉 ukandeu.ac.uk/analysis/blo...
Blogs - UK in a changing Europe
ukandeu.ac.uk