Daniel Wincott | Lightnews

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 12d

@instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 12d

Eluned Morgan held back from saying Starmer was a good leader on R4 Today this AM (‘he’s not on the ballot paper’). But she was much less critical of Westminster Labour on funding + devolving rail and justice than at IfG six days ago. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/conver...

In conversation with Eluned Morgan MS, First Minister of Wales | Institute for Government

Eluned Morgan joined us to discuss her priorities as First Minister, relations with Westminster, 2026 Senedd election and the future of devolution.

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Unofficial BBCNews (UK) Bot @bbcnews-uk-rss.bsky.social · 17d

Why peril could lie in the Welsh valleys for Starmer

Voters in Wales will elect a new devolved government - and opinion polls suggest the prospect of a groundbreaking result.

www.bbc.com

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 17d

Strongly agree with @richardwynjones.bsky.social recommendation. Should the value and limits of devolved competence for HE in Wales.

I’d extend it - this text is also invaluable for anyone interested in England’s universities and HE system.

Richard Wyn Jones @richardwynjones.bsky.social · 17d

Hanfodol i bawb sydd hefo ddiddoreb mewn addysg yng Nghymru - yn wir, i bawb hefo diddordeb yn ein dyfodol fel cenedl.

Essential reading for anyone interested in education in Wales or, indeed, the country’s future more generally.

wonkhe.com/blogs/welsh-...

Welsh higher education is running out of wriggle room

Jim Dickinson gets across a candid Welsh Government document that identifies problems that others are less willing to confront – from market redistribution to the graduate brain drain Jim Dickinson ge...

wonkhe.com

Richard Wyn Jones @richardwynjones.bsky.social · 17d

Hanfodol i bawb sydd hefo ddiddoreb mewn addysg yng Nghymru - yn wir, i bawb hefo diddordeb yn ein dyfodol fel cenedl.

Essential reading for anyone interested in education in Wales or, indeed, the country’s future more generally.

wonkhe.com/blogs/welsh-...

Welsh higher education is running out of wriggle room

Jim Dickinson gets across a candid Welsh Government document that identifies problems that others are less willing to confront – from market redistribution to the graduate brain drain Jim Dickinson ge...

wonkhe.com

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 17d

At the risk of sounding smug or earnest, it’s worth investing time in an independent bookshop, if you have access to one. Bob might have some good suggestions, especially if he got to know you.

(There are some excellent options near Cardiff)

www.storyvillebooks.co.uk

www.griffinbooksonline.co.uk

Books | Storyville Books | Pontypridd

Storyville Books offers the latest in new fiction, non-fiction, history, classics, Welsh language vodka and cards and a wide range of children's books

www.storyvillebooks.co.uk

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 18d

Share a photograph of a mountain you’ve taken

Charlotte O'Brien @cobrien.bsky.social · Jan 5

New Year Pop Quiz: Which of the 6 million + people with EU Settlement Scheme status has documentary confirmation that they are residing on the basis of the Withdrawal Agreement?

Astonishingly, the UK government's position appears to be: none of them. But wasn’t that the whole point of the EUSS?

Paul Nightingale @paulnightingale.bsky.social · Jan 4

This is a bit of a classic. It's originally about the problems of organising progressive political movements, but has within it a very smart implicit critique of politics since the 1980s.

www.jofreeman.com/joreen/tyran...

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Jan 1

Oofff!
Plain speaking about Labour and Wales.

NationCymru @nation.cymru · Dec 31

It may be that time’s up anyway, but Labour’s doing everything it can to lose the next Senedd election. Bored, undermined, divided, Labour has pointed the aircraft’s nose towards the ground and activated the autopilot ✍️Desmond Clifford wp.me/p8Mk4U-1bFu

NationCymru @nation.cymru · Dec 31

It may be that time’s up anyway, but Labour’s doing everything it can to lose the next Senedd election. Bored, undermined, divided, Labour has pointed the aircraft’s nose towards the ground and activated the autopilot ✍️Desmond Clifford wp.me/p8Mk4U-1bFu

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 23

Looks as if you are on Santa’s 2025 ‘good’ list then Rob.

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 18

Westminster vote may feel hypothetical just now. It’ll be interesting to see whether the anti-Reform prefs change, if Plaid tops May’s Senedd vote. Also, the sense that Welsh Labour ‘stands up for Wales’ has eroded since Labour in power at Westminster is perceived as delivering so little for Wales

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 18

Fascinating contrast between Senedd and Westminster voting intentions in Wales. Westminster, where FPTP should create incentives for tactical voting, shows the Welsh/Left bloc fragmented. Reform has consolidated the British/Right bloc, so could to clean up Westminster seats in Wales at a UK GE.

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · Dec 18

Bwriadau pleidleisio San Steffan / Westminster Voting Intention (YouGov) / (28/11 - 10/12) - nid MRP/not MRP method

REF: 30%
PC: 19%
LLAF/LAB: 15%
GWYRDD/GRN: 14%
CEID/CON: 13%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 8%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%

N = 1,954

Ein dadansoddiad ni / Analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

General Election Voting Intention: Centre Left Fragmentation and the Reform UK Challenge

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · Dec 18

Bwriadau pleidleisio San Steffan / Westminster Voting Intention (YouGov) / (28/11 - 10/12) - nid MRP/not MRP method

REF: 30%
PC: 19%
LLAF/LAB: 15%
GWYRDD/GRN: 14%
CEID/CON: 13%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 8%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%

N = 1,954

Ein dadansoddiad ni / Analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

General Election Voting Intention: Centre Left Fragmentation and the Reform UK Challenge

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 17

An even larger proportion of Lab switchers say Plaid is now best placed to ‘stand up for Wales’. The Cons had a ‘playbook’ of attacking Welsh Labour ‘failures’. For all the change of tone chat, there doesn’t seem to be much evidence of Starmer’s govt offering help for or benefits to Welsh Labour.

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 17

Lab switchers say Plaid are best placed to stop Reform. I wonder if some folk now think Lab isn’t an effective barrier to Reform, though it might be straightforward tactical voting.

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 17

Wish I could have been there for what looks like an essential event for anyone interested in understanding 1) Northern Ireland 2) the UK Union.
You can read the report - written by the leading experts on these matters - here:

nihrc.org/publication/...

Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · Dec 17

For those interested, raw data download is here along with some basic cross tabs: github.com/jaclarner/Ca...

James David Griffiths @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social · Dec 17

🚨 NEW BLOG

Labour have won every election in Wales for 100 years, but they are on track to (badly) lose the 2026 Senedd election - why?

@jaclarner.bsky.social and I have looked at new data, which shows how support is shifting within (not between) Wales's blocs!

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 17

👀👀👀age profile of party support!

@willhaycardiff.bsky.social thread digging into the @walesgovernance.bsky.social poll.

Could change as people get older, of course. But underscores that ‘muscular unionism’ is somewhere between a self-limiting and self-defeating politics outside England.

Will Hayward - Wales Journo @willhaycardiff.bsky.social · Dec 17

Young people love Plaid and hate Reform

There has been a lot of talk about Reform being really effective at reaching young people.

However this polling suggests that just 5% of those aged 18 - 24 would vote for them.

Will Hayward - Wales Journo @willhaycardiff.bsky.social · Dec 17

Young people love Plaid and hate Reform

There has been a lot of talk about Reform being really effective at reaching young people.

However this polling suggests that just 5% of those aged 18 - 24 would vote for them.

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 17

Do you think Keir Starmer is paying attention yet?

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 17

👇👇Upcoming Senedd elections look set to break the mould of Welsh party politics and rock UK Labour. To understand the ‘made in Wales’ and UK influences on this ‘within bloc’ realignment read @jaclarner.bsky.social & @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social 👇👇

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · Dec 17

Bwriadau pleidleisio Senedd / Senedd Voting Intention (YouGov - nid MRP/ not MRP method) / (28/11 - 10/12)

PC: 33%
REF: 30%
LLAF/LAB: 10%
CEID/CON: 10%
GWYRDD/GRN: 9%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 6%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%

N=1,891

Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · Dec 16

🚨Final YouGov/Cardiff University Senedd Vote Intention opinion polling of 2025 to be published Wednesday morning🚨

🚨Arolwg barn terfynol YouGov/Prifysgol Caerdydd ar gyfer 2025 - Bwriad Pleidleisio Senedd i'w gyhoeddi fore Mercher🚨

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · Dec 10

NEWYDD: Dadansoddiad newydd gan dîm Dadansoddi Cyllid Cymru ar y cytundeb cyllidebol rhwng Llywodraeth Cymru a Phlaid Cymru:

NEW: New analysis from the Wales Fiscal Analysis on the Welsh Governmentt - Plaid Cymru Budget Deal:
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

The Welsh Government-Plaid Cymru Budget Agreement – an immediate reaction

Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.

blogs.cardiff.ac.uk

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · Dec 9

Mae'r recordiad o'n Darlith Flynyddol 2025 gan Yr Athro Syr John Curtice, Prifysgol Ystrad Clud, nawr ar gael ar YouTube

The recording ofour 2025 Annual Lecture by Prof. Sir John Curtice of @unistrathclyde.bsky.social is now on YouTube

👇 'Can Devolution Survive the UK's New Politics?' #Senedd26

‘Can Devolution Survive the UK’s New Politics?’ – Professor Sir John Curtice

YouTube video by School of Law and Politics

youtu.be

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 4

Lovely

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Dec 4

Ouch!
Was considering having a listen. Should probably still try at least one. I’ll treat myself to the Stone of Destiny

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