Daniel Wincott
@danielwincott.bsky.social
Academic @walesgovernance.bsky.social (Wales Governance Centre) and Cardiff University’s School of Law and Politics.
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
NEWYDD - Adroddiad gan @robdjones.bsky.social yn dadansoddi'r data diweddaraf ar garchardai a charchariad yng Nghymru 👇
NEW - Report from Dr Robert Jones analyses the latest data on prisons and imprisonment in Wales 👇 #Wales #Cymru #Senedd26
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-n...
NEW - Report from Dr Robert Jones analyses the latest data on prisons and imprisonment in Wales 👇 #Wales #Cymru #Senedd26
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-n...
Women in Wales are being jailed more often
Research has been carried out by a team at Cardiff University
www.walesonline.co.uk
November 12, 2025 at 8:36 AM
NEWYDD - Adroddiad gan @robdjones.bsky.social yn dadansoddi'r data diweddaraf ar garchardai a charchariad yng Nghymru 👇
NEW - Report from Dr Robert Jones analyses the latest data on prisons and imprisonment in Wales 👇 #Wales #Cymru #Senedd26
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-n...
NEW - Report from Dr Robert Jones analyses the latest data on prisons and imprisonment in Wales 👇 #Wales #Cymru #Senedd26
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-n...
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
Yn cynnwys ymchwil gan @jaclarner.bsky.social / Including research from Dr Jac Larner: #Senedd26 #Cymru #Wales
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/politic...
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/politic...
Conservative party adamant 'we're not irrelevant' in Wales after thumping
The party say not only did they lose votes to Nigel Farage's Reform UK, but an unexpected other party
www.walesonline.co.uk
November 11, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Yn cynnwys ymchwil gan @jaclarner.bsky.social / Including research from Dr Jac Larner: #Senedd26 #Cymru #Wales
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/politic...
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/politic...
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
November 11, 2025 at 9:00 AM
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
There is an important debate on the left about whether describing ‘Britain’ as ‘broken’ feeds the far(ageist) right. Folk need to take account of such prosaic realities as the longer term hollowing out of local govt capacity.
Meanwhile the officer corps - upon whom inexperienced politicians heavily rely to make budget decisions, for eg - is depleted, with low morale and increasing difficulty recruiting to the top statutory positions that carry the can for financial/legal failure (why do that when you can be an interim)
November 8, 2025 at 4:14 PM
There is an important debate on the left about whether describing ‘Britain’ as ‘broken’ feeds the far(ageist) right. Folk need to take account of such prosaic realities as the longer term hollowing out of local govt capacity.
Come to find out how Gwyn Alf Williams and Tommy Cooper can both be quoted in one blog. Stay for excellent analysis of what the Caerphilly result might mean for Welsh Labour (the most successful political party in democratic history).
New blog
Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future
Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat
Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m
Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future
Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat
Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m
November 5, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Come to find out how Gwyn Alf Williams and Tommy Cooper can both be quoted in one blog. Stay for excellent analysis of what the Caerphilly result might mean for Welsh Labour (the most successful political party in democratic history).
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
I wonder if the people proposing this strategy have encountered the Brexit referendum, in which a government tried to stop an insurgent, Faragist movement focused on immigration by talking exclusively about economic risk.
November 5, 2025 at 8:28 AM
I wonder if the people proposing this strategy have encountered the Brexit referendum, in which a government tried to stop an insurgent, Faragist movement focused on immigration by talking exclusively about economic risk.
Emily Maitlis saying the quiet part out loud about Monarchy and the enforcement of the law. She said, in effect, that now Andrew is no longer a Prince, he can be investigated by the police in broadly the same way as ordinary people. (Radio 4 PM)
October 31, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Emily Maitlis saying the quiet part out loud about Monarchy and the enforcement of the law. She said, in effect, that now Andrew is no longer a Prince, he can be investigated by the police in broadly the same way as ordinary people. (Radio 4 PM)
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
NEWYDD - @jaclarner.bsky.social a minnau ar Etholiad 2024 yng Nghymru
NEW - Jac Larner and myself on the 2024 UK GE in 🏴
2024 UK General Election in Wales url: academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...
NEW - Jac Larner and myself on the 2024 UK GE in 🏴
2024 UK General Election in Wales url: academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...
The 2024 UK General Election in Wales
That Labour emerged victorious from the 2024 UK General Election in Wales must count among the least surprising political outcomes imaginable. It has, afte
academic.oup.com
October 31, 2025 at 10:13 AM
NEWYDD - @jaclarner.bsky.social a minnau ar Etholiad 2024 yng Nghymru
NEW - Jac Larner and myself on the 2024 UK GE in 🏴
2024 UK General Election in Wales url: academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...
NEW - Jac Larner and myself on the 2024 UK GE in 🏴
2024 UK General Election in Wales url: academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...
A devolved election in Wales is featuring prominently in UK-wide media. I wonder if a note has gone out to BBC English language journals not to say the word Senedd? The ‘Welsh Parliament’ , its ’official title’ in English, has more syllables. It’s ‘commonly known as the Senedd’.
senedd.wales
senedd.wales
Senedd Cymru | Welsh Parliament
The Welsh Parliament is the democratically elected body that represents the interests of Wales and its people.
senedd.wales
October 25, 2025 at 10:16 AM
A devolved election in Wales is featuring prominently in UK-wide media. I wonder if a note has gone out to BBC English language journals not to say the word Senedd? The ‘Welsh Parliament’ , its ’official title’ in English, has more syllables. It’s ‘commonly known as the Senedd’.
senedd.wales
senedd.wales
Quite right on the Westminster reporters caravan. But the underlying article is painfully miscuing its readers. As well as ignoring the Senedd election, drawing the conclusion that the next UK election will be a Labour-Reform contest is to turn your back to the future.
October 25, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Quite right on the Westminster reporters caravan. But the underlying article is painfully miscuing its readers. As well as ignoring the Senedd election, drawing the conclusion that the next UK election will be a Labour-Reform contest is to turn your back to the future.
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
My take on the Caerffili by-election and the political state of play six months from the Senedd election: www.walesonline.co.uk/news/news-op...
The 2026 Senedd election will be the most competitive yet | Laura McAllister
The Caerphilly by-election was 'catastrophic' for Labour, 'convincing' for Plaid and signals 'a problem' for Reform. So what does this all mean ahead of next year's May polling day?
www.walesonline.co.uk
October 25, 2025 at 8:20 AM
My take on the Caerffili by-election and the political state of play six months from the Senedd election: www.walesonline.co.uk/news/news-op...
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
Oh for f**k's sake, we would never have hyped a Caerphilly by-election if Reform weren't going to win it 🤣🤣
(h/t @richardwynjones.bsky.social )
www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/oh-...
(h/t @richardwynjones.bsky.social )
www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/oh-...
Oh for f**k's sake, we would never have hyped a Caerphilly by-election if Reform weren't going to win it
ARE you taking the f**king piss, Wales? You think we’d have bothered covering a by-election in bloody Caerphilly if Reform weren’t going to win?
www.thedailymash.co.uk
October 25, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Oh for f**k's sake, we would never have hyped a Caerphilly by-election if Reform weren't going to win it 🤣🤣
(h/t @richardwynjones.bsky.social )
www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/oh-...
(h/t @richardwynjones.bsky.social )
www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/oh-...
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
Tickets for Reform's UK's Welsh victory event are still available to buy online with Caerphilly by-election candidate Llŷr Powell booked as a guest speaker along with Lee Anderson who was active throughout the party's failed campaign ✍️ Emily Price
Tickets still available for Reform Caerphilly victory event
Emily Price Tickets for Reform’s UK’s Welsh victory event are still available to buy online with Caerphilly candidate Llŷr Powell booked as a guest speaker along with Lee Anderson who was active thro...
nation.cymru
October 24, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Tickets for Reform's UK's Welsh victory event are still available to buy online with Caerphilly by-election candidate Llŷr Powell booked as a guest speaker along with Lee Anderson who was active throughout the party's failed campaign ✍️ Emily Price
Remarkable victory for Plaid Cymru. Expect lots of attention (rightly) on Labour’s collapse to 11% of the vote. How much attention will the Conservatives get for their 2%?
October 24, 2025 at 5:12 AM
Remarkable victory for Plaid Cymru. Expect lots of attention (rightly) on Labour’s collapse to 11% of the vote. How much attention will the Conservatives get for their 2%?
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
Coverage in @financialtimes.com of the Caerphilly Senedd by-election, featuring analysis from the Enron of Welsh political statistics, and friend of the gnomes of Zurich, @walesgovernance.bsky.social’s @jaclarner.bsky.social #senedd #devolution
Labour braces for defeat in Caerphilly by-election
Governing party faces potential loss of Senedd control amid Reform and Plaid Cymru surge in Welsh heartlands
on.ft.com
October 19, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Coverage in @financialtimes.com of the Caerphilly Senedd by-election, featuring analysis from the Enron of Welsh political statistics, and friend of the gnomes of Zurich, @walesgovernance.bsky.social’s @jaclarner.bsky.social #senedd #devolution
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
@electoralstudies.bsky.social If you’re interested in academic studies of political polarisation we have loads of great papers at Electoral Studies. Check out this one by Joseph Phillips www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Affective polarization and habits of political participation
Affective polarization, or relative dislike of opposing partisans, is associated with several negative outcomes for democracy. However, a number of st…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 10, 2025 at 3:35 PM
@electoralstudies.bsky.social If you’re interested in academic studies of political polarisation we have loads of great papers at Electoral Studies. Check out this one by Joseph Phillips www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
HMP Berwyn, the UK's largest prison, was once presented as an advance for the Welsh language.
@robdjones.bsky.social and I argue that it’s been a categorical failure by that measure, posing troubling questions for Welsh language rights more widely: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
@robdjones.bsky.social and I argue that it’s been a categorical failure by that measure, posing troubling questions for Welsh language rights more widely: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Rights, Pains and Illusions: The Experiences of Welsh‐Speakers at Wales’ ‘Flagship’ Prison
This article challenges claims of ‘inherent’ bilingualism in Wales’ largest prison, HMP Berwyn. Drawing on semi-structured interviews and extensive documentary research, we find that Welsh-speaking p...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 8, 2025 at 1:29 PM
HMP Berwyn, the UK's largest prison, was once presented as an advance for the Welsh language.
@robdjones.bsky.social and I argue that it’s been a categorical failure by that measure, posing troubling questions for Welsh language rights more widely: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
@robdjones.bsky.social and I argue that it’s been a categorical failure by that measure, posing troubling questions for Welsh language rights more widely: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
I‘m giving a public talk at UCL on Thurs 16 Oct. The title is “Bureaucracy and distrust: the civil service in the constitution” looking at the civil service’s constitutional foundations, and how it might respond to a populist govt. @sirJJkc.bsky.social will chair!
www.ucl.ac.uk/laws/events/...
www.ucl.ac.uk/laws/events/...
Hybrid | CLP - Bureaucracy and Distrust: The Civil Service in the Constitution
This lecture will be delivered by Dr Ben Yong, as part of the Current Legal Problems Lecture Series 2025-26
www.ucl.ac.uk
October 6, 2025 at 6:53 AM
I‘m giving a public talk at UCL on Thurs 16 Oct. The title is “Bureaucracy and distrust: the civil service in the constitution” looking at the civil service’s constitutional foundations, and how it might respond to a populist govt. @sirJJkc.bsky.social will chair!
www.ucl.ac.uk/laws/events/...
www.ucl.ac.uk/laws/events/...
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
Which reminds me of Nightingale's first law of science policy "Fund more history"
October 3, 2025 at 8:19 AM
Which reminds me of Nightingale's first law of science policy "Fund more history"
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
📢ICON GBIE, TRICON, QUB Webinar:
Familiarity, Culture & Expertise: The Future of Referendums in Ireland & the UK
Oct 17th 10:00-13:00 Online
To register follow the link below:
events.teams.microsoft.com/event/0d55a0...
1/3 👇
Familiarity, Culture & Expertise: The Future of Referendums in Ireland & the UK
Oct 17th 10:00-13:00 Online
To register follow the link below:
events.teams.microsoft.com/event/0d55a0...
1/3 👇
September 30, 2025 at 11:49 AM
📢ICON GBIE, TRICON, QUB Webinar:
Familiarity, Culture & Expertise: The Future of Referendums in Ireland & the UK
Oct 17th 10:00-13:00 Online
To register follow the link below:
events.teams.microsoft.com/event/0d55a0...
1/3 👇
Familiarity, Culture & Expertise: The Future of Referendums in Ireland & the UK
Oct 17th 10:00-13:00 Online
To register follow the link below:
events.teams.microsoft.com/event/0d55a0...
1/3 👇
Reposted by Daniel Wincott
Among other posts in an excellent thread, this is one that resonates here in Wales, with our national election on the horizon next May.
Labour in Wales has been talking about voters going to Reform for a long time, whereas pollsters have been highlighting that any Labour-Ref switchers are long gone
Labour in Wales has been talking about voters going to Reform for a long time, whereas pollsters have been highlighting that any Labour-Ref switchers are long gone
So who should Labour target if they want their 2024 vote back? Simple let's look at where 2024 Lab voters are now. Here are the averages and by occupation. People who have gone to Reform or Greens are miles away. But people who have gone to LDs or Don't Know, esp Low PMC, are very close. 17/n
September 30, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Among other posts in an excellent thread, this is one that resonates here in Wales, with our national election on the horizon next May.
Labour in Wales has been talking about voters going to Reform for a long time, whereas pollsters have been highlighting that any Labour-Ref switchers are long gone
Labour in Wales has been talking about voters going to Reform for a long time, whereas pollsters have been highlighting that any Labour-Ref switchers are long gone
Or were once left leaning. It seems to me that some (but only some) UK university leaders come to believe what they used to critique. They almost to treat their own earlier academic work as a mirror-image playbook.
The quip that the worst neo-liberal managers are personally left-leaning but believe to survive they have to act like the caricature of a fat cat capitalist they internalised as students comes to mind with Starmer sometimes when he tries to project cultural conservatism.
September 28, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Or were once left leaning. It seems to me that some (but only some) UK university leaders come to believe what they used to critique. They almost to treat their own earlier academic work as a mirror-image playbook.
What would a critic of Oxford PPE write as parody of a rushed tutorial essay?
Britain’s zombie universities should put Schumpeter on the syllabus on.ft.com/46tIQC1 | opinion
Britain’s zombie universities should put Schumpeter on the syllabus
It’s time to borrow from the corporate crib sheets — and if all else fails, creative destruction is a force for good
on.ft.com
September 21, 2025 at 1:12 PM
What would a critic of Oxford PPE write as parody of a rushed tutorial essay?
Unscramble these eggs
Quarter of UK university physics departments at risk of closing.
Consequence of policies of successive govts, real cut in university income, hard to recruit foreign students.
Science subjects cut as they require heavy investment. Skills shortages will deepen.
Consequence of policies of successive govts, real cut in university income, hard to recruit foreign students.
Science subjects cut as they require heavy investment. Skills shortages will deepen.
Quarter of UK university physics departments at risk of closing, survey finds
Four out of five making staff cuts as physicists say findings are ‘great concern’ for UK’s leadership in important areas
www.theguardian.com
September 20, 2025 at 7:09 AM
Unscramble these eggs
Great. Let’s keep power as centralised as possible. That’ll work well if Farage become PM.
NEW: Former Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane tells @politicshome.bsky.social he thinks the government is getting “cold feet” about strengthening regional devolution
“Two Reform mayors play into that. A Labour mayor on manoeuvres plays into that too."
“Two Reform mayors play into that. A Labour mayor on manoeuvres plays into that too."
Former Bank Of England Economist Says Government Getting 'Cold Feet' Over English Devolution
Former Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane said he is concerned that the government is getting “cold feet” about strengthening regional de...
www.politicshome.com
September 19, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Great. Let’s keep power as centralised as possible. That’ll work well if Farage become PM.