Daniel Wincott | Lightnews

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · 4h

Yn cynnwys ymchwil gan @jaclarner.bsky.social / Including research from Dr Jac Larner: #Senedd26 #Cymru #Wales
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/politic...

Conservative party adamant 'we're not irrelevant' in Wales after thumping

The party say not only did they lose votes to Nigel Farage's Reform UK, but an unexpected other party

www.walesonline.co.uk

Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · 11h

🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇

Boris Johnson toasting one of the gatherings in Downing Street which breached Covid lockdown rules

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 3d

There is an important debate on the left about whether describing ‘Britain’ as ‘broken’ feeds the far(ageist) right. Folk need to take account of such prosaic realities as the longer term hollowing out of local govt capacity.

Jennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 3d

Meanwhile the officer corps - upon whom inexperienced politicians heavily rely to make budget decisions, for eg - is depleted, with low morale and increasing difficulty recruiting to the top statutory positions that carry the can for financial/legal failure (why do that when you can be an interim)

Jennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 3d

Meanwhile the officer corps - upon whom inexperienced politicians heavily rely to make budget decisions, for eg - is depleted, with low morale and increasing difficulty recruiting to the top statutory positions that carry the can for financial/legal failure (why do that when you can be an interim)

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 6d

Come to find out how Gwyn Alf Williams and Tommy Cooper can both be quoted in one blog. Stay for excellent analysis of what the Caerphilly result might mean for Welsh Labour (the most successful political party in democratic history).

Centre on Constitutional Change @ccc-research.bsky.social · 6d

New blog

Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future

Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat

Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m

Centre on Constitutional Change @ccc-research.bsky.social · 6d

New blog

Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future

Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat

Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m

Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 6d

I wonder if the people proposing this strategy have encountered the Brexit referendum, in which a government tried to stop an insurgent, Faragist movement focused on immigration by talking exclusively about economic risk.

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 11d

Emily Maitlis saying the quiet part out loud about Monarchy and the enforcement of the law. She said, in effect, that now Andrew is no longer a Prince, he can be investigated by the police in broadly the same way as ordinary people. (Radio 4 PM)

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 11d

These questions are complicated. Folk with a strong English national ID generally also identify strongly as British. Welsh born folk with a strong British ID are likely to skew ro authoritarianism.

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 11d

Britishness means different things politically across the nations on GB (also in NI!). I’d expect folk born in Wales or Scotland who identify as British to skew towards authoritarianism. See our territorial analysis of Brexit vote choice: www.pure.ed.ac.uk/ws/portalfil...

www.pure.ed.ac.uk

Richard Wyn Jones @richardwynjones.bsky.social · 11d

NEWYDD - @jaclarner.bsky.social a minnau ar Etholiad 2024 yng Nghymru

NEW - Jac Larner and myself on the 2024 UK GE in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

2024 UK General Election in Wales url: academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...

The 2024 UK General Election in Wales

That Labour emerged victorious from the 2024 UK General Election in Wales must count among the least surprising political outcomes imaginable. It has, afte

academic.oup.com

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 17d

A devolved election in Wales is featuring prominently in UK-wide media. I wonder if a note has gone out to BBC English language journals not to say the word Senedd? The ‘Welsh Parliament’ , its ’official title’ in English, has more syllables. It’s ‘commonly known as the Senedd’.

senedd.wales

Senedd Cymru | Welsh Parliament

The Welsh Parliament is the democratically elected body that represents the interests of Wales and its people.

senedd.wales

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 17d

Quite right on the Westminster reporters caravan. But the underlying article is painfully miscuing its readers. As well as ignoring the Senedd election, drawing the conclusion that the next UK election will be a Labour-Reform contest is to turn your back to the future.

Richard Martin @mimosacymru.bsky.social · 17d

Oh for f**k's sake, we would never have hyped a Caerphilly by-election if Reform weren't going to win it 🤣🤣
(h/t @richardwynjones.bsky.social )

www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/oh-...

Oh for f**k's sake, we would never have hyped a Caerphilly by-election if Reform weren't going to win it

ARE you taking the f**king piss, Wales? You think we’d have bothered covering a by-election in bloody Caerphilly if Reform weren’t going to win?

www.thedailymash.co.uk

Laura McAllister @lauramcallister30.bsky.social · 17d

My take on the Caerffili by-election and the political state of play six months from the Senedd election: www.walesonline.co.uk/news/news-op...

The 2026 Senedd election will be the most competitive yet | Laura McAllister

The Caerphilly by-election was 'catastrophic' for Labour, 'convincing' for Plaid and signals 'a problem' for Reform. So what does this all mean ahead of next year's May polling day?

www.walesonline.co.uk

NationCymru @nation.cymru · 18d

Tickets for Reform's UK's Welsh victory event are still available to buy online with Caerphilly by-election candidate Llŷr Powell booked as a guest speaker along with Lee Anderson who was active throughout the party's failed campaign ✍️ Emily Price

Tickets still available for Reform Caerphilly victory event

Emily Price Tickets for Reform’s UK’s Welsh victory event are still available to buy online with Caerphilly candidate Llŷr Powell booked as a guest speaker along with Lee Anderson who was active thro...

nation.cymru

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 18d

Remarkable victory for Plaid Cymru. Expect lots of attention (rightly) on Labour’s collapse to 11% of the vote. How much attention will the Conservatives get for their 2%?

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 18d

*Conservatives 🫣

Dr Adam Evans @a-b-evans.bsky.social · 23d

Coverage in @financialtimes.com of the Caerphilly Senedd by-election, featuring analysis from the Enron of Welsh political statistics, and friend of the gnomes of Zurich, @walesgovernance.bsky.social’s @jaclarner.bsky.social #senedd #devolution

Labour braces for defeat in Caerphilly by-election

Governing party faces potential loss of Senedd control amid Reform and Plaid Cymru surge in Welsh heartlands

on.ft.com

Rosie Campbell @profrosiecamp.bsky.social · Oct 10

@electoralstudies.bsky.social If you’re interested in academic studies of political polarisation we have loads of great papers at Electoral Studies. Check out this one by Joseph Phillips www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Affective polarization and habits of political participation

Affective polarization, or relative dislike of opposing partisans, is associated with several negative outcomes for democracy. However, a number of st…

www.sciencedirect.com

Greg Davies @gjdavies.bsky.social · Oct 8

HMP Berwyn, the UK's largest prison, was once presented as an advance for the Welsh language.

@robdjones.bsky.social and I argue that it’s been a categorical failure by that measure, posing troubling questions for Welsh language rights more widely: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Rights, Pains and Illusions: The Experiences of Welsh‐Speakers at Wales’ ‘Flagship’ Prison

This article challenges claims of ‘inherent’ bilingualism in Wales’ largest prison, HMP Berwyn. Drawing on semi-structured interviews and extensive documentary research, we find that Welsh-speaking p...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Ben Yong @bymyong.bsky.social · Oct 6

I‘m giving a public talk at UCL on Thurs 16 Oct. The title is “Bureaucracy and distrust: the civil service in the constitution” looking at the civil service’s constitutional foundations, and how it might respond to a populist govt. @sirJJkc.bsky.social will chair!
www.ucl.ac.uk/laws/events/...

Hybrid | CLP - Bureaucracy and Distrust: The Civil Service in the Constitution

This lecture will be delivered by Dr Ben Yong, as part of the Current Legal Problems Lecture Series 2025-26

www.ucl.ac.uk

Paul Nightingale @paulnightingale.bsky.social · Oct 3

Which reminds me of Nightingale's first law of science policy "Fund more history"

@ICONSGBIE @iconsgbie.bsky.social · Sep 30

📢ICON GBIE, TRICON, QUB Webinar:

Familiarity, Culture & Expertise: The Future of Referendums in Ireland & the UK

Oct 17th 10:00-13:00 Online

To register follow the link below:
events.teams.microsoft.com/event/0d55a0...

1/3 👇

Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · Sep 30

So who should Labour target if they want their 2024 vote back? Simple let's look at where 2024 Lab voters are now. Here are the averages and by occupation. People who have gone to Reform or Greens are miles away. But people who have gone to LDs or Don't Know, esp Low PMC, are very close. 17/n

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Sep 28

Persevered

Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Sep 28

Or were once left leaning. It seems to me that some (but only some) UK university leaders come to believe what they used to critique. They almost to treat their own earlier academic work as a mirror-image playbook.

Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · Sep 28

The quip that the worst neo-liberal managers are personally left-leaning but believe to survive they have to act like the caricature of a fat cat capitalist they internalised as students comes to mind with Starmer sometimes when he tries to project cultural conservatism.

Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · Sep 28

The quip that the worst neo-liberal managers are personally left-leaning but believe to survive they have to act like the caricature of a fat cat capitalist they internalised as students comes to mind with Starmer sometimes when he tries to project cultural conservatism.