Josh Rudolph
@voltron64.bsky.social
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
It is wild to watch people dispute this, lol
People want to believe that the GOP’s electoral success in red states is the result of dirty tricks and gerrymandering instead of the sincerely held beliefs of a majority of the population because a mechanical issue is easier to fix than wrestling with how to make people not believe what they do.
November 16, 2025 at 2:39 AM
It is wild to watch people dispute this, lol
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
do people not remember 2020 when the media was desperate for it to be interesting and thus basically pretended biden wasn't the frontrunner
I think Gavin is a force in the primary because he has the donor base to be competitive nationally.
I think political media is very eager to crown favorites and they've been wrong more than they've been right.
I think political media is very eager to crown favorites and they've been wrong more than they've been right.
J-MART, on Newsom:
“.. Ask yourself: How many other potential candidates .. can transcend the political-pop culture divide ..?
“.. there may not be a modern political figure who was simultaneously so well-positioned to be his party’s nominee ..”
@politico.com
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
“.. Ask yourself: How many other potential candidates .. can transcend the political-pop culture divide ..?
“.. there may not be a modern political figure who was simultaneously so well-positioned to be his party’s nominee ..”
@politico.com
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
November 16, 2025 at 3:47 AM
do people not remember 2020 when the media was desperate for it to be interesting and thus basically pretended biden wasn't the frontrunner
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Newsom will be the frontrunner until the first debate where he'll struggle to stand out among a sea of white guys with the same talking points.
Anyone distinct will have a chance to pick up some plurality victories early.
Anyone distinct will have a chance to pick up some plurality victories early.
J-MART, on Newsom:
“.. Ask yourself: How many other potential candidates .. can transcend the political-pop culture divide ..?
“.. there may not be a modern political figure who was simultaneously so well-positioned to be his party’s nominee ..”
@politico.com
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
“.. Ask yourself: How many other potential candidates .. can transcend the political-pop culture divide ..?
“.. there may not be a modern political figure who was simultaneously so well-positioned to be his party’s nominee ..”
@politico.com
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
November 16, 2025 at 4:16 AM
Newsom will be the frontrunner until the first debate where he'll struggle to stand out among a sea of white guys with the same talking points.
Anyone distinct will have a chance to pick up some plurality victories early.
Anyone distinct will have a chance to pick up some plurality victories early.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
The United States has quietly put language supportive of a two state solution into its UNSC resolution concerning the postwar future of Gaza as part of negotiations with the EU and Arab League— and in response the Israeli right is fuming and demanding that Netanyahu make clear his opposition to it.
PM’s far-right allies up in arms over US plan’s offer of path to Palestinian statehood
As Washington weighs selling F-35s to Riyadh, Israel said insisting sale be conditioned on normalization; politicians, settler leaders oppose two-state solution as part of deal
www.timesofisrael.com
November 16, 2025 at 2:22 AM
The United States has quietly put language supportive of a two state solution into its UNSC resolution concerning the postwar future of Gaza as part of negotiations with the EU and Arab League— and in response the Israeli right is fuming and demanding that Netanyahu make clear his opposition to it.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Sean is right. We were too lenient after 1865. No sense doing it again in 2025.
We don't need to immediately invite these people in. We need to play up Trump as a false prophet. Break their spirits and destroy their will to fight/vote.
November 16, 2025 at 2:25 AM
Sean is right. We were too lenient after 1865. No sense doing it again in 2025.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
So what's happening on Twitter right now? The worst people I know seem upset.
please don't do this. MAGA hats are made from an acrylic blend, which will release toxic chemicals when set on fire, potentially harming you and downwind woodland creatures
November 16, 2025 at 2:16 AM
So what's happening on Twitter right now? The worst people I know seem upset.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
We don't need to immediately invite these people in. We need to play up Trump as a false prophet. Break their spirits and destroy their will to fight/vote.
November 16, 2025 at 2:18 AM
We don't need to immediately invite these people in. We need to play up Trump as a false prophet. Break their spirits and destroy their will to fight/vote.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Current (permanent) mood as an American in 2025:
November 15, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Current (permanent) mood as an American in 2025:
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
In more real talk, snapping and going after culturally aligned groups and disinheriting members of your own party is literal death of stalin shit and what happens when the administration is beginning to crumble.
The U.S. bishops defended migrant families. Tom Homan snapped. Nan Hayworth called Pope Leo a “tool of our enemies.” Tim Burchett accused the church of getting rich off of sex trafficking.
Matt Walsh, Lara Logan, and the rest joined in. This is what MAGA anti-Catholicism looks like.
Matt Walsh, Lara Logan, and the rest joined in. This is what MAGA anti-Catholicism looks like.
“Pope Leo Is a Tool of Our Enemies”: Homan Leads MAGA Attacks as Hayworth, Others Pile On
It’s the latest MAGA attack on Pope Leo’s pro-immigrant stance. Disgraced border chief Tom Homan — caught taking a $50,000 bribe in a Cava takeout bag — led the charge against Leo and the bishops.
www.thelettersfromleo.com
November 15, 2025 at 10:46 PM
In more real talk, snapping and going after culturally aligned groups and disinheriting members of your own party is literal death of stalin shit and what happens when the administration is beginning to crumble.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Going back in time and killing Reagan in like 1974 would solve a shocking number of issues
it's fascinating that you can see when exactly the Reagan revolution happened
November 16, 2025 at 2:01 AM
Going back in time and killing Reagan in like 1974 would solve a shocking number of issues
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Going to fancy parties in DC causes brain rot. The entire Beltway commentariat should periodically be replaced by literally any gaggle of journalists from the Flyover.
November 15, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Going to fancy parties in DC causes brain rot. The entire Beltway commentariat should periodically be replaced by literally any gaggle of journalists from the Flyover.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
“MUH TRAD AESTHETICS” was the bread and butter of the Jordan Peterson, Paul Joseph Watson-type crowd for ever, and has been so long before that, and as it turns out they predictably never gave a shit about that either
This is equal parts horrifying and hilarious, because the Eisenhower Building, which Trump is now calling "ugly," was one of the prime examples of architectural perfection used to justify his executive order mandating "neoclassical" architecture.
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Preservationists sue Trump over plans to paint Eisenhower building
The complaint alleges Trump’s plan would ‘permanently alter one of the most architecturally significant and historic structures in the Nation’s Capital’
www.washingtonpost.com
November 15, 2025 at 9:50 PM
“MUH TRAD AESTHETICS” was the bread and butter of the Jordan Peterson, Paul Joseph Watson-type crowd for ever, and has been so long before that, and as it turns out they predictably never gave a shit about that either
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
made a similar point on the opinions podcast this week in response to the idea that epstein is a dead end. not only are actual voters interested in this but it divides the gop and puts pressure on the president. it would be political malpractice to treat it as a sideshow
The usual suspects are telling Dems that Epstein won’t win elections, get back to “affordability” and I think my head might explode. www.offmessage.net/p/force-a-re...
Force A Referendum On The Epstein Coverup
It divides Republicans much more than "affordability" or any other economic issue.
www.offmessage.net
November 15, 2025 at 7:17 PM
made a similar point on the opinions podcast this week in response to the idea that epstein is a dead end. not only are actual voters interested in this but it divides the gop and puts pressure on the president. it would be political malpractice to treat it as a sideshow
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Make an example of her and call for her resignation now. she is a nonvoting delegate from the middle of nowhere, there is no downside
Breaking news: Newly released documents from Jeffrey Epstein’s estate show that he appeared to be texting a member of Congress during a congressional hearing investigating Donald Trump, and that those texts may have influenced the lawmaker’s questions.
Epstein appeared to text with House member during Cohen hearing, documents show
Newly released documents from the convicted sex offender’s estate include text messages from him that appear to influence the lawmaker’s questions to President Donald Trump’s personal attorney at a 20...
wapo.st
November 15, 2025 at 3:18 AM
Make an example of her and call for her resignation now. she is a nonvoting delegate from the middle of nowhere, there is no downside
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
None of them actually want to do the work to manufacture the consent or build even the slightest amount of political support
I've got to say I don't think the president has quite calculated the rally around the flag affect correctly of a war that no one wants and no one thinks is a good idea that will 100% cost American lives.
November 15, 2025 at 10:20 PM
None of them actually want to do the work to manufacture the consent or build even the slightest amount of political support
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
A lot of the white voters in deep red states really are horrible shit heads, not poor little lost lambs, and it does no one any favors to fail to reckon with this
November 16, 2025 at 12:56 AM
A lot of the white voters in deep red states really are horrible shit heads, not poor little lost lambs, and it does no one any favors to fail to reckon with this
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
there’s some truth in this, but the gap between deep red and blue states isn’t explained by voter suppression alone. the white populations in deep red states vote republican at very high rates. both things are load-bearing.
I understand why a lot of white liberals are like, fuck the south, because they think about the people in power who are mostly white conservatives. But that is only because of Jim Crow, voter suppression, a lack of real funding for Dems there
November 16, 2025 at 12:48 AM
there’s some truth in this, but the gap between deep red and blue states isn’t explained by voter suppression alone. the white populations in deep red states vote republican at very high rates. both things are load-bearing.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Every white former Southerner I've ever met HATES the rural South with a passion. And not just the political institutions. They talk about their former neighbors, family, and overall culture like that place is the den of evil itself.
I understand why a lot of white liberals are like, fuck the south, because they think about the people in power who are mostly white conservatives. But that is only because of Jim Crow, voter suppression, a lack of real funding for Dems there
November 16, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Every white former Southerner I've ever met HATES the rural South with a passion. And not just the political institutions. They talk about their former neighbors, family, and overall culture like that place is the den of evil itself.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
Republicans are able to win because they make a pretty clear majority of voters. The racial polarization in the Deep South is insane. Gerrymandering and voter suppression are part of the equation but not all of it.
Alabama’s population is 28% Black and increasingly Hispanic. White Republicans are only able to rule by cheating. And when Dems invest no money in red states that becomes a self fulfilling prophecy
November 16, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Republicans are able to win because they make a pretty clear majority of voters. The racial polarization in the Deep South is insane. Gerrymandering and voter suppression are part of the equation but not all of it.
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
in January it was
Rural:
GOP - 60%
Dem - 32
Suburban:
Dem - 46%
GOP - 45%
Urban:
Dem - 59%
GOP - 33%
so that's a 6 point swing left in rural areas, 6 point swing left in suburban areas, and a 13 point swing left in urban areas
Rural:
GOP - 60%
Dem - 32
Suburban:
Dem - 46%
GOP - 45%
Urban:
Dem - 59%
GOP - 33%
so that's a 6 point swing left in rural areas, 6 point swing left in suburban areas, and a 13 point swing left in urban areas
Would love to see some earlier breakdowns of GB to compare this with
Generic Ballot Polling Among:
Rural:
🔴 GOP: 58%
🔵 DEM: 36%
Suburban:
🔵 DEM: 50%
🔴 GOP: 43%
Urban:
🔵 DEM: 66%
🔴 GOP: 27%
Cygnal / Nov 6, 2025
(Republican Leaning Pollster)
Rural:
🔴 GOP: 58%
🔵 DEM: 36%
Suburban:
🔵 DEM: 50%
🔴 GOP: 43%
Urban:
🔵 DEM: 66%
🔴 GOP: 27%
Cygnal / Nov 6, 2025
(Republican Leaning Pollster)
November 15, 2025 at 10:55 PM
in January it was
Rural:
GOP - 60%
Dem - 32
Suburban:
Dem - 46%
GOP - 45%
Urban:
Dem - 59%
GOP - 33%
so that's a 6 point swing left in rural areas, 6 point swing left in suburban areas, and a 13 point swing left in urban areas
Rural:
GOP - 60%
Dem - 32
Suburban:
Dem - 46%
GOP - 45%
Urban:
Dem - 59%
GOP - 33%
so that's a 6 point swing left in rural areas, 6 point swing left in suburban areas, and a 13 point swing left in urban areas
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
one of my "counterintuitive facts that explains everything" facts is that without new construction cities get less dense as they gentrify, bc wealthier households have fewer kids and fewer people per bedroom
Almost everywhere in the City of Toronto has fewer people that it did 50 years ago
November 15, 2025 at 11:11 PM
one of my "counterintuitive facts that explains everything" facts is that without new construction cities get less dense as they gentrify, bc wealthier households have fewer kids and fewer people per bedroom
Reposted by Josh Rudolph
I see people saying to this “well yeah that’s how the wriggling works,” or “this is how it is for rich people,” but the thing here is that while there’s truth to that, it has become far more true, about more institutions, to a far greater extent, with Trump than it ever was for anyone else.
this gets reposted a lot, but truth be told trump has never really wriggled out of anything. what actually happens is that other people passively or actively support him
November 13, 2025 at 12:33 PM
I see people saying to this “well yeah that’s how the wriggling works,” or “this is how it is for rich people,” but the thing here is that while there’s truth to that, it has become far more true, about more institutions, to a far greater extent, with Trump than it ever was for anyone else.