Paul Meiners
@pmeiners.bsky.social
Postdoctoral Researcher @ The Norwegian University of Science and Technology;
International Organizations, the EU & Political Psychology
https://pmeiners.github.io/
International Organizations, the EU & Political Psychology
https://pmeiners.github.io/
Reposted by Paul Meiners
TLDR; The PSF has made the decision to put our community and our shared diversity, equity, and inclusion values ahead of seeking $1.5M in new revenue. Please read and share. pyfound.blogspot.com/2025/10/NSF-...
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The official home of the Python Programming Language
www.python.org
October 27, 2025 at 2:47 PM
TLDR; The PSF has made the decision to put our community and our shared diversity, equity, and inclusion values ahead of seeking $1.5M in new revenue. Please read and share. pyfound.blogspot.com/2025/10/NSF-...
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Reposted by Paul Meiners
After a huge post-election flip in economic perceptions, I thought Democrats and Republicans might be lying to pollsters to send a partisan message — but I was wrong!
New in the Journal of Experimental Political Science (open access): doi.org/10.1017/XPS....
New in the Journal of Experimental Political Science (open access): doi.org/10.1017/XPS....
October 27, 2025 at 4:24 PM
After a huge post-election flip in economic perceptions, I thought Democrats and Republicans might be lying to pollsters to send a partisan message — but I was wrong!
New in the Journal of Experimental Political Science (open access): doi.org/10.1017/XPS....
New in the Journal of Experimental Political Science (open access): doi.org/10.1017/XPS....
Reposted by Paul Meiners
Super happy to see this out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social 🎉🎉
Citizens in 🥜-regions closer to Russia became more supportive of EU defence, enlargement & foreign policy after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine (exception: energy policy)
By @giorgiomalet.bsky.social and @svenhegewald.bsky.social
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
By @giorgiomalet.bsky.social and @svenhegewald.bsky.social
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
October 21, 2025 at 6:30 AM
Super happy to see this out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social 🎉🎉
Reposted by Paul Meiners
the disastrous refusal of the self-styled silicon valley technokings to keep anyone in their lives capable of questioning their increasingly incomprehensible politics has lead to a crisis of thinking so severe that a fifty-eight year old man believes something is important because he knows about it
October 12, 2025 at 2:55 PM
the disastrous refusal of the self-styled silicon valley technokings to keep anyone in their lives capable of questioning their increasingly incomprehensible politics has lead to a crisis of thinking so severe that a fifty-eight year old man believes something is important because he knows about it
Reposted by Paul Meiners
Unless the article is fully generated (not likely) this is a symptom of a much older problem, which is that people aren’t reading many of the sources they cite — just gesturing at them.
It's not the first time that I'm seeing this
I'm afraid that hallucinated citations is an issue that scientists and experts will have to deal with from now on
I'm afraid that hallucinated citations is an issue that scientists and experts will have to deal with from now on
And here we go. I never wrote this article, and yet it is cited here.
www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...
And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.
#AIisnotresearch
www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...
And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.
#AIisnotresearch
October 7, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Unless the article is fully generated (not likely) this is a symptom of a much older problem, which is that people aren’t reading many of the sources they cite — just gesturing at them.
Reposted by Paul Meiners
Every time this worry comes up (www.ft.com/content/d419...) I post some Landy et al. (2018).
People just answer questions about proportions (of anything) in a rather particular way. So I think it's unlikely that what they are being asked about is as important as you might expect it should be.
People just answer questions about proportions (of anything) in a rather particular way. So I think it's unlikely that what they are being asked about is as important as you might expect it should be.
September 18, 2025 at 8:41 AM
Every time this worry comes up (www.ft.com/content/d419...) I post some Landy et al. (2018).
People just answer questions about proportions (of anything) in a rather particular way. So I think it's unlikely that what they are being asked about is as important as you might expect it should be.
People just answer questions about proportions (of anything) in a rather particular way. So I think it's unlikely that what they are being asked about is as important as you might expect it should be.
Any comparable data for Europe out there?
I’m going to need everyone who posts this poll to link to the actual study, which is not new, and shows that, on average, respondents overestimate the size of all small groups in surveys
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
today.yougov.com/politics/art...
September 19, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Any comparable data for Europe out there?
Reposted by Paul Meiners
First they came for the immigrants, and I did not speak out (because the message test performed at a low percentile rank compared to other messages in our testing bank for non college men who opt into online surveys through various consumer reward programs)
okay ryan, but does it raise or lower trump's approval rating among people who sign up to take surveys in a digital ad-testing production system? that is the only question that matters
August 25, 2025 at 1:39 AM
First they came for the immigrants, and I did not speak out (because the message test performed at a low percentile rank compared to other messages in our testing bank for non college men who opt into online surveys through various consumer reward programs)
Reposted by Paul Meiners
I wrote a thing about substituting LLMs for survey respondents
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/08/15/i...
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/08/15/i...
Interviewing your laptop - Biased and Inefficient
notstatschat.rbind.io
August 14, 2025 at 11:38 PM
I wrote a thing about substituting LLMs for survey respondents
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/08/15/i...
notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/08/15/i...
Reposted by Paul Meiners
If the articles from my PhD were my children this article now published in @bjpols.bsky.social is my favorite. Written together with truly amazing supervisors and mentors, Pieter de Wilde, Oliver Treib, and Lene Aarøe, I had the support I needed in bringing this baby into the world. Summary below 👇
August 12, 2025 at 3:15 PM
If the articles from my PhD were my children this article now published in @bjpols.bsky.social is my favorite. Written together with truly amazing supervisors and mentors, Pieter de Wilde, Oliver Treib, and Lene Aarøe, I had the support I needed in bringing this baby into the world. Summary below 👇
Reposted by Paul Meiners
Now in an issue @psrm.bsky.social: I show that the 🇩🇰 Social Democrats could have won policy support for a pro-immigrant platform if their messaging were framed in moral terms. Findings provide a central corrective to the popular notion that the Social Democrats were destined to go anti-immigrant 👇🏻
👅Can moral language boost pro-immigrant messages and be as effective as anti-immigrant messages?
➡️ @kristinabsimonsen.bsky.social shows that pro-immigrant actors are not always bound to lose against the anti-immigrant side www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView #OpenAccess
➡️ @kristinabsimonsen.bsky.social shows that pro-immigrant actors are not always bound to lose against the anti-immigrant side www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView #OpenAccess
August 6, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Now in an issue @psrm.bsky.social: I show that the 🇩🇰 Social Democrats could have won policy support for a pro-immigrant platform if their messaging were framed in moral terms. Findings provide a central corrective to the popular notion that the Social Democrats were destined to go anti-immigrant 👇🏻
Dangerous things are happening in Germany.
We know that a lack of trust is a significant factor in RR voting. Has anyone also looked at whether RR politicians trust the state? These people always seem to radiate intense hatred for democratic institutions. But maybe that's just for show.
We know that a lack of trust is a significant factor in RR voting. Has anyone also looked at whether RR politicians trust the state? These people always seem to radiate intense hatred for democratic institutions. But maybe that's just for show.
Viel wurde über die "neue" Strategie der AfD gesprochen - ich bezeichne diese als "elektorale Ausdehnungsstrategie ohne inhaltliche Mäßigung". Letzteres fällt im öffentlichen Diskurs gerne einmal herunter. Mehr dazu hier (zu hören und zu lesen): www.tagesschau.de/inland/innen...
Der Weg ins Kanzleramt? Wie die AfD-Strategie funktioniert
Vor Kurzem wurde eine Strategie der AfD öffentlich, wie sie ins Kanzleramt kommen will - nämlich mit Kulturkampf und Spaltung. Das Auftreten der Partei zeigt: Sie hält sich auch dran. Von Benjamin Gro...
www.tagesschau.de
July 25, 2025 at 8:27 AM
Dangerous things are happening in Germany.
We know that a lack of trust is a significant factor in RR voting. Has anyone also looked at whether RR politicians trust the state? These people always seem to radiate intense hatred for democratic institutions. But maybe that's just for show.
We know that a lack of trust is a significant factor in RR voting. Has anyone also looked at whether RR politicians trust the state? These people always seem to radiate intense hatred for democratic institutions. But maybe that's just for show.
Reposted by Paul Meiners
📘🇪🇺 Much more than a report
In our new @jcms-eu.bsky.social piece, Lucia Quaglia and I argue that the Draghi and Letta reports go beyond competitiveness - they mark a shift in the EU’s political identity. But this entails huge challenges!
Open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
In our new @jcms-eu.bsky.social piece, Lucia Quaglia and I argue that the Draghi and Letta reports go beyond competitiveness - they mark a shift in the EU’s political identity. But this entails huge challenges!
Open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Much More Than a Report: The Search for Europe's New Political Identity and the Politics of Competitiveness
Click on the article title to read more.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
July 16, 2025 at 11:43 AM
📘🇪🇺 Much more than a report
In our new @jcms-eu.bsky.social piece, Lucia Quaglia and I argue that the Draghi and Letta reports go beyond competitiveness - they mark a shift in the EU’s political identity. But this entails huge challenges!
Open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
In our new @jcms-eu.bsky.social piece, Lucia Quaglia and I argue that the Draghi and Letta reports go beyond competitiveness - they mark a shift in the EU’s political identity. But this entails huge challenges!
Open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Reposted by Paul Meiners
It might be my own bias, but I think many of the individual-level dynamics of the rise of the far right are strikingly similar across Western countries.
July 16, 2025 at 2:46 PM
It might be my own bias, but I think many of the individual-level dynamics of the rise of the far right are strikingly similar across Western countries.
Reposted by Paul Meiners
The Portuguese far right party CH has been growing spectacularly, shattering views of the country as immune to this phenomenon.
This has prompted a discussion about where their votes come from.
Some thoughts on this, prompted by newly released survey data:
This has prompted a discussion about where their votes come from.
Some thoughts on this, prompted by newly released survey data:
July 16, 2025 at 1:40 PM
The Portuguese far right party CH has been growing spectacularly, shattering views of the country as immune to this phenomenon.
This has prompted a discussion about where their votes come from.
Some thoughts on this, prompted by newly released survey data:
This has prompted a discussion about where their votes come from.
Some thoughts on this, prompted by newly released survey data:
Reposted by Paul Meiners
✨NEW PAPER OUT✨
“Far-right challenges to liberal democratic press norms: ‘indexing by proxy’ in a German immigration debate”
together with Lance Bennett & @ulrikeklinger.bsky.social in
@journal-of-comm.bsky.social.
Why do far-right issues keep making the news? 🧵⤵️
academic.oup.com/joc/advance-...
“Far-right challenges to liberal democratic press norms: ‘indexing by proxy’ in a German immigration debate”
together with Lance Bennett & @ulrikeklinger.bsky.social in
@journal-of-comm.bsky.social.
Why do far-right issues keep making the news? 🧵⤵️
academic.oup.com/joc/advance-...
Far-right challenges to liberal democratic press norms: “indexing by proxy” in a German immigration debate
Abstract. This study examines the mechanisms by which illiberal politics make the news by disrupting democratic systems. During the late 20th century, a li
academic.oup.com
July 14, 2025 at 8:24 AM
✨NEW PAPER OUT✨
“Far-right challenges to liberal democratic press norms: ‘indexing by proxy’ in a German immigration debate”
together with Lance Bennett & @ulrikeklinger.bsky.social in
@journal-of-comm.bsky.social.
Why do far-right issues keep making the news? 🧵⤵️
academic.oup.com/joc/advance-...
“Far-right challenges to liberal democratic press norms: ‘indexing by proxy’ in a German immigration debate”
together with Lance Bennett & @ulrikeklinger.bsky.social in
@journal-of-comm.bsky.social.
Why do far-right issues keep making the news? 🧵⤵️
academic.oup.com/joc/advance-...
Reposted by Paul Meiners
I am often told that public critique of published articles must also solve the issues found. I think this frequently enforced requirement hinders scientific self-correction.
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
July 5, 2025 at 12:01 PM
I am often told that public critique of published articles must also solve the issues found. I think this frequently enforced requirement hinders scientific self-correction.
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
Reposted by Paul Meiners
A *null* result I'm very proud of!
Led by Rustam Romaniuc, 35 coauthors from all over France tested nudge interventions to boost voter turnout.
None worked, and we are possibly not surprised -- but a well-powered null result *is* a result!
Paper:
kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...
Led by Rustam Romaniuc, 35 coauthors from all over France tested nudge interventions to boost voter turnout.
None worked, and we are possibly not surprised -- but a well-powered null result *is* a result!
Paper:
kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...
June 15, 2025 at 10:21 AM
A *null* result I'm very proud of!
Led by Rustam Romaniuc, 35 coauthors from all over France tested nudge interventions to boost voter turnout.
None worked, and we are possibly not surprised -- but a well-powered null result *is* a result!
Paper:
kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...
Led by Rustam Romaniuc, 35 coauthors from all over France tested nudge interventions to boost voter turnout.
None worked, and we are possibly not surprised -- but a well-powered null result *is* a result!
Paper:
kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...
Reposted by Paul Meiners
Trade policy update.
May 28, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Trade policy update.
Reposted by Paul Meiners
🚨 New publication 🚨 : Happy to share that my paper, "Losing Touch: The Rhetorical Cost of Governing" is now forthcoming at @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Short 🧵 about the paper here 👇 1/10
May 22, 2025 at 9:56 AM
🚨 New publication 🚨 : Happy to share that my paper, "Losing Touch: The Rhetorical Cost of Governing" is now forthcoming at @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Short 🧵 about the paper here 👇 1/10
Reposted by Paul Meiners
Extremely excited to share the first effort of the Revived Genomics of Personality Consortium: A highly-powered, comprehensive GWAS of the Big Five personality traits in 1.14 million participants from 46 cohorts. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
May 20, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Extremely excited to share the first effort of the Revived Genomics of Personality Consortium: A highly-powered, comprehensive GWAS of the Big Five personality traits in 1.14 million participants from 46 cohorts. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Reposted by Paul Meiners
sounds like a great game tbh
I did Liberation Day tariffs in Victoria 3, and it all went well until the famine in Colorado, the 2 lost wars with Canada, and the president beating a man to death with a stick
But apart from that, would recommend.
www.pcgamer.com
May 17, 2025 at 4:49 PM
sounds like a great game tbh
Reposted by Paul Meiners
Interesting how security is nowadays framed as a "core task" of the EU 🙃
(In reality, of course, Flanders simply has a centre-right(ish) government that wants the EU to focus on centre-right goals. But since EU policy is traditionally framed in functionalist terms, they talk of "tasks" instead.)
(In reality, of course, Flanders simply has a centre-right(ish) government that wants the EU to focus on centre-right goals. But since EU policy is traditionally framed in functionalist terms, they talk of "tasks" instead.)
Flanders wants EU to focus on core tasks - security, competitiveness
Flanders wants EU to focus on core tasks – security, competitiveness
www.brusselstimes.com
May 14, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Interesting how security is nowadays framed as a "core task" of the EU 🙃
(In reality, of course, Flanders simply has a centre-right(ish) government that wants the EU to focus on centre-right goals. But since EU policy is traditionally framed in functionalist terms, they talk of "tasks" instead.)
(In reality, of course, Flanders simply has a centre-right(ish) government that wants the EU to focus on centre-right goals. But since EU policy is traditionally framed in functionalist terms, they talk of "tasks" instead.)
Reposted by Paul Meiners
I am very excited to share a new working paper coauthored with @amaliaab.bsky.social.
Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/8
Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/8
May 9, 2025 at 3:39 PM
I am very excited to share a new working paper coauthored with @amaliaab.bsky.social.
Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/8
Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/8
Reposted by Paul Meiners
🚨New R package! {easymediation}🚨
The *Simplest* and *Most Correct* Way to Do Causal Mediation Analysis
Are you tired of explaining mediation analysis to your colleagues? Just send them this package.
github.com/rpsychologis...
The *Simplest* and *Most Correct* Way to Do Causal Mediation Analysis
Are you tired of explaining mediation analysis to your colleagues? Just send them this package.
github.com/rpsychologis...
May 5, 2025 at 2:18 PM
🚨New R package! {easymediation}🚨
The *Simplest* and *Most Correct* Way to Do Causal Mediation Analysis
Are you tired of explaining mediation analysis to your colleagues? Just send them this package.
github.com/rpsychologis...
The *Simplest* and *Most Correct* Way to Do Causal Mediation Analysis
Are you tired of explaining mediation analysis to your colleagues? Just send them this package.
github.com/rpsychologis...