Mujtaba Rahman
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mijrahman.bsky.social
Mujtaba Rahman
@mijrahman.bsky.social
Managing Director, Europe and co-head of London office, Eurasia Group. Formerly HM Treasury and European Commission. Senior Research Fellow, LSE European Institute. ECFR Council Member. My views. Seeking analytical truth

https://www.eurasiagroup.net
Pinned
I've put together a starter pack for smart voices on EU politics

I learned a lot from these accounts on Twitter

There are gaps - either because I've missed people or because they're not yet on BlueSky, so pls send suggestions and I'll amend periodically

go.bsky.app/2QjVmxC
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
So let me get this right. We had to leave the EU to control immigration, and we are going to control immigration by emulating the stringent immigration system of Denmark, which is a proud and happy member of the EU.
UK to announce plans to emulate stringent Danish immigration system
Shabana Mahmood’s proposals draw scorn from some Labour MPs, while others want government to go further
www.theguardian.com
November 8, 2025 at 2:48 PM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
"Let's not forget, when we remember the service and the sacrifice with this poppy, that the people who bled and died for our democracy and our freedom, weren't just my grandfather who looked like me & worshipped the same God, but people across Empire & Commonwealth, who were Muslim, Sikh & Hindu'
October 26, 2025 at 10:13 AM
Could Greenland become the next flashpoint in transatlantic relations? My piece for @politico.eu

www.politico.eu/article/gree...
Greenland could become biggest car crash in transatlantic relations
The Danes are right: If the U.S. president presses ahead in the autonomous territory, others can and will follow elsewhere.
www.politico.eu
October 21, 2025 at 6:47 AM
Excellent piece
"The government needs to take ownership of the Budget and use it to construct a convincing narrative. That means not blaming the OBR or HMT but explaining why tax reform is necessary, why it will be good for growth and public services and how pain will be fairly shared.

www.ft.com/content/a06d...
Blaming the OBR for the Budget maths is a waste of time
The government must explain why tax reform is necessary and desirable for fiscal sustainability
www.ft.com
October 20, 2025 at 6:58 AM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
Trump told Zelenskyy he was losing the war, warning: “If [Putin] wants it, he will destroy you”

The US president threw Ukraine’s battlefield maps to one side & said he was “sick” of seeing the frontline again & again

Scoop w @christopherjm.ft.com @maxseddon.bsky.social & @a-mackinnon.bsky.social
October 19, 2025 at 7:11 PM
🇫🇷 Macron told his cabinet that censure motions are dissolution motions. In other words, there will be elections if Lecornu is toppled. Far right & hard left have already tabled censure votes on Thurs. Socialists say they will table their own if Lecornu does not give way today when he speaks at 3pm
October 14, 2025 at 11:24 AM
🇫🇷

Macron has reappointed Lecornu

Incredible

(Not in a good sense)
October 10, 2025 at 8:04 PM
On 🇫🇷: I think tonight we are looking at an extension of the Lecornu process (not a deal or a dissolution). If there was to be a decision tonight, Macron would speak not Lecornu. He will say, I predict cautiously, that he is making progress & has been given more time by Macron
October 8, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Lecornu has resigned. What will Macron do next? Appoint a technocrat? Call an early election? France's deep political ans budgetary crisis continues. What a week to be in Paris..
October 6, 2025 at 7:54 AM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
An age-old French nightmare — that of growing German military might — is resurfacing in a new form.

As Berlin inevitably becomes the EU’s dominant military power, our expert @mijrahman.bsky.social explains how strategic autonomy is now in Germany’s hands:

@politico.eu
European strategic autonomy is in German hands
As Berlin inevitably becomes the EU's dominant military power, its billions could either build or blur Macron's vision of European defense.
www.politico.eu
October 5, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
‼️🇪🇺🇺🇦 All eyes are on Trump's second state visit to the UK, yet a far more important development is unfolding in Brussels, where senior EU officials are closing in on a plan to use the roughly €200 billion in frozen Russian assets in Euroclear to support Ukraine
September 17, 2025 at 5:37 AM
‼️🇪🇺🇺🇦 All eyes are on Trump's second state visit to the UK, yet a far more important development is unfolding in Brussels, where senior EU officials are closing in on a plan to use the roughly €200 billion in frozen Russian assets in Euroclear to support Ukraine
September 17, 2025 at 5:37 AM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
I've written to Keir Starmer, Kemi Badenoch and Nigel Farage, urging them to join me in condemning Elon Musk's dangerous remarks inciting violence yesterday.

As leaders, we must stand together and make clear Musk will face serious consequences for these actions.
September 14, 2025 at 6:30 PM
🇫🇷‼️ Sebastien Lecornu, the new French PM, is a confidante of President Macron, a centre right politician from Normandy who joined Macron in 2017 and has been in every government since then.
September 9, 2025 at 7:03 PM
‼️🇫🇷 The French PM Francois Bayrou lost a parliamentary confidence vote by a landslide tonight - 364 to 194. 16 members of his own coalition voted against him or abstained
September 8, 2025 at 5:05 PM
A flurry of opinion polls makes bleak reading for President Emmanuel Macron before the almost certain removal of his fourth Prime Minister in 21 months next Monday. Macron’s approval rate fell to a new low of 15% in one survey today 1/

www.lefigaro.fr/politique/so...
Sondage : Emmanuel Macron encore plus impopulaire que pendant la crise des gilets jaunes
BAROMÈTRE FIGARO MAGAZINE - La cote de confiance du chef de l’État chute de six points pour atteindre son plus bas niveau depuis 2017 : 15 % !
www.lefigaro.fr
September 3, 2025 at 1:12 PM
“Several leading executives who publicly supported Labour in the run-up to the July 4 poll said they were “horrified” by its record in office so far, criticising “poor political decisions” and a “lack of ability”.“

www.ft.com/content/b103...
Why Labour has to woo business all over again
Executives who had warmed up to Sir Keir Starmer’s party now feel cold-shouldered
www.ft.com
August 28, 2025 at 6:13 AM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
‼️🇫🇷 The embattled French PM François Bayrou stunned his political opponents this afternoon by calling a vote of confidence in his own Govt in 2 weeks’ time, challenging Left & Far Right to take responsibility for plunging France into a deep budgetary crisis if they topple him 1/
August 25, 2025 at 3:41 PM
‼️🇫🇷 The embattled French PM François Bayrou stunned his political opponents this afternoon by calling a vote of confidence in his own Govt in 2 weeks’ time, challenging Left & Far Right to take responsibility for plunging France into a deep budgetary crisis if they topple him 1/
August 25, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
The lengths I'd go to make you focus on the front page of the Sunday papers so you didn't notice the football pages.... (now with the link done right. Cos I'm a tech bro) observer.co.uk/news/opinion...
Politically acceptable UK racism is rising, even under La...
As I wrote these words last autumn: “We have made progress... even though that progress remains fragile and insufficient”, little did I realise just how ...
observer.co.uk
August 25, 2025 at 10:51 AM
Is the dial about to shift?
August 21, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Reposted by Mujtaba Rahman
Predictability for our companies & consumers.

Stability in the largest trading partnership in the world.

And security for European jobs & economic growth in the long-term.

This EU-US trade deal delivers for our citizens & companies, and strengthens transatlantic relations.

europa.eu/!tqNkQR
August 21, 2025 at 11:04 AM