Matthias Rosenthal
@matthiasrosenthal.bsky.social
Research Assistant Reutlingen University
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
The ERC have given me 5 years to figure out what Europeans really think about democracy. If you would like to come and join me in the endeavour, then I am currently hiring a postdoc @sotonpolitics.bsky.social.
Deadline: 30 April | Details here: jobs.soton.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx... #polisky
Deadline: 30 April | Details here: jobs.soton.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx... #polisky
Job Opportunity at the University of Southampton: Research Fellow in Political Process Preferences in Europe (PoPPiE)
We are delighted to welcome applications for the position of Research Fellow within a new ERC-funded research group on Political Process Preferences in Europe (PoPPiE): Rethinking Conceptual, Ontologi...
jobs.soton.ac.uk
April 3, 2025 at 3:25 PM
The ERC have given me 5 years to figure out what Europeans really think about democracy. If you would like to come and join me in the endeavour, then I am currently hiring a postdoc @sotonpolitics.bsky.social.
Deadline: 30 April | Details here: jobs.soton.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx... #polisky
Deadline: 30 April | Details here: jobs.soton.ac.uk/Vacancy.aspx... #polisky
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
🇹🇷📢 İstanbul today.
This is what hope looks like.
The current historical conjuncture may have emboldened authoritarian leaders worldwide, but it is also one of massive social mobilizations *for* democracy, in Turkey, Serbia, Georgia, Israel, in US townhalls...
The authoritarian wave can be stopped.
This is what hope looks like.
The current historical conjuncture may have emboldened authoritarian leaders worldwide, but it is also one of massive social mobilizations *for* democracy, in Turkey, Serbia, Georgia, Israel, in US townhalls...
The authoritarian wave can be stopped.
March 29, 2025 at 7:55 PM
🇹🇷📢 İstanbul today.
This is what hope looks like.
The current historical conjuncture may have emboldened authoritarian leaders worldwide, but it is also one of massive social mobilizations *for* democracy, in Turkey, Serbia, Georgia, Israel, in US townhalls...
The authoritarian wave can be stopped.
This is what hope looks like.
The current historical conjuncture may have emboldened authoritarian leaders worldwide, but it is also one of massive social mobilizations *for* democracy, in Turkey, Serbia, Georgia, Israel, in US townhalls...
The authoritarian wave can be stopped.
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
..und noch ein Fall, in dem ein rechsextremer Vierfachmord unter dem medialen Radar läuft. Am 25. März 2024 starben die Eltern und ihre beiden drei Jahre und wenige Monate alten Töchter bei einem Brandanschlag. Erinnert an die Toten. Und die Medien an ihre verdammte demokratische Verantwortung.
Ein Jahr später: "Auf einer Festplatte, die in der Wohnung des Angeklagten gefunden wurde, seien rechtsextreme Inhalte entdeckt worden. Darunter 166 Bilder, unter anderem von der NSU-Terroristin Beate Zschäpe..." #Solingen taz.de/Brandanschla...
March 13, 2025 at 8:33 AM
..und noch ein Fall, in dem ein rechsextremer Vierfachmord unter dem medialen Radar läuft. Am 25. März 2024 starben die Eltern und ihre beiden drei Jahre und wenige Monate alten Töchter bei einem Brandanschlag. Erinnert an die Toten. Und die Medien an ihre verdammte demokratische Verantwortung.
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
A 2021 study found that proportionate representation on juries could reduce median sentence terms by 50%.
“More perspectives on juries means more understanding,” said Elizabeth Swartz, legal counsel on efforts to diversify New Jersey's juries.boltsmag.org/new-jer...
“More perspectives on juries means more understanding,” said Elizabeth Swartz, legal counsel on efforts to diversify New Jersey's juries.boltsmag.org/new-jer...
New Jersey May Open Juries to Most People with Criminal Convictions
New Jersey has one of the nation
boltsmag.org
March 12, 2025 at 4:00 PM
A 2021 study found that proportionate representation on juries could reduce median sentence terms by 50%.
“More perspectives on juries means more understanding,” said Elizabeth Swartz, legal counsel on efforts to diversify New Jersey's juries.boltsmag.org/new-jer...
“More perspectives on juries means more understanding,” said Elizabeth Swartz, legal counsel on efforts to diversify New Jersey's juries.boltsmag.org/new-jer...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
I kind of choked up.
And it happens again!
SEVERAL Republicans cross the aisle, vote against a bill that would remove trans kids from their parents.
They do so even after another Republican threatens them with primaries.
29 Republicans flip this time!
SEVERAL Republicans cross the aisle, vote against a bill that would remove trans kids from their parents.
They do so even after another Republican threatens them with primaries.
29 Republicans flip this time!
March 11, 2025 at 5:43 PM
I kind of choked up.
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Trump’s handling of the economy is at -11 in this new Emerson poll, down from prior surveys. Not a good trend emersoncollegepolling.com/national-pol...
National Poll: At 50 Days, Trump's Honeymoon Fades as Economy Becomes Key Vulnerability - Emerson Polling
Voters Sour on Both Political Parties, With Democrats Facing Greater Backlash A new Emerson College…Full Release & Results
emersoncollegepolling.com
March 11, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Trump’s handling of the economy is at -11 in this new Emerson poll, down from prior surveys. Not a good trend emersoncollegepolling.com/national-pol...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
After the Bundestag election, many noted the different voting behaviour of different age groups and of women and men. In a new article in @wepsocial.bsky.social, @nilssteiner.bsky.social and I look at the interplay of cohort, gender, and education to explain GALTAN vote choice in Europe. 🧵1/5
March 6, 2025 at 5:39 PM
After the Bundestag election, many noted the different voting behaviour of different age groups and of women and men. In a new article in @wepsocial.bsky.social, @nilssteiner.bsky.social and I look at the interplay of cohort, gender, and education to explain GALTAN vote choice in Europe. 🧵1/5
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Kleiner Funfact: Weil die CDU in ihrer kleinen Anfrage auch @gabrielakeller.bsky.social und meine Recherche zu den "Rechtstreibern in der CDU" erwähnte, hat sich das Publikum für diesen Artikel noch mal vergrößert.
Prognose: Wir überschreiten bald die 500 000 Zugriffe correctiv.org/aktuelles/pa...
Prognose: Wir überschreiten bald die 500 000 Zugriffe correctiv.org/aktuelles/pa...
Die Rechtstreiber der CDU
Einige Wirtschaftslobbyisten und Denkfabriken untergraben aktiv die Brandmauer. Der nächste mögliche Tabubruch: eine Minderheitsregierung
correctiv.org
February 28, 2025 at 8:04 AM
Kleiner Funfact: Weil die CDU in ihrer kleinen Anfrage auch @gabrielakeller.bsky.social und meine Recherche zu den "Rechtstreibern in der CDU" erwähnte, hat sich das Publikum für diesen Artikel noch mal vergrößert.
Prognose: Wir überschreiten bald die 500 000 Zugriffe correctiv.org/aktuelles/pa...
Prognose: Wir überschreiten bald die 500 000 Zugriffe correctiv.org/aktuelles/pa...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
#Germany's federal criminal police office, not exactly known for over-counting such things, reports that at least 41,000 crimes with a right-wing extremist motive were committed in 2024, a 1/3 increase compared to 2023. 2023, with a 23% increase on 2022, had already marked an all-time high #farright
Rekord rechtsextremer Straftaten: „Erschreckender Aufwärtstrend“
Rechtsextreme Straftaten erreichen neuen Höchststand: mehr als 40.000 Delikte. Das zeigt eine Anfrage von Bundestagsvizepräsidentin Petra Pau (Linke).
taz.de
February 23, 2025 at 12:10 PM
#Germany's federal criminal police office, not exactly known for over-counting such things, reports that at least 41,000 crimes with a right-wing extremist motive were committed in 2024, a 1/3 increase compared to 2023. 2023, with a 23% increase on 2022, had already marked an all-time high #farright
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Basically right, except Die Linke are no-longer “populist left. More like “radical left” or even “progressive left”, like the Scandi equivalents. BSW have done Die Linke a huge favour, by detoxifying them.
The overall story is of young Germans rejecting the established centre-right and centre-left, but while young men are shifting to both populist flanks, young women are shifting overwhelmingly to the populist left.
February 24, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Basically right, except Die Linke are no-longer “populist left. More like “radical left” or even “progressive left”, like the Scandi equivalents. BSW have done Die Linke a huge favour, by detoxifying them.
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Der Aufstieg der Linken fasziniert mich. Ich hatte da so eine Vermutung und tatsächlich ist es so: Die Linke gewinnt dort wo die Grünen verlieren. Der Zusammenhang ist bemerkenswert, der Zusammenhang zu Gewinnen/Verlusten der SPD andersrum und zu denen der CDU nicht vorhanden.
February 24, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Der Aufstieg der Linken fasziniert mich. Ich hatte da so eine Vermutung und tatsächlich ist es so: Die Linke gewinnt dort wo die Grünen verlieren. Der Zusammenhang ist bemerkenswert, der Zusammenhang zu Gewinnen/Verlusten der SPD andersrum und zu denen der CDU nicht vorhanden.
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Ihr sorgt euch um Demokratie und Rechtsstaat in Deutschland? Die CDU/CSU-Fraktion hat eine Liste mit exzellenten Organisationen, die eure Spende verdient haben, veröffentlicht. U.a. @correctiv.org, @omasgegenrechts.bsky.social, @campact.bsky.social. dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/150/2...
dserver.bundestag.de
February 25, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Ihr sorgt euch um Demokratie und Rechtsstaat in Deutschland? Die CDU/CSU-Fraktion hat eine Liste mit exzellenten Organisationen, die eure Spende verdient haben, veröffentlicht. U.a. @correctiv.org, @omasgegenrechts.bsky.social, @campact.bsky.social. dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/150/2...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
February 12, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
The 'feeling' that X under Musk is a different place than before is quantified in this new study titled 'Substantial Hate'
1️⃣ hate speech up to 50% higher;
2️⃣ hate speech increase persistent;
3️⃣ no reduction in inauthentic accounts
#commsky @polcomm.bsky.social
journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
1️⃣ hate speech up to 50% higher;
2️⃣ hate speech increase persistent;
3️⃣ no reduction in inauthentic accounts
#commsky @polcomm.bsky.social
journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
X under Musk’s leadership: Substantial hate and no reduction in inauthentic activity
Numerous studies have reported an increase in hate speech on X (formerly Twitter) in the months immediately following Elon Musk’s acquisition of the platform on October 27th, 2022; relatedly, despite ...
journals.plos.org
February 13, 2025 at 9:44 AM
The 'feeling' that X under Musk is a different place than before is quantified in this new study titled 'Substantial Hate'
1️⃣ hate speech up to 50% higher;
2️⃣ hate speech increase persistent;
3️⃣ no reduction in inauthentic accounts
#commsky @polcomm.bsky.social
journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
1️⃣ hate speech up to 50% higher;
2️⃣ hate speech increase persistent;
3️⃣ no reduction in inauthentic accounts
#commsky @polcomm.bsky.social
journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Vote choice by birth cohort and gender in the 2024 European election in Germany:
- Increased gender gaps among young voters for several parties.
- AfD share more than twice as high among young men (21% vs. 10%).
- 49% of young men voted for the right-leaning parties, but only 32% of young women.
- Increased gender gaps among young voters for several parties.
- AfD share more than twice as high among young men (21% vs. 10%).
- 49% of young men voted for the right-leaning parties, but only 32% of young women.
February 7, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Vote choice by birth cohort and gender in the 2024 European election in Germany:
- Increased gender gaps among young voters for several parties.
- AfD share more than twice as high among young men (21% vs. 10%).
- 49% of young men voted for the right-leaning parties, but only 32% of young women.
- Increased gender gaps among young voters for several parties.
- AfD share more than twice as high among young men (21% vs. 10%).
- 49% of young men voted for the right-leaning parties, but only 32% of young women.
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
How #Twitter/#X amplifies the #farright in #Germany during the #btw25 campaign 👇
👉The blue segment in the first image shows the share of tweets by #AfD-affiliated accounts ~ 1/5
👉Their share of the views is > 1/4
👉They get almost 1/2 of the likes for all party-affiliated tweets
👉The blue segment in the first image shows the share of tweets by #AfD-affiliated accounts ~ 1/5
👉Their share of the views is > 1/4
👉They get almost 1/2 of the likes for all party-affiliated tweets
February 6, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
🔥 This.
“Labour cannot simply manage the status quo. To defeat Mr Farage’s sham politics, it must offer more than technocratic governance. Without a compelling vision, including one for Britain’s place in Europe, it risks being outflanked”
Perfectly put in @theguardian.com
“Labour cannot simply manage the status quo. To defeat Mr Farage’s sham politics, it must offer more than technocratic governance. Without a compelling vision, including one for Britain’s place in Europe, it risks being outflanked”
Perfectly put in @theguardian.com
The Guardian view on Labour’s Brexit hesitancy: Tories collapse and Farage fills the void | Editorial
Editorial: Sir Keir Starmer’s caution has yet to persuade voters, while discontent fuels a resurgent right that thrives by boosting anti-immigrant, climate-sceptic views
www.theguardian.com
February 5, 2025 at 8:31 AM
🔥 This.
“Labour cannot simply manage the status quo. To defeat Mr Farage’s sham politics, it must offer more than technocratic governance. Without a compelling vision, including one for Britain’s place in Europe, it risks being outflanked”
Perfectly put in @theguardian.com
“Labour cannot simply manage the status quo. To defeat Mr Farage’s sham politics, it must offer more than technocratic governance. Without a compelling vision, including one for Britain’s place in Europe, it risks being outflanked”
Perfectly put in @theguardian.com
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
49% of Britons support introducing proportional representation, with just 26% backing first past the post
PR: 49%
FPTP: 26%
By party voted for in 2024
Green: 72% PR vs 15% FPTP
Reform UK: 67% vs 20%
Lib Dem: 61% vs 20%
Labour: 53% vs 27%
Conservative: 39% vs 42%
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
PR: 49%
FPTP: 26%
By party voted for in 2024
Green: 72% PR vs 15% FPTP
Reform UK: 67% vs 20%
Lib Dem: 61% vs 20%
Labour: 53% vs 27%
Conservative: 39% vs 42%
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
February 3, 2025 at 10:23 AM
49% of Britons support introducing proportional representation, with just 26% backing first past the post
PR: 49%
FPTP: 26%
By party voted for in 2024
Green: 72% PR vs 15% FPTP
Reform UK: 67% vs 20%
Lib Dem: 61% vs 20%
Labour: 53% vs 27%
Conservative: 39% vs 42%
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
PR: 49%
FPTP: 26%
By party voted for in 2024
Green: 72% PR vs 15% FPTP
Reform UK: 67% vs 20%
Lib Dem: 61% vs 20%
Labour: 53% vs 27%
Conservative: 39% vs 42%
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Polisky Dictatorsky
New Publication alert! 📢
@fabioangiolillo.bsky.social, @felixwiebrecht.bsky.social (@vdeminstitute.bsky.social) and co-authors have recently published: “When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900.” Read it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
New Publication alert! 📢
@fabioangiolillo.bsky.social, @felixwiebrecht.bsky.social (@vdeminstitute.bsky.social) and co-authors have recently published: “When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900.” Read it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900
The world is in a “wave of autocratization.” Yet, recent events in Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia demonstrate that autocratization can be halted and reversed. This article introduces “U-Turn” as ...
www.tandfonline.com
February 3, 2025 at 2:48 PM
Polisky Dictatorsky
New Publication alert! 📢
@fabioangiolillo.bsky.social, @felixwiebrecht.bsky.social (@vdeminstitute.bsky.social) and co-authors have recently published: “When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900.” Read it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
New Publication alert! 📢
@fabioangiolillo.bsky.social, @felixwiebrecht.bsky.social (@vdeminstitute.bsky.social) and co-authors have recently published: “When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900.” Read it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Eine Zäsur in der deutschen Nachkriegsgeschichte. Hundertausende auf den Straßen. Unzählige die daran arbeiten, dass wir es besser verstehen. Und bei Miosga diskutieren eine Rechtsextreme, Springer Presse und Industrieverband. Ist euch eure Verantwortung für die Demokratie einfach scheißegal?
February 2, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Eine Zäsur in der deutschen Nachkriegsgeschichte. Hundertausende auf den Straßen. Unzählige die daran arbeiten, dass wir es besser verstehen. Und bei Miosga diskutieren eine Rechtsextreme, Springer Presse und Industrieverband. Ist euch eure Verantwortung für die Demokratie einfach scheißegal?
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Reminder that these protests work:
- Evidence from Greece:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
- Evidence from Italy: academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
- Evidence from France: academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a...
- Evidence from Greece:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
- Evidence from Italy: academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
- Evidence from France: academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a...
February 2, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Reminder that these protests work:
- Evidence from Greece:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
- Evidence from Italy: academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
- Evidence from France: academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a...
- Evidence from Greece:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
- Evidence from Italy: academic.oup.com/poq/article-...
- Evidence from France: academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a...
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Spot-on by @jonhenley.bsky.social (with great comments by @tabouchadi.bsky.social and @sldelange.bsky.social) - and an interesting question is *why* centre-right politicians refuse to acknowledge this and act on it. Just how long will they go on doing two plus two and making five?
‘Vicious cycle’: how far-right parties across Europe are cannibalising the centre right
Hardline agendas, especially on immigration, are copied by mainstream conservatives in vain effort to win back votes - but it’s not working
www.theguardian.com
February 1, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Spot-on by @jonhenley.bsky.social (with great comments by @tabouchadi.bsky.social and @sldelange.bsky.social) - and an interesting question is *why* centre-right politicians refuse to acknowledge this and act on it. Just how long will they go on doing two plus two and making five?
Reposted by Matthias Rosenthal
Unsere Demokratie wird nicht nur von Rechtsaußen bedroht. Es gibt auch eine soziale Krise des Parteiensystems: Vor allem Menschen ohne akademische Ausbildung erleben, dass ihre Interessen oft nicht berücksichtigt werden. Mit Michael Kram, Teilnehmer des #BürgerratErnährung. #bürgerrat
Ungleiche Demokratie: Warum vielen Menschen nicht zugehört wird
Es gibt eine soziale Krise des Parteiensystems: Vor allem Menschen ohne akademische Ausbildung erleben, dass ihre Interessen oft nicht berücksichtigt werden.
www.deutschlandfunk.de
January 31, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Unsere Demokratie wird nicht nur von Rechtsaußen bedroht. Es gibt auch eine soziale Krise des Parteiensystems: Vor allem Menschen ohne akademische Ausbildung erleben, dass ihre Interessen oft nicht berücksichtigt werden. Mit Michael Kram, Teilnehmer des #BürgerratErnährung. #bürgerrat