Nils Steiner
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nilssteiner.bsky.social
Nils Steiner
@nilssteiner.bsky.social
Political Scientist at JGU Mainz, Germany.

Research on public opinion, elections, parties, and democracy (more at: https://www.nilssteiner.com/).

Spokesperson of the AK Wahlen (@dvpw.bsky.social).

Associate editor at @pvs-journal.bsky.social.
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Neu im #DVPWblog: Sven Hillen @sfb1472.uni-siegen.de und Jessica Kuhlmann @jessicakuhlm.bsky.social zeigen zur Bundestagswahl 2025: In engen Wahlkreisen wurde die Erststimme strategisch gegen die AfD gebündelt – besonders von politisch Interessierten.

👉 www.dvpw.de/blog/blockie...

#PoWi #BTW2025
February 16, 2026 at 9:28 AM
Another case in point for the quick turnaround times at @pvs-journal.bsky.social:

Received: 29 October 2025
Received revision: 5 December 2025
Accepted: 14 January 2026

(It took slightly longer because this one was handled by me rather than @martingross.bsky.social.)

And it’s a timely paper, too!
A new open access paper in PVS with current relevance: How do different generations evaluate a potential coalition between the CDU/CSU and the LEFT?

by @wurthmann.bsky.social @kirareneekurz.bsky.social and @sarahwagner.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1007/s116...
February 19, 2026 at 9:04 AM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
A new open access paper in PVS with current relevance: How do different generations evaluate a potential coalition between the CDU/CSU and the LEFT?

by @wurthmann.bsky.social @kirareneekurz.bsky.social and @sarahwagner.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1007/s116...
February 19, 2026 at 8:48 AM
Received: 24 October 2025
Revised version received: 18 December 2025
Accepted: 2 January 2026

👉 Submit to @pvs-journal.bsky.social for a quick turnaround.

Kudos to the handling editor, @martingross.bsky.social.
February 18, 2026 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Do voters vote strategically to prevent the AfD from winning a direct mandate?
Short answer: yes. Long answer: read now in a new open access paper by Sven Hillen and @jessicakuhlm.bsky.social

link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Blocking the Radical Right: Evidence from Strategic Candidate Voting Against the AfD in Germany’s 2025 Federal Election - Politische Vierteljahresschrift
This paper examines strategic candidate voting against radical-right parties, focusing on the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in Germany’s 2025 federal election. Germany has long been considered “hard g...
link.springer.com
February 15, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
NEW from @govandopp.bsky.social -

People-centred or Elite-centred Democrats? Legislators’ Process Preferences in the United States and Germany - https://cup.org/4tGsbpP

- @crowdermeyer.bsky.social, Leonard Häfner, @clandwehr.bsky.social & @stallbaum.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
February 18, 2026 at 1:20 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Welche Partei passt zu mir? Für die Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg #ltwbw und Rheinland-Pfalz #ltwrlp könnt ihr im Tool Party Check ein paar Fragen beantworten und seht, wie eure Positionen zu den Parteien passen.
party-check.org
February 13, 2026 at 6:34 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Wo liegen die inhaltlichen Gräben zwischen den möglichen Koalitionspartnern nach der #ltwbw?
Wir haben Daten des "Länder Expert Survey" analysiert. Mit Vorarbeit & Inspo von @muellerhansen.bsky.social, Daten von @drphilphil.bsky.social und Einschätzungen von @marcdebus.bsky.social
February 13, 2026 at 1:21 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Und nun ist auch der Party-Check Rheinland-Pfalz online! Parteipositionen werden in den kommenden Tagen bei Dataverse hochgeladen.
Zur Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg haben wir (@pluggedchris.bsky.social @marcdebus.bsky.social @nilssteiner.bsky.social T. Bräuninger) die Online-Wahlhilfe Party-Check entwickelt: party-check.org 🗳️
Neben einem Prozentmatch für diverse Themenbereiche gibt es eine Links-Rechts Verortung.
#ltwbw
1/
February 13, 2026 at 4:28 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Kathrin Ackermann u ich kandidieren für den RatSWD u freuen uns über die Unterstützung der Politikwissenschaft (u darüber hinaus :) ). Bis Montag (16.2.) können sich alle Promovierten registrieren, um dann an der Wahl im März teilnehmen zu können.

Registrieren:
www.konsortswd.de/ueber-uns/ra...
RatSWD Wahl - KonsortSWD
www.konsortswd.de
February 13, 2026 at 3:47 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
trump hits a new approval low among adults today (rounding to -19 for the first time) fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
February 11, 2026 at 6:06 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Looking for speeches from all German state parliaments?

@cgnguyen.bsky.social , Eric Beltermann, Sabine Kropp & Antonios Souris have you covered.

Introducing the StateParl Corpus. Now open access with PVS:

doi.org/10.1007/s11615-025-00643-5
Decoding German Politics with StateParl—A Text Corpus of Plenary Protocols in the 16 German Länder Parliaments - Politische Vierteljahresschrift
The availability of large amounts of machine-readable text data has enabled political scientists to explore a variety of novel and innovative research questions. In this context, parliamentary documen...
doi.org
January 30, 2026 at 9:29 AM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Super proud that our 9-country-study is finally published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social!
A Populist Axis? Analyzing Connections Between Populist, Economic, and Cultural Dimensions of Political Space
👉Populist axis exists, effect on voice choice differs by country
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
🧵
A Populist Axis? Analyzing Connections Between Populist, Economic, and Cultural Dimensions of Political Space - Andrei Zhirnov, Jan Philipp Thomeczek, Lorenza Antonucci, Michele Scotto di Vettimo, Roa...
What makes populist parties successful? What is the contribution of populist ideas to their appeal? How do they affect a voter’s choice? In this article, we tre...
journals.sagepub.com
February 2, 2026 at 3:48 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Zur Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg haben wir (@pluggedchris.bsky.social @marcdebus.bsky.social @nilssteiner.bsky.social T. Bräuninger) die Online-Wahlhilfe Party-Check entwickelt: party-check.org 🗳️
Neben einem Prozentmatch für diverse Themenbereiche gibt es eine Links-Rechts Verortung.
#ltwbw
1/
February 8, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
🧵I am happy to announce a new article in Political Behavior @polbehavior.bsky.social, “Are the Politically Active Better Represented?”, co-authored with @jenny-oser.bsky.social, @rdassonneville.bsky.social, @professormpersson.bsky.social, and Anders Sundell.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Are the Politically Active Better Represented? - Political Behavior
Political participation is considered an important path for people to influence politics. However, whether those who participate actually see more of their preferred policies implemented remains an op...
link.springer.com
February 5, 2026 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
New and open access, in @psrm.bsky.social: What happens when we make politicians draw distributions? Nic Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social and I explore whether the large errors politicians make about public opinion are artificially inflated by how researchers ask them to estimate it /1
cup.org/4kltoyE
February 3, 2026 at 12:04 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Diese Woche kehre ich an alte Wirkungsstätte zurück: An der @unimainz.bsky.social moderiere ich eine Diskussion des Fachschaftsrats Politikwissenschaft zur Landtagswahl in Rheinland-Pfalz. Wir sprechen über Bildung, bezahlbares Wohnen und Arbeitsmarkt/Wirtschaft. Kommt vorbei!
@powimz.bsky.social
February 2, 2026 at 5:33 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social)

⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?

doi.org/10.1017/S147...
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization
doi.org
January 27, 2026 at 8:18 AM
🐳
Friendly reminder: the submission deadline for this nice conference is tomorrow! 🐋
January 30, 2026 at 9:43 AM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
Estimated policy positions of the Baden-Württemberg state parties for the upcoming state election. No major changes, except for the move of the Green party towards more centrist positions on economic and societal policy, which could make potential coalition negotiations with the CDU easier. /1
January 29, 2026 at 10:31 AM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
How do national identities become politically activated? From our December issue, Antonia C. May finds that the salience of immigration-related coverage in the media is connected to the activation of national identity in electoral/political cognition. Read open-access: doi.org/10.1111/pops...
January 27, 2026 at 6:09 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
🚨 Are Gen Z gender gaps in gender equality attitudes really as pronounced as perceived?
In a new preprint w/ @stinasiegert.bsky.social , we analyzed 82k+ young adults across 24 European countries.

👉 Read here: osf.io/6h9gd_v1
January 27, 2026 at 8:38 AM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out!
1/
January 26, 2026 at 3:12 PM
Reposted by Nils Steiner
📊 New paper out in Democratization!
How do autocrats actually stay in power?

👉 Open access: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Co-authored with Wooseok Kim, @eugenian.bsky.social , Ksenia Northmore-Ball, and @ktertytchnaya.bsky.social.
Strategies of political control and regime survival in autocracies
How do autocrats establish political control? Understanding the strategies autocrats use to generate mass compliance and elite loyalty remains a central question in comparative politics. Despite su...
www.tandfonline.com
January 23, 2026 at 3:50 PM
About one week left to submit proposals for our #AKWahlen conference in Mainz.

No fee, open topic, nice people & city!

More here: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a...

Cc: @sgarritzmann.bsky.social @conradziller.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social
January 23, 2026 at 2:23 PM