@marble47.bsky.social
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There are only 2 real policy responses to a housing shortage. You can either get to work building enough housing for everyone or start making a list of the types of people you want to exclude. I know which side I’m on.
HUD Secretary Scott Turner: "100% of rental demand in California and New York is because of illegal immigration"
January 16, 2026 at 5:57 PM
There are only 2 real policy responses to a housing shortage. You can either get to work building enough housing for everyone or start making a list of the types of people you want to exclude. I know which side I’m on.
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meta-discursive comment: the incentives of social media where making an incorrect naive prediction is seen as much more embarrassing than making an incorrect cynical one are very bad.
January 15, 2026 at 6:19 PM
meta-discursive comment: the incentives of social media where making an incorrect naive prediction is seen as much more embarrassing than making an incorrect cynical one are very bad.
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You may have heard that "social security is going to go bankrupt." Many younger people assume social security will not be there for them when they retire. In my latest paper I correct the record. SS is not going bankrupt but we'll need to revisit it soon 🧵
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
“Will Social Security Run Out?” Is the Wrong Question: How Lawmakers Can Protect Beneficiaries and Strengthen OASI
Is Social Security really in crisis? This report examines the OASI Trust Fund, lessons from 1983, and policy options to secure benefits for the future.
rooseveltinstitute.org
January 15, 2026 at 2:40 PM
You may have heard that "social security is going to go bankrupt." Many younger people assume social security will not be there for them when they retire. In my latest paper I correct the record. SS is not going bankrupt but we'll need to revisit it soon 🧵
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
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Polling during Biden's Presidency showed that Americans believed unemployment was at *all time highs* when it was actually at all time lows. The media comprehensively and systematically lied to Americans
Despite years of "economic anxiety" discourse, the core drivers of Trump support have always been bigotry and misinformation.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
January 14, 2026 at 6:05 PM
Polling during Biden's Presidency showed that Americans believed unemployment was at *all time highs* when it was actually at all time lows. The media comprehensively and systematically lied to Americans
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this is a good overview
it seems clear you can craft a position with solid majority support that involves total overhaul of immigration enforcement and staffing, and moving ICE/CBP functions into more functional departments
it's kind of neither here nor there whether you call that "abolishing"
it seems clear you can craft a position with solid majority support that involves total overhaul of immigration enforcement and staffing, and moving ICE/CBP functions into more functional departments
it's kind of neither here nor there whether you call that "abolishing"
YouGov poll - In the future, would you support or oppose...
Eliminating ICE as a federal agency?
Support 42%
Oppose 45%
Reducing ICE’s size and funding
Support 48%
Oppose 37%
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/IC...
Eliminating ICE as a federal agency?
Support 42%
Oppose 45%
Reducing ICE’s size and funding
Support 48%
Oppose 37%
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/IC...
January 13, 2026 at 12:03 AM
this is a good overview
it seems clear you can craft a position with solid majority support that involves total overhaul of immigration enforcement and staffing, and moving ICE/CBP functions into more functional departments
it's kind of neither here nor there whether you call that "abolishing"
it seems clear you can craft a position with solid majority support that involves total overhaul of immigration enforcement and staffing, and moving ICE/CBP functions into more functional departments
it's kind of neither here nor there whether you call that "abolishing"
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100%, like, I think it would be great if the average person had a more negative opinion of law enforcement in general but the fact is they don't and you're fighting a much smaller front war when you fight "ICE is much worse than other cops" plus it's actually true!
January 11, 2026 at 7:03 PM
100%, like, I think it would be great if the average person had a more negative opinion of law enforcement in general but the fact is they don't and you're fighting a much smaller front war when you fight "ICE is much worse than other cops" plus it's actually true!
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yesterday: confirmed TdA affiliation, agent fired “a defensive shot”
today: “suspected” TdA affiliation, no statement about number of shots
today: “suspected” TdA affiliation, no statement about number of shots
January 9, 2026 at 5:56 PM
yesterday: confirmed TdA affiliation, agent fired “a defensive shot”
today: “suspected” TdA affiliation, no statement about number of shots
today: “suspected” TdA affiliation, no statement about number of shots
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Timberwolves hold a moment of silence for Renee Nicole Good
January 9, 2026 at 1:04 AM
Timberwolves hold a moment of silence for Renee Nicole Good
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Do not believe Trump’s propaganda machine. This was not self-defense. This was murder.
Video: Videos Contradict Trump Administration Account of ICE Shooting in Minneapolis
An analysis of footage from three camera angles shows that the motorist was driving away from — not toward — a federal officer when he opened fire.
www.nytimes.com
January 8, 2026 at 2:57 PM
Do not believe Trump’s propaganda machine. This was not self-defense. This was murder.
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This is the agent that murdered the woman in Minneapolis on 1/7/2026.
January 7, 2026 at 6:34 PM
This is the agent that murdered the woman in Minneapolis on 1/7/2026.
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it is a rogue agency. the govt is allowed to disband agencies that are dysfunctional. it happens all the time. immigration enforcement is not going away, but that responsibility can be given to other agencies better suited to the task.
I know it's not mainstream conventional wisdom but I think "Abolish ICE" is a perfectly reasonable response to this and you can get the public to buy in. Most people don't want masked murderous thugs roving their streets
MPR playing an eye witness account right now of ICE shooting directly through the windshield at her face and not giving her medical care for 10 minutes.
January 7, 2026 at 6:51 PM
it is a rogue agency. the govt is allowed to disband agencies that are dysfunctional. it happens all the time. immigration enforcement is not going away, but that responsibility can be given to other agencies better suited to the task.
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I have watched the video. I think you probably do not need to watch the video. it shows what you think it's gonna show in terms of lack of justification.
January 7, 2026 at 6:04 PM
I have watched the video. I think you probably do not need to watch the video. it shows what you think it's gonna show in terms of lack of justification.
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Arrest these lying goons
January 7, 2026 at 5:51 PM
Arrest these lying goons
Lot of *ahem* empty-calorie dunks on this but this seems fine
This is all pretty meh and conventional (thankfully)
*WHITE HOUSE POST IMAGE OF NEW FOOD PYRAMID IN POST ON X
*RFK JR: NEW DIET GUIDELINES FOCUS ON PROTEIN, HEALTHY FATS
*FDA COMMISSIONER MARTY MAKARY SPEAKS AT THE WHITE HOUSE
*MAKARY: INCREASING PROTEIN RECOMMENDATION BY 50-100%
*WHITE HOUSE POST IMAGE OF NEW FOOD PYRAMID IN POST ON X
*RFK JR: NEW DIET GUIDELINES FOCUS ON PROTEIN, HEALTHY FATS
*FDA COMMISSIONER MARTY MAKARY SPEAKS AT THE WHITE HOUSE
*MAKARY: INCREASING PROTEIN RECOMMENDATION BY 50-100%
January 7, 2026 at 5:55 PM
Lot of *ahem* empty-calorie dunks on this but this seems fine
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Hot take I've been kicking around; in 2027, a Dem House could simply not invite POTUS to give SOTU in the chamber.
Absorb the "but the norms" backlash, sell it as a co-equal branch reasserting itself. And if a Dem wins WH in 2029, let the tradition stay dead, to deflate the imperial presidency.
Absorb the "but the norms" backlash, sell it as a co-equal branch reasserting itself. And if a Dem wins WH in 2029, let the tradition stay dead, to deflate the imperial presidency.
“Trump warns of third impeachment if House Republicans lose midterms” electionlawblog.org?p=153740
"Trump warns of third impeachment if House Republicans lose midterms" #ELB
WaPo: President Donald Trump on Tuesday warned that Democrats would “find a reason to impeach me” if the GOP lost control of Congress — using the prediction to pressure lawmakers to unify behind a nar...
electionlawblog.org
January 7, 2026 at 3:58 PM
Hot take I've been kicking around; in 2027, a Dem House could simply not invite POTUS to give SOTU in the chamber.
Absorb the "but the norms" backlash, sell it as a co-equal branch reasserting itself. And if a Dem wins WH in 2029, let the tradition stay dead, to deflate the imperial presidency.
Absorb the "but the norms" backlash, sell it as a co-equal branch reasserting itself. And if a Dem wins WH in 2029, let the tradition stay dead, to deflate the imperial presidency.
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Every once in a while I see supply skeptics motte-and-bailey themselves into saying, "Okay, maybe filtering works, but it takes years and years to see even marginal improvements." And, well,
A heck of a chart: in every single one of the 10 major US cities that built the most housing between 2017 and 2023, rents for older, existing units fell—often by quite a bit.
January 6, 2026 at 5:58 PM
Every once in a while I see supply skeptics motte-and-bailey themselves into saying, "Okay, maybe filtering works, but it takes years and years to see even marginal improvements." And, well,
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But anyway FDR purposely structured social security as a separate payroll tax because "this isn't welfare...I earned it" is a powerful political force. Ultimately though it is an accounting gimmick.
January 6, 2026 at 5:07 PM
But anyway FDR purposely structured social security as a separate payroll tax because "this isn't welfare...I earned it" is a powerful political force. Ultimately though it is an accounting gimmick.
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the real doom loop is service cuts to our transit system. if you cut frequency on an already infrequent system, it’s going to hurt ridership, which will lead to more cuts and fare hikes, which further hurt ridership. all of that of course adds future liabilities to the rest of the transport system
Proposed 2026 Transit Service Changes
Weigh in on proposed service efficiencies and cuts for Aug. 23, 2026, as TriMet reduces spending.
trimet.org
January 6, 2026 at 5:34 AM
the real doom loop is service cuts to our transit system. if you cut frequency on an already infrequent system, it’s going to hurt ridership, which will lead to more cuts and fare hikes, which further hurt ridership. all of that of course adds future liabilities to the rest of the transport system
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you ever notice how transit cuts in the biggest city in the state aren’t talked about as a political risk for the governor, despite being vastly worse for transit riders than an unnoticeable gas tax increase is for drivers?
January 5, 2026 at 11:38 PM
you ever notice how transit cuts in the biggest city in the state aren’t talked about as a political risk for the governor, despite being vastly worse for transit riders than an unnoticeable gas tax increase is for drivers?
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THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES SAID WE ARE IN CONTROL OF VENEZUELA
STEPHANOPOULOS: Why wasn't congressional authorization necessary?
RUBIO: It wasn't necessary because this was not an invasion. We didn't occupy a country. This was an arrest operation.
RUBIO: It wasn't necessary because this was not an invasion. We didn't occupy a country. This was an arrest operation.
January 4, 2026 at 6:26 PM
THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES SAID WE ARE IN CONTROL OF VENEZUELA
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For Oregon residents:
Email Ron Wyden here: www.wyden.senate.gov/contact/emai...
or call him here: (202) 224-5244
Email Jeff Merkley here: www.merkley.senate.gov/connect/cont...
or call him here: (202) 224-3753
I don't have a script for this morning's actions, I called for one reason: impeachment
Email Ron Wyden here: www.wyden.senate.gov/contact/emai...
or call him here: (202) 224-5244
Email Jeff Merkley here: www.merkley.senate.gov/connect/cont...
or call him here: (202) 224-3753
I don't have a script for this morning's actions, I called for one reason: impeachment
Email Ron | U.S. Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon
The Official U.S. Senate website of Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon
www.wyden.senate.gov
January 3, 2026 at 10:06 AM
For Oregon residents:
Email Ron Wyden here: www.wyden.senate.gov/contact/emai...
or call him here: (202) 224-5244
Email Jeff Merkley here: www.merkley.senate.gov/connect/cont...
or call him here: (202) 224-3753
I don't have a script for this morning's actions, I called for one reason: impeachment
Email Ron Wyden here: www.wyden.senate.gov/contact/emai...
or call him here: (202) 224-5244
Email Jeff Merkley here: www.merkley.senate.gov/connect/cont...
or call him here: (202) 224-3753
I don't have a script for this morning's actions, I called for one reason: impeachment
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if anyone was actually interested in running government like a business this is one of the first things they’d do
December 31, 2025 at 6:18 PM
if anyone was actually interested in running government like a business this is one of the first things they’d do
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You don’t Have To Hand It To Them, they should be taxed more, but this is in fact something where the wonky details and getting it right matters
December 30, 2025 at 8:36 PM
You don’t Have To Hand It To Them, they should be taxed more, but this is in fact something where the wonky details and getting it right matters