Jon Kay
@jonpkay.bsky.social
baseball nut, GIS, AI, sci-fi, running, fatherhood
I'm not giving up, but I feel hopeless.
November 6, 2024 at 3:12 PM
I'm not giving up, but I feel hopeless.
We don't trust the fact that our data vis is well calibrated so we are hedging early with this kind of language, but not waiting to use the needle to when it can be more useful because then it might be obvious who is winning.
Given this is how they're framing it, I'm *very* confident that the needle will look worse for Democrats early in a given state's reporting than it has historically.
November 5, 2024 at 4:19 PM
We don't trust the fact that our data vis is well calibrated so we are hedging early with this kind of language, but not waiting to use the needle to when it can be more useful because then it might be obvious who is winning.
Being a lawyer for someone as indisciplined and mercurial as Musk can be miserable. Any sane, sensible person would have vetted this stunt ahead of time. Musk probably just decided to do it and announced it the way you or I would decide to go to Taco Bell on the way home.
WILD: Elon and his legal team are floundering, making claims to get around one argument, not thinking about the larger picture or consequences. Here, they say it's not an illegal lottery because it's not random — even though Elon said it was.
November 4, 2024 at 9:53 PM
I've talked about this *a lot*
As someone who's written books, you often receive info that is conditional. It is for a book not an article. Books are slower. Sources are looser with facts after races or stressful moments are over.
Books can get info out that wouldn't otherwise be there.
As someone who's written books, you often receive info that is conditional. It is for a book not an article. Books are slower. Sources are looser with facts after races or stressful moments are over.
Books can get info out that wouldn't otherwise be there.
November 2, 2024 at 3:07 PM
Let’s send him home for good.
October 31, 2024 at 4:23 PM
Let’s send him home for good.
I understand that this is a no-win situation, but what is a satisfactory form of protest here?
The @washingtonpost.com has lost 200,000 subscribers, @npr.org says.
I understand the anger; many in the newsroom are angry, too. But how many stories won't get reported, and how many journalists will lose their jobs, because of a decision they had nothing to do with?
www.npr.org/2024/10/28/n...
I understand the anger; many in the newsroom are angry, too. But how many stories won't get reported, and how many journalists will lose their jobs, because of a decision they had nothing to do with?
www.npr.org/2024/10/28/n...
200,000 subscribers desert 'Washington Post' after Bezos blocks Harris endorsement
Over 200,000 people canceled their subscriptions in the first few days following news that The Washington Post would not endorse any presidential candidate.
www.npr.org
October 28, 2024 at 8:45 PM
I understand that this is a no-win situation, but what is a satisfactory form of protest here?
Yeah, you want to get him back? Cancel your prime subscription.
Hurts him more directly if you boycott Amazon.
Bezos gets the profit from your subscription
October 25, 2024 at 7:43 PM
Yeah, you want to get him back? Cancel your prime subscription.
Either the polling is way off or there is a huge realignment happening in a very short amount of time.
Pew validated voters, aged 18-29
2016: 58-28 (+30 Dem)
2018: 72-23 (+49 Dem)
2020: 61-35 (+26 Dem)
2022: 68-31 (+37 Dem)
Where exactly is this idea coming from that young men are voting outright for Trump? Seems made up. Even with a wide gender gap you couldn't get these numbers if that were true.
2016: 58-28 (+30 Dem)
2018: 72-23 (+49 Dem)
2020: 61-35 (+26 Dem)
2022: 68-31 (+37 Dem)
Where exactly is this idea coming from that young men are voting outright for Trump? Seems made up. Even with a wide gender gap you couldn't get these numbers if that were true.
October 24, 2024 at 1:27 PM
Either the polling is way off or there is a huge realignment happening in a very short amount of time.
I understand that a new feature was implemented on the other site that is driving a huge exodus of people to bluesky, but what is it about that feature that is pushing you here? Bluesky has the nuclear block option which is great.
October 18, 2024 at 5:04 PM
I understand that a new feature was implemented on the other site that is driving a huge exodus of people to bluesky, but what is it about that feature that is pushing you here? Bluesky has the nuclear block option which is great.
Congratulations to the Clipper team!
NASA's Europa Clipper mission to Jupiter: Live updates
See the latest updates for the launch of NASA's Europa Clipper to Jupiter's icy moon here.
www.space.com
October 14, 2024 at 4:54 PM
Congratulations to the Clipper team!
Let's go Yankees.
October 14, 2024 at 1:13 PM
Let's go Yankees.
The docking scene in interstellar is so great.
Interstellar | Docking Scene (Matthew McConaughey, Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway) | Paramount Movies
YouTube video by Paramount Movies
www.youtube.com
October 10, 2024 at 1:04 PM
The docking scene in interstellar is so great.
This dude just had his home raided and was crazy rude to this person just doing their job. Today he resigned. Good.
Deputy mayor for public safety Phil Banks really doesn't want to answer any questions about the feds seizing his phones earlier this month (for the record my breath smelled great, three people confirmed)
www.thecity.nyc/2024/09/12/e...
www.thecity.nyc/2024/09/12/e...
October 7, 2024 at 2:18 PM
This dude just had his home raided and was crazy rude to this person just doing their job. Today he resigned. Good.
I know in the grand scheme of things having to wait a little longer is no big deal, but I can't believe this mission got delayed again. Feels like it can't catch a break.
SpaceX, NASA stand down from Oct. 10 Europa Clipper launch due to Hurricane Milton
'The safety of launch team personnel is our highest priority, and all precautions will be taken to protect the Europa Clipper spacecraft.'
www.space.com
October 7, 2024 at 12:22 PM
I know in the grand scheme of things having to wait a little longer is no big deal, but I can't believe this mission got delayed again. Feels like it can't catch a break.
Try a muffin?
October 4, 2024 at 11:32 AM
Try a muffin?
Unless the demographic using reddit has gotten much older, it does seem like the crosstabs are overstating the GOP support.
October 3, 2024 at 3:13 PM
Unless the demographic using reddit has gotten much older, it does seem like the crosstabs are overstating the GOP support.
In my brief time as a professor (VAP at two different schools for two years each) it was clear that no one had any idea how to do evaluations on the teachers. Students who know nothing about teaching are given this power and administrators to don't know
So many people sounding this drum for years, yet schools still rely on evals in determining raises, promotions, and other consequential decisions. Baked-in discrimination. #academia
Sobering (but thus useful) experimental findings on bias in teaching evaluations: www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
October 3, 2024 at 1:20 PM
In my brief time as a professor (VAP at two different schools for two years each) it was clear that no one had any idea how to do evaluations on the teachers. Students who know nothing about teaching are given this power and administrators to don't know
This is really neat, apparently this gentleman found a rare low production lego set that the lego company did not have in their collection.
Reddit - Dive into anything
Reports, news, pics, videos, discussions and documentation from a studded world. /r/lego is about all things LEGO®.
www.reddit.com
October 2, 2024 at 9:50 PM
This is really neat, apparently this gentleman found a rare low production lego set that the lego company did not have in their collection.
Proud of my colleague Dr. Lauren Schurmeier for publishing this work on crater relaxation on Titan.
Rapid Impact Crater Relaxation Caused by an Insulating Methane Clathrate Crust on Titan - IOPscienceSearch
Rapid Impact Crater Relaxation Caused by an Insulating Methane Clathrate Crust on Titan, Lauren R. Schurmeier, Gwendolyn E. Brouwer, Jonathan P. Kay, Sarah A. Fagents, Angela G. Marusiak, Steven D. Va...
iopscience.iop.org
October 2, 2024 at 2:14 PM
Proud of my colleague Dr. Lauren Schurmeier for publishing this work on crater relaxation on Titan.
I have my own media bubble. No question about it. It is interesting that most pundits thought Vance won, when the snap polling showed that Walz improved his favorability's by more. The two most shared clips are Vance whining about being fact checked and avoiding an answer about 1/6.
October 2, 2024 at 2:09 PM
I have my own media bubble. No question about it. It is interesting that most pundits thought Vance won, when the snap polling showed that Walz improved his favorability's by more. The two most shared clips are Vance whining about being fact checked and avoiding an answer about 1/6.
Looks it’s me, a professional baseball player
September 30, 2024 at 8:41 PM
Looks it’s me, a professional baseball player
Oh no! This is so sad. I loved his finger wag.
Basketball legend Dikembe Mutombo has died from brain cancer at 58, the NBA announces
September 30, 2024 at 2:58 PM
Oh no! This is so sad. I loved his finger wag.
Vibes are off today. What is something you are feeling excited about in your work or life?
September 30, 2024 at 2:22 PM
Vibes are off today. What is something you are feeling excited about in your work or life?
Reposted by Jon Kay
