John 🌝
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heres.bsky.social
John 🌝
@heres.bsky.social
Data Analyst. Reconstruction Amendments Absolutist.
"When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure"

Cherry-picked, specially collected, or hand-crafted data can always be made to look good.

The NYT does report data ofc, just not data that allows readers to evaluate performance against a stated goal.
You don't get to be called "data-centric," whatever the NYT is trying to signal to liberal readers by that, while in the same breath denying overwhelming scientific consensus. Just comical, destructive stuff. Extremely unserious.
November 19, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Centrist to moderator: "A 'fray-end'? Is that how you say it?"
It's not a foolproof plan but every political debate from now on should be a Normal Guy competition. Ask them to describe grocery shopping in detail. Talk about what it's like to have a friend
November 19, 2025 at 4:55 AM
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This is the strength of our city. We’ll honor the trust these families put in us by making this a place where they can thrive.
November 17, 2025 at 7:07 PM
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NEW — Rashida Tlaib and 20 other members of Congress have introduced a resolution to officially recognize Israel's genocide of the Palestinian people.

It notes that between 10/23 and 11/25, the US sent $21,700,000,000 in military aid to Israel and authorized $30,000,000,000+ in new weapons deals.
November 14, 2025 at 3:52 PM
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THREAD. One of the most damning flaws in the worldviews of essentially every pundit on MSNBC, columnist in the New York Times, peddler of "Abundance," and consultant for Democrats is that they downplay or ignore the repressive power of the punishment bureaucracy and associated industries.
November 11, 2025 at 7:55 PM
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This is only page 3 and I'm so invested in learning more from this author. Luddite as an insult certainly gets thrown around a lot these days, and I'm happy to have their concise clarification on what side of history that movement was on at the very start of the book.
November 11, 2025 at 2:02 AM
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some of us saw this entire arc coming immediately btw. just sayin
there has been zero noise about new leadership in the house or senate which should tell you plenty about how much Dems actually care about their complete and total loss.
November 10, 2025 at 6:39 PM
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THREAD. One important chapter in my Copaganda book describes how a small group of pro-police professors corrupted the field of criminology. Somehow, I've been invited to speak at the 2025 American Society of Criminology annual conference this week. Should be interesting...
November 10, 2025 at 8:06 PM
centrists trot out economic graphs as "wins" when "real" wages increased for people and they're still below the poverty line.

real income doesn't account for debt payments so the economic data is far worse than what centrists claim, especially with interest rate hikes
genuinely when you're online arguing that the graphs say the economy is good actually, what do you expect people to say? what is the end result you're hoping for? for everyone to stop complaining about their personal starvation, evictions and medical debt because a line is going up somewhere?
November 10, 2025 at 8:07 PM
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its especially humiliating for the Cave Caucus that he's not even trying to pretend that he might do this.
US HOUSE SPEAKER JOHNSON SAID HE WON'T COMMIT TO A VOTE ON ACA SUBSIDIES, I'M TOLD – SEMOFAR REPORTER ON X
November 10, 2025 at 5:07 PM
I wonder if one reason that they didn't cave earlier was that doing so would've pushed more people to vote against establishments Dems.

1) it would've made the progressive margins larger and 2) it'd be harder to claim that the establishment is popular, even with establishment electoral wins
They did and that’s EXACTLY why he caved harder.

The millisecond it looks like progressive leftists have a shot with the party, the Establishment centrist moderates say “not on my watch” and tank the Party because “vote blue no matter who” only applies if you aren’t a progressive leftist.
November 10, 2025 at 5:15 PM
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a few months ago I said "having generative AI handle absolutely anything with regards to healthcare is a nightmare and should be banned" and a bunch of people made fun of me and called me stupid. anyways,
November 10, 2025 at 4:00 PM
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The weirdest thing about these articles is that they all understand that voters want likable politicians with a compelling vision who deliver meaningful benefits. That's not really the case for centrism though!
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/o...
November 10, 2025 at 12:29 AM
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I havent read such a banger of an essay in a very long time. This is so well-written!
Maybe Don’t Talk to the New York Times About Zohran Mamdani
It’s remarkable, the people you’ll hear from. Teach for even a little while at an expensive institution—the term they tend to prefer is “elite”—and odds are that eventually someone who was a studen…
lithub.com
November 8, 2025 at 5:37 PM
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The media is rushing 300 “New York Jews worried about Mamdani antisemitism” fetch essays based on nothing but Mamdani being a Muslim meanwhile the Republican Party from top to toe has the confidence to wear nazi makeup every day knowing the press looks at it like the westworld bots seeing a polaroid
November 6, 2025 at 12:50 PM
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This NYT story about how Mamdani dealt with the opposition by the city's elites fails to mention one particular elite institution: The NYT editorial page, which last June railed against him as "uniquely unsuited to the city’s challenges... lacks political savvy"

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/04/n...
1/
How Zohran Mamdani Beat Back New York’s Elite and Was Elected Mayor
www.nytimes.com
November 5, 2025 at 12:16 PM
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The New York Times quickly sending out Douthat to argue that Mamdani’s victory doesn’t really matter is so predictable it borders on self-parody.

Remember, folks: Every time the Right wins an election, it’s an undeniable expression of the will of the people. If a lefty wins, it’s just a blip.
Opinion | Mamdani’s Victory Is Less Significant Than You Think
www.nytimes.com
November 5, 2025 at 5:27 PM
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the take home is that mamdani and his team did not ask permission. they aimed for power, they organized, and they won power

it does not matter how the democratic party reacts to this win. all that matters is that we raise up the people with vision, courage, and energy, and organize them into office
November 5, 2025 at 3:22 AM
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Dick Cheney Was Doing War Crimes in Exactly the Right Way, by Ezra Klein.
November 4, 2025 at 11:59 AM
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yeah why might it be harder for someone to break 50% in a three-way race versus a two-way race. obviously it has something to do with ideology.
The Better Things Aren't Possible Wing has declared Spanberger is The Future Of The Democratic Party with this transparently stupid line fed to one of their press familiars
November 4, 2025 at 10:22 AM
I'm assuming that the margin of error on that poll is greater than 9%.

Plenty of people will move to NYC if he becomes mayor.
CLOSE TO 9% OF NEW YORKERS MAY LEAVE IF MAMDANI BECOMES MAYOR: POLL A J.L. Partners poll for the Daily Mail shows that 9% of New Yorkers—about 765,000 people—would “definitely” leave the city if Zohran Mamdani wins. Another 2.12 million residents say they would consider leaving
November 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM
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We literally do disagree about this, though. Some politicians want to take food from children and some politicians don't. Pretending this "isn't political" just allows the child-starving ghouls to get away with it.

Tell people who supports the *political program* to feed children and who doesn't!
October 30, 2025 at 11:24 AM
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Nothing is inevitable. Effort is everything. Ignore the polls and run through the tape.

Vote: zohranfornyc.com/vote
Canvass + phonebank: zohranfornyc.com/gotv
October 30, 2025 at 2:21 PM
I think that the article is flawed overall and for the same reason.

The title, presentation, and data discussion seems designed to discourage, when the data (imo) should be seen as clearly encouraging for Zohran's team.

There are also some interesting choices for quotes that they used.
one thing in the otherwise excellent article I'd take issue with

this chart is presented as good news for Cuomo, but that is wrong

people 55-75 *always* predominate in early voting, this is a much more even age split than usual, a better aggregate demographic for Zohran than expected
October 29, 2025 at 12:56 PM