Federico
ffrey.bsky.social
Federico
@ffrey.bsky.social
Reposted by Federico
White smoke in Berlin: The new coalition seems to have agreed with the Greens on a massive debt brake change for defense, infrastructure and climate investments and the states. Structural space will more than triple from ~0,9 to 3+, exact number depending on how much defense spending will increase.
March 14, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Reposted by Federico
We are thrilled to anounce the release of the 2024 CHES-Europe at chesdata.eu/2024-chapel-.... As always, the data are freely available on the website.

Thank you to the hundreds of experts who share their expertise to make these data possible!
2024 Chapel Hill Expert Survey (CHES) — Chapel Hill Expert Survey
chesdata.eu
March 3, 2025 at 1:13 PM
Reposted by Federico
March 2, 2025 at 12:16 AM
Reposted by Federico
I went to the tesla protest for a thing I'm working on and I talked to several onlookers - not protesters - and asked them what they knew about Elon and Doge and I'm telling you people don't know
March 1, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by Federico
Whining as feats of strength
as much as anything, yesterday was a perfect example of how the modern conservative conception of toughness is completely at odds with actual toughness
March 1, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Reposted by Federico
🤡 La puñalada de Milei a Zelensky se escuchó hasta en Madagascar 🔪
La velocidad de la luz es de 300.000 Km por segundo, pero nada comparado con la velocidad con la que se han quitado los fachas la bandera de Ucrania del perfil en todas las redes.
February 25, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Reposted by Federico
Just days after being elected, Germany's incoming Chancellor Friedrich Merz promises to undermine the #ICC and welcome Netanyahu to the country: www.ft.com/content/99ab...
German election winner to welcome Benjamin Netanyahu despite ICC arrest warrant
Israeli prime minister’s office describes Friedrich Merz’s gesture as ‘overt defiance’ of international court
www.ft.com
February 25, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Reposted by Federico
The parallels to the Swiss social democrats in 2023 are evident:

1) Appeals to young (female) voters with a credible progressive agenda and heavy emphasis on housing
2) Strong results in urban centers
3) Rather young co-leadership
4) Targeted campaigning with clear appeals
The election proved the narrative wrong. For the Linke the election was a huge success while BSW failed to make it above the 5%-threshold. The Linke managed to win young progressives especially in cities. Ironically, this would probably not have been possbile had Wagenkencht stayed in the party
February 24, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Reposted by Federico
NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany:

Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.

www.ft.com/content/29fd...
February 24, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Reposted by Federico
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all?

Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
February 24, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Reposted by Federico
Goldman: "My Republican colleagues are so weak and afraid of Donald Trump that they're willing to undermine their own constitutional authority just to please them. You're giving away your own power in fealty to Donald Trump."
February 12, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Reposted by Federico
Just received this photo from a friend of a warehouse in Kinshasa. These are tuberculosis medications--ALREADY PAID FOR--that aren't being distributed due to the Trump Administration's stop work order.
TB treatment is being interrupted in SO many patients around the world. What does that mean? (1/2)
February 7, 2025 at 5:18 PM
Reposted by Federico
Requiring passports and birth certificates to register to vote is a gendered administrative burden. As detailed in my article on gendered administrative burden, formal identification is often used to coercively control women and transgendered individuals academic.oup.com/jpart/articl...
February 7, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Un podcast británico entrevistó a Helle Thorning-Schmidt (la ex PM de Dinamarca) y me parece tan raro escucharla tener tan claro que es la inspiración de Brigitte Nyborg en Borgen

Como que ella lo SABE
February 7, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Reposted by Federico
I remember Benghazi, the "emails", and the horror of Bill Clinton meeting Loretta Lynch on a tarmac. The media cared a lot about all of those things. Where are screaming headlines and non stop horror coverage over this?
Another USAID official said workers in high-risk areas were abruptly cut off from channels meant to inform them of safety risks, left without a way to communicate with their former agnecy and unsure if they would be paid for recent work. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
February 7, 2025 at 5:32 PM
La verdad si yo fuera Keir Starmer, haría el esfuerzo para que en el próximo presupuesto del Reino Unido duplicaran la plata que gastan en apoyo internacional. Gastaría lo mismo porcentualmente que Suecia y podría cubrir como la mitad de los compromisos de USAID. Sería tremendo golpe de soft poweer
February 6, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Reposted by Federico
🔎 What Do Populist Voters Really Want?
A new research note by @vinarceneaux.bsky.social
@cevipof.bsky.social sheds light on the political preferences of populist voters in France, Germany, and Italy during the 2024 European elections.
#Democracy #Populism
Read the note👇
tinyurl.com/2s3e5v4n
February 3, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Ustedes creen que el gabinete ministerial fue agresivo porque no han visto legisladores turcos mechoneandose
February 5, 2025 at 6:57 PM
Reposted by Federico
Quite the marmalade-dropper, this: 3 weeks before Germany's election, Angela Merkel has issued a statement criticising her own party for enabling ("with open eyes") a majority with the AfD. Effectively accuses Merz of breaking his pledge not to do so.

www.buero-bundeskanzlerin-ad.de/erklaerungen...
January 30, 2025 at 9:50 AM
Reposted by Federico
Passes 348:344 with votes of CDU, AfD & FDP (BSW abstains). Only 1 CDU MP votes no and 8 abstain (? unclear- the official website appears to be down, but it’s a shockingly small number). Shameful day for the German “centre”-right. The beginning of the end of the last(?) cordon sanitaire in Europe.
Looks like the CDU is willing to rely on AfD votes to push through new harsh anti-asylum measures next week. They will likely get Lindner’s FDP votes and Wagenknecht’s BSW as well. A terrible mistake they’ll come to regret.
Service für kommende Woche...

367 ist die magische Zahl:
Union 196
AfD 76 (Summe: 272)
Fraktionslos 9, davon 7 früher AfD (279)
FDP 90 (Summe: 369)

All eyes on FDP, I guess...
January 29, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Reposted by Federico
“Birth tourism: you’ve got to hand it to the fascists, they have a point”

“Lebensraum: how could we cut a deal on this good fiscal policy?”

“Pete Hegseth: he may be an alcoholic abusive Nazi, but his ties are on point”

“Canada: sovereignty is for losers, eh?”

What a couple of weeks for the NYT 🤦‍♂️
January 27, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Siempre he estado muy orgulloso de mis curries pero desde que conseguí galangal siento que la calidad se ha disparado
January 26, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Reposted by Federico
Last week, our research team launched The Dataset of World Refugee and Asylum Policies (DRWAP).

Video introducing the data: www.youtube.com/watch?v=J330...

Public dashboard to play with the data: datanalytics.worldbank.org/dwrap/

The dataset itself is hosted at: shorturl.at/NGr7v
Launch of the Dataset of World Refugee and Asylum Policies
YouTube video by Joint Data Center on Forced Displacement
www.youtube.com
January 24, 2025 at 12:23 PM