fabianjoya.bsky.social
@fabianjoya.bsky.social
Things I believe:
* Nuclear Power is the solution to global warming
* Social media is a tool for authoritarianism and a threat to civil society
* Crushing Russia in Ukraine will result in peace
* China is an evil empire
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The plow, the steam engine, electricity — all replaced muscle. AI replaces cognition. If you spend your day “reading lots of stuff and turning it into straight English,” well… so does the machine. The goal now is to learn from history and cushion the blow better than last time.
November 16, 2025 at 10:56 PM
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AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs and spike unemployment to 10% to 20% in the next one to five years, predicts Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei. cbsn.ws/44c6Vgk
November 17, 2025 at 1:12 AM
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OTD in 1998 Ukraine demolished 1st of 44 Tu-95 and Tu-160 strategic
bombers at Pryluky air force base as part of a written promise that we would never invade them.
November 16, 2025 at 8:46 AM
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Italy's exports to well-known transshipment hubs like Kyrgyzstan (lhs) and Armenia (rhs) are going through the roof. This is happening more than 3 years after the invasion of Ukraine. You can do this kind of thing, but it makes the EU ineffective as a geopolitical actor. You can't have it both ways.
November 16, 2025 at 1:26 PM
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"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public."
President Theodore Roosevelt
November 16, 2025 at 4:20 PM
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“We are not going to get to human-level AI just by scaling LLMs. There’s no way, absolutely no way, and whatever you can hear from some of my more adventurous colleagues, it’s not going to happen within the next two years. There’s absolutely no way in hell.” www.wsj.com/tech/ai/yann...
He’s Been Right About AI for 40 Years. Now He Thinks Everyone Is Wrong.
Yann LeCun invented many fundamental components of modern AI. Now he’s convinced most in his field have been led astray by the siren song of large language models.
www.wsj.com
November 15, 2025 at 10:33 PM
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When we think of traumatic events, we tend to focus exclusively on their cause - the accident, the attack...

In writing "The Confidence Map" I learned that no matter the cause, the impact of traumatic events was the same: feelings of extreme powerlessness & intense uncertainty.
November 15, 2025 at 1:22 PM
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It's too easy to be distracted by the economic story of the day. The more important story is of our system fraying: The rule of law is decaying, Bribery spreading, crony capitalism normalized. It won’t show up in next quarter’s data, but when our kids try to build their lives.
November 15, 2025 at 5:46 PM
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NEW: Jeffrey Epstein said in emails that he had been advising the Russian government on how to deal with Donald Trump, one of several cases in which he wielded his connections to try to influence the course of foreign affairs. w @nahaltoosi

www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
November 12, 2025 at 8:43 PM
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Good to see they're upset about the important things in this war.
November 13, 2025 at 10:11 AM
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Civil society has to hold together and pull forward until the Democratic Party changes. It makes no sense to wait for the Democrats as a party. What makes sense is shifting the ground underneath them.
From street marches to court battles to the ballot box - we’ve challenged the power of this exceptionally unpopular president.

The lesson from each success we've had is that we need to ramp the political pressure up, always up, not back down, now more than ever.
November 13, 2025 at 1:33 PM
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‘In 2010, the median age of all US homebuyers was 39 years old. Today, it is 59.’ www.apolloacademy.com/median-age-o...
November 13, 2025 at 3:19 PM
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‘In the U.S., surging AI demand is colliding with a fragile power grid, the kind of extreme bottleneck that Goldman Sachs warns could severely choke the industry’s growth. In China, it’s considered a “solved problem.”’ fortune.com/2025/08/14/d...
AI experts return from China stunned: The U.S. grid is so weak, the race may already be over | Fortune
China is “set up to hit grand slams,” longtime Chinese energy expert David Fishman told Fortune. “The U.S., at best, can get on base.”
fortune.com
November 13, 2025 at 4:26 PM
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I wonder if the United States can learn anything from the last time a major industrialized country decided to isolate itself from the rest of the world?

Almost a decade after the Brexit vote, GDP in the UK is around 6-8% lower relative to peer countries. (Source: www.nber.org/papers/w34459)
November 11, 2025 at 3:35 PM
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“For decades, Iranians fleeing persecution have found protection in the United States. But this fall, the Trump administration deported a planeload of people to Iran after making a deal with Tehran.”

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/11/w...
‘It Feels Like I’m in a Nightmare’: Inside the First Deportation Flight to Iran
www.nytimes.com
November 11, 2025 at 1:51 PM
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‘Chinese AI models currently rank at or near the top in every task from coding to video generation... China’s manufacturing sector, meanwhile, is rocketing past the U.S. in bringing AI into the physical world through robotaxis, autonomous drones and humanoid robots.’ www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-...
The AI Cold War That Will Redefine Everything
Beijing is betting that “swarms beat the titan.” Its push for warp speed progress stretches from the wealthy tech hubs on China’s coast to remote outposts a thousand miles inland.
www.wsj.com
November 11, 2025 at 5:15 PM
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‘Unlike 19th-century railroads, or the Dotcom boom’s fiber-optic cables, the graphics-processing units (GPUs) fueling today’s AI mania are short-lived assets with a shelf life of perhaps five years.’ www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
November 11, 2025 at 7:42 PM
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Norway may provide €100B from its welfare fund as collateral to unblock the transfer of frozen Russian assets to Ukraine — The Times.

Belgium is blocking the decision, but Oslo may use its €1.7T sovereign wealth fund to guarantee Brussels against any risks. 1/
November 12, 2025 at 2:54 AM
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Russia is preparing its final maneuver in Pokrovsk to capture the entire Donetsk region, says Syrskyi.
November 10, 2025 at 7:03 PM
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Jon Stewart "Can't F**king Believe" Democrats Caved on the Shutdown

youtu.be/eFI6MwlLJ08
Jon Stewart "Can't F**king Believe" Democrats Caved on the Shutdown | The Daily Show
YouTube video by The Daily Show
youtu.be
November 11, 2025 at 4:11 AM
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Morning update from @hoholenko.bsky.social
November 11, 2025 at 5:39 AM
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The fact that someone was fooled by a spoof from a website (literally) called the Dunning-Kruger Times has no bearing at all on my confidence that he would definitely have the upper hand in any negotiation with President Xi, or Putin.
With a “WOW!,” President Trump posts a claim about DOGE and “royalties linked to Obamacare” that originated on a satirical website. That site’s own About section reads: “Everything on this website is fiction… If you believe that it is real, you should have your head examined.”
November 9, 2025 at 9:13 PM
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Among Hungary, Poland, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, it was Hungary that exited Moscow's grip in 1990 with the highest GDP per capita.

The Russian-backed Orban regime has since looted the country to the point that it's now the lowest.
November 9, 2025 at 7:41 PM
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Our reporters interviewed 40 of the men the Trump administration sent to a notorious prison in El Salvador: They described being beaten, sexually assaulted by guards and driven to the brink of suicide. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/08/w...
‘You Are All Terrorists’: Four Months in a Salvadoran Prison
www.nytimes.com
November 9, 2025 at 2:41 AM