Alan Wager
@dralanwager.bsky.social
Politics, public opinion and public policy at the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change.
Email: a.wager@institute.global
Email: a.wager@institute.global
Reposted by Alan Wager
Today's 70% fall in net migration to 205,000 was not one of the six stories in BBC ten o'clock news.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
November 27, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Today's 70% fall in net migration to 205,000 was not one of the six stories in BBC ten o'clock news.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
Reposted by Alan Wager
It’s worth noting that on the figures from earlier today - which seem very credible to me - the lost tax revenue as a result of Brexit could have covered the forecast downgrade and all new spending commitments more than twice over.
November 26, 2025 at 1:18 PM
It’s worth noting that on the figures from earlier today - which seem very credible to me - the lost tax revenue as a result of Brexit could have covered the forecast downgrade and all new spending commitments more than twice over.
Reposted by Alan Wager
Are you an immigrant and want to understand our crazy society better? Then listen to MORE JAM TOMORROW!
November 24, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Are you an immigrant and want to understand our crazy society better? Then listen to MORE JAM TOMORROW!
Reposted by Alan Wager
Reposted by Alan Wager
"What is certain, and felt instinctively by almost everybody, is that things cannot go on in their present way" – The Times, May 1975
“It is difficult to imagine a previous period when such an all-pervasive hopelessness was exhibited at all levels of British life” – Professor Stephen Haseler, 1975
“It is difficult to imagine a previous period when such an all-pervasive hopelessness was exhibited at all levels of British life” – Professor Stephen Haseler, 1975
November 14, 2025 at 9:13 AM
"What is certain, and felt instinctively by almost everybody, is that things cannot go on in their present way" – The Times, May 1975
“It is difficult to imagine a previous period when such an all-pervasive hopelessness was exhibited at all levels of British life” – Professor Stephen Haseler, 1975
“It is difficult to imagine a previous period when such an all-pervasive hopelessness was exhibited at all levels of British life” – Professor Stephen Haseler, 1975
Reposted by Alan Wager
Some Labour insiders think Team Starmer were following the Brownite playbook… but the outcome was significantly different. Great piece by @ecourea.bsky.social & co
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
November 13, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Some Labour insiders think Team Starmer were following the Brownite playbook… but the outcome was significantly different. Great piece by @ecourea.bsky.social & co
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Reposted by Alan Wager
I wonder if the United States can learn anything from the last time a major industrialized country decided to isolate itself from the rest of the world?
Almost a decade after the Brexit vote, GDP in the UK is around 6-8% lower relative to peer countries. (Source: www.nber.org/papers/w34459)
Almost a decade after the Brexit vote, GDP in the UK is around 6-8% lower relative to peer countries. (Source: www.nber.org/papers/w34459)
November 11, 2025 at 3:35 PM
I wonder if the United States can learn anything from the last time a major industrialized country decided to isolate itself from the rest of the world?
Almost a decade after the Brexit vote, GDP in the UK is around 6-8% lower relative to peer countries. (Source: www.nber.org/papers/w34459)
Almost a decade after the Brexit vote, GDP in the UK is around 6-8% lower relative to peer countries. (Source: www.nber.org/papers/w34459)
Reposted by Alan Wager
Striking chart from Chris Clarke of total net satisfaction with all 3 main party leaders: voters have gone off them since 2010 parables.substack.com
October 23, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Striking chart from Chris Clarke of total net satisfaction with all 3 main party leaders: voters have gone off them since 2010 parables.substack.com
Reposted by Alan Wager
Reposted by Alan Wager
In half an hour
⏰ TOMORROW ⏰
🌍 Global instability has become the new normal and our multilateral system seems increasingly fragile
Join our expert panel @anandmenon.bsky.social, Fiona Hill, Rana Mitter, Margaret MacMillan and @fromtga.bsky.social as they discuss key challenges👇
ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
🌍 Global instability has become the new normal and our multilateral system seems increasingly fragile
Join our expert panel @anandmenon.bsky.social, Fiona Hill, Rana Mitter, Margaret MacMillan and @fromtga.bsky.social as they discuss key challenges👇
ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
UKICE Lunch Hour: Confronting foreign policy challenges - UK in a changing Europe
UK in a Changing Europe has assembled a panel of some of the world's top experts to analyse on the key foreign policy challenges we face.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 11, 2025 at 12:27 PM
In half an hour
Reposted by Alan Wager
You cannot imagine the chaos unpicking salary sacrifice schemes for pension contributions would cause the NHS, especially at the senior levels. Absolutely insane idea.
November 11, 2025 at 10:49 AM
You cannot imagine the chaos unpicking salary sacrifice schemes for pension contributions would cause the NHS, especially at the senior levels. Absolutely insane idea.
Good on Ed Davey – speaking up for and defending Britain’s institutions in the face of nefarious actors.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The first step towards saving our precious BBC: remove Robbie Gibb from the board | Ed Davey
The BBC belongs to all of us, and it is under attack as never before. The government must defend it from its enemies, within and without, says Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey
www.theguardian.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:20 PM
Good on Ed Davey – speaking up for and defending Britain’s institutions in the face of nefarious actors.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
😂
I do like how, in the bit of Prescott's memo where he criticises the BBC for editing together different parts of Trump's speech, his own quote of "what Trump actually said" is... edited together from different parts of his speech.
November 10, 2025 at 9:54 AM
😂
Reposted by Alan Wager
This is the most abysmal, pathetic thing. The BBC head resigning because the corporation is not supine *enough* to the far-right.
🔴 Breaking I Davie faced mounting criticism that a Panorama documentary misled viewers by editing a speech by Donald Trump
➡️ Read more: trib.al/I0iw7aP
➡️ Read more: trib.al/I0iw7aP
November 9, 2025 at 6:16 PM
This is the most abysmal, pathetic thing. The BBC head resigning because the corporation is not supine *enough* to the far-right.
Reposted by Alan Wager
New York millionaires: threatening to flee the city since 2009
November 7, 2025 at 9:36 PM
New York millionaires: threatening to flee the city since 2009
Reposted by Alan Wager
Prime minister confident social media ban will work and will empower Australia’s parents - ABC News www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
'The world is watching': PM says he's confident social media ban will work
Anthony Albanese says he is confident Australia's social media age limit will be a success when it begins next month.
www.abc.net.au
November 7, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Prime minister confident social media ban will work and will empower Australia’s parents - ABC News www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Reposted by Alan Wager
Glasman is an absolute weirdo.
With Maurice Glasman and Dominic Lawson calling for the return of the stocks, we find most Britons opposed - although Reform voters are divided
All Britons: 21% support / 72% oppose
Lib Dem: 12% / 85%
Labour: 12% / 83%
Green: 13% / 82%
Con: 28% / 64%
Reform: 43% / 48%
yougov.co.uk/society/arti...
All Britons: 21% support / 72% oppose
Lib Dem: 12% / 85%
Labour: 12% / 83%
Green: 13% / 82%
Con: 28% / 64%
Reform: 43% / 48%
yougov.co.uk/society/arti...
November 7, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Glasman is an absolute weirdo.
Reposted by Alan Wager
"Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
November 7, 2025 at 8:17 AM
"Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Reposted by Alan Wager
The Thick of It 2025 edition.
Where would the characters of The Thick of It be in 2025? @dmk1793.bsky.social gives his take.
Full episode here 👉 linktr.ee/ohgodwhatnow...
#thethickofit #thickofit #malcolmtucker
Where would the characters of The Thick of It be in 2025? @dmk1793.bsky.social gives his take.
Full episode here 👉 linktr.ee/ohgodwhatnow...
#thethickofit #thickofit #malcolmtucker
November 6, 2025 at 3:40 PM
The Thick of It 2025 edition.
Where would the characters of The Thick of It be in 2025? @dmk1793.bsky.social gives his take.
Full episode here 👉 linktr.ee/ohgodwhatnow...
#thethickofit #thickofit #malcolmtucker
Where would the characters of The Thick of It be in 2025? @dmk1793.bsky.social gives his take.
Full episode here 👉 linktr.ee/ohgodwhatnow...
#thethickofit #thickofit #malcolmtucker
Reposted by Alan Wager
For anyone still tempted to take Dominic Cummings at all seriously, he's now an advocate of Donald Trump-style open racism.
November 6, 2025 at 2:26 PM
For anyone still tempted to take Dominic Cummings at all seriously, he's now an advocate of Donald Trump-style open racism.
Reposted by Alan Wager
I wanted to do this 15 years ago but only got support to create the option for schools to do this voluntarily. Would make a big difference.
A quota of 15% of school places should be given to pupils eligible for free school meals to ensure they have an equitable chance of attending an effective school, @bristoluni.bsky.social research suggests
Call for schools to have FSM pupil places quota
Giving pupils who receive free school meals priority for 15 per cent of places in schools could create a more equitable admissions system, researchers suggest
www.tes.com
November 6, 2025 at 7:51 AM
I wanted to do this 15 years ago but only got support to create the option for schools to do this voluntarily. Would make a big difference.
Superb stuff from @nickanstead.bsky.social.
The Celebrity Traitors are behaving like a more fragmented and volatile electorate. Perhaps because they have less on the line?
The Celebrity Traitors are behaving like a more fragmented and volatile electorate. Perhaps because they have less on the line?
November 6, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Superb stuff from @nickanstead.bsky.social.
The Celebrity Traitors are behaving like a more fragmented and volatile electorate. Perhaps because they have less on the line?
The Celebrity Traitors are behaving like a more fragmented and volatile electorate. Perhaps because they have less on the line?
Hell of a line up assembled by m’former colleagues here.
💥 Don't miss our next Lunch Hour💥
🌎 Join us for a discussion on foreign policy and the challenge to multilateralism
With leading experts @anandmenon.bsky.social, Fiona Hill, Margaret MacMillan, Rana Mitter and @fromtga.bsky.social
💻 Online
📍Tues 11 Nov, 1pm GMT
ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
🌎 Join us for a discussion on foreign policy and the challenge to multilateralism
With leading experts @anandmenon.bsky.social, Fiona Hill, Margaret MacMillan, Rana Mitter and @fromtga.bsky.social
💻 Online
📍Tues 11 Nov, 1pm GMT
ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
UKICE Lunch Hour: Confronting foreign policy challenges - UK in a changing Europe
UK in a Changing Europe has assembled a panel of some of the world's top experts to analyse on the key foreign policy challenges we face.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Hell of a line up assembled by m’former colleagues here.
Reposted by Alan Wager
The patterns by neighborhood rent look quite different, and the relationship with education level is also more nuanced. A small 3% gap to Cuomo in precincts with incomes above $200,000 indicates that Mamdani performed relatively well in these areas.
November 6, 2025 at 8:25 AM
The patterns by neighborhood rent look quite different, and the relationship with education level is also more nuanced. A small 3% gap to Cuomo in precincts with incomes above $200,000 indicates that Mamdani performed relatively well in these areas.