Alex Sutherland
@criminologist.bsky.social
Criminology, public policy, research and experiments
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Very honored by this; thank you Andrew! Wish I could have made it to the conference this year to celebrate! Also, important to note this research was made possible with funding from the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research for the PHDCN's fifth wave.
I also want to congratulate @clanfear.bsky.social, David Kirk and Rob Sampson, whose paper “Dual pathways of concealed gun carrying and use from adolescence to adulthood over a 25-year era of change” was one of two selected for honorable mention by the 2025 Greenwald Award Independent Review Panel!
November 26, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Very honored by this; thank you Andrew! Wish I could have made it to the conference this year to celebrate! Also, important to note this research was made possible with funding from the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research for the PHDCN's fifth wave.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Congratulations to @rsbeidas.bsky.social and her team for winning the $5000 Greenwald Award for research on firearm violence prevention for their paper, "Implementation of a Secure Firearm Storage Program in Pediatric Primary Care: A Cluster Randomized Trial"! static1.squarespace.com/static/63924...
static1.squarespace.com
November 24, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Congratulations to @rsbeidas.bsky.social and her team for winning the $5000 Greenwald Award for research on firearm violence prevention for their paper, "Implementation of a Secure Firearm Storage Program in Pediatric Primary Care: A Cluster Randomized Trial"! static1.squarespace.com/static/63924...
"Is [ANOTHER] of the most famous social psychology studies of all time a lie?"
Fixed it.
Fixed it.
NEW: When Propecy Fails is one of the most famous social psychology books of all time, a look at a small group of UFO believers when the “spacemen” failed to land. I wrote about a new study from an independent researcher who says the book is not what it seems. www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
It’s one of the most influential social psychology studies ever. Was it all a lie?
A classic book on UFO believers and their "cognitive dissonance" after aliens failed to land is called into question.
www.motherjones.com
November 26, 2025 at 2:42 PM
"Is [ANOTHER] of the most famous social psychology studies of all time a lie?"
Fixed it.
Fixed it.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
one of the coolest things about ChatGPT is how you can actually just never use it. you can fill your whole entire life with simply not once using it. it's incredible.
November 25, 2025 at 4:15 PM
one of the coolest things about ChatGPT is how you can actually just never use it. you can fill your whole entire life with simply not once using it. it's incredible.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Jakob and the CMA have done really superb economic research over the last years - this is a great "best of" thread
Yesterday was my last day at the CMA.
It has been a real honour helping to build its research function over the last three years. This therefore seems like a good opportunity to highlight a few things we have published in recent years.
1/
It has been a real honour helping to build its research function over the last three years. This therefore seems like a good opportunity to highlight a few things we have published in recent years.
1/
November 25, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Jakob and the CMA have done really superb economic research over the last years - this is a great "best of" thread
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
![Comic: Typical Geologic core sample. [Cylindrical core sample with labels for difference sections from top to bottom] Topsoil, till, granite bedrock, bottomsoil, roof of subway car, floor of subway car, more granite, municipal water main [gouge in core sample], slightly different granite, piece of screaming spelunker’s forearm, cool crystals with no resale value, mangled fragments of drillbit from previous attempt, some boring intrusive rock that’s basically granite but has a name like “diorite” or “Andalite” that you always have to look up, netherrack, Balrog wing. [break between next chunk of core sample] Granite, topsoil, cement, floorboards, carpet, possessions of a confused and angry homeowner in the other hemisphere.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:cz73r7iyiqn26upot4jtjdhk/bafkreicffnydtpbb2x24cfbblv2qtcwbr37zyw44vtqx47ocj2a26b2j2u@jpeg)
November 25, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
This is wild!
Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.
Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.
November 25, 2025 at 9:07 PM
This is wild!
Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.
Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Sacks is saying exactly what you’d say to prop up a bubble
November 25, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Sacks is saying exactly what you’d say to prop up a bubble
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
How many goes did this take?
November 25, 2025 at 5:02 PM
How many goes did this take?
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
S-Values are much more interpretable than P-values, yet adoption seems near impossible. I wonder what it would take to make the leap? #statssky #episky #rstats #statistics
October 10, 2025 at 3:50 PM
S-Values are much more interpretable than P-values, yet adoption seems near impossible. I wonder what it would take to make the leap? #statssky #episky #rstats #statistics
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
A small but significant step: Dutch national broadcaster NOS is leaving X.
“The volume of hateful comments and disinformation on X is enormous and flows freely. This also applies under our own posts, meaning we unintentionally contribute to their spread”
over.nos.nl/nieuws/nos-p...
“The volume of hateful comments and disinformation on X is enormous and flows freely. This also applies under our own posts, meaning we unintentionally contribute to their spread”
over.nos.nl/nieuws/nos-p...
NOS plaatst vanaf vandaag geen nieuwsberichten meer op X - Over NOS
De NOS en Nieuwsuur (NOS/NTR) zijn gestopt met posten op X. Het platform past niet meer bij onze visie op...
over.nos.nl
November 25, 2025 at 11:13 AM
A small but significant step: Dutch national broadcaster NOS is leaving X.
“The volume of hateful comments and disinformation on X is enormous and flows freely. This also applies under our own posts, meaning we unintentionally contribute to their spread”
over.nos.nl/nieuws/nos-p...
“The volume of hateful comments and disinformation on X is enormous and flows freely. This also applies under our own posts, meaning we unintentionally contribute to their spread”
over.nos.nl/nieuws/nos-p...
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
HIRING: We have a great opportunity for someone passionate about solving the housing crisis to join our team and help develop the policies we need to secure affordable, safe homes for everyone!
Find out more and apply by midnight, 30 November: neweconomics.org/about/work-w...
Find out more and apply by midnight, 30 November: neweconomics.org/about/work-w...
November 25, 2025 at 12:33 PM
HIRING: We have a great opportunity for someone passionate about solving the housing crisis to join our team and help develop the policies we need to secure affordable, safe homes for everyone!
Find out more and apply by midnight, 30 November: neweconomics.org/about/work-w...
Find out more and apply by midnight, 30 November: neweconomics.org/about/work-w...
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Working on AI trust, security, or related areas? @manchester.ac.uk has advertised three Fellowships (up to 3 years) for postdoctoral researchers who are within four years of completing their PhD www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
AI Trust and Security Fellow:Oxford Road
The Faculty of Humanities has recently received a new £4.73m University investment in AI Trust and Security to drive the Faculty’s vision to be a research leader this field. The investment will help us to build an interdisciplinary research team working in the broad field of AI Trust and Security to build on our existing strengths in Digital Trust, Security and Society. At UoM, we see AI security as part of a set of broader issues of trust and trustworthiness, distrust and trust exploitation, and trust-building and resilience, and promote an interdisciplinary approach to these issues.
www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk
November 25, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Working on AI trust, security, or related areas? @manchester.ac.uk has advertised three Fellowships (up to 3 years) for postdoctoral researchers who are within four years of completing their PhD www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
On Bregman, I was there in the audience and I can’t see what the BBC have gained by removing this line except more bad publicity. I will say that no such edits or censorship occurred when I gave the Reith Lectures and free-speech defenders might want think about whether this is the world they want.
November 25, 2025 at 12:11 PM
On Bregman, I was there in the audience and I can’t see what the BBC have gained by removing this line except more bad publicity. I will say that no such edits or censorship occurred when I gave the Reith Lectures and free-speech defenders might want think about whether this is the world they want.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 AM
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Randall’s made me laugh a lot but that’s the first time he’s made me cry.
Properly moving xkcd
xkcd.com/3172/
xkcd.com/3172/
Fifteen Years
xkcd.com
November 25, 2025 at 7:49 AM
Randall’s made me laugh a lot but that’s the first time he’s made me cry.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
I guess it’s a compliment that the top story on BBC London’s TV/online output today is a direct lift of a month-old London Centric story? But once again the BBC is consistently the worst news outlet for actually remembering to credit others.
November 25, 2025 at 7:52 AM
I guess it’s a compliment that the top story on BBC London’s TV/online output today is a direct lift of a month-old London Centric story? But once again the BBC is consistently the worst news outlet for actually remembering to credit others.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Popped over to X and searched for "English Patriot". Only took a few seconds to start finding the fake accounts from English Patriots who aren't in England.
November 24, 2025 at 11:06 AM
Popped over to X and searched for "English Patriot". Only took a few seconds to start finding the fake accounts from English Patriots who aren't in England.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
It's amazing how often I have cause to post this cartoon of mine. Two armchairs vulgarly roasting each other.
November 24, 2025 at 1:48 PM
It's amazing how often I have cause to post this cartoon of mine. Two armchairs vulgarly roasting each other.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
Most scientists don't understand how effect sizes work and are therefore far too quick to dismiss "small" effects.
A correlation of .03 between taking aspirin & prevention of future heart attacks implied the prevention of 85 attacks in a sample of 10,845 people
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
A correlation of .03 between taking aspirin & prevention of future heart attacks implied the prevention of 85 attacks in a sample of 10,845 people
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
November 23, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Most scientists don't understand how effect sizes work and are therefore far too quick to dismiss "small" effects.
A correlation of .03 between taking aspirin & prevention of future heart attacks implied the prevention of 85 attacks in a sample of 10,845 people
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
A correlation of .03 between taking aspirin & prevention of future heart attacks implied the prevention of 85 attacks in a sample of 10,845 people
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
In case you missed it: our investigation into how Sky Bet relocated to Malta to avoid £55m of tax/year This kind of thing is often reported as "perfectly proper, and there's no suggestion that any laws were broken".
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
November 23, 2025 at 9:34 AM
In case you missed it: our investigation into how Sky Bet relocated to Malta to avoid £55m of tax/year This kind of thing is often reported as "perfectly proper, and there's no suggestion that any laws were broken".
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
"You mutter 'What fresh hell is this?' every ten minutes."
America in 2025 or Hollow Knight: Silksong?
1. It’s the hotly anticipated sequel of a late 2010s, grimdark existential nightmare. 2. The economy is really, really bad. Like. Really bad. 3. Th...
buff.ly
November 22, 2025 at 5:30 PM
"You mutter 'What fresh hell is this?' every ten minutes."
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
“By 2020, the growth team had determined that a private-by-default setting would result in a loss of 1.5M monthly active teens/yr on Insta. The plaintiffs’ brief quotes an employee: “taking away unwanted interactions… is likely to lead to a potentially untenable problem with engagement and growth”
Make morality cool again.
Make sex trafficking & sex crimes shameful & punishable again. No matter who does them.
Make sex trafficking & sex crimes shameful & punishable again. No matter who does them.
Sex trafficking on Meta platforms was both difficult to report and widely tolerated. Instagram’s former head of safety testified that when she joined Meta in 2020 she was shocked to learn the company had a “17x” strike policy for accounts that engaged in the “trafficking of humans for sex.”
November 22, 2025 at 11:43 PM
“By 2020, the growth team had determined that a private-by-default setting would result in a loss of 1.5M monthly active teens/yr on Insta. The plaintiffs’ brief quotes an employee: “taking away unwanted interactions… is likely to lead to a potentially untenable problem with engagement and growth”
Framed as prosocial etc but it could just be...
... people look up to notice batman and then notice the other stooge.
... people look up to notice batman and then notice the other stooge.
Science will often take you to unexpected and delightful places. In this study, researchers hypothesized that riders in a crowded subway car would be more likely to offer their seat to a pregnant person if there were someone in the subway car dressed as Batman 🧪🦇
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
November 23, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Framed as prosocial etc but it could just be...
... people look up to notice batman and then notice the other stooge.
... people look up to notice batman and then notice the other stooge.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
