Adam Zelizer
@adamzelizer.bsky.social
Assistant professor of Political Economy at Chicago Harris interested in legislatures, RCTs, and locked room mysteries.
Reposted by Adam Zelizer
🪃Do legislators trade proposals?
➡️Leveraging a lottery in the Canadian Parliament, @semrasevi.bsky.social & D.P. Green find little evidence MPs second motions to gain favor. Support seems driven by shared interests, not quid pro quo www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Leveraging a lottery in the Canadian Parliament, @semrasevi.bsky.social & D.P. Green find little evidence MPs second motions to gain favor. Support seems driven by shared interests, not quid pro quo www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
July 21, 2025 at 10:57 AM
🪃Do legislators trade proposals?
➡️Leveraging a lottery in the Canadian Parliament, @semrasevi.bsky.social & D.P. Green find little evidence MPs second motions to gain favor. Support seems driven by shared interests, not quid pro quo www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️Leveraging a lottery in the Canadian Parliament, @semrasevi.bsky.social & D.P. Green find little evidence MPs second motions to gain favor. Support seems driven by shared interests, not quid pro quo www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Shocking refusal of an econ journal to correct (retract) a clearly flawed, misleading, and dishonest paper. Kudos to the replicators.
1/ The paper claimed that the reform caused a jump in rape by 50–60 percent. This seemed hard to reconcile with the flat time trend in reported rapes around the time of the reform.
May 9, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Shocking refusal of an econ journal to correct (retract) a clearly flawed, misleading, and dishonest paper. Kudos to the replicators.
Reposted by Adam Zelizer
Zombie finding cited by Zephyr Teachout on @ezraklein.bsky.social pod www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/o.... Alas, that study did not hold up:
"Remember that study saying America is an oligarchy? 3 rebuttals say it’s wrong." www.vox.com/2016/5/9/115...
"Remember that study saying America is an oligarchy? 3 rebuttals say it’s wrong." www.vox.com/2016/5/9/115...
April 30, 2025 at 12:49 PM
Zombie finding cited by Zephyr Teachout on @ezraklein.bsky.social pod www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/o.... Alas, that study did not hold up:
"Remember that study saying America is an oligarchy? 3 rebuttals say it’s wrong." www.vox.com/2016/5/9/115...
"Remember that study saying America is an oligarchy? 3 rebuttals say it’s wrong." www.vox.com/2016/5/9/115...
Lots of angles to the Columbia story, but the fact a majority of the board are MBAs suggests businesspeople have no idea what a university is for.
March 22, 2025 at 12:59 AM
Lots of angles to the Columbia story, but the fact a majority of the board are MBAs suggests businesspeople have no idea what a university is for.
Reposted by Adam Zelizer
News that Columbia is considering ceding to the Trump admin’s demands that it change how it regulate speech on campus and teaches students in order to continue to receive federal funds made me think of this passage from a speech that UChicago President William Rainey Harper gave in 1900
March 20, 2025 at 12:54 PM
News that Columbia is considering ceding to the Trump admin’s demands that it change how it regulate speech on campus and teaches students in order to continue to receive federal funds made me think of this passage from a speech that UChicago President William Rainey Harper gave in 1900
Honest question - opinion here seems to be Dems were wrong to pass the CR. What would be the goal of opposing?
1) Symbolic resistance is important even if it won no concessions.
2) Opposing would have gained concessions.
3) Opposing would have forced Rs into tactical blunders.
Something else?
1) Symbolic resistance is important even if it won no concessions.
2) Opposing would have gained concessions.
3) Opposing would have forced Rs into tactical blunders.
Something else?
March 14, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Honest question - opinion here seems to be Dems were wrong to pass the CR. What would be the goal of opposing?
1) Symbolic resistance is important even if it won no concessions.
2) Opposing would have gained concessions.
3) Opposing would have forced Rs into tactical blunders.
Something else?
1) Symbolic resistance is important even if it won no concessions.
2) Opposing would have gained concessions.
3) Opposing would have forced Rs into tactical blunders.
Something else?
What are the chances Trump imposes the tariffs so he can talk about them tomorrow, then drops them Wednesday?
March 4, 2025 at 3:29 AM
What are the chances Trump imposes the tariffs so he can talk about them tomorrow, then drops them Wednesday?
Agree 100% with this. The tea party movement was not led by Republican elected officials. Interest groups, candidates, and the grassroots (and astroturfed roots) created a resistance movement that changed the party.
My qualified defense, and a qualified critique, of Jeffries and Schumer basically boils down to the fact that they are acting as legislative leaders (their putative jobs) rather than political leaders (what many Democrats, and others, want from them right now). A quick thread
I think there is a lot of conflation going on between Jeffries and Schumer on one hand and “Democrats” and “the party” on the other
March 3, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Agree 100% with this. The tea party movement was not led by Republican elected officials. Interest groups, candidates, and the grassroots (and astroturfed roots) created a resistance movement that changed the party.
Reposted by Adam Zelizer
Raisin’ Cane sounds like a breakfast cereal.
February 22, 2025 at 2:09 AM
Raisin’ Cane sounds like a breakfast cereal.
Here’s a question - if the current admin cuts workforce but Congress doesn’t cut funding (a big if), will that extra funding just accrue to the next administration?
February 20, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Here’s a question - if the current admin cuts workforce but Congress doesn’t cut funding (a big if), will that extra funding just accrue to the next administration?
You don’t trade your 25-yo face if the franchise for an again star, making your team worse now and in the future. It’s an all-time bad trade.
You’d rather tie your hopes to ‘mercurial’ star Kyrie Irving?
You’d rather tie your hopes to ‘mercurial’ star Kyrie Irving?
This feels like a Florida Marlins-type fan base/franchise murder-suicide.
The Cavs have 91 PTS. At halftime.
February 2, 2025 at 10:23 PM
You don’t trade your 25-yo face if the franchise for an again star, making your team worse now and in the future. It’s an all-time bad trade.
You’d rather tie your hopes to ‘mercurial’ star Kyrie Irving?
You’d rather tie your hopes to ‘mercurial’ star Kyrie Irving?
If anyone still thinks the election was about inflation, I don’t know what to tell em. Everything Trump ran on would only raise prices, and now he’s doing it.
February 2, 2025 at 5:07 PM
If anyone still thinks the election was about inflation, I don’t know what to tell em. Everything Trump ran on would only raise prices, and now he’s doing it.
Dallas: “Lukas out of shape, so he’s always getting injured.”
*Trades for Anthony Davis, who’s older and always hurt*
*Trades for Anthony Davis, who’s older and always hurt*
February 2, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Dallas: “Lukas out of shape, so he’s always getting injured.”
*Trades for Anthony Davis, who’s older and always hurt*
*Trades for Anthony Davis, who’s older and always hurt*
And, as always, randomize.
Life hack: If you're going to eat foods of questionable vintage out of your fridge, I recommend only eating one such food at a time, for identification purposes.
January 22, 2025 at 12:33 AM
And, as always, randomize.
If states can’t rescind their ratifications of amendments, we’re going to have a lot of fun at the upcoming constitutional convention.
January 17, 2025 at 5:09 PM
If states can’t rescind their ratifications of amendments, we’re going to have a lot of fun at the upcoming constitutional convention.
Reposted by Adam Zelizer
Replacement of moderate with more extreme legislators, driven by Republicans & mostly on cultural issues, explains virtually all of recent partisan polarization in Congress; data from candidate surveys holding the policy agenda constant from 1996 to 2008.
harris.uchicago.edu/sites/defaul...
harris.uchicago.edu/sites/defaul...
harris.uchicago.edu
January 16, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Replacement of moderate with more extreme legislators, driven by Republicans & mostly on cultural issues, explains virtually all of recent partisan polarization in Congress; data from candidate surveys holding the policy agenda constant from 1996 to 2008.
harris.uchicago.edu/sites/defaul...
harris.uchicago.edu/sites/defaul...
Even with a mismatch James Franklin coaches a terrible game. Kaytron Allen was unstoppable but Penn State threw the ball most of the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
January 1, 2025 at 4:44 AM
Even with a mismatch James Franklin coaches a terrible game. Kaytron Allen was unstoppable but Penn State threw the ball most of the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
More surprising than Penn State getting SMU and Boise in the first two rounds are that they play Florida State in the semis and, if they make the final, the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
January 1, 2025 at 4:43 AM
More surprising than Penn State getting SMU and Boise in the first two rounds are that they play Florida State in the semis and, if they make the final, the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
There are so many fewer roll call votes than decades ago - and on different types of questions - that I really wonder what we can make out of contemporary nominate scores.
@jamiedupree.bsky.social ’s count: In 2024, the Senate cast 339 roll-call votes, 152 of which were votes on or about judicial nominations (44.8%). Only 14 roll-call votes were cast on amendments to bills—4 last night.
December 21, 2024 at 9:13 PM
There are so many fewer roll call votes than decades ago - and on different types of questions - that I really wonder what we can make out of contemporary nominate scores.
Reposted by Adam Zelizer
I'm not an experimentalist, but this does seem to highlight concerns with the publication standards of those methods.
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
December 4, 2024 at 5:25 PM
I'm not an experimentalist, but this does seem to highlight concerns with the publication standards of those methods.
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...
The Hunter Biden pardon is really going to hurt Joe’s chances of being the nominee in 2028.
December 2, 2024 at 4:30 AM
The Hunter Biden pardon is really going to hurt Joe’s chances of being the nominee in 2028.
Reposted by Adam Zelizer
The idea behind the main comparison is so simple I can't believe no one has done it before. (I mean this as high praise!)
November 27, 2024 at 5:45 PM
The idea behind the main comparison is so simple I can't believe no one has done it before. (I mean this as high praise!)
I'd love to cite an academic article on this point - about differential expressive responding. Has anyone studied it? Should be easy to demonstrate across a range of surveys.
One thing media organizations that report on sentiment are going to have to get used to noting is that while Democrats and Republicans both do expressive responding to polls, Republicans seem to do it more.
psychologically speaking, it is very interesting that so many people look up at the sky and around at their surroundings and decide how America is doing based on who controls the White House *when absolutely no policy change has happened yet*
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/11/22/america…
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/11/22/america…
November 22, 2024 at 5:45 PM
I'd love to cite an academic article on this point - about differential expressive responding. Has anyone studied it? Should be easy to demonstrate across a range of surveys.