Joel Wertheimer
wertwhile.bsky.social
Joel Wertheimer
@wertwhile.bsky.social
Civil rights attorney. COYS.
Every Christmas Eve there are about 10 moments of A Very Murray Christmas that I sort of forget how much I enjoy them. Miley Cyrus hitting the note on “Heavenly” is >>>>>
December 25, 2025 at 5:06 AM
The top 16 links @avizenilman.bsky.social sent his wife Noreen Malone this year that she did not open, from @maxread.info maxread.substack.com/p/the-read-m...
December 23, 2025 at 5:50 PM
Really need a maps app to add a feature that allows minimizing 5th percentile outcomes. Getting to the airport on time is really not about the mean!
December 23, 2025 at 4:41 PM
@peark.es do you have a sense of what's responsible for the persistent gap in GDI and GDP?
December 23, 2025 at 2:36 PM
This is why on some level I prefer renting and financially it’s a no brainer right now. www.nytimes.com/interactive/... But obviously when you have kids being certain about your living situation is really important.
It's always FOMO on homeownership but never FOMO on "hearing a strange noise in the basement and mentally doing the math on whether there's enough money in the emergency fund to cover a new furnace"
December 22, 2025 at 6:52 PM
And yes the actual level of crime matters not just media perceptions and probably good for liberalism across the country.
December 22, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
good thread

the policy claims in that Casten thread don't stand up to scrutiny
The @seancasten.bsky.social thread on @mattyglesias.bsky.social's O&G article gets basic stuff wrong.
- "keep it in the ground" is an outcome, not a strategy
- US net exports of O&G are good for decarb, particularly if we redistribute producer earnings and invest in clean energy + electrification
December 20, 2025 at 9:10 PM
People are mad at Schumer for this but I would like to understand what he should do that would satisfy people?
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer says he's introducing a resolution directing the Senate to "initiate legal action against the DOJ for its blatant disregard of the law in its refusal to release the complete Epstein files."
December 22, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Fantastic map from @jeffasher.bsky.social showing just how broad the homicide decline in the US was this year. jasher.substack.com/p/2025-year-...
December 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
That's the most "it's not a penalty because he got a shot off" NFL call I've ever seen.
December 22, 2025 at 4:11 AM
A smart propagandist would slowly change CBS News from the NYT to about the WSJ, putting the thumb on the scale slowly. This is so ham-fisted I struggle to see it working rather than just ruining the brand value of CBS News.
December 22, 2025 at 2:30 AM
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
the vice president is a klansman
JD Vance: "In the United States of America you don't have to apologize for being white anymore"
December 21, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Per a Fox News poll support for bans on cell phones in school very high as is support for vaccines. Sure do wish use of national guard and bombing boats in Venezuela were more negative but I’ll take negative at all.
December 21, 2025 at 1:03 PM
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
Remains absolutely wild to me we have a functional cure for HIV/AIDS.
December 21, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
legitimately love this guy.
It’s the “season of love and giving”…but this year, doesn’t it seem more like a “season of fear and taking”? Like many of you, I’ve been saddened by the human impact of draconian government budget cuts and how angry many housed Americans are at unhoused Americans.

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December 21, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Well that was very cool
December 21, 2025 at 4:30 AM
Spurs fans who want Frank fired mid season really aren’t thinking things through imo. It’s not good or helpful. If he’s ball all year then just go hire one of the big managers doing world cup right now.
December 20, 2025 at 7:43 PM
Honestly that should be a penalty for defensive simulation from Bradley
December 20, 2025 at 5:50 PM
This is a new making up a guy to be mad at I haven’t seen
There's a series of things (like the ballroom, Gulf of America) that we're going to have to *undo* the moment this guy is out of office.
And yet I can already hear future Democrat presidents saying "I'm focused on the people's work, not the knucklehead stuff" and just leave this man's shit up.
The president's name was added to the sign outside the performing arts center.
December 19, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
Had this take ready to go before today's CPI, might as well get it out there. Democrats should be ready for politics to be about jobs and not prices again. wertwhile.substack.com/p/dont-over-...
December 18, 2025 at 2:17 PM
UMich doesn’t weight by past presidential vote and I find it hard to trust polling that doesn’t have aggressive partisan controls given expressive responses to pollsters. There’s a big survey methodology issue here beyond their switch to phones permanently downshifting the results.
the fact that the sentiment index no longer provides useful economic data is one of those things I think about in the Vibes Vs Material Conditions debate

and I'm still more on team material conditions. but we have to admit there's real evidence the vibes are fucked up in new and confusing ways
Consumer confidence data is basically useless for markets/econ forecasting at this point. There is just no universe where periods when inflation was 5x as high, real income growth was deeply negative, or unemployment was more than 2x current were better than the current backdrop.
December 19, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Relatedly, subway ridership nearly hit an average of 4 million riders over a 7 day period last week, highest since March 2020.
“.. The year 2025, she said, has been one of the safest years on the subway so far this century.”

@nytimes.com #NYC
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/n...
December 18, 2025 at 7:52 PM
Premiums going up are a huge deal. CPI's measurement of health insurance premiums really struggles for a variety of reasons including that they can't measure quality reliably. It's also the case that a number of people just won't buy the more expensive insurance, itself a problem but not a CPI one.
It's quaint to talk about inflation reports and surprising softness on the margins when in 13 days the out-of-pocket cost of health insurance is going to rise for 26 million households by an average of 75%
December 18, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Actual dayjob posting: Our incredible clients and my partner Mara were featured in this piece by Dan Slepian on how CPS compounded the tragedy of losing their baby daughter by removing their children from their care, falsely accusing them of killing their daughter. www.nbcnews.com/video/how-sh...
Even without an arrest, shaken baby misdiagnoses can tear families apart
Tiffany and John Johnson were never arrested, or charged with a crime. But as their child tragically died from being sick, a family court removed the mother’s other four children from their home. It t...
www.nbcnews.com
December 18, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Had this take ready to go before today's CPI, might as well get it out there. Democrats should be ready for politics to be about jobs and not prices again. wertwhile.substack.com/p/dont-over-...
December 18, 2025 at 2:17 PM