Joel Wertheimer
@wertwhile.bsky.social
Civil rights attorney. COYS.
Will second this. CASPR is really cool.
February 9, 2026 at 9:42 PM
Will second this. CASPR is really cool.
Oh for sure. But if there's money to be made by being a large institutional market maker with low risk seems like there would be people who do it.
February 9, 2026 at 6:48 PM
Oh for sure. But if there's money to be made by being a large institutional market maker with low risk seems like there would be people who do it.
They have a market maker program is it possible it's the market makers that are responsible for that volume?
February 9, 2026 at 6:37 PM
They have a market maker program is it possible it's the market makers that are responsible for that volume?
Ahem: As I said in my column wertwhile.substack.com/p/dont-over-...
February 9, 2026 at 2:59 PM
Ahem: As I said in my column wertwhile.substack.com/p/dont-over-...
Klepto biathlete? Sociopath?
February 9, 2026 at 12:26 PM
Klepto biathlete? Sociopath?
Exactly. There’s a really famous Bob Burnquist skateboarding run from the early X Games before everybody had optimized on big tricks and it really is just more beautiful and I don’t know what you do about it but it would be nice for people in the sport to think about.
February 8, 2026 at 1:16 PM
Exactly. There’s a really famous Bob Burnquist skateboarding run from the early X Games before everybody had optimized on big tricks and it really is just more beautiful and I don’t know what you do about it but it would be nice for people in the sport to think about.
Annoying (complimentary) to have read @add-hawk.bsky.social’s new book The Score right before the Olympics because now I’m watching all of these sports like snowboard big air and thinking about how we’ve lost what was beautiful about snowboarding by needing objective scores.
February 8, 2026 at 1:09 PM
Annoying (complimentary) to have read @add-hawk.bsky.social’s new book The Score right before the Olympics because now I’m watching all of these sports like snowboard big air and thinking about how we’ve lost what was beautiful about snowboarding by needing objective scores.
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
i forget who made it but it cracks me up lol
February 8, 2026 at 10:54 AM
i forget who made it but it cracks me up lol
(Yes that February in 2015 was really cold)
February 8, 2026 at 3:39 AM
(Yes that February in 2015 was really cold)
It is true! Cumulative through January NYC hadn't had this many heating degree days starting in November since 2013/2014 and depending on how the rest of this month goes might be the coldest winter we've had in 20 years.
February 8, 2026 at 3:38 AM
It is true! Cumulative through January NYC hadn't had this many heating degree days starting in November since 2013/2014 and depending on how the rest of this month goes might be the coldest winter we've had in 20 years.
All I’ll say is we didn’t have a winter like this for all of Bill de Blasio's eight years since he put the fear of FUCKING GOD into the groundhogs.
February 8, 2026 at 3:02 AM
All I’ll say is we didn’t have a winter like this for all of Bill de Blasio's eight years since he put the fear of FUCKING GOD into the groundhogs.
What is the psxg of the shots/keeper psxg +/- im a bit curious about knuckleball theory
February 7, 2026 at 3:56 PM
What is the psxg of the shots/keeper psxg +/- im a bit curious about knuckleball theory
I certainly think that we could have larger immigration flows without political issue if the border did not have large flows and because of that we really should do border security even though I don’t find it a particular concern personally.
February 7, 2026 at 12:52 AM
I certainly think that we could have larger immigration flows without political issue if the border did not have large flows and because of that we really should do border security even though I don’t find it a particular concern personally.
But in policy you can’t separate them out entirely. Humane interior enforcement seemingly does impact border crossing and we need to figure that one out to not end up back where we are with Hitler particles everywhere.
February 7, 2026 at 12:42 AM
But in policy you can’t separate them out entirely. Humane interior enforcement seemingly does impact border crossing and we need to figure that one out to not end up back where we are with Hitler particles everywhere.
Early returns on Opus 4.6 are that it’s very impressive and the writing style worse and more cloying weakening one of the things I preferred about Claude.
February 6, 2026 at 9:51 PM
Early returns on Opus 4.6 are that it’s very impressive and the writing style worse and more cloying weakening one of the things I preferred about Claude.
I thought this one was the most interesting just to see the elasticity by platform.
February 6, 2026 at 3:27 PM
I thought this one was the most interesting just to see the elasticity by platform.
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
Super cool index here!
This chart seems to suggest a striking pattern: Kevin Warsh's speeches are consistently hawkish, except when Trump is President and about to appoint a new Fed Chair.
www.economist.com/finance-and-...
www.economist.com/finance-and-...
February 6, 2026 at 1:46 PM
Super cool index here!
Will it not move the median seat left compared to national average? I tend to just think that's the important thing even if they save seats in a wave which to your point they may.
February 6, 2026 at 3:42 AM
Will it not move the median seat left compared to national average? I tend to just think that's the important thing even if they save seats in a wave which to your point they may.
In fairness there was some exit as revolt www.dirllp.com/who-we-are
Who We Are — Dunn Isaacson Rhee
We operate as a legal SWAT team — a highly trained, specialized, and agile team of experienced litigators who have worked together in the trenches on some of the most hard-fought litigations and trial...
www.dirllp.com
February 6, 2026 at 2:01 AM
In fairness there was some exit as revolt www.dirllp.com/who-we-are
Hakeem is obviously pushing on this and has been for months. www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
Democrats get aggressive on remapping congressional lines
The minority party is showing teeth in New York, Illinois and Virginia ahead of the 2026 midterms.
www.politico.com
February 6, 2026 at 1:30 AM
Hakeem is obviously pushing on this and has been for months. www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
And trivia games can really catch fire: think of the HQ Trivia and GeoGuessr. So there may be a real opportunity to run quiz games with some cultural and some political questions in advance of the 2026 and 2028 elections (esp the latter, since it's national).
February 5, 2026 at 5:37 PM
And trivia games can really catch fire: think of the HQ Trivia and GeoGuessr. So there may be a real opportunity to run quiz games with some cultural and some political questions in advance of the 2026 and 2028 elections (esp the latter, since it's national).
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
February 5, 2026 at 5:37 PM
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
For all the complaints about Dems being weak and not fighting, on the thing republicans actually tried to do to defeat democracy that Dems used to fold on, they’ve punched back so hard redistricting will be a win.
NEW: Virginia Dems have unveiled their proposed 10-1 congressional map in response to GOP gerrymanders in other states. It targets 4 Republicans & has 10 Harris seats.
It will be used in 2026 contingent upon an April 21 voter referendum.
Interactive map+data: davesredistricting.org/join/20e0049...
It will be used in 2026 contingent upon an April 21 voter referendum.
Interactive map+data: davesredistricting.org/join/20e0049...
February 6, 2026 at 1:05 AM
For all the complaints about Dems being weak and not fighting, on the thing republicans actually tried to do to defeat democracy that Dems used to fold on, they’ve punched back so hard redistricting will be a win.
Fact check on this thread: completely true.
Kamala Harris ran a good, very aggressive campaign, but started at a significant deficit, and ran headlong into a ocean of misogyny, which has continued to dog her even more post-election, now that people feel empowered to say what they REALLY think about her
February 6, 2026 at 1:02 AM
Fact check on this thread: completely true.
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
I wrote about the crypto crash and why this is the worst crypto winter in the industry's history.
Sub to the Odd Lots newsletter here www.bloomberg.com/account/news...
Sub to the Odd Lots newsletter here www.bloomberg.com/account/news...
February 5, 2026 at 5:43 PM
I wrote about the crypto crash and why this is the worst crypto winter in the industry's history.
Sub to the Odd Lots newsletter here www.bloomberg.com/account/news...
Sub to the Odd Lots newsletter here www.bloomberg.com/account/news...