Matthew Lebo
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matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo
@matthewlebo.bsky.social
900 followers 570 following 320 posts

American politics professor in Canada at the University of Western Ontario.

Videos
Political science 38%
Economics 27%
Posts Replies Media Videos

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 18h
Worried about getting into or out of the US for APSA 2026? Or about what kind of paper you can present? Today is the deadline for Canadian PSA proposals for June 2-4 at U of Ottawa. Propose a paper or a whole panel. But do it today!

Reposted by Matthew Lebo

cpsa-acsp.bsky.social
🇨🇦 CPSA ACSP 🇨🇦 @cpsa-acsp.bsky.social · 19h
👩🏽‍💻🧑🏽‍💻 @jplewis.bsky.social & team can't wait to see yr proposal pop up ⏰Submit before the day is over!
➡️ shorturl.at/AgUow
#CPSA_ACSP26
@queenspols.bsky.social @westernupolisci.bsky.social
@jlisayoung.bsky.social @mcgillpolisci.bsky.social
@devoncantwell.bsky.social @matthewlebo.bsky.social

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 1d
A mama lasagna and four babies.

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 1d
At 40%, T still has solid support in Congress and the party. He went below 40 in term 1 and it didn't harm him much or get him convicted in the Senate in Jan 2021. If there's a tipping point for loud R opposition, it's far below here. 32% means losing 1 in 5 current approvers. That's a lot.
owenwntr.bsky.social Owen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · 1d
Taken together, the results reinforce what polls have shown for months: that Trump's approval is crashing with the voters who swung behind him in 2024. Young, ethnically diverse voters whose top issues are the economy and cost of living www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

Reposted by Matthew Lebo

owenwntr.bsky.social
Owen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · 1d
Taken together, the results reinforce what polls have shown for months: that Trump's approval is crashing with the voters who swung behind him in 2024. Young, ethnically diverse voters whose top issues are the economy and cost of living www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 1d
The Long Island national food: www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfhf...
The Best Meat Lasagna Recipe -- How to Make Homemade Italian Lasagna Bolognese
YouTube video by CookingwithSugarTV
www.youtube.com

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 3d
I mean when looking at month to month changes in presidential approval.

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 3d
I buy that 2-yr inf predicted sentiment better under Biden. How far back does that hold? Is 2-yr inf a better predictor of presidential elections the last 40 yrs? Or did anti-Biden/Dem feeling push people and media in 2023-24 to rely on smthng different than usual to justify their partisanship/vote?

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 4d
My book in progress shows inflation was disconnected from consumer sentiment under Biden to a ridiculous degree. Republicans drove down sentiment, the media did too, independents too. Had consumer sentiment reflected the actual economy to usual extent, Harris wins by 4 points.

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 4d
No matter how you weight various polls, so long as the weighting doesn't change the ups and downs of approval over time are real. Like, no matter how badly you think my bathroom scale works, if it says I gained weight, I did.

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 7d
Trump's approval among independents is not good but numbers like these can be deceiving. Like, many disapprovers may have called themselves Democrats in February but now say they're independents.
atrupar.com Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 7d
Trump has lost 15 points with independents since February
New CNN poll shows Trump falling to 28% with independents

Reposted by Mark A. Lemley, Joe R. Feagin, Steve Peers , and 1 more

atrupar.com
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 7d
Trump has lost 15 points with independents since February
New CNN poll shows Trump falling to 28% with independents

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 9d
The Leafs just sucked the joy out of these things for you too I guess.

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 9d
He only has to walk around the bases!

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 9d
At his rallies he plays Fortunate Son -- a song about rich assholes buying their way out of the Viet Nam War. Also YMCA. I don't get why that was never a story.

Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, Richard Waite, Robert Wolfe , and 3 more

razzball.bsky.social
Razzball @razzball.bsky.social · 9d
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. shows up to Game 7 in a Marie-Phillip Poulin jersey, the captain of the Canada women’s national ice hockey team
Skeet explains pic

Reposted by David Darmofal

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 9d
The responsibilities and opportunities for Canadian universities are perfectly aligned. But it's been 10 months of this and just drips of actions here so far.

www.pbs.org/newshour/sho...
Top researchers consider leaving U.S. amid funding cuts: 'The science world is ending'
A poll from the journal Nature found that 75% of researchers in the U.S. are considering leaving the country. That includes a man who’s been dubbed the "Mozart of Math." Stephanie Sy examines what’s b...
www.pbs.org

Reposted by Matthew Lebo

cpsa-acsp.bsky.social
🇨🇦 CPSA ACSP 🇨🇦 @cpsa-acsp.bsky.social · 13d
📣2026 Posters Competition🖼️
Open to all participants! Join prof @yveilleuxlepage.bsky.social in making posters a highlight #CPSA_ACSP26!
⏰NOV 10 25 shorturl.at/AgUow
@devoncantwell.bsky.social @matthewlebo.bsky.social
@apsa.bsky.social @balsillieschool.bsky.social
@csnrec.bsky.social @ipsa.org

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 13d
I want to make this point in something I'm writing. Have you written it somewhere a little more citable than a Bluesky post?

Reposted by Mirya R. Holman, Matthew Lebo

jennpiscopo.bsky.social
Jennifer Piscopo @jennpiscopo.bsky.social · 14d
For @policyoptions.irpp.org, I wrote about how Canada lags its European and Anglo peers in electing women to parliament, how that harms their reputation, and, drawing on research w/ @dzobrien.bsky.social & Amanda Clayton, why voters prefer gender parity. policyoptions.irpp.org/2025/10/gend...
Canada ranks 71st for women in politics
Canada ranks 71st in the world for women in parliament. Voters support gender quotas to make politics more representative.
policyoptions.irpp.org

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 15d
An Onion article on the subject would be completely identical to this one. Especially that picture.

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 16d
Actually, try here: www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
The Trump Effect: Nationalized Narratives and Congressional Outcomes in the 2024 Elections
The 2024 elections resulted in a rightward shift, with Republicans taking back both the presidency and Senate while holding onto a very slim majority in the House of Representatives. Despite multiple ...
www.degruyterbrill.com

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 16d
There might be lots but nothing comes to mind. For sure updating this finding and looking at the evolution of party unity vs. Trump loyalty vs. ideology would be interesting for the Republican members of Congress post-2014.

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 16d
Yup, there’s research:

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 16d
Yup! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 28d
The CPSA accepts proposals for full panels. Why not choose Ottawa in June instead of Boston, USA in September?
cpsa-acsp.bsky.social 🇨🇦 CPSA ACSP 🇨🇦 @cpsa-acsp.bsky.social · 28d
🎥Pulling back the curtain✨Meet the section heads who are crafting an unforgettable #CPSA_ACSP26 experience-They're ❤️beat of the conference!
👉🏽 shorturl.at/AgUow
@annadrake.bsky.social @joannaeveritt.bsky.social @qalbaugh.bsky.social @karenlynnbird.bsky.social @raulpachecovega.bsky.social

Reposted by Matthew Lebo, Raúl Pacheco-Vega

cpsa-acsp.bsky.social
🇨🇦 CPSA ACSP 🇨🇦 @cpsa-acsp.bsky.social · 28d
🎥Pulling back the curtain✨Meet the section heads who are crafting an unforgettable #CPSA_ACSP26 experience-They're ❤️beat of the conference!
👉🏽 shorturl.at/AgUow
@annadrake.bsky.social @joannaeveritt.bsky.social @qalbaugh.bsky.social @karenlynnbird.bsky.social @raulpachecovega.bsky.social

Reposted by David Darmofal

matthewlebo.bsky.social
Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · Oct 3
BLS report that was due this morning didn't come out. The ADP estimate is that private employment in the US went down 32,000 jobs in September. There were also big downward revisions for previous month. Preventing the official release of bad economic news is a big shutdown bonus for Trump.