Nicolas Veron
banner
veron.bsky.social
Nicolas Veron
@veron.bsky.social

Senior Fellow at Bruegel and at the Peterson Institute for International Economics

Nicolas Véron is a French economist. He is a senior fellow at Bruegel in Brussels, which he co-founded in 2002–05, and at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington DC, which he joined in 2009. In 2012, he was included in the global 50 Most Influential list of Bloomberg Markets Magazine. .. more

Economics 79%
Business 9%
via The New Yorker, Ellis Rosen cartoon

Separated by train paradise
The Axis of Late Trains.

Reposted by Nicolas Véron

Sanctions are not damaging Russian economy. We made "conscious decision" for it to get smaller.

I remain a master strategist

That discussion was never about “giving Russia’s assets to Ukraine” tbh

The evidence must come from the Belgian authorities, on its actual transfers of Euroclear-related tax income to Ukraine. Until that happens (if it hasn’t already), doubts will remain irrespective of this or that public speech

If transfers have been made to Ukraine, I presume there must be a public record of them.
When Trump visited Mount Vernon in 2018, he couldn't understand why George Washington didn't name it after himself. “You’ve got to put your name on stuff or no one remembers you.” Reupping this prescient piece from @politico.com which seems pretty relevant today. www.politico.com/story/2019/0...
Trump’s ‘truly bizarre’ visit to Mt. Vernon
The 45th president — no student of history — marveled at the first president's failure to name his historic compound after himself.
www.politico.com

Has there been a public reporting of such transfers, and if so, can you please provide the reference?

“plans”

Reposted by Nicolas Véron

Indeed some transparency would be in order

Why small chance?

In this context, the fact that Belgium keeps making windfall revenue on immobilized Russian reserves (via taxation of Euroclear) must be re-examined. Belgium should transfer all that corporate tax income, with retroactive effect starting March 2022, to Ukraine in a transparent manner. Now. (2/2)
One more point actually, about Belgium.

The Belgian authorities have indicated that they were vulnerable to Russian bullying. PM Bart De Wever has been commendably transparent that Putin's direct threats were among his motivations to oppose the Commission's proposal for a Reparations Loan. (1/2)

Meanwhile, the Russian reserves remain immobilized and the Reparations Loan idea can be revived in future. Overall, a very consequential decision that boils down to a show of EU strength and commitment. Even though many will paint it otherwise. (5/5 - end)

The decision also introduces a precedent for flexibility in deciding on this kind of EU funding, namely the possibility of opting out for a few countries that don’t share the scheme’s objectives. This precedent is likely to be very useful in future EU decision-making. A strategic win. (4/5)

Compared with the proposed Reparations Loan: this morning’s decision provides the same amount of financing in 2026 and 2027, with the result that Ukraine’s needs are well covered. The financial conditions are slightly less advantageous for the EU, but the cost difference is small. (3/N)
In 2022, financial support to Ukraine was led by the US with Europeans as followers. Now the EU is leading it, while the US has withdrawn from the financial front. As recently as a year ago, the dominant expectation was that the EU would have no choice but to follow a US financial withdrawal. (2/N)
A few quick thoughts about this morning's decision. Don't believe the spin from various Russians & others: it's a big deal. The EU has now unambiguously demonstrated that it is able and willing to provide the external financial support Ukraine needs, for as long and as much as it takes. (1/N)

Always speaking about himself
Putin said "whatever they steal will have to be returned someday" regarding frozen Russian assets.
Putin labeled potential expropriation of Russian assets as "robbery," warning of severe European consequences and budget strain from reparations loan, while predicting undermined Eurozone trust.

Reposted by Nicolas Véron

Putin said "whatever they steal will have to be returned someday" regarding frozen Russian assets.
Putin labeled potential expropriation of Russian assets as "robbery," warning of severe European consequences and budget strain from reparations loan, while predicting undermined Eurozone trust.

“This counts as the most important material I have come across in over 30 years of collecting material on June 4” www.nytimes.com/2025/12/17/w...
The Secret Trial of the General Who Refused to Attack Tiananmen Square
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Nicolas Véron

Trump Dismisses Trump As A Distraction

Reposted by Nicolas Véron

My trolls: Ukraine's strikes on Russia's fuel refineries will make no difference.

The Russian army:

Reposted by Nicolas Véron