Yurri Clavilier
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yurriclavilier.bsky.social
Yurri Clavilier
@yurriclavilier.bsky.social
220 followers 260 following 65 posts
Research Analyst (Land) DMAP @IISS_org, @warstudies King's College Ldn alumnus. I'm interested in the study of war and strategic comms. Rt not endrsmnt
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yurriclavilier.bsky.social
4 Gazelles de @armeedeterre escortant un Wildcat de @BritishArmy au dessus de la Tamise pour le 11 novembre.

4 French Army Gazelles and 1 British Army Wildcat flying over the Thames on Remembrance Day
November 11, 2025 at 3:33 PM
yurriclavilier.bsky.social
Natoswiftism is real
You did it @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
From NATO's official Instagram account
www.instagram.com/reel/DQi-0CJ...
November 2, 2025 at 12:08 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
nicholasgrossman.bsky.social
Over 10,000 killed within three days.

Pools of blood around a hospital so large they could be seen from space.

An absolute nightmare.
faineg.bsky.social Faine Greenwood @faineg.bsky.social · 20d
“Individuals on the ground sent a message that reached us Monday morning that 1,200 were dead,” Nathaniel Raymond, the lab’s executive director, said. “By that evening, they said 10,000. By Tuesday, we couldn’t reach them anymore. We assume our ground contacts are dead.”
Yale lab reports mass killings in Sudan, calls for student activism
The Humanitarian Research Lab was told this week that over 10,000 people in Sudan were killed within three days.
yaledailynews.com
November 1, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
deadcarl.bsky.social
Folks, we’re in Frank Fukuyama’s magazine

www.persuasion.community/p/hegseths-d...
Hegseth’s Dangerous Obsession With Lethality
The “warrior ethos” is no way to run an army.
www.persuasion.community
October 25, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
shashj.bsky.social
As usual for Jack Watling, this is a fabulously data & evidence-rich paper on what the Ukrainian battlefield looks like today. A pivotal role for drones & ground robots—but also for tanks, armour & artillery, each coming into its own at different moments in an assault www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
October 23, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
We’re currently spending an entire military aid package to Ukraine’s worth of money on a fucking ballroom.
factpostnews.bsky.social FactPost @factpostnews.bsky.social · 28d
Trump raises the price of the ballroom to $350 million

(It changed from $200 million, then $300 million, now $350 million within the course of a few days)
October 23, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
You guys ever get the feeling that nothing good was gonna happen?
October 24, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
notaterrornerd.bsky.social
if you've enjoyed 25 years of "unwinnable wars in the desert" get ready for our new feature "unwinnable wars in the jungle"
October 24, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
sodrock.bsky.social
October 24, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
frankfukuyama.bsky.social
Hegseth’s Dangerous Obsession With Lethality
www.persuasion.community/p/hegseths-d...
Hegseth’s Dangerous Obsession With Lethality
The “warrior ethos” is no way to run an army.
www.persuasion.community
October 25, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
royalpratt.bsky.social
Per court filing, a federal immigration agent pointed a gun at a U.S. citizen protesting and told him “bang, bang,” and “you’re dead liberal.” From a weekend Loevy civil rights firm filing
October 27, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
reichlinmelnick.bsky.social
🚨BIG changes happening -- ICE leadership is being purged tonight. The old guard, which prioritized targeted enforcement operations aimed at people with criminal records, is being replaced with Border Patrol and Gregory Bovino's "Midway Blitz" style.

Think things are bad now? It'll get worse.
Bill Melugin @BillMelugin_ BREAKING: Per four senior DHS & Trump admin sources, a mass removal of ICE leadership around the country is underway, with up to 12 ICE field office chiefs being removed & reassigned in an effort to increase deportation numbers. I'm told the move is spearheaded by Corey Lewandowski, and a handful of the ICE Chiefs will likely be replaced by Border Patrol & CBP officials, some of whom will be hand-picked by aggressive & controversial Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino. I'm told some of the ICE leadership removed from their positions include the ICE Field Office Directors in: - Los Angeles - Phoenix - Philadelphia - Denver - El Paso - San Diego - Seattle/Portland - New Orleans Border Patrol officials taking over ICE leadership positions would be extremely significant, as Border Patrol and ICE do different things, and I've done numerous ride-alongs/embeds with both. Generally speaking, ICE typically conducts very targeted operations, largely going after criminal illegal aliens or those with deportation orders, but almost always knowing who they are targeting for arrest, often conducting surveillance to learn their schedules before and waiting hours before arresting them if needed. Border Patrol, under Trump 2.0, while sometimes doing their own targeted operations, has been extremely aggressive and has been at the forefront of some of the most controversial immigration enforcement operations we've seen so far, carrying out roving patrols in Los Angeles, Chicago, etc, often at Home Depot, car washes, flea markets etc, leading to a handful of federal judges around the country issuing injunctions against them. A majority of the viral videos you see online are Border Patrol agents, including the use of a Trojan horse style Penske moving truck at a Los Angeles Home Depot, an operation organized by Bovino. ICE often gets blamed for what Border Patrol does, as the media and activists often cannot tell the difference between federal agents, and everyone is called "ICE". I'm told there are growing concerns about the political and PR fallout associated with some of the roving patrols Border Patrol is conducting as lawsuits continue to stack up and mid-terms approach next year. I'm told there is significant friction within different wings of DHS and the administration, with Border Czar Tom Homan & ICE Director Todd Lyons preferring to prioritize targeting criminal aliens & the "worst of the worst" or those with deportation orders, while DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, Corey Lewandowski, and BP Commander Bovino prefer to use aggressive tactics to arrest anyone in the US illegally, including but not limited to criminals, to ramp up deportation numbers and achieve President Trump's promises of mass deportations. I am hearing from both sides of this friction. One senior DHS official tells me: "ICE started with the worst of the worst, knowing every target they are hitting, but since Border Patrol started in LA in June, we've (DHS) lost our focus, going too hard, too fast, with limited prioritization. It's getting numbers, but at what cost?". Border Patrol agents I've talked to defend their tactics, with one telling me: "What did everyone think mass deportations meant? Only the worst? Tom Homan has said it himself, anyone in the US illegally is on the table." It's quite a situation, as both sides of this are on the same team, with the same end goals, but different perspectives on how to get there. Another DHS official confirmed the personnel changes to me on deep background, adding that the moves are based on performance and doing what is needed to achieve the best results. Official statement to @FoxNews via @TriciaOhio : "While we have no personnel changes to announce at this time, the Trump Administration remains laser focused on delivering results and removing violent criminal illegal aliens from this country." 7:57 PM · Oct 27, 2025 · 29.6K Views
October 28, 2025 at 12:27 AM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
snufkinlib.bsky.social
October 28, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
andreloez.bsky.social
À paraître la semaine prochaine : un très très bon bouquin collectif, nourri de l’historio la plus récente, dont l’importance politique à l’heure actuelle n’a sans doute pas besoin d’être soulignée
B Roger-Lacan, Nouvelle histoire de l’extrême droite
October 5, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
abrgll.bsky.social
Le saviez vous? La France rayonne a l'étranger depuis jeudi et est citée en exemple dans toute la presse internationale pour le bon fonctionnement de ses institutions et de sa justice. Il n'y a qu'en France qu'on trouve autant de voix pour s'en indigner
September 28, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
reshetz.bsky.social
WORD
September 24, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
eliothiggins.bsky.social
Their track record on identifying messages and slogans etched onto bullets is pretty poor, so this should be taken with an ocean full of salt.
atrupar.com Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · Sep 24
FBI official: "What I can share with you is that early evidence we're seen from rounds that were found near the suspected shooter contain messages that are anti-ICE in nature. Again, this is just the most recently example of this type of attack."
September 24, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
rikefranke.bsky.social
With some useful clarifications
www.politico.eu/article/nato...
Finger on the trigger: How NATO is responding to Russia’s airspace violations
NATO is a defensive alliance, which makes it very cautious about responding with force to Russia’s provocations.
www.politico.eu
September 24, 2025 at 8:14 AM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
theophite.bsky.social
complicating this is the fact that generals loyal to Bolsonaro would have acted on his orders to execute on a coup had the CIA not gotten involved
foreignpolicy.com/2024/02/20/b...
September 23, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
abucole.bsky.social
open.substack.com/pub/commandc...
“Great Power Competition” is Over, We Lost By Stepping On Our Own Dicks
To my friends doing strategic competition, just stop.
open.substack.com
September 22, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
Hey! I did it! I wrote about national security! The thing I allegedly write about!

othermeans.substack.com/p/going-down...
Going Down in Flames
National Security in the Trump Era
othermeans.substack.com
September 22, 2025 at 2:19 AM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
Liberal Democracy remains very much worth defending
September 23, 2025 at 12:49 AM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
bafriedman.bsky.social
CAS is no longer about platforms but TTPs; a well-trained JTAC is more important than the platform characteristics. The A-10 debate is nonsense.
mikeblack114.bsky.social Mike Black @mikeblack114.bsky.social · Sep 21
there's been a multi-day meltdown over on the everything app on F-35 vs A-10 and this is an accurate distillation of the whole stupid thing
September 21, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Reposted by Yurri Clavilier
gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
We could have been providing military aid to Ukraine. We could have been building our partnerships in the Pacific. We could have strengthened Europe’s defense industrial base. We could have helped build state capacity in South America.

What a fucking disaster this has all been.
September 16, 2025 at 11:52 AM