Will 🏴🏳️🌈
@willdv2002.bsky.social
ESRC Funded PhD student in Politics at Cardiff University, studying electoral reform in Wales
(personal account)
Research profile: https://profiles.cardiff.ac.uk/research-staff/daviesw18
(personal account)
Research profile: https://profiles.cardiff.ac.uk/research-staff/daviesw18
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
Checking in on Rudy Giuliani, I see he's having an insane one
November 5, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Checking in on Rudy Giuliani, I see he's having an insane one
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
New blog
Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future
Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat
Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m
Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future
Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat
Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m
November 5, 2025 at 12:32 PM
New blog
Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future
Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat
Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m
Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future
Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat
Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m
Lawyers can breathe a sigh of relief that the odds of being shot by Dick Cheney have now went from "improbable" to "impossible".
November 4, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Lawyers can breathe a sigh of relief that the odds of being shot by Dick Cheney have now went from "improbable" to "impossible".
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
Pairwise visual conjoint experiment in the wild
October 30, 2025 at 12:24 PM
Pairwise visual conjoint experiment in the wild
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
Arne Slot and Geert Wilders tonight:
October 29, 2025 at 9:48 PM
Arne Slot and Geert Wilders tonight:
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
You think your elections are nail biters? In the last poll of the polls, the @peilingwijzer.bsky.social produced by @tomlouwerse.nl, before election day in the Netherlands tomorrow, three parties are tied for first place
peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl
peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl
Laatste Peilingwijzer – Peilingwijzer
De Peilingwijzer combineert de Tweede Kamerpeilingen van Ipsos I&O & Verian/EenVandaag
peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl
October 28, 2025 at 5:01 PM
You think your elections are nail biters? In the last poll of the polls, the @peilingwijzer.bsky.social produced by @tomlouwerse.nl, before election day in the Netherlands tomorrow, three parties are tied for first place
peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl
peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
this timeline is unreal
Open the page. Scroll down to the timeline. Go through the timeline.
It’s… shocking
It’s… shocking
The White House Building
Every president since John Adams has occupied the White House, and the history of this building extends far beyond the construction of its walls. From the Ground Floor Corridor rooms, transformed from...
www.whitehouse.gov
October 24, 2025 at 5:06 PM
this timeline is unreal
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
That scene of the Welsh BBC correspondent being the only person interviewing Caerphilly's new Plaid AM while the rest of the media interviewed Reform's loser in the background was far too on the nose.
October 24, 2025 at 1:34 AM
That scene of the Welsh BBC correspondent being the only person interviewing Caerphilly's new Plaid AM while the rest of the media interviewed Reform's loser in the background was far too on the nose.
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
📺 New research from @cujournmedcul.bsky.social's Enhancing the Impartiality of Political News project
Our latest study analyses how BBC Cymru Wales and ITV Wales have covered the Caerphilly by-election across TV, online & social media.
🔗 www.enhancingimpartiality.com/blog/bbc-itv...
TLDR 👇
Our latest study analyses how BBC Cymru Wales and ITV Wales have covered the Caerphilly by-election across TV, online & social media.
🔗 www.enhancingimpartiality.com/blog/bbc-itv...
TLDR 👇
The impartiality of broadcasters in Wales: An analysis of BBC and ITV news coverage of the Caerphilly by-election — Researching the impartiality of political news
On 15 October 2025, the BBC hosted six of the eight candidates standing in the Senedd Caerphilly by-election the following week. This included figures from Labour, Conservative, Reform, Plaid Cymru, t...
www.enhancingimpartiality.com
October 20, 2025 at 11:21 AM
📺 New research from @cujournmedcul.bsky.social's Enhancing the Impartiality of Political News project
Our latest study analyses how BBC Cymru Wales and ITV Wales have covered the Caerphilly by-election across TV, online & social media.
🔗 www.enhancingimpartiality.com/blog/bbc-itv...
TLDR 👇
Our latest study analyses how BBC Cymru Wales and ITV Wales have covered the Caerphilly by-election across TV, online & social media.
🔗 www.enhancingimpartiality.com/blog/bbc-itv...
TLDR 👇
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
My mistake, you are correct! I generated the file, but I did not give you a download link — let me go get it for you [pretends to walk down stairs behind couch]
This person is paying OpenAI two hundred dollars a month to have a chatbot gaslight them about making an excel spreadsheet
October 20, 2025 at 2:22 AM
My mistake, you are correct! I generated the file, but I did not give you a download link — let me go get it for you [pretends to walk down stairs behind couch]
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
Y NEWYDDION DIWEDDARAF - Pôl isetholiad Caerffili wedi'i rhyddhau gan Camlas a @survation.bsky.social
Mae ein pôl ar gyfer isetholiad #Caerffili yn darogan y bydd Reform UK yn ennill gyda Phlaid Cymru yn ail agos.
Mae Llafur Cymru yn drydydd gyda dim ond 12% o’r pôl.
Mae ein pôl ar gyfer isetholiad #Caerffili yn darogan y bydd Reform UK yn ennill gyda Phlaid Cymru yn ail agos.
Mae Llafur Cymru yn drydydd gyda dim ond 12% o’r pôl.
October 16, 2025 at 5:23 AM
Y NEWYDDION DIWEDDARAF - Pôl isetholiad Caerffili wedi'i rhyddhau gan Camlas a @survation.bsky.social
Mae ein pôl ar gyfer isetholiad #Caerffili yn darogan y bydd Reform UK yn ennill gyda Phlaid Cymru yn ail agos.
Mae Llafur Cymru yn drydydd gyda dim ond 12% o’r pôl.
Mae ein pôl ar gyfer isetholiad #Caerffili yn darogan y bydd Reform UK yn ennill gyda Phlaid Cymru yn ail agos.
Mae Llafur Cymru yn drydydd gyda dim ond 12% o’r pôl.
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
BREAKING - New Caerphilly by-election prediction poll released by Camlas and Survation Ltd
Our poll for the upcoming #Caerphilly by-election places Reform UK to win with Plaid Cymru close behind.
Welsh Labour is pushed to a vote share of just 12%.
Our poll for the upcoming #Caerphilly by-election places Reform UK to win with Plaid Cymru close behind.
Welsh Labour is pushed to a vote share of just 12%.
October 16, 2025 at 5:15 AM
BREAKING - New Caerphilly by-election prediction poll released by Camlas and Survation Ltd
Our poll for the upcoming #Caerphilly by-election places Reform UK to win with Plaid Cymru close behind.
Welsh Labour is pushed to a vote share of just 12%.
Our poll for the upcoming #Caerphilly by-election places Reform UK to win with Plaid Cymru close behind.
Welsh Labour is pushed to a vote share of just 12%.
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
Someone at the Guinea-Bissau electoral commission was having a lot of fun with WordArt in 1994
October 15, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Someone at the Guinea-Bissau electoral commission was having a lot of fun with WordArt in 1994
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
This is such a good article btw - I really buy this as a theory of contemporary US politics
October 13, 2025 at 11:12 AM
This is such a good article btw - I really buy this as a theory of contemporary US politics
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
The rarely seen Type III Error.
RFK Jr on Tylenol and autism: "It is not proof. We're doing the studies to make the proof."
October 9, 2025 at 7:22 PM
The rarely seen Type III Error.
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
NEW DATA: Notional results for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election on 2026 boundaries. Of interest to academics/pollsters/journos
Post: chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/sp2026...
Data: github.com/chrishanrett...
Source: github.com/chrishanrett...
Post: chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/sp2026...
Data: github.com/chrishanrett...
Source: github.com/chrishanrett...
Notional results for the 2021 Scottish Parliament Election – chris hanretty
chris hanretty’s site
chrishanretty.co.uk
October 10, 2025 at 8:58 AM
NEW DATA: Notional results for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election on 2026 boundaries. Of interest to academics/pollsters/journos
Post: chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/sp2026...
Data: github.com/chrishanrett...
Source: github.com/chrishanrett...
Post: chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/sp2026...
Data: github.com/chrishanrett...
Source: github.com/chrishanrett...
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
ARE YOU LISTENING MAURICE DUVERGER?? YOUR BOYS TOOK A HELL OF A BEATING
TONY DOWNS, CAN YOU HEAR ME? WHERE IS YOUR MEDIAN VOTER NOW???
TONY DOWNS, CAN YOU HEAR ME? WHERE IS YOUR MEDIAN VOTER NOW???
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 27% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 17% (+1)
LDM: 17% (+2)
GRN: 12% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 5-6 Oct.
Changes w/ 28-29 Sep.
RFM: 27% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 17% (+1)
LDM: 17% (+2)
GRN: 12% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 5-6 Oct.
Changes w/ 28-29 Sep.
October 7, 2025 at 11:11 AM
ARE YOU LISTENING MAURICE DUVERGER?? YOUR BOYS TOOK A HELL OF A BEATING
TONY DOWNS, CAN YOU HEAR ME? WHERE IS YOUR MEDIAN VOTER NOW???
TONY DOWNS, CAN YOU HEAR ME? WHERE IS YOUR MEDIAN VOTER NOW???
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
I've written for @uniofbathipr.bsky.social blog about why the @appgfairelections.bsky.social's blueprint for a "National Commission on Electoral Reform" avoids the pitfalls of previous electoral reform efforts (e.g. the Jenkins Commission), and offers a way for British politics to escape from FPTP
Why a “National Commission” is the way forward for electoral reform
Electoral reform is back on the UK’s political agenda as First-Past-the-Post strains under the pressures of multi-party politics. The new APPG for Fair Elections proposes a National Commission to e…
blogs.bath.ac.uk
September 30, 2025 at 4:04 PM
I've written for @uniofbathipr.bsky.social blog about why the @appgfairelections.bsky.social's blueprint for a "National Commission on Electoral Reform" avoids the pitfalls of previous electoral reform efforts (e.g. the Jenkins Commission), and offers a way for British politics to escape from FPTP
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
Anyone going to add this to their MRP?
October 2, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Anyone going to add this to their MRP?
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
THE MEME IS REAL
September 29, 2025 at 1:38 AM
THE MEME IS REAL
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
NEW: The UK Govt's Ministry of Justice begins routinely publishing Wales-only prison data for the first time following a decade of research exposing issues in the Welsh criminal justice system by Dr Robert Jones. 1/3
www.cardiff.ac.uk/news/view/29...
www.cardiff.ac.uk/news/view/29...
Release of Wales-only prison data will “enhance transparency and scrutiny of the Welsh criminal justice system”
Dr Robert Jones welcomes move by Ministry of Justice after years of campaigning
www.cardiff.ac.uk
September 29, 2025 at 3:34 PM
NEW: The UK Govt's Ministry of Justice begins routinely publishing Wales-only prison data for the first time following a decade of research exposing issues in the Welsh criminal justice system by Dr Robert Jones. 1/3
www.cardiff.ac.uk/news/view/29...
www.cardiff.ac.uk/news/view/29...
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
September 28, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
The Swingometer is back up and running today after an extended book writing hiatus. I've taken a long look at Reform's May local elections performance, how FPP is now Farage's friend, and why it may get even better for Reform (& worse for Lab & Con) next May:
open.substack.com/pub/swingome...
open.substack.com/pub/swingome...
September 23, 2025 at 7:56 AM
The Swingometer is back up and running today after an extended book writing hiatus. I've taken a long look at Reform's May local elections performance, how FPP is now Farage's friend, and why it may get even better for Reform (& worse for Lab & Con) next May:
open.substack.com/pub/swingome...
open.substack.com/pub/swingome...
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
w/ @massimoprearo.bsky.social on @qoe-ijes.bsky.social, we introduce our 2024 Italian LGBTIQ+ Electoral Survey: the first large-N evidence on the political behaviour & attitudes of Italian LGBTIQ+ citizens. We discuss data, methodological challenges & relevance here: oaj.fupress.net/index.php/qo...
September 17, 2025 at 8:58 AM
w/ @massimoprearo.bsky.social on @qoe-ijes.bsky.social, we introduce our 2024 Italian LGBTIQ+ Electoral Survey: the first large-N evidence on the political behaviour & attitudes of Italian LGBTIQ+ citizens. We discuss data, methodological challenges & relevance here: oaj.fupress.net/index.php/qo...
Reposted by Will 🏴🏳️🌈
Our new BARN Cymru poll run with @itvcymruwales.bsky.social and @yougov.co.uk has landed 📈 #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru
September 16, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Our new BARN Cymru poll run with @itvcymruwales.bsky.social and @yougov.co.uk has landed 📈 #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru