Michael Scott Balch, PhD
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uqprofessional.bsky.social
Michael Scott Balch, PhD
@uqprofessional.bsky.social
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Fuck it.

Just chisel this into my tombstone.
Meta-plausibility, a thread
update: I have sent my source files to Statistical Science.

I should have galley proofs in a few weeks.
update: I will have to live through the weekend. Computer repair is taking a little longer than expected.
February 16, 2026 at 5:08 PM
No, I don't think I will attach my gov't-issued ID to my thought-crimes.

I think I'll log off if it comes to that.
February 16, 2026 at 4:50 PM
ACAB includes this lady on Bob's Burgers
February 14, 2026 at 9:26 PM
Words are squishy. Math is less squishy. But it's not zero squishy.
February 13, 2026 at 2:30 PM
The future of the Democratic Party is the guy who trashed a homeless encampment for a photo op.

Is that better? Is that worse? Doesn't matter. It's what's happening.
February 13, 2026 at 1:54 PM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
It's not going to be all naturalized citizens. Just certain ones. You know the ones.
September 19, 2024 at 7:01 PM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
Extremely displeased knowing how short the distance between killing a captive 7-yo via ***dehydration*** and the rationales behind the things I work on actually is
February 13, 2026 at 3:47 AM
Are we talking about Liberals?

Or are we talking about people whose strategic ideas cannot be safely stated in publication or online?
It annoys me when people write analyses of the left where they criticize the strategies/tactics they think are ineffective, but they don't lift up any strategies/tactics that they think are effective and should be scaled up.
February 13, 2026 at 11:57 AM
ICE is a plague on humanity and must be abolished.
Homan: "ICE is a legitimate federal law enforcement agency. We're not out scouring the streets to disappear people or deny people their civil rights or due process."
February 12, 2026 at 5:44 PM
February 12, 2026 at 5:29 PM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
Man I'm so goddamn sick of ai. "Wahhh you can't have a reasonable conversation about ai on here," yeah maybe be mad about the two year parade of scam artists and financial charlatans and environmental ruiners who have radicalized everyone against the spell check that agrees with you
February 12, 2026 at 2:45 AM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
no joke here, just a reminder that the ultra wealthy do not see you as human but rather as a resource to extract for profit
February 12, 2026 at 4:22 AM
Today, God willing, I get my computer back from the repair shop and send the source files for my paper to Statistical Science.
February 12, 2026 at 1:27 PM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
One reason I think we should dismiss AI hype tout court is because the people pushing it are 1) blatantly lying about it’s current capabilities and 2) often trying to keep a bubble inflated.
February 11, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
A.I. needs to watch its back, I'm coming for its job.

Borrow tons of money with no chance of ever making it back? Kid shit.

Lie that I'm good at stuff that I'll never be good at? Doing it now.

Always be 5 years away from meeting my potential? Buddy, that's my life story.
February 11, 2026 at 2:01 AM
"This is Romanía. Speak Romaian." - some Greek guy living in Anatolia in the 800s CE
Just explain to them that Rome was a bilingual empire. I'm sure they'll love it.
I’m at a Super Bowl party and the amount of strain it’s taking for every conservative man here to ignore Bad Bunny is breathtaking to behold, especially while all their wives are LOCKED in
February 11, 2026 at 12:50 AM
Man, STFU.
February 10, 2026 at 12:53 PM
Latest paper just got accepted:
Fluke confidence and meta-plausible inference
February 10, 2026 at 12:54 AM
Alright, this shit is extremely dumb. Let me explain why we can't go to Mars (yet):

Human beings cannot survive three years of microgravity, or rather, we can't survive coming back to gravity after that long without it.

That's it. That's the whole reason.

There are two potential ways around this:
BREAKING: “in my 24th year of my quest to settle the planet Mars, I have just been informed of a basic fact of celestial mechanics.”
February 10, 2026 at 12:11 AM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
This is like when Zohran won. I’m just happy Robert Kraft is having a bad night.
February 9, 2026 at 3:30 AM
What "faith"?

MFer, you are the devil.
February 9, 2026 at 12:31 PM
In the game of football, kicking matters.
February 9, 2026 at 2:52 AM
Just explain to them that Rome was a bilingual empire. I'm sure they'll love it.
I’m at a Super Bowl party and the amount of strain it’s taking for every conservative man here to ignore Bad Bunny is breathtaking to behold, especially while all their wives are LOCKED in
February 9, 2026 at 2:24 AM
That Jurassic Park commercial was rough.
February 9, 2026 at 2:17 AM
Reposted by Michael Scott Balch, PhD
No Kings includes Draft Kings
February 8, 2026 at 11:49 PM