Peel
@rhpeel.bsky.social
New Jerseyan, Catholic, Dad, corvid enthusiast, below average musician and songwriter. Newly trying to avoid politics because it feels pointless. Still anti-Trump.
Exactly
Obama's victory in 2008 was because a financial crisis erupted 2 months before election day and the incumbent was at <30% approval.
February 10, 2026 at 8:46 PM
Exactly
Reposted by Peel
I actually think there’s a polisci explanation for this: established political parties don’t shift all that much or that radically in the course of someone’s lifetime, so once a voter figure figures out their basic politics in their early 20s, they basically then just stick with their team
one thing that will always be a mystery to me is the number of trump voters who basically thought they were electing george bush again reut.rs/3Mc4h4H
As Trump presidency enters second year, his voters share hopes – and concerns
Trump voters urge him to tone down the rhetoric and focus more on domestic issues, especially clearer pathways to legal status for law-abiding immigrants, healthcare reform, curbing waste and fraud, a...
reut.rs
February 10, 2026 at 3:56 AM
I actually think there’s a polisci explanation for this: established political parties don’t shift all that much or that radically in the course of someone’s lifetime, so once a voter figure figures out their basic politics in their early 20s, they basically then just stick with their team
There are reasonable arguments in favor of a more aggressive deportation regime than what the United States has had over the last few decades. But if *this* is how you implement it... Lord have mercy. www.irishtimes.com/world/us/202...
‘Absolute hell’: Irishman with valid US work permit held by Ice since September
Seamus Culleton has been in a detention facility in Texas for nearly five months despite having no criminal record
www.irishtimes.com
February 9, 2026 at 1:45 PM
There are reasonable arguments in favor of a more aggressive deportation regime than what the United States has had over the last few decades. But if *this* is how you implement it... Lord have mercy. www.irishtimes.com/world/us/202...
I don't think this game is boring at all, the defenses are doing really interesting things.
February 9, 2026 at 1:14 AM
I don't think this game is boring at all, the defenses are doing really interesting things.
Reposted by Peel
60 years ago today, mild-mannered jim bowl was bitten by a radioactive spider
February 8, 2026 at 5:47 PM
60 years ago today, mild-mannered jim bowl was bitten by a radioactive spider
Reposted by Peel
We used to fund USAID, which saved millions, but Elon Musk said it was a government propaganda front and so he shut it. Millions will die and the US govt is now funding actual MAGA propaganda.
February 6, 2026 at 1:52 PM
We used to fund USAID, which saved millions, but Elon Musk said it was a government propaganda front and so he shut it. Millions will die and the US govt is now funding actual MAGA propaganda.
Reposted by Peel
Democrats should pledge to engage in a thorough damnatio memoriae to purge Trump's name, image, constructions, and decorative defacements on federal or federally funded buildings when they gain the power to do so.
BREAKING 🚨 🚨 🚨
Trump promises Schumer funding for NY tunnel project if Penn Station and Dulles Airport are renamed after him
The startling offer, which was described by two people familiar with the conversation, was swiftly rejected by Schumer.
www.cnn.com/2026/02/05/p...
Trump promises Schumer funding for NY tunnel project if Penn Station and Dulles Airport are renamed after him
The startling offer, which was described by two people familiar with the conversation, was swiftly rejected by Schumer.
www.cnn.com/2026/02/05/p...
Trump promises Schumer funding for NY tunnel project — if Penn Station and Dulles Airport are renamed after him | CNN Politics
President Donald Trump told Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer last month that he was finally prepared to drop his freeze on billions of dollars in funding for a major New York infrastructure projec...
www.cnn.com
February 6, 2026 at 12:58 AM
Democrats should pledge to engage in a thorough damnatio memoriae to purge Trump's name, image, constructions, and decorative defacements on federal or federally funded buildings when they gain the power to do so.
We need an SEC "theoretical trifecta" shirt instead
February 5, 2026 at 11:31 PM
We need an SEC "theoretical trifecta" shirt instead
The point is that Hollywood *for decades* excused Polanski in spite of his legal issues in the states. That's culture v. law. Polanski won a Best Director Oscar in 2002!
Its incredible that the story for how the age of consent is no big deal is Roman Polanski, a man who has been in literal exile from his home country since the 1970s and who is, it is important to note, absolutely fucking guilty on the merits
February 5, 2026 at 3:45 PM
The point is that Hollywood *for decades* excused Polanski in spite of his legal issues in the states. That's culture v. law. Polanski won a Best Director Oscar in 2002!
They hated the policy outcomes and inflation.
This was Biden's whole deal and everybody hated it.
My campaign ad in 2028: you will go months without thinking about politics. Your government will function. You will be able to worry about what color the dress is or if the boy in the balloon is okay, not whether you’ll wake up to a tweet about invading Vanuatu because I saw a tik tok.
February 5, 2026 at 1:25 AM
They hated the policy outcomes and inflation.
What the hell??
TIL the CIA killed off its invaluable World Factbook...with a press release dated today??
WTF, is this yet more Trump fuckery?
www.cia.gov/stories/stor...
WTF, is this yet more Trump fuckery?
www.cia.gov/stories/stor...
Spotlighting The World Factbook as We Bid a Fond Farewell - CIA
www.cia.gov
February 4, 2026 at 9:38 PM
What the hell??
Reposted by Peel
Relatedly the Republican Party still has a trust advantage on the issue of immigration over the Democratic Party. Voters don't like the visible cruelty and the secret police but it's not translated into a Dem advantage on the issue.
February 4, 2026 at 2:57 AM
Relatedly the Republican Party still has a trust advantage on the issue of immigration over the Democratic Party. Voters don't like the visible cruelty and the secret police but it's not translated into a Dem advantage on the issue.
If your policy preferences can't survive implementation they're not good policies or preferences. That is the problem of 21st century American governance in a nutshell.
I have confirmed the gist of this report out of federal court in Minnesota today from a source familiar.
If you have more information about the District of Minnesota—either the court or the U.S. Attorney's Office—and how they are handling all of this, please reach out. I am at crg.32 on Signal.
If you have more information about the District of Minnesota—either the court or the U.S. Attorney's Office—and how they are handling all of this, please reach out. I am at crg.32 on Signal.
February 3, 2026 at 9:54 PM
If your policy preferences can't survive implementation they're not good policies or preferences. That is the problem of 21st century American governance in a nutshell.
cc @patdeklotz.bsky.social it continues
This is unreal. An AUSA talking like that in open court is about as close as you can come to a total breakdown. Never heard of anything like it.
February 3, 2026 at 9:12 PM
cc @patdeklotz.bsky.social it continues
Yeah, it's all basically the mental gymnastics meme. Ceteris paribus the median voter theorem is sound.
Now this doesn't mean that more ideological or extreme candidates ALWAYS cause a disadvantage. Personality, issue salience, messaging make a difference. But on balance, moderation is useful.
Now this doesn't mean that more ideological or extreme candidates ALWAYS cause a disadvantage. Personality, issue salience, messaging make a difference. But on balance, moderation is useful.
Basically, Morris (and everyone else participating in this "debate") agree that moderates do better and just don't want to acknowledge that this is true.
basically yglesias, jain, jentleson, WelcomePAC donors etc all base their prescriptions for Dems on a statistical model that nobody can replicate, and refuse to acknowledge (a) that uncertainty dwarfs the detectable effect of moderation & (b) that the last year has proved their views wrong!!
February 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM
Yeah, it's all basically the mental gymnastics meme. Ceteris paribus the median voter theorem is sound.
Now this doesn't mean that more ideological or extreme candidates ALWAYS cause a disadvantage. Personality, issue salience, messaging make a difference. But on balance, moderation is useful.
Now this doesn't mean that more ideological or extreme candidates ALWAYS cause a disadvantage. Personality, issue salience, messaging make a difference. But on balance, moderation is useful.
Reposted by Peel
I don’t want to start a whole big thing here, but the wording here is unintentionally revealing: the presumption that Stancil is somebody in need of redemption and has not satisfied that need through his actions is some seriously online brained nonsense.
February 3, 2026 at 12:07 AM
I don’t want to start a whole big thing here, but the wording here is unintentionally revealing: the presumption that Stancil is somebody in need of redemption and has not satisfied that need through his actions is some seriously online brained nonsense.
@cdgoldstein.baseballprospectus.com any idea when the annual is going to be available to buy? My son is agitating for baseball content
February 1, 2026 at 6:13 PM
@cdgoldstein.baseballprospectus.com any idea when the annual is going to be available to buy? My son is agitating for baseball content
cc @patdeklotz.bsky.social they are having difficulties
January 31, 2026 at 10:20 PM
cc @patdeklotz.bsky.social they are having difficulties
NEW: Jeffrey Epstein scouted women for New York Giants co-owner Steve Tisch, emails show.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/701...
www.nytimes.com/athletic/701...
Jeffrey Epstein scouted women for New York Giants co-owner Steve Tisch, emails show
The emails, sent in 2013, were among more than 3 million Epstein-related documents the Department of Justice released Friday.
www.nytimes.com
January 30, 2026 at 10:55 PM
Reposted by Peel
Denny won’t be happy until the Super Bowl is played as a Madden simulation
This is barely an exaggeration. I like to see the world's greatest athletes compete against each other, unencumbered by the elements. I'll go to prison for this stance if need be.
Got on my high horse about how weather games rule
And @dennycarter.bsky.social drools
www.thedrawplay.com/comic/weathe...
And @dennycarter.bsky.social drools
www.thedrawplay.com/comic/weathe...
January 30, 2026 at 6:38 PM
Denny won’t be happy until the Super Bowl is played as a Madden simulation
Yes, this is exactly right. It's time to start running out the clock a little bit. Sand in every gear--state capacity is drained.
Any litigant, any target of a subpoena or discovery request, any criminal defendant, should fight them on every motion, on every request, on every contested issue.
They are bleeding talent, institutional knowledge, and credibility. They cannot fight on every front.
We are winning.
They are bleeding talent, institutional knowledge, and credibility. They cannot fight on every front.
We are winning.
Mass resignation time.
January 30, 2026 at 4:15 PM
Yes, this is exactly right. It's time to start running out the clock a little bit. Sand in every gear--state capacity is drained.
@baseballprospectus.com any idea when new copies of the annual are shipping? None of the vendors seem to have them available, and my son is agitating for baseball content
January 30, 2026 at 4:13 PM
@baseballprospectus.com any idea when new copies of the annual are shipping? None of the vendors seem to have them available, and my son is agitating for baseball content
Reposted by Peel
One of the worst things about the permanent damage Trump has done to US politics is that it's now assumed that he represents the default way to wield power. Biden was hands off with the DoJ. DoJ probably got a tip and investigated it, as they should. Insufficient evidence was found, so it ended.
January 30, 2026 at 12:21 AM
One of the worst things about the permanent damage Trump has done to US politics is that it's now assumed that he represents the default way to wield power. Biden was hands off with the DoJ. DoJ probably got a tip and investigated it, as they should. Insufficient evidence was found, so it ended.
Reposted by Peel
When did police start dressing like Fortnite characters? And what is camouflage good for in a city?
Dress is a form of speech and we need to pay attention to the message we’re being sent.
Dress is a form of speech and we need to pay attention to the message we’re being sent.
January 17, 2026 at 2:46 PM
When did police start dressing like Fortnite characters? And what is camouflage good for in a city?
Dress is a form of speech and we need to pay attention to the message we’re being sent.
Dress is a form of speech and we need to pay attention to the message we’re being sent.
Pretty damn good tbh. My only comment is that naming Trump in the song instead of just calling him "the king" isn't worth it.
But the other namedrops work really well.
But the other namedrops work really well.
I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good.
Stay free
Stay free
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen
youtu.be
January 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Pretty damn good tbh. My only comment is that naming Trump in the song instead of just calling him "the king" isn't worth it.
But the other namedrops work really well.
But the other namedrops work really well.