Michal Onderco
banner
profonderco.bsky.social
Michal Onderco
@profonderco.bsky.social

Professor of International Relations at Erasmus University Rotterdam, affiliated with Charles University in Prague. VU Amsterdam, EUI, CISAC, WIAS-alum. Nuclear weapons | foreign policy | CEE

Political science 68%
Sociology 12%

Reposted by James Cameron

DL on Wednesday!
🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project

You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!

⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025

wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...

1/4 🧵

Peter was deeply knowledgeable, but exceptionally devout to democratic process. There’s no better example than the NPT’s extension. Indefinite extension wasn’t his preferred option. But when the politicians decided to go for it, he made it work. True class. RIP

And I had the privilege of studying the work of Goosen the diplomat for my book on the NPT’s extension published with @stanfordpress.bsky.social (3/4) www.sup.org/books/politi...
Networked Nonproliferation | Stanford University Press
The Treaty on Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) had many opponents when, in 1995, it came up for extension. The majority of parties opposed extension, and experts expected a limited extension...
www.sup.org

In 2017, I had an honor to interview him on this momentous negotiation for a project with Wilson Center (2/n) digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/ora...
digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org

Peter Goosen, the titan of arms control, has passed. Peter was an amazing man, a proud South African who left his mark on chemical, biological and nuclear arms control. However, he will be most famously known for his role in the NPT’s indefinite extension in 1995. (1/n)

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

New OA article: The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance by Mahmoud Javadi, @profonderco.bsky.social & Sophie Vanhoonacker: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance
This paper investigates why EU member states have largely opted for external forums, rather than the EU itself, to shape the emerging governance of military AI. While the EU’s limited competence in...
www.tandfonline.com

Together with Mahmoud Javadi and Sophie Vanhoonacker, we just published a piece in @europeansecurity.bsky.social on why EU is not more active in military AI regulation. Drawing on regime complexity scholarship, our answer is simple: EU doesn't offer what MSs want.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance
This paper investigates why EU member states have largely opted for external forums, rather than the EU itself, to shape the emerging governance of military AI. While the EU’s limited competence in...
www.tandfonline.com

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

I won’t tell you who to vote for. But don’t listen to those who rage about how the country has been ruined. It’s one of the most successful place in the world by almost every measure you can think. Is everything perfect? No! Could things improve? Yes!

Reposted by James Cameron

Come work with us! A new postdoc vacancy at @essb-erasmusuni010.bsky.social on willingness to fight. Join our small but active group. DL on 12 Nov. For more info, see www.eur.nl/en/working-a...
Post-doc Willingness to Fight
Want to gain a deeper understanding of what citizens think about the military, security and defence policy after the Russian invasion of Ukraine? Please join!
www.eur.nl

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

I wrote about the Polish refusal to extradite a Ukrainian suspect in the Nord Stream attack to Germany. A few things didn't make it in. First: the court said jurisdiction over attacks on a pipeline in international waters is hazy. Sounds weird, right? 1/8 www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
Poland refuses to extradite a Nord Stream suspect
Relations with Germany take a turn for the worse
www.economist.com

Time is running out to propose a SI to @jird-jour.bsky.social . We are a well-run, pluralist IR journal with broad mind and wide readership. Second to none for your SI.
📚 Want to publish a guest-edited Special Issue or Special Collection with us?

📆 Don’t miss the submission deadline for this year’s annual call on 30 October 2025!

👉 You can find more information on how to prepare your proposal here: link.springer.com/journal/4126...

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

📚 Want to publish a guest-edited Special Issue or Special Collection with us?

📆 Don’t miss the submission deadline for this year’s annual call on 30 October 2025!

👉 You can find more information on how to prepare your proposal here: link.springer.com/journal/4126...
💡 Valerio Vignoli & @fabrizio-coticchia.bsky.social FIND…💡
a curvilinear support for military aid across the left–right axis. Yet, FdI’s backing constitutes a deviation from this model.

Read the article here 👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Just uploaded a new version of my Job Market paper ahead of the USC HPE workshop.

Comments, concerns, and inquiries welcome!

I look forward to answering any questions about how this does or does not relate to "current events".

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

In the coming days, you'll hear a lot about Steadfast Noon exercise. Until recently, even its name was secret. Want to know why?Pre-order my book coming out with @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org soon. The proofs are already in!

www.cambridge.org/sk/universit...
Norway are facing Israel in the Football World Cup qualifiers today

The Oslo Tram Driver’s Union will be striking on the tram lines to the stadium in solidarity with the people of Palestine

www.nrk.no/stor-oslo/va...
Varsler kollektiv-streik i Oslo før Norge-Israel
Oslo Sporveiers Arbeiderforening varsler streik 11. oktober, samme dag som Israel og Norge spiller landskamp i fotball på Ullevaal Stadion. Hensikten er å vise støtte til Palestina. Én time før kampst...
www.nrk.no
🆕 Attitudes toward international organisations? 🌍

Exploring #Technocratic & #Populist attitudes, Reinout van der Veer & @profonderco.bsky.social use survey data across five European 🏤 countries to explain how people view IOs

📖 #OA
Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations
buff.ly

So so so proud of my PhD student @franziskastaerk.bsky.social who just published her first dissertation-linked paper on key differences intergenerational injustice in nuclear disarmament and climate action.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
False Twins: Intergenerational Injustice in Nuclear Deterrence and Climate Inaction
Nuclear deterrence and climate inaction wrong future generations by imposing potential existential harm through climate-related disasters and nuclear winter. While increasingly explored in tandem, ke...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

In een ander DG zit ik intussen bijna 2 jaar te wachten op de finale goedkeuring van een rapport (nota bene over de economische kosten van slecht werkende overheidsdiensten).

Good morning from Helsinki, where I am to attend a workshop at @fiia.fi and then the @helsinkisecurityforum.fi . If you want to catch a coffee, shoot me a message.

Congrats to @lydiawachs.bsky.social on this well-deserved award! It’s a great piece that will shape how we think about Russian nuclear doctrine for a long time! Very glad to have it in the SI edited jointly with @tobiasbunde.bsky.social

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

Still can’t quite believe that my article “Russian nuclear roulette” has won the Doreen and Jim McElvany Nonproliferation Award grand prize. nonproliferation.org/article-on-r... 1/3
Article on Russian nuclear strategy during Ukraine war takes top McElvany Award
An article providing key insights into Russian nuclear strategy during the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine has won the grand prize.
nonproliferation.org

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

Does #CFSP coordination foster foreign policy alignment among #EU member states? 🤔@valeriovignoli.bsky.social, @profonderco.bsky.social + yours truly revisit this question with fresh evidence from UNGA 🌐voting on #nuclearweapons in @cspjournal.bsky.social 👇
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/ZYNCQ...
Does CFSP co-ordination foster convergence? Voting behavior on nuclear weapons at the UN General Assembly
Although the European Union (EU) has sought to promote the approximation of the foreign policy positions of member states since it established its Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) with the...
www.tandfonline.com

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

Tomorrow (Thu 4 Sept, 11:00–12:45), I’ll be chairing with @albertomiraglia.bsky.social our panel 7.20 “Far-Right Emergence: Yet Another Challenge in the Midst of the Crisis of Multilateralism,” with exciting papers kindly discussed by @profonderco.bsky.social

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

Maybe an unpopular view for Bluesky but:
If you live in a country for +6 months you should make a big effort to learn the language. If after a year or two you can’t speak it at all, that’s unacceptable. And no, “but people always speak English to me” isn’t a good excuse!

bsky.app/profile/matt...
Increasingly common in Amsterdam shops and restaurants to find staff (mainly European) who don’t speak Dutch. I don’t like this and feel there should be more pressure to learn the language. Not sure govt has a role to play, and it might be hard on businesses if they can’t hire non-Dutch speakers.

Wow, this looks super cool!
In the context of debates on military capacities, this small research note uses the exact date of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as an unexpected event during a survey to corroborate that willingness to fight rises with proximity to conflict (cf. doi.org/10.1017/eis.2025.12)

Any feedback is welcome!

Reposted by Michal Onderčo

In the context of debates on military capacities, this small research note uses the exact date of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as an unexpected event during a survey to corroborate that willingness to fight rises with proximity to conflict (cf. doi.org/10.1017/eis.2025.12)

Any feedback is welcome!

Weirdly enough, I had a similar experience this summer. 2/3 of the references were made up. I didn’t provide a substantive review, just flagged these references. The piece got rejected. Based on dinner conversations with colleagues, it’s becoming very common.
I'm peer reviewing a manuscript for a reputable publisher and came across fake references which must be AI-generated - including to an article attributed to me which sounds fascinating but which I never wrote.