Michal Onderco
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profonderco.bsky.social
Michal Onderco
@profonderco.bsky.social
Professor of International Relations at Erasmus University Rotterdam, affiliated with Charles University in Prague. VU Amsterdam, EUI, CISAC, WIAS-alum. Nuclear weapons | foreign policy | CEE
Never had the pleasure of meeting David Malone, but we corresponded and he had an incredibly generous mind. May his soul rest in peace!
Just heard about Ambassador David Malone’s passing. An incredible academic & practitioner. I had the chance to first meet him when he was HC to India. He gave me very important advice on my PhD career, had always been supportive of my work & contributed an excellent chapter to an HB I edited. RIP!
December 3, 2025 at 5:50 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
The Nonproliferation Review published the first of 2 special issues from the Harvard–MacArthur Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group.

#OpenAccess intro by the 3 working group co-chairs & special issue editors, Hassan Elbahtimy, @professorrdg.bsky.social, & me: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Getting beyond nuclear deterrence: a research agenda
For eight decades, the practice of nuclear deterrence has been treated as common sense in many influential policy-making and scholarly circles. This remains the case although most states neither po...
www.tandfonline.com
December 2, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Why do some EU members “care” more about the 🇮🇱-🇵🇸 conflict than others?

Together with @valeriovignoli.bsky.social and @irena-kalhousova.bsky.social , we argue this is due to domestic polarization, demography and trade patterns.

Read more in #openaccess onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Who Cares: Why the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict Matters (More) to Some EU Member States
What drives the salience of the Israeli–Palestinian conflict amongst EU member states? This article employs domestic foreign policy theories to explain the factors underlying variation in salience, e...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
December 2, 2025 at 6:10 AM
🎉 Excited to share that “Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella” @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org will be out in physical form before Christmas. It tells the story of how Europeans contest nuclear weapons - and how policymakers react. Pairs perfectly with hot and cold beverages. ☕

www.cambridge.org/9781009698672
Europe's Nuclear Umbrella | Cambridge University Press & Assessment
www.cambridge.org
November 26, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Our paper with Ulrich Kühn @ifshhamburg.bsky.social on organizing nuclear policies in Europe has now an issue! Who are the architects, and who are the bricoleurs? Read in #openaccess at Intl Politics link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Organizing nuclear policies in Europe: of bricoleur plurality, architect absence, and spoiler disruption - International Politics
A major question in organizing European security is how Europe should deal with nuclear weapons. Historically, extended nuclear deterrence and later multilateral nonproliferation and bilateral arms co...
link.springer.com
November 21, 2025 at 2:53 PM
DL on Wednesday!
November 10, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project

You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!

⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025

wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...

1/4 🧵
November 10, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Peter Goosen, the titan of arms control, has passed. Peter was an amazing man, a proud South African who left his mark on chemical, biological and nuclear arms control. However, he will be most famously known for his role in the NPT’s indefinite extension in 1995. (1/n)
November 6, 2025 at 7:17 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
New OA article: The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance by Mahmoud Javadi, @profonderco.bsky.social & Sophie Vanhoonacker: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance
This paper investigates why EU member states have largely opted for external forums, rather than the EU itself, to shape the emerging governance of military AI. While the EU’s limited competence in...
www.tandfonline.com
November 3, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Together with Mahmoud Javadi and Sophie Vanhoonacker, we just published a piece in @europeansecurity.bsky.social on why EU is not more active in military AI regulation. Drawing on regime complexity scholarship, our answer is simple: EU doesn't offer what MSs want.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance
This paper investigates why EU member states have largely opted for external forums, rather than the EU itself, to shape the emerging governance of military AI. While the EU’s limited competence in...
www.tandfonline.com
November 2, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
I won’t tell you who to vote for. But don’t listen to those who rage about how the country has been ruined. It’s one of the most successful place in the world by almost every measure you can think. Is everything perfect? No! Could things improve? Yes!
October 29, 2025 at 8:24 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Postdoc opening. Background in IR/PolSci, quantitative skills. Great supervisors.
October 27, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Come work with us! A new postdoc vacancy at @essb-erasmusuni010.bsky.social on willingness to fight. Join our small but active group. DL on 12 Nov. For more info, see www.eur.nl/en/working-a...
Post-doc Willingness to Fight
Want to gain a deeper understanding of what citizens think about the military, security and defence policy after the Russian invasion of Ukraine? Please join!
www.eur.nl
October 27, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
I wrote about the Polish refusal to extradite a Ukrainian suspect in the Nord Stream attack to Germany. A few things didn't make it in. First: the court said jurisdiction over attacks on a pipeline in international waters is hazy. Sounds weird, right? 1/8 www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
Poland refuses to extradite a Nord Stream suspect
Relations with Germany take a turn for the worse
www.economist.com
October 24, 2025 at 10:01 AM
Time is running out to propose a SI to @jird-jour.bsky.social . We are a well-run, pluralist IR journal with broad mind and wide readership. Second to none for your SI.
📚 Want to publish a guest-edited Special Issue or Special Collection with us?

📆 Don’t miss the submission deadline for this year’s annual call on 30 October 2025!

👉 You can find more information on how to prepare your proposal here: link.springer.com/journal/4126...
October 21, 2025 at 7:48 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
💡 Valerio Vignoli & @fabrizio-coticchia.bsky.social FIND…💡
a curvilinear support for military aid across the left–right axis. Yet, FdI’s backing constitutes a deviation from this model.

Read the article here 👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
October 20, 2025 at 5:31 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Just uploaded a new version of my Job Market paper ahead of the USC HPE workshop.

Comments, concerns, and inquiries welcome!

I look forward to answering any questions about how this does or does not relate to "current events".

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
October 16, 2025 at 10:53 PM
In the coming days, you'll hear a lot about Steadfast Noon exercise. Until recently, even its name was secret. Want to know why?Pre-order my book coming out with @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org soon. The proofs are already in!

www.cambridge.org/sk/universit...
October 14, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Not commenting on this action, but if boycotts of Israel continue after it stops killing in Gaza, if they are not tied to a specific demand, the conclusion Israelis draw is “they hate us regardless and there is no point listening to them.”
October 11, 2025 at 7:52 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
🆕 Attitudes toward international organisations? 🌍

Exploring #Technocratic & #Populist attitudes, Reinout van der Veer & @profonderco.bsky.social use survey data across five European 🏤 countries to explain how people view IOs

📖 #OA
Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations
buff.ly
October 6, 2025 at 11:15 PM
So so so proud of my PhD student @franziskastaerk.bsky.social who just published her first dissertation-linked paper on key differences intergenerational injustice in nuclear disarmament and climate action.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
False Twins: Intergenerational Injustice in Nuclear Deterrence and Climate Inaction
Nuclear deterrence and climate inaction wrong future generations by imposing potential existential harm through climate-related disasters and nuclear winter. While increasingly explored in tandem, ke...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 26, 2025 at 8:57 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
In een ander DG zit ik intussen bijna 2 jaar te wachten op de finale goedkeuring van een rapport (nota bene over de economische kosten van slecht werkende overheidsdiensten).
September 19, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Good morning from Helsinki, where I am to attend a workshop at @fiia.fi and then the @helsinkisecurityforum.fi . If you want to catch a coffee, shoot me a message.
September 18, 2025 at 4:27 AM
Congrats to @lydiawachs.bsky.social on this well-deserved award! It’s a great piece that will shape how we think about Russian nuclear doctrine for a long time! Very glad to have it in the SI edited jointly with @tobiasbunde.bsky.social
September 12, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Reposted by Michal Onderco
Does #CFSP coordination foster foreign policy alignment among #EU member states? 🤔@valeriovignoli.bsky.social, @profonderco.bsky.social + yours truly revisit this question with fresh evidence from UNGA 🌐voting on #nuclearweapons in @cspjournal.bsky.social 👇
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/ZYNCQ...
Does CFSP co-ordination foster convergence? Voting behavior on nuclear weapons at the UN General Assembly
Although the European Union (EU) has sought to promote the approximation of the foreign policy positions of member states since it established its Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) with the...
www.tandfonline.com
September 9, 2025 at 4:30 PM