Joe Phillips
@polpsychjoe.bsky.social
Lecturer in Politics, Cardiff University. Political Psychology. Polarization. Political Communication.
Pinned
Joe Phillips
@polpsychjoe.bsky.social
· Nov 17
Hello new followers! For those I don't know yet, let me introduce myself:
- I'm an American working at Cardiff University
- My work focuses on animosity between political groups, misinformation, and support for democratic norms.
- I tend to be much more of a doomer than my empirical results warrant
- I'm an American working at Cardiff University
- My work focuses on animosity between political groups, misinformation, and support for democratic norms.
- I tend to be much more of a doomer than my empirical results warrant
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Absolutely right. I criticise BBC News, because we need it to be as good as we know it can be. People like Farage criticise the BBC, because they work for its competitors and don't want it to exist.
🎯 Davey is spot on. "We can have criticism of the BBC, but within that, we need to recognise how valuable an institution it is [and how] precious to our country. And that's one of the reasons why people like President Trump and Nigel Farage, want to undermine the BBC." 👏🏽~AA
November 10, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Absolutely right. I criticise BBC News, because we need it to be as good as we know it can be. People like Farage criticise the BBC, because they work for its competitors and don't want it to exist.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
🚨🚨 V welcome ruling: #USSupreme Court rejects a call to overturn its landmark decision that legalized #same-sex marriage nationwide turning away an appeal from Kim Davis, the former Kentucky court clerk who refused to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples. 🧵 apnews.com/article/supr...
Supreme Court rejects call to overturn its decision legalizing same-sex marriage nationwide
The Supreme Court has rejected a call to overturn its landmark decision that legalized same-sex marriage nationwide.
apnews.com
November 10, 2025 at 3:03 PM
🚨🚨 V welcome ruling: #USSupreme Court rejects a call to overturn its landmark decision that legalized #same-sex marriage nationwide turning away an appeal from Kim Davis, the former Kentucky court clerk who refused to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples. 🧵 apnews.com/article/supr...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
This guy gets it:
“More and more cabinet members — Rubio, Miller, Noem — live on military bases now, & it's another parallel to Iraq, where the administration lived in the Green Zone. There’s something deeply unhealthy about a society where leaders are literally shut off from the communities that they govern.”
Don Moynihan on "Purge, Merge, and Surge"
"Instead of surging in Iraq, it’s happening here in American cities."
www.publicnotice.co
November 10, 2025 at 2:33 PM
This guy gets it:
Reposted by Joe Phillips
'Votes at 16' is coming, but how prepared are young people?
Next Thursday, join Hattie Andrews @politicsproject.bsky.social, Emma Connolly @uclspeechlab.bsky.social and Hans Svennevig @citizenshippgceioe.bsky.social @ioe.bsky.social at this in-person event with @uclspp.bsky.social.
Sign up 👇
Next Thursday, join Hattie Andrews @politicsproject.bsky.social, Emma Connolly @uclspeechlab.bsky.social and Hans Svennevig @citizenshippgceioe.bsky.social @ioe.bsky.social at this in-person event with @uclspp.bsky.social.
Sign up 👇
Votes at 16: Is Citizenship Education up to Scratch?
The UK is lowering the voting age to 16, but how prepared are young people to take part in elections?
www.ucl.ac.uk
November 10, 2025 at 7:00 AM
'Votes at 16' is coming, but how prepared are young people?
Next Thursday, join Hattie Andrews @politicsproject.bsky.social, Emma Connolly @uclspeechlab.bsky.social and Hans Svennevig @citizenshippgceioe.bsky.social @ioe.bsky.social at this in-person event with @uclspp.bsky.social.
Sign up 👇
Next Thursday, join Hattie Andrews @politicsproject.bsky.social, Emma Connolly @uclspeechlab.bsky.social and Hans Svennevig @citizenshippgceioe.bsky.social @ioe.bsky.social at this in-person event with @uclspp.bsky.social.
Sign up 👇
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Reposted by Joe Phillips
This study of the 2005 London bombings was the first in which we proposed that supportive behaviour among survivors in an emergency is due to extension of the boundary of the self-category, which occurs in such events due to perceived common fate.
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
November 9, 2025 at 3:16 PM
This study of the 2005 London bombings was the first in which we proposed that supportive behaviour among survivors in an emergency is due to extension of the boundary of the self-category, which occurs in such events due to perceived common fate.
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
IN NEW ISSUE: Analysing protest participation - @danmercea.bsky.social, @feligsantos.bsky.social & Matthias Hoffmann argue it's a gradient, beyond the binary of participation and non-participation & suggest practical mobilisation pathways: buff.ly/XfEkdYm (OPEN ACCESS)
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
November 8, 2025 at 10:00 PM
IN NEW ISSUE: Analysing protest participation - @danmercea.bsky.social, @feligsantos.bsky.social & Matthias Hoffmann argue it's a gradient, beyond the binary of participation and non-participation & suggest practical mobilisation pathways: buff.ly/XfEkdYm (OPEN ACCESS)
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Is partner partisanship associated with vote choice? @cerifowler.bsky.social finds that it was for the 2016 Brexit Referendum & subsequent elections in the UK & argues that this can help us understand gender gaps in vote choice. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/MnhqzaY
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
buff.ly
November 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Is partner partisanship associated with vote choice? @cerifowler.bsky.social finds that it was for the 2016 Brexit Referendum & subsequent elections in the UK & argues that this can help us understand gender gaps in vote choice. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/MnhqzaY
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Haha. That passage stuck out for me too!
While going through the proofs for "The British General Election of 2024" (out very soon!) I came across this - Paul Johnson of the IFS's verdict on Labour's manifesto last year. Labour's current attempts to claim the need to break their tax pledges was impossible to forsee don't stack up
November 10, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Haha. That passage stuck out for me too!
Reposted by Joe Phillips
The Heritage Foundation, the intellectual engine behind the 922-page blueprint that has become the key policy manual for Donald Trump’s second term, is partnering with a constellation of European nationalist far-right movements to export its playbook.
The Heritage Foundation goes from MAGA to MEGA — Make Europe Great Again
On the agenda: pro-natalism, freedom of expression, opposing trans rights and fighting Chinese influence.
www.politico.eu
November 10, 2025 at 7:57 AM
The Heritage Foundation, the intellectual engine behind the 922-page blueprint that has become the key policy manual for Donald Trump’s second term, is partnering with a constellation of European nationalist far-right movements to export its playbook.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Dear Senate Dems,
Republicans don’t keep their promises…
Republicans don’t keep their promises…
November 10, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Dear Senate Dems,
Republicans don’t keep their promises…
Republicans don’t keep their promises…
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Be clear, the American far right are coming for British democracy.
November 9, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Be clear, the American far right are coming for British democracy.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Time to reshare this piece on the pitfalls of following the road Denmark has taken on immigration: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...
November 8, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Time to reshare this piece on the pitfalls of following the road Denmark has taken on immigration: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
I think it’s fair to say that “field of study” becomes increasingly relevant to understand social and political patterns. Here a blog I wrote about the revival of my PhD work in political science, with a proper replication by @liesbethooghe.bsky.social et al. hermwerf.substack.com/p/field-of-s...
November 9, 2025 at 9:34 AM
I think it’s fair to say that “field of study” becomes increasingly relevant to understand social and political patterns. Here a blog I wrote about the revival of my PhD work in political science, with a proper replication by @liesbethooghe.bsky.social et al. hermwerf.substack.com/p/field-of-s...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
This has not gotten much attention, but it should.
Virginia under Youngkin returned to an insanely harsh system where people convicted of any felony lose their voting rights FOR LIFE.
Dems' win this week mean they'll get to advance a constitutional amendment to end lifetime disenfranchisement.
Virginia under Youngkin returned to an insanely harsh system where people convicted of any felony lose their voting rights FOR LIFE.
Dems' win this week mean they'll get to advance a constitutional amendment to end lifetime disenfranchisement.
November 7, 2025 at 8:59 PM
This has not gotten much attention, but it should.
Virginia under Youngkin returned to an insanely harsh system where people convicted of any felony lose their voting rights FOR LIFE.
Dems' win this week mean they'll get to advance a constitutional amendment to end lifetime disenfranchisement.
Virginia under Youngkin returned to an insanely harsh system where people convicted of any felony lose their voting rights FOR LIFE.
Dems' win this week mean they'll get to advance a constitutional amendment to end lifetime disenfranchisement.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Aside from the crucial voting system difference, the Social Democrats over this period have haemorrhaged votes to progressive parties and are currently on course for their worst result in 110yrs, while the Green Left are set for their best ever.
The Danish People's Party are currently gaining.
The Danish People's Party are currently gaining.
what are the odds that the people in Downing Street briefing this out would also break out in hives at the mere mention of proportional representation?
November 8, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Aside from the crucial voting system difference, the Social Democrats over this period have haemorrhaged votes to progressive parties and are currently on course for their worst result in 110yrs, while the Green Left are set for their best ever.
The Danish People's Party are currently gaining.
The Danish People's Party are currently gaining.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
This seems beyond serious to me. Here’s why: if this software contradicts the fact of one’s citizenship, how far do they take it? All the way to deportation? (And then they have a pretext, “we’ll we were just following the technology.” This is pure science fiction dystopia sh*t).
According to reports, ICE officers are being told to trust the results of a faulty facial recognition app over evidence of citizenship.
The Trump administration is steamrolling our due process and privacy rights to support its mass deportation agenda.
The Trump administration is steamrolling our due process and privacy rights to support its mass deportation agenda.
You Can't Refuse To Be Scanned by ICE's Facial Recognition App, DHS Document Says
Photos captured by Mobile Fortify will be stored for 15 years, regardless of immigration or citizenship status, the document says.
www.404media.co
November 8, 2025 at 10:56 AM
This seems beyond serious to me. Here’s why: if this software contradicts the fact of one’s citizenship, how far do they take it? All the way to deportation? (And then they have a pretext, “we’ll we were just following the technology.” This is pure science fiction dystopia sh*t).
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Trump is still the charismatic leader and driver of the MAGA movement.
Yet, ambitious Republican politicians are already jockeying to inherit his base.
History and academic research suggest that replacing a charismatic leader is hard, and that they’ll struggle to replicate his appeal.
Yet, ambitious Republican politicians are already jockeying to inherit his base.
History and academic research suggest that replacing a charismatic leader is hard, and that they’ll struggle to replicate his appeal.
November 7, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Trump is still the charismatic leader and driver of the MAGA movement.
Yet, ambitious Republican politicians are already jockeying to inherit his base.
History and academic research suggest that replacing a charismatic leader is hard, and that they’ll struggle to replicate his appeal.
Yet, ambitious Republican politicians are already jockeying to inherit his base.
History and academic research suggest that replacing a charismatic leader is hard, and that they’ll struggle to replicate his appeal.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
4) Be wary of claims that these 2025 election results were mainly about persuasion or voters changing their minds.
Turnout was likely an import part of the story (see @electproject.bsky.social ->
bsky.app/profile/elec...)
Turnout was likely an import part of the story (see @electproject.bsky.social ->
bsky.app/profile/elec...)
Pretty clear pattern that 2025 turnout in the Trumpiest Virginia localities lagged the most behind their 2024 turnout
November 7, 2025 at 6:16 PM
4) Be wary of claims that these 2025 election results were mainly about persuasion or voters changing their minds.
Turnout was likely an import part of the story (see @electproject.bsky.social ->
bsky.app/profile/elec...)
Turnout was likely an import part of the story (see @electproject.bsky.social ->
bsky.app/profile/elec...)
Reposted by Joe Phillips
3) Given his unpopularity, watch for “gambling for resurrection” behavior in foreign policy. He and his advisors may try to escalate or manufacture crises to distract or recover his political support. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamblin...
And at home, expect increased repression.
And at home, expect increased repression.
November 7, 2025 at 6:16 PM
3) Given his unpopularity, watch for “gambling for resurrection” behavior in foreign policy. He and his advisors may try to escalate or manufacture crises to distract or recover his political support. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamblin...
And at home, expect increased repression.
And at home, expect increased repression.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
2) Coordinating a broad, pro-democracy movement is *hard*.
But these results matter. They signal to both the public and political elites that Trump is vulnerable and they help galvanize opposition. www.bbc.com/news/article...
But these results matter. They signal to both the public and political elites that Trump is vulnerable and they help galvanize opposition. www.bbc.com/news/article...
Millions turned out for anti-Trump 'No Kings' protests across US
The demonstrations against the US president - which Republicans had called "hate-America rallies" - were boisterous but peaceful.
www.bbc.com
November 7, 2025 at 6:16 PM
2) Coordinating a broad, pro-democracy movement is *hard*.
But these results matter. They signal to both the public and political elites that Trump is vulnerable and they help galvanize opposition. www.bbc.com/news/article...
But these results matter. They signal to both the public and political elites that Trump is vulnerable and they help galvanize opposition. www.bbc.com/news/article...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
A few observations based on this week's election results
1) Trump is unpopular and the elections were a rebuke to him and his unpopular policies.
1) Trump is unpopular and the elections were a rebuke to him and his unpopular policies.
November 7, 2025 at 6:16 PM
A few observations based on this week's election results
1) Trump is unpopular and the elections were a rebuke to him and his unpopular policies.
1) Trump is unpopular and the elections were a rebuke to him and his unpopular policies.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Eternal shame on these collaborators. 👇
BREAKING: Cornell caved.
Here is the settlement agreement, signed today by the university's president, Michael Kotlikoff: statements.cornell.edu/2025/documen...
Here is the settlement agreement, signed today by the university's president, Michael Kotlikoff: statements.cornell.edu/2025/documen...
November 7, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Eternal shame on these collaborators. 👇
Reposted by Joe Phillips
BREAKING: Cornell caved.
Here is the settlement agreement, signed today by the university's president, Michael Kotlikoff: statements.cornell.edu/2025/documen...
Here is the settlement agreement, signed today by the university's president, Michael Kotlikoff: statements.cornell.edu/2025/documen...
November 7, 2025 at 5:11 PM
BREAKING: Cornell caved.
Here is the settlement agreement, signed today by the university's president, Michael Kotlikoff: statements.cornell.edu/2025/documen...
Here is the settlement agreement, signed today by the university's president, Michael Kotlikoff: statements.cornell.edu/2025/documen...