nampyca.bsky.social
@nampyca.bsky.social
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RUSSIANS INTERFERING IN IRAN
Four Il-76 transports filled with riot gear have arrived in Tehran this afternoon, suggesting an emergency request from the Tehran regime. Russia is panicked that the regime will collapse and leave it even more isolated. Authorities today are becoming increasingly harsh
Four Il-76 transports filled with riot gear have arrived in Tehran this afternoon, suggesting an emergency request from the Tehran regime. Russia is panicked that the regime will collapse and leave it even more isolated. Authorities today are becoming increasingly harsh
January 2, 2026 at 5:45 PM
RUSSIANS INTERFERING IN IRAN
Four Il-76 transports filled with riot gear have arrived in Tehran this afternoon, suggesting an emergency request from the Tehran regime. Russia is panicked that the regime will collapse and leave it even more isolated. Authorities today are becoming increasingly harsh
Four Il-76 transports filled with riot gear have arrived in Tehran this afternoon, suggesting an emergency request from the Tehran regime. Russia is panicked that the regime will collapse and leave it even more isolated. Authorities today are becoming increasingly harsh
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
A second revolution in Iran? Is an imperial restoration on the cards? Current crashing, inflation rampant and there's no water...something has to give?
IRAN ON THE BRINK?
A second revolution in Iran? Is an imperial restoration on the cards? Current crashing, inflation rampant and there's no water...something has to give?
themilitaryanalyst.com
January 2, 2026 at 5:11 PM
A second revolution in Iran? Is an imperial restoration on the cards? Current crashing, inflation rampant and there's no water...something has to give?
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
I see a growing number of obviously AI generated ads, and it always makes me think two things: (1) This is a rinky-dink outfit that can't afford to film a commercial with real sets and actors, and more importantly (2) They are lying to me even more than ads usually do.
January 2, 2026 at 4:54 PM
I see a growing number of obviously AI generated ads, and it always makes me think two things: (1) This is a rinky-dink outfit that can't afford to film a commercial with real sets and actors, and more importantly (2) They are lying to me even more than ads usually do.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Based on facts and strategy, not faith, Ukraine can win the war, despite "half-allies", like Belgium, who refuse decisive steps like seizing Russian assets or closing the skies, signalling they do not plan for Russia’s defeat. Luckily, Ukraine quietly internalized that reality and plans accordingly.
We were all shocked, though not surprised, by the latest scenes from the sham peace negotiations that lead nowhere.
But let's keep the essential point in mind: Ukraine will win, as I demonstrate in this 158th long read on my blog.
Happy New Year to all!
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/ukraine-th...
But let's keep the essential point in mind: Ukraine will win, as I demonstrate in this 158th long read on my blog.
Happy New Year to all!
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/ukraine-th...
Ukraine: The Case For Optimism
Where Realism and Rationality Meet
tenzerstrategics.substack.com
January 2, 2026 at 3:26 PM
Based on facts and strategy, not faith, Ukraine can win the war, despite "half-allies", like Belgium, who refuse decisive steps like seizing Russian assets or closing the skies, signalling they do not plan for Russia’s defeat. Luckily, Ukraine quietly internalized that reality and plans accordingly.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Hold the phone, are you telling me that the guy on the right created a chatbot that is producing child pornography? And are you also telling me that the President whose campaign he funded and who was Jeffrey Epstein's "best friend" for a while wants to prevent any form of AI regulation? Weird.
January 2, 2026 at 4:49 PM
Hold the phone, are you telling me that the guy on the right created a chatbot that is producing child pornography? And are you also telling me that the President whose campaign he funded and who was Jeffrey Epstein's "best friend" for a while wants to prevent any form of AI regulation? Weird.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
❗️Budanov has close and long-standing ties with the United States. He is key to dialogue in the event of negotiations with Trump, — NYT.
▪️ Budanov underwent training as part of programs supported by the CIA and was integrated into cooperation with American intelligence long before the full-scale war
▪️ Budanov underwent training as part of programs supported by the CIA and was integrated into cooperation with American intelligence long before the full-scale war
January 2, 2026 at 2:34 PM
❗️Budanov has close and long-standing ties with the United States. He is key to dialogue in the event of negotiations with Trump, — NYT.
▪️ Budanov underwent training as part of programs supported by the CIA and was integrated into cooperation with American intelligence long before the full-scale war
▪️ Budanov underwent training as part of programs supported by the CIA and was integrated into cooperation with American intelligence long before the full-scale war
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
“The collective west, including our Asian and Pacific democratic allies, has failed to imagine a free world that includes and encourages more nations.” Another fabulous article from @mollymckew.bsky.social
www.greatpower.us/p/2025-the-a...
www.greatpower.us/p/2025-the-a...
2025, the atomization of reality, and the failure of imagination… (part 1)
The free world is thinking small. Our adversaries are not.
www.greatpower.us
January 1, 2026 at 6:23 AM
“The collective west, including our Asian and Pacific democratic allies, has failed to imagine a free world that includes and encourages more nations.” Another fabulous article from @mollymckew.bsky.social
www.greatpower.us/p/2025-the-a...
www.greatpower.us/p/2025-the-a...
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
A disappointing CBC The National segment on the Russo-Ukrainian war which talked about « tensions », peddled the delusional framing that a settlement is within reach, quoted Ze out of context to suggest the main difficulty is Ukraine’s refusal to cede Donbas, bothsided Ze-Pu NYE addresses…
January 2, 2026 at 2:23 AM
A disappointing CBC The National segment on the Russo-Ukrainian war which talked about « tensions », peddled the delusional framing that a settlement is within reach, quoted Ze out of context to suggest the main difficulty is Ukraine’s refusal to cede Donbas, bothsided Ze-Pu NYE addresses…
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
RUSSIA IS A MESS AND THESE DAYS WE CAN SEE RIGHT THROUGH IT
Russia occupied 4336 square kilometers of Ukrainian land, or 0.72% of its total territory according to DeepState. On a casualty count of some half million men give or take, because it’s been a bad year.
Having seen a Russian soldier sit
Russia occupied 4336 square kilometers of Ukrainian land, or 0.72% of its total territory according to DeepState. On a casualty count of some half million men give or take, because it’s been a bad year.
Having seen a Russian soldier sit
January 2, 2026 at 6:56 AM
RUSSIA IS A MESS AND THESE DAYS WE CAN SEE RIGHT THROUGH IT
Russia occupied 4336 square kilometers of Ukrainian land, or 0.72% of its total territory according to DeepState. On a casualty count of some half million men give or take, because it’s been a bad year.
Having seen a Russian soldier sit
Russia occupied 4336 square kilometers of Ukrainian land, or 0.72% of its total territory according to DeepState. On a casualty count of some half million men give or take, because it’s been a bad year.
Having seen a Russian soldier sit
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Hi All, I've been puzzling about why the analysis of the Russo-Ukraine war has been so uneven (to put it kindly). I think, in the end, the problem is that the USA made war look too easy. The US is not a useful case study in understanding war, it is an anomaly. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Why The Constant Failure To Understand War? The US Made It Look Too Easy
Hi All,
open.substack.com
January 2, 2026 at 10:29 AM
Hi All, I've been puzzling about why the analysis of the Russo-Ukraine war has been so uneven (to put it kindly). I think, in the end, the problem is that the USA made war look too easy. The US is not a useful case study in understanding war, it is an anomaly. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Strange takes on Mayor Zamdani swearing his oath on the Qu’ran. It has nothing to do with church & state. The point of the oath is for the person swearing in to do so upon some text that is sacred TO THEM. Some Presidents swore in w/o any book. John Quincy Adams was sworn on a law book. His choice.
January 1, 2026 at 11:07 PM
Strange takes on Mayor Zamdani swearing his oath on the Qu’ran. It has nothing to do with church & state. The point of the oath is for the person swearing in to do so upon some text that is sacred TO THEM. Some Presidents swore in w/o any book. John Quincy Adams was sworn on a law book. His choice.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Today’s must-read👇
It's New Year, so time to look back and forward. These are 10 things I think we need to recognise in 2026. It’s a response to what I think are profoundly damaging mistaken assumptions I’ve heard and read from practitioners, journalists, and analysts in 2025. Warning: very long🧵
January 1, 2026 at 6:19 PM
Today’s must-read👇
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This is no ordinary defence line. Its a statement of intent and designed to make Russia think, and once they have ignored their own obvious conclusions it will rip them to shreds- if they ever get there.
THIS TELLS RUSSIA: YOU SHALL NOT PASS!
This is no ordinary defence line. Its a statement of intent and designed to make Russia think, and once they have ignored their own obvious conclusions it will rip them to shreds- if they ever get there.
themilitaryanalyst.com
January 1, 2026 at 4:45 PM
This is no ordinary defence line. Its a statement of intent and designed to make Russia think, and once they have ignored their own obvious conclusions it will rip them to shreds- if they ever get there.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Xi is just a classic, horrible imperialist in the same way that Putin and Trump are
In his New Year’s speech, Xi Jinping signaled a clear intent to push reunification with Taiwan, calling it “historically inevitable.” As Chinese forces launch blockade-style drills near the island, it’s increasingly likely Xi views 2026, and a distracted Trump, as a window of opportunity for action.
January 1, 2026 at 7:45 AM
Xi is just a classic, horrible imperialist in the same way that Putin and Trump are
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Oh my goodness, this Wall Street Journal piece about Trump's ailing health that includes an interview with him (gift link). There are a number of ridiculous details in it and I'll put a few of them in this thread. (1/6)
Exclusive | As Signs of Aging Emerge, Trump Responds With Defiance
In an interview, President Trump—the oldest man to assume the office—said he has eschewed some advice from his doctors and regrets getting advanced imaging.
www.wsj.com
January 1, 2026 at 2:57 PM
Oh my goodness, this Wall Street Journal piece about Trump's ailing health that includes an interview with him (gift link). There are a number of ridiculous details in it and I'll put a few of them in this thread. (1/6)
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Reminds me of a Soviet-era Bulgarian joke. Govt announces Bulgaria’s IT industry is so advanced, they’ve started exporting computers to Japan (Yaponiya in Bg). Turns out they were exporting compotes to Yakutiya.
PS. Ragozin is a putinist psyop. I hope no one takes him seriously.
PS. Ragozin is a putinist psyop. I hope no one takes him seriously.
January 1, 2026 at 3:36 PM
Reminds me of a Soviet-era Bulgarian joke. Govt announces Bulgaria’s IT industry is so advanced, they’ve started exporting computers to Japan (Yaponiya in Bg). Turns out they were exporting compotes to Yakutiya.
PS. Ragozin is a putinist psyop. I hope no one takes him seriously.
PS. Ragozin is a putinist psyop. I hope no one takes him seriously.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
that’s how far they’ve sunk. The myth of Russian might has been shattered.
Ukraine in the other hand needs to get its recruitment issues sorted out and stop mollycoddling its youth. They need to fight and they need to know why. Ukraine’s weakness its manpower issue. Its strength is its resilience.
Ukraine in the other hand needs to get its recruitment issues sorted out and stop mollycoddling its youth. They need to fight and they need to know why. Ukraine’s weakness its manpower issue. Its strength is its resilience.
January 1, 2026 at 9:14 AM
that’s how far they’ve sunk. The myth of Russian might has been shattered.
Ukraine in the other hand needs to get its recruitment issues sorted out and stop mollycoddling its youth. They need to fight and they need to know why. Ukraine’s weakness its manpower issue. Its strength is its resilience.
Ukraine in the other hand needs to get its recruitment issues sorted out and stop mollycoddling its youth. They need to fight and they need to know why. Ukraine’s weakness its manpower issue. Its strength is its resilience.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
A MILITARY SUMMARY AS WE START THE NEW YEAR
In the South the loss of Hulaiapole has yet to be truly felt. Ukraine’s forces were spread thin and expected to defend too much with too little.
It resulted in the death of two senior commanders and we’ve seen the pictures of an intact Brigade HQ overrun.
In the South the loss of Hulaiapole has yet to be truly felt. Ukraine’s forces were spread thin and expected to defend too much with too little.
It resulted in the death of two senior commanders and we’ve seen the pictures of an intact Brigade HQ overrun.
January 1, 2026 at 9:14 AM
A MILITARY SUMMARY AS WE START THE NEW YEAR
In the South the loss of Hulaiapole has yet to be truly felt. Ukraine’s forces were spread thin and expected to defend too much with too little.
It resulted in the death of two senior commanders and we’ve seen the pictures of an intact Brigade HQ overrun.
In the South the loss of Hulaiapole has yet to be truly felt. Ukraine’s forces were spread thin and expected to defend too much with too little.
It resulted in the death of two senior commanders and we’ve seen the pictures of an intact Brigade HQ overrun.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
STILL FIGHTING
"We want the end of the war — not the end of Ukraine,
"Does that mean we are ready to surrender? Those who think so have not understood who Ukrainians are. A people who have held on through 1,407 days of a full-scale war."
Happy New Year 2026 From President Zelenskyy 🫶🥰
"Does that mean we are ready to surrender? Those who think so have not understood who Ukrainians are. A people who have held on through 1,407 days of a full-scale war."
Happy New Year 2026 From President Zelenskyy 🫶🥰
January 1, 2026 at 8:38 AM
STILL FIGHTING
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Stop trying to pretend Russia is ahead: “analysts say the Kremlin has already spent most of the foreign currency reserves and borrowings that underpinned the sharp increase in military expenditure over the past three years.” finance.yahoo.com/news/russian...
Russian economy may collapse in 2026 as reserves run dry – WP
The Russian economy has found itself in its worst state since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine due to a steep decline in oil revenues and the depletion of reserves. Despite claims b...
finance.yahoo.com
December 31, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Stop trying to pretend Russia is ahead: “analysts say the Kremlin has already spent most of the foreign currency reserves and borrowings that underpinned the sharp increase in military expenditure over the past three years.” finance.yahoo.com/news/russian...
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
For those deliberately misleading people tonight that a Trump retweet means he is souring on Putin, please cast your mind back almost a year ago to this Trump tweet threatening Putin. It’s a regular tactic Trump used to trick fools. There are sadly lots of them.
December 31, 2025 at 9:09 PM
For those deliberately misleading people tonight that a Trump retweet means he is souring on Putin, please cast your mind back almost a year ago to this Trump tweet threatening Putin. It’s a regular tactic Trump used to trick fools. There are sadly lots of them.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Not sure I understand why the Trump administration cares about Christians in Nigeria and not Christians in Ukraine
December 26, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Not sure I understand why the Trump administration cares about Christians in Nigeria and not Christians in Ukraine
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
Yes, separatism - whether the ethnic nationalism kind in Quebec or the right-wing selfish extra bullshit kind in Alberta - is little more than a product of elite-driven populist resentment.
My fear is that people not really hoping to separate will still vote for it - to "send a message" to Ottawa. Hopefully not enough of them to push it into separation negotiations.
December 31, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Yes, separatism - whether the ethnic nationalism kind in Quebec or the right-wing selfish extra bullshit kind in Alberta - is little more than a product of elite-driven populist resentment.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
💙💛 December 31 letter from Ukraine 💙💛
A traditional last letter of the year by Yaroslava.
Join us in learning from her if you don't already.
A traditional last letter of the year by Yaroslava.
Join us in learning from her if you don't already.
This is my annual December 31 letter from Kyiv.
Not a year in review, but a commitment to educating the world about Ukraine and telling the truth where it is being erased.
www.patreon.com/posts/2026-e...
Not a year in review, but a commitment to educating the world about Ukraine and telling the truth where it is being erased.
www.patreon.com/posts/2026-e...
December 31, 2025 at 8:22 PM
💙💛 December 31 letter from Ukraine 💙💛
A traditional last letter of the year by Yaroslava.
Join us in learning from her if you don't already.
A traditional last letter of the year by Yaroslava.
Join us in learning from her if you don't already.
Reposted by nampyca.bsky.social
The final Calvin and Hobbes, which appeared in papers 30 years ago today.
December 31, 2025 at 5:00 PM
The final Calvin and Hobbes, which appeared in papers 30 years ago today.