Julia Piaskowski
@jpiaskowski.bsky.social
ag stats stan
https://jpiaskowski.gitlab.io/
https://jpiaskowski.gitlab.io/
Pinned
Julia Piaskowski
@jpiaskowski.bsky.social
· Nov 23
"I don’t have lately. I have always. I have a constant blur of plates spinning and knives on the floor and needy, panicked faces at the door, of which you are but one of many." -- A consulting statistician, probably
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
The ICE drive would send recruitment ads to users’ phone browsers if they are in the vicinity of certain locations, such as military bases, NASCAR races, and gun shows.
ICE Plans $100M “Wartime Recruitment” Aimed at Gun Enthusiasts, Military Fans
The ICE drive would use an ad-targeting technique called “geofencing” to send recruitment ads to users’ phone browsers.
buff.ly
December 31, 2025 at 5:45 PM
The ICE drive would send recruitment ads to users’ phone browsers if they are in the vicinity of certain locations, such as military bases, NASCAR races, and gun shows.
😱🤯💡
The thing generative text-bots have mostly taught me is that there’s a sizable number of my fellow academics who hate to do the things that are most central to our job
December 30, 2025 at 4:38 PM
😱🤯💡
Who are these crazies choosing ketchup over fry sauce?
ketchup isn’t available, what are you putting on your fries?
December 29, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Who are these crazies choosing ketchup over fry sauce?
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
Where have I seen this before, oh right.
December 24, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Where have I seen this before, oh right.
huh, strange they were never a target of DOGE after massively wasting taxpayer money
The Pentagon has failed its 8th straight audit, yet Congress just handed it a record $1 trillion budget that will pour billions into contractors tied to billionaires like Elon Musk and Alex Karp while ordinary Americans struggle to cover basic needs.
Pentagon Fails 8th Audit in a Row as Congress Grants It $1 Trillion Budget
This funding will enrich billionaires like Elon Musk and Alex Karp as Americans struggle to afford basic needs.
truthout.org
December 24, 2025 at 1:05 AM
huh, strange they were never a target of DOGE after massively wasting taxpayer money
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
This means the VA won't cover abortions EVEN in the case of rape, incest, or serious threat to the health of the patient.
The DOJ memo was authored by Josh Craddock, one of the chief legal advocates for fetal personhood, i.e. imposing a nationwide abortion ban through the courts.
The DOJ memo was authored by Josh Craddock, one of the chief legal advocates for fetal personhood, i.e. imposing a nationwide abortion ban through the courts.
🚨🚨 SCOOP @ms.now : The Department of Veteran Affairs has quietly implemented its abortion ban following a DOJ memo issued last week.
This will affect 9 million veterans and their dependents, and has been a long time coming: It was outlined in Project 2025.
Read/share 👇
This will affect 9 million veterans and their dependents, and has been a long time coming: It was outlined in Project 2025.
Read/share 👇
Department of Veterans Affairs quietly implements abortion ban
A VA spokesperson confirmed to MS NOW that the ban was in place following a Department of Justice memo issued last week.
www.ms.now
December 23, 2025 at 7:18 PM
This means the VA won't cover abortions EVEN in the case of rape, incest, or serious threat to the health of the patient.
The DOJ memo was authored by Josh Craddock, one of the chief legal advocates for fetal personhood, i.e. imposing a nationwide abortion ban through the courts.
The DOJ memo was authored by Josh Craddock, one of the chief legal advocates for fetal personhood, i.e. imposing a nationwide abortion ban through the courts.
How I see people use LMMs for statistical analysis.
1. Query the LMM agent for code.
2. Try code.
3. Refine query if code fails.
4. If code works, proceed with results.
Never verify reliability of results, no time for that nonsense and statistics is just black magic anyways.
1. Query the LMM agent for code.
2. Try code.
3. Refine query if code fails.
4. If code works, proceed with results.
Never verify reliability of results, no time for that nonsense and statistics is just black magic anyways.
December 23, 2025 at 9:46 PM
How I see people use LMMs for statistical analysis.
1. Query the LMM agent for code.
2. Try code.
3. Refine query if code fails.
4. If code works, proceed with results.
Never verify reliability of results, no time for that nonsense and statistics is just black magic anyways.
1. Query the LMM agent for code.
2. Try code.
3. Refine query if code fails.
4. If code works, proceed with results.
Never verify reliability of results, no time for that nonsense and statistics is just black magic anyways.
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
On DOGE’s watch, federal spending did not go down at all. It went up. But is still led to cuts that closed offices, canceled programs and deprived people of food, medicine and other aid.
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/u...
How Did DOGE Disrupt So Much While Saving So Little?
www.nytimes.com
December 23, 2025 at 4:29 PM
On DOGE’s watch, federal spending did not go down at all. It went up. But is still led to cuts that closed offices, canceled programs and deprived people of food, medicine and other aid.
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/u...
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
December 23, 2025 at 1:28 AM
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
60 minutes CECOT segment. Recorded through my browser. HD quality. Not phone. Spread it around. If you're press, it's yours. Go nuts.
It's streaming on a Canadian website, but there is no telling for how long.
www.filemail.com/d/wkcdttnacp...
It's streaming on a Canadian website, but there is no telling for how long.
www.filemail.com/d/wkcdttnacp...
Banned 60 Minutes CECOT Segment - Filemail
Get it while it's hot.
www.filemail.com
December 22, 2025 at 11:01 PM
60 minutes CECOT segment. Recorded through my browser. HD quality. Not phone. Spread it around. If you're press, it's yours. Go nuts.
It's streaming on a Canadian website, but there is no telling for how long.
www.filemail.com/d/wkcdttnacp...
It's streaming on a Canadian website, but there is no telling for how long.
www.filemail.com/d/wkcdttnacp...
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
The actor Michael Sheen used all his money to start a fake debt collecting business, buy 900 people in Wales's debt, and excused it. If Musk bought ALL $194 billion in medical debt in the U.S. and excused it in the same way, he'd still be the world's riches man by hundreds of billions of dollars.
Michael Sheen spent his own money to write off $1.3 million of neighbors’ debts | CNN
Actor Michael Sheen has bought $1.3 million of his neighbors’ debts and written them off using $129,000 of his own money.
www.cnn.com
December 21, 2025 at 3:07 PM
The actor Michael Sheen used all his money to start a fake debt collecting business, buy 900 people in Wales's debt, and excused it. If Musk bought ALL $194 billion in medical debt in the U.S. and excused it in the same way, he'd still be the world's riches man by hundreds of billions of dollars.
Okay, this story of a real paper that become a (cited!) AI paper is *wild*
Closing out my year with a journal editor shocker 🧵
Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...
Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...
December 19, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Okay, this story of a real paper that become a (cited!) AI paper is *wild*
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
A very striking chart from an excellent new paper by @mclem.org.
Ageing high-income countries have a choice: accept that GDP growth is contingent on migration, or pin their futures on fantastical hopes of huge productivity growth.
www.iza.org/publications...
Ageing high-income countries have a choice: accept that GDP growth is contingent on migration, or pin their futures on fantastical hopes of huge productivity growth.
www.iza.org/publications...
December 18, 2025 at 4:13 PM
A very striking chart from an excellent new paper by @mclem.org.
Ageing high-income countries have a choice: accept that GDP growth is contingent on migration, or pin their futures on fantastical hopes of huge productivity growth.
www.iza.org/publications...
Ageing high-income countries have a choice: accept that GDP growth is contingent on migration, or pin their futures on fantastical hopes of huge productivity growth.
www.iza.org/publications...
"A computer can never be held accountable. That’s your job as the human in the loop. Almost anyone can prompt an LLM to generate a thousand-line patch and submit it for code review. That’s no longer valuable. What’s valuable is contributing code that is proven to work."
I see a lot of complaints about untested AI slop in pull requests. Submitting those is a dereliction of duty as a software engineer: Your job is to deliver code you have proven to work simonwillison.net/2025/Dec/18/...
Your job is to deliver code you have proven to work
In all of the debates about the value of AI-assistance in software development there’s one depressing anecdote that I keep on seeing: the junior engineer, empowered by some class of …
simonwillison.net
December 18, 2025 at 4:04 PM
"A computer can never be held accountable. That’s your job as the human in the loop. Almost anyone can prompt an LLM to generate a thousand-line patch and submit it for code review. That’s no longer valuable. What’s valuable is contributing code that is proven to work."
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
Students often assume that models create insight.
I remind them: models compress what you already understand. If you don’t understand the domain, the model won’t rescue you. Assumptions come first.
#AI #DataScience #MachineLearning #RStats
I remind them: models compress what you already understand. If you don’t understand the domain, the model won’t rescue you. Assumptions come first.
#AI #DataScience #MachineLearning #RStats
December 18, 2025 at 1:49 AM
Students often assume that models create insight.
I remind them: models compress what you already understand. If you don’t understand the domain, the model won’t rescue you. Assumptions come first.
#AI #DataScience #MachineLearning #RStats
I remind them: models compress what you already understand. If you don’t understand the domain, the model won’t rescue you. Assumptions come first.
#AI #DataScience #MachineLearning #RStats
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
Academics and technologists are sounding the alarm about a growing crisis in scholarship as we know it: AI-generated citations of nonexistent papers that have infested real journals. Despite being fake, the sources are widely assumed to be authentic the more they appear in published literature.
AI Is Inventing Academic Papers That Don't Exist -- And They're Being Cited in Real Journals
Academic articles from authors using large language model are creating an ecosystem of fake research that threatens human knowledge itself.
www.rollingstone.com
December 17, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Academics and technologists are sounding the alarm about a growing crisis in scholarship as we know it: AI-generated citations of nonexistent papers that have infested real journals. Despite being fake, the sources are widely assumed to be authentic the more they appear in published literature.
Disgusting, illegal, unethical racial profiling
Border patrol is forcing rideshare drivers at the O’Hare lot to show proof of citizenship before they can exit the lot and pick up rides at the airport
December 17, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Disgusting, illegal, unethical racial profiling
If you have ever used "Scarmucci" to describe a period of time (10 days), I think you and I might get along.
December 17, 2025 at 11:13 PM
If you have ever used "Scarmucci" to describe a period of time (10 days), I think you and I might get along.
Dressing like you're deploying to another country for domestic operations is a bad look, to put it mildly.
“All you’re doing is terrorizing us, scaring people. There’s little kids,” one person shouted at Bovino and other agents, blocks from where the arrest happened.”
Bovino’s back: Border Patrol commander leads fresh round of immigration raids in Chicago area
Gregory Bovino returned to Little Village Tuesday after playing a key role in the early phases of Operation Midway Blitz, the immigration enforcement campaign that has stoked fear among Chicago’s immi...
chicago.suntimes.com
December 16, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Dressing like you're deploying to another country for domestic operations is a bad look, to put it mildly.
running non-proportion odds test on a mixed model with 2 random effects and a continuous covariate. Please do wellness check on me tomorrow.
December 16, 2025 at 11:58 PM
running non-proportion odds test on a mixed model with 2 random effects and a continuous covariate. Please do wellness check on me tomorrow.
Ironically, this does build a "deep state" -- where program managers, not scientists, make funding decisions.
🧵 NSF is reducing external review requirements and eliminating routine expert panels, citing staff shortages that this administration implemented. This change expands program officer authority. But the solution to flawed accountability isn't less public accountability.
NSF plans to streamline merit review to heal self-inflicted staffing wound www.science.org/content/arti...
December 16, 2025 at 5:57 AM
Ironically, this does build a "deep state" -- where program managers, not scientists, make funding decisions.
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
I…did not see the closing sentence of this photo caption coming: www.chicagotribune.com/2025/12/15/n...
December 16, 2025 at 12:10 AM
I…did not see the closing sentence of this photo caption coming: www.chicagotribune.com/2025/12/15/n...
Reposted by Julia Piaskowski
Bovino, the man overseeing mass deportations, publicly declared that we must all have our papers on us, at all times, or we could be stopped, harassed, kidnapped, and detained, as they did with the man in this case, who is a US citizen.
December 13, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Bovino, the man overseeing mass deportations, publicly declared that we must all have our papers on us, at all times, or we could be stopped, harassed, kidnapped, and detained, as they did with the man in this case, who is a US citizen.
Every time I'm around a man, I immediately stop listening lest my pure female sensibilities get corrupted by their maleness. It's my guardrail to assure my purity.
17k dudes who are not emotionally mature enough to be in the workforce
December 13, 2025 at 5:04 AM
Every time I'm around a man, I immediately stop listening lest my pure female sensibilities get corrupted by their maleness. It's my guardrail to assure my purity.