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jimduncan.bsky.social
Jim Duncan
@jimduncan.bsky.social
760 followers 390 following 23K posts
Charlottesville, Crozet real estate agent & partner w/ Nest Realty, husband, dad, bike rider, wishing for fewer cars, more bikes and sidewalks. I write JimsNote.com - one note a month about real estate market + stories, & RealCentralVA.com, RealCrozetVA
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jimduncan.bsky.social
It's snowy out, so I'm looking at real estate date for Charlottesville and Albemarle, and making charts with AI.
Key Takeaways from the Visualization: The "Hollowing Out" of Affordability: In both Albemarle/Charlottesville and Crozet, the blue bars (2016–2019) for the $0–$249,999 range are high, but the green bars (2024–2025) have almost disappeared. The New Market Center: The $500,000–$749,999 and $750,000–$999,999 brackets are the only areas showing resilience or growth. In Albemarle/Cville, while the massive $250k–$499k segment is shrinking, the higher brackets are holding steady or expanding in share. Crozet’s Specific Shift: Crozet has transitioned from a market where the $250k–$499k range was the clear leader to one where the $500k–$749k and $750k–$999k ranges are now comparable in volume, reflecting its rapid premiumization. Overall Volume Compression: You can see that across almost all lower-to-mid price points, the green bars (current period) are lower than the orange bars (pandemic period), illustrating the recent cooling of the overall market volume due to inventory and interest rate pressures. This chart visualizes the market bifurcation story your data reveals. The grouped bars show how each price segment performed across three distinct periods, making it immediately clear that you're experiencing a demographic shift, not a uniform slowdown. The visual narrative: Entry-level extinction (left side) - the sub-$250K market has essentially disappeared Mid-market pressure - your traditional volume driver is down 36% from its pandemic peak Luxury expansion (right side) - every segment above $1M is now selling at levels that would have seemed impossible in 2016-2019 This is the chart version of what you're seeing in the field: financing-dependent buyers are sidelined while cash-heavy buyers face less competition and are actively buying. The market hasn't slowed for everyone - it's just serving a different demographic now. This chart shows Crozet's even more dramatic transformation. The market has fundamentally shifted upscale - what was once a more accessible community with a healthy entry-level market (35 annual sales in 2016-2019) now sees fewer than 8 sales annually under $250K. The key story here: Crozet is gentrifying rapidly. The $1M+ segment has grown 433% from the 2016-2019 baseline, while the sub-$250K market has contracted by 78%. Even your traditional volume driver ($250K-$499K) is down 25% from its pandemic peak, suggesting the market is leaving behind first-time buyers and attracting higher-end purchasers who value the location but come with substantially more purchasing power. This has major implications for your Crozet-specific marketing and client communications - you're no longer primarily selling accessibility and value, you're selling a premium location that's increasingly priced accordingly.
January 25, 2026 at 6:12 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
thejackofkingfield.bsky.social
Mood in minneapolis right now
January 24, 2026 at 11:31 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
reichlinmelnick.bsky.social
You have to read this. Firsthand affidavit from one of the women who was there and recording the video. She talks about how Alex Pretti was directing traffic when she arrived. She watched him be killed in front of her. She's afraid to go home, worried she'll be arrested.
1. I am a resident of the Whittier neighborhood of Minneapolis, Minnesota. I am over 18 years of age. I am a children's entertainer who specializes in face painting. 2. On Saturday, January 24, 2026, at about 8:50 am, I was getting ready to go to work when I heard whistles outside. I knew the whistles meant that ICE agents were in the area, so I decided to check it out on my way to work. I've been involved in observing in my community because it is so important to document what ICE is doing to my neighbors. Connecting to your local community and knowing who your neighbors are is something I profoundly value. 3. I drove to Nicollet Ave. and 26th where I could hear the whistles coming from. I turned south onto Nicollet. There were already several ICE agents there and they'd set up a sort of vehicle convoy on Nicollet and 28th. There were also about 15 observers there, recording and observing ICE. 4. I saw ICE agents surrounding cars and punching car windows. I also saw them stopping vehicles further down Nicollet, so I backed up because I didn't feel safe continuing on. 5. I noticed a man sort of acting to help traffic move more smoothly. He helped me find a place to park. I got out with my whistle and my camera. I went over to him and said something like, "I'm going to film and use my whistle." 6. It seemed like most ICE activity was happening a little farther down the street from us, near 27th. Someone was being thrown to the ground. 7. I started recording. There was an agent by a car across the street. Two observers were a few feet away from the agent, blowing their whistles. One was wearing a backpack. 8. I and the man who was observing and helping direct traffic were standing in the street. There was a phone in the man's hand recording a video. 9. An agent approached and asked us to back up, so I moved slowly back onto the sidewalk. 10. The man stayed in the street, filming as the other observers I mentioned earlier were being forced backward by another ICE agent threatening them with pepper spray. The man went closer to support them as they got threatened, just with his camera out. I didn't see him reach for or hold a gun. 11. Then the ICE agent shoved one of the other observers to the ground. Then he started pepper spraying all three of them directly in the face and all over. The man with the phone put his hands above his head and the agent sprayed him again and pushed him. 12. Then the man tried to help up the woman the ICE agent had shoved to the ground. The ICE agents just kept spraying. More agents came over and grabbed the man who was still trying to help the woman get up. All three of the observers looked to have been badly affected by the pepper spray. I could feel the pepper spray in my eyes. 13. The agents pulled the man on the ground. I didn't see him touch any of them-he wasn't even turned toward them. It didn't look like he was trying to resist, just trying to help the woman up. I didn't see him with a gun. They threw him to the ground. Four or five agents had him on the ground and they just started shooting him. They shot him so many times. 14.1 don't know why they shot him. He was only helping. I was five feet from him and they just shot him. 15. The video I recorded of what happened accurately depicts the events leading up to the agents shooting him and several minutes afterwards. The video is attached as Exhibit 1. 16. I have read the statement from DHS about what happened and it is wrong. The man did not approach the agents with a gun. He approached them with a camera. He was just trying to help a woman get up and they took him to the ground. 17. I feel afraid. Only hours have passed since they shot a man right in front me and I don't feel like I can go home because I heard agents were looking for me. I don't know what the agents will do when they find me. I do know that they're not telling the truth about what happened. I've heard that other witnesses might have been arrested and taken to the Whipple Building. 18. I am disgusted and gutted at how they are treating my neighbors and my state. I keep alternating between crying and feeling determined it is important to remember the value of documenting injustice. We show up for the people who need us to bear witness, because it can't just be one group of people bearing the brunt of their tyranny. This is a struggle to protect our freedom and democracy, those things are on the line. He lost his life for those values. I declare under penalty of perjury that everything I have stated in this document is true and correct. Dated and signed on Jan 24, 2026 in Hennepin County, State of Minnesota.
January 25, 2026 at 1:15 AM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
kevinmkruse.bsky.social
If you're living somewhere outside the USA, one thing you can do is pressure your leaders to boycott World Cup and Olympic events here.
January 24, 2026 at 8:29 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
rbreich.bsky.social
“The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.”
jilldlawrence.bsky.social Jill Lawrence @jilldlawrence.bsky.social · 1d
OMG. "DHS said the episode began after a man approached Border Patrol agents with a handgun and they tried to disarm him. But footage from the scene shows the man was holding a phone in his hand, not a gun, when federal agents took him to the ground and shot him." www.nytimes.com/live/2026/01...
Update from Devon Lum
www.nytimes.com
January 24, 2026 at 7:47 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
It is incumbent on all of us to witness what is being done to us.

Trigger warning: video shows an execution
alexip718.com Alex Ip 葉清霖 @alexip718.com · 1d
UPDATE: @dropsitenews.com has obtained the very graphic video from the lady in the pink coat, which shows ICE executing yet another person in broad daylight:
January 24, 2026 at 7:01 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
emily.gorcen.ski
Abolish ICE
January 24, 2026 at 3:49 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
Weird that people in Charlottesville today are driving as if it’s already snowing
January 24, 2026 at 2:48 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
profbillmcguire.bsky.social
Water wars are going to be at the heart of climate breakdown's impact on society and economy

Ground zero will be the battle for the Asian rivers as the Himalayan glaciers that feed them crumble

And Pakistan, India and China are all nuclear-armed nations

www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Dramatic rise in water-related violence recorded since 2022
Experts say climate crisis, corruption and lack or misuse of infrastructure among factors driving water conflicts
www.theguardian.com
January 23, 2026 at 10:23 AM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
jamellebouie.net
state-sponsored child trafficking
discosaurus.bsky.social Disco @discosaurus.bsky.social · 4d
This picture making the rounds on reddit, Columbia Heights. I'm not OK.
Kid in a hat and backpack, maybe 5, getting detained
January 21, 2026 at 11:25 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
Are we great yet?
2% drop in stock market due to the trump regime's madness, and congress refusing to stop him
January 20, 2026 at 8:20 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
internethippo.bsky.social
They got suburban realtors talking like Patrick Henry, it's over
people like Ryan Ecklund, a suburban real estate agent who was detained and shackled while filming ICE vehicles he had spotted after dropping his son off at school. "My goal isn't to become a political activist," Ecklund told Minnesota Public Radio. "It is our responsibility as citizens, whichever side of the aisle you lean toward, to protect the Constitution, and we are all given inalienable rights via that Constitution."
January 19, 2026 at 7:09 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
I’m not an economist.

I knew this.

We all knew this.
nicktimiraos.bsky.social Nick Timiraos @nicktimiraos.bsky.social · 6d
By analyzing $4 trillion of shipments between January 2024 and November 2025, researchers found that foreign exporters absorbed only about 4% of the burden of last year’s U.S. tariff increases by lowering their prices, while American consumers and importers absorbed 96%.

www.wsj.com/economy/trad...
Americans Are the Ones Paying for Tariffs, Study Finds
New research contradicts President Trump’s claim that foreigners are footing the bill.
www.wsj.com
January 19, 2026 at 5:06 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
Pirates.
anglobones.bsky.social Misty @anglobones.bsky.social · 6d
y’all, this is a crime
atrupar.com Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 6d
VARNEY: Are we now actively selling the oil we're taking from Venezuelan tankers?

ENERGY SECRETARY CHRIS WRIGHT: Oh, absolutely

VARNEY: How much of that oil are we going to take?

WRIGHT: We'll take the majority of Venezuelan exports
January 19, 2026 at 4:46 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
katie0martin.ft.com
Deutsche Bank here with the good stuff.
Game on.
January 18, 2026 at 6:59 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
protik.bsky.social
I really don't think the brownshirts who've participated in this orgy of violent abuse will enjoy the rest of their lives once the hand of govt protection is lifted and their kids and neighbors can easily find out what they did 🤷
January 18, 2026 at 9:57 AM
jimduncan.bsky.social
The house I just showed had the most beautifully-seasoned cast iron skillet; I take that as a sign that the meticulousness we saw throughout the house was real, not artificial. Same as the well-spaced recycling bags.

Little things matter.
January 17, 2026 at 4:02 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
What a weird way to welcome people to Waynesboro.

Also, they have pretty decent bicycle infrastructure there.
Black billboard with white lettering. "DO YOU TRUST GOD? THE BIBLE SAYS... THE EARTH DOES NOT MOVE Paid FOR BY WORLD'S LAST CHANCE"
January 16, 2026 at 1:12 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
lastpositivist.bsky.social
Like, I genuinely do not understand how a man this utterly risible has a cult following. The people obsessed with virile masculinity have latched onto this man, while he is visibly among the most gaudy insecure virtueless losers in the world.

bsky.app/profile/rimi...
January 16, 2026 at 6:48 AM
jimduncan.bsky.social
More local politicians should do this. Agree or disagree, we know how she came to her decision to vote the way she did.
sallyforsupervisor.bsky.social Sally Duncan @sallyforsupervisor.bsky.social · 10d
Had my first big vote last night and it was a really great experience talking through the issues with my colleagues and listening to community members. Really pleased with how it ultimately turned out.

And the Broadway Blueprint study is here -
www.enablealbemarle.org/home/showpub...
January 15, 2026 at 10:45 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
America's secret police.

www.kenklippenstein.com/p/21-secret-...
January 15, 2026 at 9:34 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
Debating doing and ask me anything on Reddit this afternoon discussing Charlottesville real estate.

Might be fun.
January 15, 2026 at 2:58 PM
jimduncan.bsky.social
Lots of data about the Charlottesville market as we enter 2026.

open.substack.com/pub/realcent...
Charlottesville 2026 Market Reality Check: When Expectations Meet Data
Jim's Note | January 2026
open.substack.com
January 15, 2026 at 11:23 AM
jimduncan.bsky.social
Bad day if you have 2 factor authentication via SMS.
January 14, 2026 at 8:06 PM
Reposted by Jim Duncan
markwarner.bsky.social
Watch this. @slotkin.senate.gov lays out exactly what it looks like when a president uses the FBI and DOJ as political weapons to punish free speech.

The goal is clear: intimidate critics and chill dissent.
slotkin.senate.gov Senator Elissa Slotkin @slotkin.senate.gov · 11d
Last week, the U.S. Attorney for D.C. asked to interview me because of a 90-second video that President Trump didn't like.

The intimidation *is the point*. And it’s not going to work.

Watch my full response.
youtube.com/shorts/rM4PY...
My response to Jeanine Pirro's investigation:
YouTube video by Sen. Elissa Slotkin
youtube.com
January 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM