Iván Higuera-Mendieta
@ivanhigueram.com
Earth Science PhD @ Stanford | Causal inference and ML applied to the 🌏 | he/him
ivanhigueram.com
ivanhigueram.com
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
📈🚨NEW: Extreme heat events are increasingly threatening to become mass mortality events. In @natclimate.nature.com today, we project tens of thousands of deaths in a single week across Europe if extreme heat domes coincide with rising global temperatures.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Increasing risk of mass human heat mortality if historical weather patterns recur - Nature Climate Change
The authors couple calculations of historical heatwave intensity at present and future global temperatures with exposure–response functions to quantify mortality from extreme heat events in Europe. Th...
www.nature.com
November 18, 2025 at 1:06 PM
📈🚨NEW: Extreme heat events are increasingly threatening to become mass mortality events. In @natclimate.nature.com today, we project tens of thousands of deaths in a single week across Europe if extreme heat domes coincide with rising global temperatures.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
The following is REAL footage from Portland, 2025. Viewer discretion is advised.
October 9, 2025 at 8:23 PM
The following is REAL footage from Portland, 2025. Viewer discretion is advised.
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
We are excited to announce the release of the Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas, an effort to map ongoing and future environmental hazards and their impacts on society, and to provide up to date evidence on what policies and interventions work to reduce impacts: adaptationatlas.org. Quick thread
Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas | ECHO Lab | Stanford University
Studying the impacts of environmental change on human health and well-being
adaptationatlas.org
September 16, 2025 at 4:49 PM
We are excited to announce the release of the Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas, an effort to map ongoing and future environmental hazards and their impacts on society, and to provide up to date evidence on what policies and interventions work to reduce impacts: adaptationatlas.org. Quick thread
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
This is well researched. But I bristle at the idea of this as a “scientific standoff.” A hallmark of science is that there are almost always contrary paradigms challenging the dominant one. But you have to know when the weight of evidence is on different planets.
news.mongabay.com/2025/08/old-...
news.mongabay.com/2025/08/old-...
Old forests, new fires, and a scientific standoff over active management
This is the second installment of Mongabay’s coverage of active management tools for forest fires. Read Part 1. Photographs of forests in the western U.S. from the mid-1800s show a starkly different r...
news.mongabay.com
September 5, 2025 at 1:43 PM
This is well researched. But I bristle at the idea of this as a “scientific standoff.” A hallmark of science is that there are almost always contrary paradigms challenging the dominant one. But you have to know when the weight of evidence is on different planets.
news.mongabay.com/2025/08/old-...
news.mongabay.com/2025/08/old-...
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
A large low over North America guides smoke over the skies of the eastern US, originating from wildfires on the western side of the continent.
September 5, 2025 at 10:17 PM
A large low over North America guides smoke over the skies of the eastern US, originating from wildfires on the western side of the continent.
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
Does prescribed burning reduce overall smoke from wildfire? We have 2 new papers that try to quantify. Answer: each acre Rx burned yields ≥3x more reduction in future wildfire smoke than is emitted in the Rx burn. But can take years to realize benefits.
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
smoke impacts of prescribed burning — ECHO: Environmental Change and Human Outcomes Lab | Stanford University
Yes, it almost certainly does, but benefits in terms of net smoke reductions take a few years to be realized. By: Marshall Burke Wildfire smoke is a rapidly growing environmental health haz...
www.stanfordecholab.com
July 15, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Does prescribed burning reduce overall smoke from wildfire? We have 2 new papers that try to quantify. Answer: each acre Rx burned yields ≥3x more reduction in future wildfire smoke than is emitted in the Rx burn. But can take years to realize benefits.
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
"just immigrate legally bro"
January 3, 2025 at 3:07 AM
"just immigrate legally bro"
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
Ghost of christmas past can help you test whether you need to worry about negative weighting in your event studies
nbviewer.org/github/apoor...
Coming soon to a pyfixest and preprint server near you
github.com/apoorvalal/T...
nbviewer.org/github/apoor...
Coming soon to a pyfixest and preprint server near you
github.com/apoorvalal/T...
December 25, 2024 at 10:28 PM
Ghost of christmas past can help you test whether you need to worry about negative weighting in your event studies
nbviewer.org/github/apoor...
Coming soon to a pyfixest and preprint server near you
github.com/apoorvalal/T...
nbviewer.org/github/apoor...
Coming soon to a pyfixest and preprint server near you
github.com/apoorvalal/T...
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
I actually think the most dangerous thing with AI is vc/McKinsey types overestimating the abilities of AI and using it in places where it shouldn't be used. Dumb and dangerous
December 21, 2024 at 3:25 PM
I actually think the most dangerous thing with AI is vc/McKinsey types overestimating the abilities of AI and using it in places where it shouldn't be used. Dumb and dangerous
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
Be the you you want you to be.
December 13, 2024 at 6:05 AM
Be the you you want you to be.
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
AI in weather forecasting?
Check out this amazing thread diving into the robustness of modern data-driven weather forecasts in past and future climates.
(Honestly, one of the biggest questions about ML in weather in in- and out-of-distribution events.)
🧪 #mlsky
Check out this amazing thread diving into the robustness of modern data-driven weather forecasts in past and future climates.
(Honestly, one of the biggest questions about ML in weather in in- and out-of-distribution events.)
🧪 #mlsky
First post on @bsky.app 🎉:
Can #AI-based weather forecasting models (trained on present-day data) provide skillful forecasts also in different colder and warmer states of the climate system?
Our preprint in arxiv explores this question:
doi.org/10.48550/arX...
Here is what we found so far (🧵1/7)
Can #AI-based weather forecasting models (trained on present-day data) provide skillful forecasts also in different colder and warmer states of the climate system?
Our preprint in arxiv explores this question:
doi.org/10.48550/arX...
Here is what we found so far (🧵1/7)
Robustness of AI-based weather forecasts in a changing climate
Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a ...
doi.org
December 3, 2024 at 8:01 PM
AI in weather forecasting?
Check out this amazing thread diving into the robustness of modern data-driven weather forecasts in past and future climates.
(Honestly, one of the biggest questions about ML in weather in in- and out-of-distribution events.)
🧪 #mlsky
Check out this amazing thread diving into the robustness of modern data-driven weather forecasts in past and future climates.
(Honestly, one of the biggest questions about ML in weather in in- and out-of-distribution events.)
🧪 #mlsky
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
I am very excited to share our new Neurips 2024 paper + package, Treeffuser! 🌳 We combine gradient-boosted trees with diffusion models for fast, flexible probabilistic predictions and well-calibrated uncertainty.
paper: arxiv.org/abs/2406.07658
repo: github.com/blei-lab/tre...
🧵(1/8)
paper: arxiv.org/abs/2406.07658
repo: github.com/blei-lab/tre...
🧵(1/8)
December 2, 2024 at 9:48 PM
I am very excited to share our new Neurips 2024 paper + package, Treeffuser! 🌳 We combine gradient-boosted trees with diffusion models for fast, flexible probabilistic predictions and well-calibrated uncertainty.
paper: arxiv.org/abs/2406.07658
repo: github.com/blei-lab/tre...
🧵(1/8)
paper: arxiv.org/abs/2406.07658
repo: github.com/blei-lab/tre...
🧵(1/8)
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
"Love is for the ones who love the work" - excuse me while I take a moment to catch my breath
A poem for my last day working at the writing center for the semester (by Joseph Fasano)
November 25, 2024 at 10:14 PM
"Love is for the ones who love the work" - excuse me while I take a moment to catch my breath
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
I would totally subscribe to a premium tier that includes HTML & CSS profile customization à la MySpace circa 2005.
Bluesky will be launching a subscription service by the end of the year. There are no details yet on how many tiers. Premium tiers will likely include higher-resolution pics, more/longer video uploads, and profile/page customization aesthetics. Longer term, there's a monetization plan for creators.
November 24, 2024 at 3:30 PM
I would totally subscribe to a premium tier that includes HTML & CSS profile customization à la MySpace circa 2005.
This is so helpful to navigate across the n starter packs around here.
November 24, 2024 at 3:39 PM
This is so helpful to navigate across the n starter packs around here.
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
btw this is why friends dont let friends skip the “boring classical ML” chapters in Elements of Statistical Learning‼️
(True story: the origin of this case study is that @alanjeffares.bsky.social[big EoSL nerd] looked at the neural net eq&said “kinda looks like GBTs in EoSL Ch10”&we went from there)
(True story: the origin of this case study is that @alanjeffares.bsky.social[big EoSL nerd] looked at the neural net eq&said “kinda looks like GBTs in EoSL Ch10”&we went from there)
but WAIT A MINUTE — isn’t that literally the same formula as the kernel representation of the telescoping model of a trained neural network I showed you before?? Just with a different kernel??
Surely this diff in kernel must account for at least some of the observed performance differences… 🤔7/n
Surely this diff in kernel must account for at least some of the observed performance differences… 🤔7/n
November 20, 2024 at 8:47 PM
btw this is why friends dont let friends skip the “boring classical ML” chapters in Elements of Statistical Learning‼️
(True story: the origin of this case study is that @alanjeffares.bsky.social[big EoSL nerd] looked at the neural net eq&said “kinda looks like GBTs in EoSL Ch10”&we went from there)
(True story: the origin of this case study is that @alanjeffares.bsky.social[big EoSL nerd] looked at the neural net eq&said “kinda looks like GBTs in EoSL Ch10”&we went from there)
after years of opposing the owning-a-house part of the American dream, i've finally been convinced otherwise.
This is my house. It's optimized for LAN parties. What do you think? lanparty.house
LAN Party House
We built a(nother) house optimized for LAN Parties.
lanparty.house
November 18, 2024 at 5:52 AM
after years of opposing the owning-a-house part of the American dream, i've finally been convinced otherwise.
Reposted by Iván Higuera-Mendieta
Before I used scikit-learn, TensorFlow and etc. today I only use Requests…
October 25, 2024 at 9:24 AM
Before I used scikit-learn, TensorFlow and etc. today I only use Requests…
January 21, 2024 at 8:06 AM