Dominik Schraff
@dschraff.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science, Aalborg University 🇩🇰
EU | Comparative Political Behavior | Inequality | Democratic Trust & Legitimacy
EU-NED
www.dominikschraff.com
EU | Comparative Political Behavior | Inequality | Democratic Trust & Legitimacy
EU-NED
www.dominikschraff.com
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
A transatlantic showdown over tech policy (as opposed to, say, net zero) could actually have a unifying & galvanising political effect within the EU. The union’s digital regulations are broadly popular and many voters actually want more, not fewer, controls on Big Tech.
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...
December 24, 2025 at 2:07 PM
A transatlantic showdown over tech policy (as opposed to, say, net zero) could actually have a unifying & galvanising political effect within the EU. The union’s digital regulations are broadly popular and many voters actually want more, not fewer, controls on Big Tech.
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
The uncertainty created by these periodic nationalist backlashes (also in Denmark, for example) unfortunately puts brakes on the much-needed internationalization of European science and academia.
Utrecht University abolishes its English language bachelor's program in economics and replaces it with a Dutch one.
They told staff (~30% international) the week before Christmas. Layoffs seem likely now. Unwarranted lobotomy is the only word I can find for it...
dub.uu.nl/en/news/econ...
They told staff (~30% international) the week before Christmas. Layoffs seem likely now. Unwarranted lobotomy is the only word I can find for it...
dub.uu.nl/en/news/econ...
Economics programme in shock after sudden cancellation of English-taught track
The Bachelor's programme in Economics & Business Economics will only be offered in Dutch from 2029 onwards, the Executive Board announced on Tuesday. The news came as a complete surprise to the econom...
dub.uu.nl
December 21, 2025 at 9:57 AM
The uncertainty created by these periodic nationalist backlashes (also in Denmark, for example) unfortunately puts brakes on the much-needed internationalization of European science and academia.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Volodymyr Zelenskyy ramps up the pressure on Europeans to agree on new funding.
"I know that Russia is threatening different countries over this decision. But we shouldn't be scared of these threats – we should be scared that Europe will be weak," he writes on Telegram after #EUCO.
"I know that Russia is threatening different countries over this decision. But we shouldn't be scared of these threats – we should be scared that Europe will be weak," he writes on Telegram after #EUCO.
December 18, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Volodymyr Zelenskyy ramps up the pressure on Europeans to agree on new funding.
"I know that Russia is threatening different countries over this decision. But we shouldn't be scared of these threats – we should be scared that Europe will be weak," he writes on Telegram after #EUCO.
"I know that Russia is threatening different countries over this decision. But we shouldn't be scared of these threats – we should be scared that Europe will be weak," he writes on Telegram after #EUCO.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
In line with the 'credibility revolution', we are thinking about research designs that allow us to get closer to causal effects. Those who use surveys have often turned to survey experiments. At the same time, survey response rates have dropped considerably. Below are the figures for the ESS.
December 16, 2025 at 9:27 AM
In line with the 'credibility revolution', we are thinking about research designs that allow us to get closer to causal effects. Those who use surveys have often turned to survey experiments. At the same time, survey response rates have dropped considerably. Below are the figures for the ESS.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
I welcome the decision of the Council on our proposal to continue the immobilisation of Russian Sovereign Assets.
We are sending a strong signal to Russia that as long as this brutal war of aggression continues, Russia’s costs will continue to rise.
We are sending a strong signal to Russia that as long as this brutal war of aggression continues, Russia’s costs will continue to rise.
December 12, 2025 at 5:55 PM
I welcome the decision of the Council on our proposal to continue the immobilisation of Russian Sovereign Assets.
We are sending a strong signal to Russia that as long as this brutal war of aggression continues, Russia’s costs will continue to rise.
We are sending a strong signal to Russia that as long as this brutal war of aggression continues, Russia’s costs will continue to rise.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Die Welt scheint ständig vor dem Kollaps zu stehen. Doch das EU-Verbot hormonaktiver Chemikalien in Spielzeug zeigt wieder: Fortschritt passiert. Belege gibt’s genug.
Verbot von giftigem Spielzeug: Wie gut, dass wir die EU haben! - Kolumne
Die Welt scheint ständig vor dem Kollaps zu stehen. Doch das EU-Verbot hormonaktiver Chemikalien in Spielzeug zeigt wieder: Fortschritt passiert. Belege gibt’s genug.
www.spiegel.de
December 13, 2025 at 3:59 PM
Die Welt scheint ständig vor dem Kollaps zu stehen. Doch das EU-Verbot hormonaktiver Chemikalien in Spielzeug zeigt wieder: Fortschritt passiert. Belege gibt’s genug.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Thanks to @johnholbein1.bsky.social I learned about this paper on rent control in Berlin.
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Um, ok...
This paper forthcoming at the JOP provides evidence that rent control in Germany actually made tenants MASSIVELY *less* NIMBY.
This result was in the opposite direction of the authors' pre-registered expectations.
And the effect sizes are, truly, massive.
This paper forthcoming at the JOP provides evidence that rent control in Germany actually made tenants MASSIVELY *less* NIMBY.
This result was in the opposite direction of the authors' pre-registered expectations.
And the effect sizes are, truly, massive.
December 12, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Thanks to @johnholbein1.bsky.social I learned about this paper on rent control in Berlin.
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
It is almost 10 years since Hanspeter Kriesi published his seminal article on the politicization of European Integration @jcms-eu.bsky.social.
A short thread on how things stand as of 2024, with @chesdata.bsky.social, looking at salience, clarity, and unity of party positions towards the EU 🧵:
A short thread on how things stand as of 2024, with @chesdata.bsky.social, looking at salience, clarity, and unity of party positions towards the EU 🧵:
December 11, 2025 at 10:34 AM
It is almost 10 years since Hanspeter Kriesi published his seminal article on the politicization of European Integration @jcms-eu.bsky.social.
A short thread on how things stand as of 2024, with @chesdata.bsky.social, looking at salience, clarity, and unity of party positions towards the EU 🧵:
A short thread on how things stand as of 2024, with @chesdata.bsky.social, looking at salience, clarity, and unity of party positions towards the EU 🧵:
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
The European Union has triggered Article 122 to indefinitely immobilise the assets of the Russian Central Bank, worth a whopping €210 billion.
I explain what just happened and why this is such a big deal for Europeans.
🧵 Long thread.
I explain what just happened and why this is such a big deal for Europeans.
🧵 Long thread.
December 11, 2025 at 6:16 PM
The European Union has triggered Article 122 to indefinitely immobilise the assets of the Russian Central Bank, worth a whopping €210 billion.
I explain what just happened and why this is such a big deal for Europeans.
🧵 Long thread.
I explain what just happened and why this is such a big deal for Europeans.
🧵 Long thread.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
The EU 🇪🇺 now adopts fewer legal acts per year, but the regulatory load inside them keeps growing 📈
A new @jeppjournal.bsky.social article by Brandsma et al. measures regulation by counting actual regulatory statements (“Companies shall…”).
I plotted their data: fewer acts, more obligations.
A new @jeppjournal.bsky.social article by Brandsma et al. measures regulation by counting actual regulatory statements (“Companies shall…”).
I plotted their data: fewer acts, more obligations.
December 10, 2025 at 7:47 AM
The EU 🇪🇺 now adopts fewer legal acts per year, but the regulatory load inside them keeps growing 📈
A new @jeppjournal.bsky.social article by Brandsma et al. measures regulation by counting actual regulatory statements (“Companies shall…”).
I plotted their data: fewer acts, more obligations.
A new @jeppjournal.bsky.social article by Brandsma et al. measures regulation by counting actual regulatory statements (“Companies shall…”).
I plotted their data: fewer acts, more obligations.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
🌳 Thrilled to launch The PopulisTree — a new website covering decades of populism in Europe (both national and European elections) using a new taxonomy and dataset.
🔗 populistree.org
📄 More in my brand new article in European Union Politics:
🔗 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
🔗 populistree.org
📄 More in my brand new article in European Union Politics:
🔗 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
December 7, 2025 at 9:24 AM
🌳 Thrilled to launch The PopulisTree — a new website covering decades of populism in Europe (both national and European elections) using a new taxonomy and dataset.
🔗 populistree.org
📄 More in my brand new article in European Union Politics:
🔗 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
🔗 populistree.org
📄 More in my brand new article in European Union Politics:
🔗 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
NEW -
Company Towns: Single-Industry Dominance and Local Government Capacity - https://cup.org/48yJZcG
- @elizabethelder.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Company Towns: Single-Industry Dominance and Local Government Capacity - https://cup.org/48yJZcG
- @elizabethelder.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
December 5, 2025 at 11:50 AM
NEW -
Company Towns: Single-Industry Dominance and Local Government Capacity - https://cup.org/48yJZcG
- @elizabethelder.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Company Towns: Single-Industry Dominance and Local Government Capacity - https://cup.org/48yJZcG
- @elizabethelder.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
When it comes to genetically modified plants, the left in the European Parliament also votes with the far right…
November was a month of high tension in the European Parliament.
I went through 51 final votes and 10 public Council votes for my latest EU-Analytics review – and found three different working majorities at play:
I went through 51 final votes and 10 public Council votes for my latest EU-Analytics review – and found three different working majorities at play:
EU Analytics November 2025 review
The breakdown of the Cordon Sanitaire amid three different majorities
substack.com
December 5, 2025 at 11:01 AM
When it comes to genetically modified plants, the left in the European Parliament also votes with the far right…
To me, a healthy qualifier to the whole ‚credibility revolution‘ discussion is the paper by Spirling & Steward. We are all trying to do inference to the best explanation (IBE), and different designs come with different pros & cons. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
www.journals.uchicago.edu
December 3, 2025 at 6:41 PM
To me, a healthy qualifier to the whole ‚credibility revolution‘ discussion is the paper by Spirling & Steward. We are all trying to do inference to the best explanation (IBE), and different designs come with different pros & cons. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
"[Political science] studies without an explicit identification strategy...constitute nearly 40% of empirical quantitative work."
December 2, 2025 at 7:01 PM
"[Political science] studies without an explicit identification strategy...constitute nearly 40% of empirical quantitative work."
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
🌍The latest cleavage: the universalist divide
@mrsteenbergen.bsky.social , @dpzollinger.bsky.social , @siljahausermann.bsky.social, @simonbornschier.bsky.social, and @lhaffert.bsky.social provide evidence from the 2024 European Election Study 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
@mrsteenbergen.bsky.social , @dpzollinger.bsky.social , @siljahausermann.bsky.social, @simonbornschier.bsky.social, and @lhaffert.bsky.social provide evidence from the 2024 European Election Study 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
December 2, 2025 at 6:20 PM
🌍The latest cleavage: the universalist divide
@mrsteenbergen.bsky.social , @dpzollinger.bsky.social , @siljahausermann.bsky.social, @simonbornschier.bsky.social, and @lhaffert.bsky.social provide evidence from the 2024 European Election Study 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
@mrsteenbergen.bsky.social , @dpzollinger.bsky.social , @siljahausermann.bsky.social, @simonbornschier.bsky.social, and @lhaffert.bsky.social provide evidence from the 2024 European Election Study 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
You lose your wallet.
Where are you most likely to get it back?
It depends on how much $$$ is in the wallet.
But it's better to lose your wallet in:
Switzerland 🇨🇭
Norway 🇳🇴
Netherlands 🇳🇱
Denmark 🇩🇰
You're far less likely to get your wallet back in:
China 🇨🇳
Morrocco 🇲🇦
Peru 🇵🇪
Kazakhstan 🇰🇿
Where are you most likely to get it back?
It depends on how much $$$ is in the wallet.
But it's better to lose your wallet in:
Switzerland 🇨🇭
Norway 🇳🇴
Netherlands 🇳🇱
Denmark 🇩🇰
You're far less likely to get your wallet back in:
China 🇨🇳
Morrocco 🇲🇦
Peru 🇵🇪
Kazakhstan 🇰🇿
December 1, 2025 at 9:30 PM
You lose your wallet.
Where are you most likely to get it back?
It depends on how much $$$ is in the wallet.
But it's better to lose your wallet in:
Switzerland 🇨🇭
Norway 🇳🇴
Netherlands 🇳🇱
Denmark 🇩🇰
You're far less likely to get your wallet back in:
China 🇨🇳
Morrocco 🇲🇦
Peru 🇵🇪
Kazakhstan 🇰🇿
Where are you most likely to get it back?
It depends on how much $$$ is in the wallet.
But it's better to lose your wallet in:
Switzerland 🇨🇭
Norway 🇳🇴
Netherlands 🇳🇱
Denmark 🇩🇰
You're far less likely to get your wallet back in:
China 🇨🇳
Morrocco 🇲🇦
Peru 🇵🇪
Kazakhstan 🇰🇿
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
⏰ I’m happy to share that a major paper from my dissertation was published today (🔗 doi.org/10.1017/pan....) in Political Analysis. In the paper, Clemens Lechner and I conduct an extensive validation study on how to measure politicians’ public personality traits using computational text analysis!
December 2, 2025 at 11:09 AM
⏰ I’m happy to share that a major paper from my dissertation was published today (🔗 doi.org/10.1017/pan....) in Political Analysis. In the paper, Clemens Lechner and I conduct an extensive validation study on how to measure politicians’ public personality traits using computational text analysis!
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
How do people form beliefs about complex topics?
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
A certainty‐weighted, belief‐based model of political attitudes: A Bayesian analysis of American public attitudes toward the affordable care act
This study proposes a novel, certainty-weighted account of the process by which political beliefs shape political attitudes. Building upon expectancy-value frameworks, this paper introduces belief ce...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
December 1, 2025 at 5:47 PM
How do people form beliefs about complex topics?
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick)
If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
How is ethnic diversity linked to the cohesion of social networks?
@glorenz.bsky.social & #C_Rjosk analyse >1,300 adolescent friendship networks to examine how connectivity varies with ethnic diversity, and its consolidation with gender and SES.
👉 doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf051
@glorenz.bsky.social & #C_Rjosk analyse >1,300 adolescent friendship networks to examine how connectivity varies with ethnic diversity, and its consolidation with gender and SES.
👉 doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf051
Fragmentation or integration? Ethnic diversity and the structural cohesion of adolescent social networks
Abstract. This paper addresses a key yet untested proposition in social cohesion research: ethnic diversity fragments social networks and leads to an overa
doi.org
December 1, 2025 at 3:56 PM
How is ethnic diversity linked to the cohesion of social networks?
@glorenz.bsky.social & #C_Rjosk analyse >1,300 adolescent friendship networks to examine how connectivity varies with ethnic diversity, and its consolidation with gender and SES.
👉 doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf051
@glorenz.bsky.social & #C_Rjosk analyse >1,300 adolescent friendship networks to examine how connectivity varies with ethnic diversity, and its consolidation with gender and SES.
👉 doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf051
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
My two cents on the APSR replication debate is that the lesson to learn is that the PAP is to our work what the VAR is to football: we don't quite like it, but we recognize its value when we miss it.
November 30, 2025 at 4:21 PM
My two cents on the APSR replication debate is that the lesson to learn is that the PAP is to our work what the VAR is to football: we don't quite like it, but we recognize its value when we miss it.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
💡 How does moving to opportunity reshape political behavior?
🗞️ In our new BJPolS paper, @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that residential relocations that increase access to opportunity foster political integration and shift political preferences to the left.
👉 tinyurl.com/46utjj65
🗞️ In our new BJPolS paper, @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that residential relocations that increase access to opportunity foster political integration and shift political preferences to the left.
👉 tinyurl.com/46utjj65
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - Volume 55
tinyurl.com
November 17, 2025 at 9:04 AM
💡 How does moving to opportunity reshape political behavior?
🗞️ In our new BJPolS paper, @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that residential relocations that increase access to opportunity foster political integration and shift political preferences to the left.
👉 tinyurl.com/46utjj65
🗞️ In our new BJPolS paper, @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that residential relocations that increase access to opportunity foster political integration and shift political preferences to the left.
👉 tinyurl.com/46utjj65
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
November 27, 2025 at 8:02 AM
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Here is the direct link to this new article on bureaucratic discrimination. We show, based on a large sample of caseworkers, that media reports on social welfare fraud influence decisions on unemployment benefits.
Here is the direct link to this new article on bureaucratic discrimination. We show, based on a large sample of caseworkers, that media reports on social welfare fraud influence decisions on unemployment benefits.
November 25, 2025 at 4:39 PM
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Here is the direct link to this new article on bureaucratic discrimination. We show, based on a large sample of caseworkers, that media reports on social welfare fraud influence decisions on unemployment benefits.
Here is the direct link to this new article on bureaucratic discrimination. We show, based on a large sample of caseworkers, that media reports on social welfare fraud influence decisions on unemployment benefits.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
November 25, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
@ispp-pops.bsky.social