Dominik Schraff
@dschraff.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science, Aalborg University 🇩🇰
EU | Comparative Political Behavior | Inequality | Democratic Trust & Legitimacy
EU-NED
www.dominikschraff.com
EU | Comparative Political Behavior | Inequality | Democratic Trust & Legitimacy
EU-NED
www.dominikschraff.com
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
#AffectivePolarization ≠ only #Partisanships 🎉
Ida Bæk Hjermitslev & @markuswagner.bsky.social widen the lens on political identity, looking in Germany, where ideological identities (left/right) are as strong as party IDs and shape how people judge others 🤔
Ida Bæk Hjermitslev & @markuswagner.bsky.social widen the lens on political identity, looking in Germany, where ideological identities (left/right) are as strong as party IDs and shape how people judge others 🤔
Beyond partisanship: Ideological identities and affective evaluations | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Beyond partisanship: Ideological identities and affective evaluations
buff.ly
February 12, 2026 at 2:03 PM
#AffectivePolarization ≠ only #Partisanships 🎉
Ida Bæk Hjermitslev & @markuswagner.bsky.social widen the lens on political identity, looking in Germany, where ideological identities (left/right) are as strong as party IDs and shape how people judge others 🤔
Ida Bæk Hjermitslev & @markuswagner.bsky.social widen the lens on political identity, looking in Germany, where ideological identities (left/right) are as strong as party IDs and shape how people judge others 🤔
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
As expected, all three votes today on the aspects of the 'safe third countries' list at EU level were carried by the EPP with the three far-right parties.
Each of the votes looked like a variation of this (data via @howtheyvote.eu):
Each of the votes looked like a variation of this (data via @howtheyvote.eu):
February 10, 2026 at 1:48 PM
As expected, all three votes today on the aspects of the 'safe third countries' list at EU level were carried by the EPP with the three far-right parties.
Each of the votes looked like a variation of this (data via @howtheyvote.eu):
Each of the votes looked like a variation of this (data via @howtheyvote.eu):
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
65.1🦋
Do campaigns matter? 🤔
Denmark’s 2022 EU defence opt-out vote show that #Campaign information matters. While fear-based messages influences #Voters at the start, their effect declines as voters learn more.
@rsenninger.bsky.social, J.Fenger & D.Beach of @ecprsgeu.bsky.social
Do campaigns matter? 🤔
Denmark’s 2022 EU defence opt-out vote show that #Campaign information matters. While fear-based messages influences #Voters at the start, their effect declines as voters learn more.
@rsenninger.bsky.social, J.Fenger & D.Beach of @ecprsgeu.bsky.social
Campaigns do matter: The impact of campaigns in reducing framing effects | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Campaigns do matter: The impact of campaigns in reducing framing effects - Volume 65 Issue 1
buff.ly
February 9, 2026 at 9:51 AM
65.1🦋
Do campaigns matter? 🤔
Denmark’s 2022 EU defence opt-out vote show that #Campaign information matters. While fear-based messages influences #Voters at the start, their effect declines as voters learn more.
@rsenninger.bsky.social, J.Fenger & D.Beach of @ecprsgeu.bsky.social
Do campaigns matter? 🤔
Denmark’s 2022 EU defence opt-out vote show that #Campaign information matters. While fear-based messages influences #Voters at the start, their effect declines as voters learn more.
@rsenninger.bsky.social, J.Fenger & D.Beach of @ecprsgeu.bsky.social
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
🧵I am happy to announce a new article in Political Behavior @polbehavior.bsky.social, “Are the Politically Active Better Represented?”, co-authored with @jenny-oser.bsky.social, @rdassonneville.bsky.social, @professormpersson.bsky.social, and Anders Sundell.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Are the Politically Active Better Represented? - Political Behavior
Political participation is considered an important path for people to influence politics. However, whether those who participate actually see more of their preferred policies implemented remains an op...
link.springer.com
February 5, 2026 at 1:57 PM
🧵I am happy to announce a new article in Political Behavior @polbehavior.bsky.social, “Are the Politically Active Better Represented?”, co-authored with @jenny-oser.bsky.social, @rdassonneville.bsky.social, @professormpersson.bsky.social, and Anders Sundell.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Today in @theguardian.com, I argue that Donald Trump’s foreign-policy playbook is increasingly about attention capture, or what I call geopolitical clickbait.
Plus I outline why this matters for Europe & what to do about it.
🧵
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Plus I outline why this matters for Europe & what to do about it.
🧵
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Trump wants our attention. Let’s stop falling for his geopolitical clickbait | Catherine De Vries
Whether he’s targeting Greenland, tariffs or Iran, Trump’s agenda is to distract – because a Europe that is always reacting is never planning, says political scientist Catherine De Vries
www.theguardian.com
January 28, 2026 at 7:05 AM
Today in @theguardian.com, I argue that Donald Trump’s foreign-policy playbook is increasingly about attention capture, or what I call geopolitical clickbait.
Plus I outline why this matters for Europe & what to do about it.
🧵
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Plus I outline why this matters for Europe & what to do about it.
🧵
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
partycoloR is now on CRAN! Started as a simple idea 6 years ago, now it's a full-featured package. Extract party colors and logos from Wikipedia with one line of code. It's already powering ParlGov Dashboard.
install.packages("partycoloR")
install.packages("partycoloR")
January 28, 2026 at 8:20 AM
partycoloR is now on CRAN! Started as a simple idea 6 years ago, now it's a full-featured package. Extract party colors and logos from Wikipedia with one line of code. It's already powering ParlGov Dashboard.
install.packages("partycoloR")
install.packages("partycoloR")
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social)
⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization
doi.org
January 27, 2026 at 8:18 AM
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social)
⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
How can stable personality traits explain less stable PRR voting? Daniel Komaromy, @delaneypeterson.bsky.social, @mrooduijn.bsky.social and I test whether negative contact with immigrants 'activates' these traits. Mostly, it doesn't. But: initial exposure and out-group definition may matter.
January 27, 2026 at 11:13 AM
How can stable personality traits explain less stable PRR voting? Daniel Komaromy, @delaneypeterson.bsky.social, @mrooduijn.bsky.social and I test whether negative contact with immigrants 'activates' these traits. Mostly, it doesn't. But: initial exposure and out-group definition may matter.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Why did antisemitism rise in Germany during the Covid pandemic? And why was this increase concentrated among political centrists, rather than on the fringes?
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany
doi.org
January 27, 2026 at 10:57 AM
Why did antisemitism rise in Germany during the Covid pandemic? And why was this increase concentrated among political centrists, rather than on the fringes?
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
📊 Chart of the week: EU allowance allocation and verified emissions by sector, 2005-2024
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
January 25, 2026 at 12:01 PM
📊 Chart of the week: EU allowance allocation and verified emissions by sector, 2005-2024
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Friendly reminder: "If one side says it's raining and the other says it is dry, it is NOT your job to quote them both. Your job is to look out of the window and see which is the truth." – 101 Journalism
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
January 25, 2026 at 8:24 AM
Friendly reminder: "If one side says it's raining and the other says it is dry, it is NOT your job to quote them both. Your job is to look out of the window and see which is the truth." – 101 Journalism
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
This just in: The #EP requests judicial review by the ECJ on the Mercosur Trade Deal with an ultra-thin majority of 10 votes.
More in-depth analysis will follow, but the majority was formed in probably the wildest way yet - relevant shares of votes from all groups.
howtheyvote.eu/votes/183884
More in-depth analysis will follow, but the majority was formed in probably the wildest way yet - relevant shares of votes from all groups.
howtheyvote.eu/votes/183884
Vote results: Request for opinion from the Court of Justice on the compatibility with the Treaties of the proposed EU-Mercosur Partnership Agreement (EMPA) and Interim Trade Agreement (ITA)
Find out how the Members of the European Parliament voted.
howtheyvote.eu
January 21, 2026 at 3:09 PM
Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
We hear it all the time:
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
January 20, 2026 at 8:59 PM
We hear it all the time:
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
👉Our findings suggest that the perception of scientific integrity is severely threatened during crisis – right when expertise and guidance may be needed the most.👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com
January 21, 2026 at 6:17 AM
👉Our findings suggest that the perception of scientific integrity is severely threatened during crisis – right when expertise and guidance may be needed the most.👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
BREAKING: Germany now on board with readying the anti-coercion instrument against 🇺🇸
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
January 19, 2026 at 9:11 AM
BREAKING: Germany now on board with readying the anti-coercion instrument against 🇺🇸
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Good timing for this @kiel.institute study on who is actually paying for Trump's tariffs (short answer: not the exporters):
January 19, 2026 at 9:53 AM
Good timing for this @kiel.institute study on who is actually paying for Trump's tariffs (short answer: not the exporters):
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
While some in Europe still wonder whether Trump's US would honour Art. 5 of the NATO treaty, he is arguably breaking Art. 2 with little regard by employing conflict in international economic policy to blackmail allies:
January 18, 2026 at 8:25 AM
While some in Europe still wonder whether Trump's US would honour Art. 5 of the NATO treaty, he is arguably breaking Art. 2 with little regard by employing conflict in international economic policy to blackmail allies:
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Feels like something cracked today in the transatlantic alliance. Europeans have been swallowing their pride, bitting their tongues, and bending the knee. That strategy may have bought them time but it has now clearly failed. It also had a major cost - it has made the WH think Europe will cave. 1/
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 AM
Feels like something cracked today in the transatlantic alliance. Europeans have been swallowing their pride, bitting their tongues, and bending the knee. That strategy may have bought them time but it has now clearly failed. It also had a major cost - it has made the WH think Europe will cave. 1/
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
What European leaders have been most nervous about is the US pulling back on NATO or Ukraine… but how can Europe trust the US will come to its defense if its trying to seize territory from a NATO country. They can’t. So why cave to keep a security commitment that is not real. 6/
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 AM
What European leaders have been most nervous about is the US pulling back on NATO or Ukraine… but how can Europe trust the US will come to its defense if its trying to seize territory from a NATO country. They can’t. So why cave to keep a security commitment that is not real. 6/
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
This is on the money from @pkrugman.bsky.social IMHO.
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
January 17, 2026 at 8:09 PM
This is on the money from @pkrugman.bsky.social IMHO.
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
The 10% tariff will presumably come on top of the 15% rate introduced by the EU-US trade deal. But the text of the agreement says the 15% rate is “all inclusive”, which means no additional tariffs can be stacked.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
🚨 Donald Trump says he will impose a 10% tariff on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Finland in retaliation for deploying soldiers to protect Greenland.
Effective 1st of February, he says.
Effective 1st of February, he says.
January 17, 2026 at 5:57 PM
The 10% tariff will presumably come on top of the 15% rate introduced by the EU-US trade deal. But the text of the agreement says the 15% rate is “all inclusive”, which means no additional tariffs can be stacked.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Who’s going to defend Greenland (assuming it wants to be defended)?
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Greenland and US Annexation Threats
verfassungsblog.de
January 16, 2026 at 2:04 PM
Who’s going to defend Greenland (assuming it wants to be defended)?
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
We’re organizing a workshop at Aarhus University. Please share and consider submitting!
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
January 15, 2026 at 1:52 PM
We’re organizing a workshop at Aarhus University. Please share and consider submitting!
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
Our Department at Aalborg University is hiring an Associate Professor in Sociology with a focus on quantitative methods: www.stillinger.aau.dk/videnskabeli...
Associate Professor in sociology with focus on quantitative methods
At The Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Department of Society and Politics, a position as Associate Professor in Sociology with focus on quantitati...
www.stillinger.aau.dk
January 15, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Our Department at Aalborg University is hiring an Associate Professor in Sociology with a focus on quantitative methods: www.stillinger.aau.dk/videnskabeli...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Official confirmation of German participation in European troop deployment to Greenland. First Bundeswehr soldiers to arrive tomorrow. 🇪🇺 / NATO solidarity in action.
January 14, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Official confirmation of German participation in European troop deployment to Greenland. First Bundeswehr soldiers to arrive tomorrow. 🇪🇺 / NATO solidarity in action.