Francesco Raffaelli
@fraraffaelli.bsky.social
From 🇮🇹
Postdoc, University of Zurich 🇨🇭
Oxford PhD 🇬🇧
Postdoc, University of Zurich 🇨🇭
Oxford PhD 🇬🇧
Pinned
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
🎤 The speaker for the 14th session of the PBC will be @leonardocarella.bsky.social, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Vienna, who will be presenting “Electoral Systems' Effects on Participation beyond Turnout.”
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
Electoral systems
This session of the Political Behaviour Colloquium features a presentation by Leonardo Carella, Postdoctoral Researcher and Lecturer at University of Vienna.
www.eui.eu
January 20, 2026 at 10:27 AM
🎤 The speaker for the 14th session of the PBC will be @leonardocarella.bsky.social, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Vienna, who will be presenting “Electoral Systems' Effects on Participation beyond Turnout.”
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
If you are in Zurich and interested in social identities (and how people strategically update theirs!), you can also see this project being presented at SVPW 2026
🗓️ Friday, Jan. 16
⏰ 10:30-12:00
📍 UZH, Room SOE-E-1
🗓️ Friday, Jan. 16
⏰ 10:30-12:00
📍 UZH, Room SOE-E-1
On my way to Florence, where I will be presenting at the EUI's PBC @behaviour-eui.bsky.social a project co-authored w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social
We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
January 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM
If you are in Zurich and interested in social identities (and how people strategically update theirs!), you can also see this project being presented at SVPW 2026
🗓️ Friday, Jan. 16
⏰ 10:30-12:00
📍 UZH, Room SOE-E-1
🗓️ Friday, Jan. 16
⏰ 10:30-12:00
📍 UZH, Room SOE-E-1
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
🎤 The 13th session of the PBC will host @fraraffaelli.bsky.social, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Zurich, who will present:
"Immigration Politics and Social Identities"
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Please register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
"Immigration Politics and Social Identities"
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Please register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
Immigration politics and social identities
This session of the Political Behaviour Colloquium features a presentation by Francesco Raffaelli, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Zurich.
www.eui.eu
January 13, 2026 at 10:44 AM
🎤 The 13th session of the PBC will host @fraraffaelli.bsky.social, Postdoctoral Researcher at the University of Zurich, who will present:
"Immigration Politics and Social Identities"
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Please register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
"Immigration Politics and Social Identities"
📍 Join us on Zoom!
Please register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
On my way to Florence, where I will be presenting at the EUI's PBC @behaviour-eui.bsky.social a project co-authored w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social
We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
January 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM
On my way to Florence, where I will be presenting at the EUI's PBC @behaviour-eui.bsky.social a project co-authored w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social
We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
It’s not about drugs. If it was, Trump wouldn’t have pardoned one of the largest narco traffickers in the world last month.
It’s about oil and regime change.
And they need a trial now to pretend that it isn’t. Especially to distract from his sinking under Epstein and skyrocketing healthcare costs.
It’s about oil and regime change.
And they need a trial now to pretend that it isn’t. Especially to distract from his sinking under Epstein and skyrocketing healthcare costs.
January 3, 2026 at 3:34 PM
It’s not about drugs. If it was, Trump wouldn’t have pardoned one of the largest narco traffickers in the world last month.
It’s about oil and regime change.
And they need a trial now to pretend that it isn’t. Especially to distract from his sinking under Epstein and skyrocketing healthcare costs.
It’s about oil and regime change.
And they need a trial now to pretend that it isn’t. Especially to distract from his sinking under Epstein and skyrocketing healthcare costs.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
"We welcome PhDs to a round table table discussion from assistant professors who were recently on the job market"
December 16, 2025 at 9:28 AM
"We welcome PhDs to a round table table discussion from assistant professors who were recently on the job market"
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Thanks to @johnholbein1.bsky.social I learned about this paper on rent control in Berlin.
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Um, ok...
This paper forthcoming at the JOP provides evidence that rent control in Germany actually made tenants MASSIVELY *less* NIMBY.
This result was in the opposite direction of the authors' pre-registered expectations.
And the effect sizes are, truly, massive.
This paper forthcoming at the JOP provides evidence that rent control in Germany actually made tenants MASSIVELY *less* NIMBY.
This result was in the opposite direction of the authors' pre-registered expectations.
And the effect sizes are, truly, massive.
December 12, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Thanks to @johnholbein1.bsky.social I learned about this paper on rent control in Berlin.
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials.
bsky.app/profile/john...
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
An early Christmas gift from @demresjournal.bsky.social: new publication with @cantonwiner.bsky.social and Milan Kovačič on sexuality using dating app data. A great example of how social scientists and industry can collaborate to produce global, inclusive research.
A global study of 913k Zoe users shows lesbian (48%) and bisexual (40%) identities dominate worldwide, while younger generations show rising diversity, with 6.6% pansexual, 3.4% queer, and 0.7% asexual. Sexuality is evolving globally.
www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...
www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...
December 12, 2025 at 9:28 AM
An early Christmas gift from @demresjournal.bsky.social: new publication with @cantonwiner.bsky.social and Milan Kovačič on sexuality using dating app data. A great example of how social scientists and industry can collaborate to produce global, inclusive research.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
New Publication with @lhaffert.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social!
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
November 24, 2025 at 9:48 AM
New Publication with @lhaffert.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social!
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.
Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.
November 21, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
November 20, 2025 at 3:35 PM
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
Today’s Politics Department:
November 17, 2025 at 7:26 AM
Today’s Politics Department:
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
This is pretty much in line with what I have found for Western Europe. If anything, the newest generations (both men and women) are more progressive than earlier ones regarding immigration, same-sex marriage and gender equality.
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
November 16, 2025 at 3:05 PM
This is pretty much in line with what I have found for Western Europe. If anything, the newest generations (both men and women) are more progressive than earlier ones regarding immigration, same-sex marriage and gender equality.
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Still, if you really wanted to focus on the support among youth, the obvious headline (and thus story) would have been:
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
September 14, 2025 at 1:26 PM
Still, if you really wanted to focus on the support among youth, the obvious headline (and thus story) would have been:
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Clickbait headlines are a major source of misinformation and misrepresentation.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
September 14, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Clickbait headlines are a major source of misinformation and misrepresentation.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
Brief life update: I moved to Zurich, started a postdoc at @ipz.bsky.social, and the city looks gorgeous
September 3, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Brief life update: I moved to Zurich, started a postdoc at @ipz.bsky.social, and the city looks gorgeous
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
September 3, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
August 21, 2025 at 12:37 PM
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
August 21, 2025 at 12:37 PM
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
📣 Call for Applications 📣
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
July 9, 2025 at 4:41 PM
📣 Call for Applications 📣
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
Not an expert of LLMs or AI, but I can tell you that @antndlcrx.bsky.social is great!
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
Excited to announce the #OxfordLLMs tuition-free AI workshop for social scientists!
Join us for 5 days of lectures, coding tutorials, and collaborative research, to learn hot to use LLMs for social science🙂
Dates: 22-26 September
Venue: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
llmsforsocialscience.net
Join us for 5 days of lectures, coding tutorials, and collaborative research, to learn hot to use LLMs for social science🙂
Dates: 22-26 September
Venue: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
llmsforsocialscience.net
Oxford LLMs
A Workshop for Social Science Researchers
llmsforsocialscience.net
July 9, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Not an expert of LLMs or AI, but I can tell you that @antndlcrx.bsky.social is great!
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
These age trade-offs constitute a dilemma for social democratic parties. In the short run, it is important to appeal to older voters to win elections. However, in doing this they alienate younger voters who build party attachments with more progressive parties.
July 7, 2025 at 9:50 AM
These age trade-offs constitute a dilemma for social democratic parties. In the short run, it is important to appeal to older voters to win elections. However, in doing this they alienate younger voters who build party attachments with more progressive parties.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
I don’t think anyone is prepared for what they just did w/ ICE.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
July 3, 2025 at 6:58 PM
I don’t think anyone is prepared for what they just did w/ ICE.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Excited to present work on the impact of local unemployment in formative years on anti-immigration attitudes in adulthood tomorrow at #epsa2025
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08
June 27, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Excited to present work on the impact of local unemployment in formative years on anti-immigration attitudes in adulthood tomorrow at #epsa2025
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08