Francesco Raffaelli
@fraraffaelli.bsky.social
From 🇮🇹
Postdoc, University of Zurich 🇨🇭
Oxford PhD 🇬🇧
Postdoc, University of Zurich 🇨🇭
Oxford PhD 🇬🇧
Pinned
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
Today’s Politics Department:
November 17, 2025 at 7:26 AM
Today’s Politics Department:
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
This is pretty much in line with what I have found for Western Europe. If anything, the newest generations (both men and women) are more progressive than earlier ones regarding immigration, same-sex marriage and gender equality.
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
November 16, 2025 at 3:05 PM
This is pretty much in line with what I have found for Western Europe. If anything, the newest generations (both men and women) are more progressive than earlier ones regarding immigration, same-sex marriage and gender equality.
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
See Germany, based on post-election GLES Data (2009-2025):
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Still, if you really wanted to focus on the support among youth, the obvious headline (and thus story) would have been:
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
September 14, 2025 at 1:26 PM
Still, if you really wanted to focus on the support among youth, the obvious headline (and thus story) would have been:
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
Greens most popular party among young women.
🤬🤬🤬
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Clickbait headlines are a major source of misinformation and misrepresentation.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
September 14, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Clickbait headlines are a major source of misinformation and misrepresentation.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
Useful headlines would have been:
1. Young men support Reform less than other men.
2. Age is much more important for Reform support than sex.
3. Reform is most popular party among 50+ men and women.
Brief life update: I moved to Zurich, started a postdoc at @ipz.bsky.social, and the city looks gorgeous
September 3, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Brief life update: I moved to Zurich, started a postdoc at @ipz.bsky.social, and the city looks gorgeous
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
September 3, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
August 21, 2025 at 12:37 PM
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
August 21, 2025 at 12:37 PM
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
📣 Call for Applications 📣
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
July 9, 2025 at 4:41 PM
📣 Call for Applications 📣
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
Not an expert of LLMs or AI, but I can tell you that @antndlcrx.bsky.social is great!
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
Excited to announce the #OxfordLLMs tuition-free AI workshop for social scientists!
Join us for 5 days of lectures, coding tutorials, and collaborative research, to learn hot to use LLMs for social science🙂
Dates: 22-26 September
Venue: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
llmsforsocialscience.net
Join us for 5 days of lectures, coding tutorials, and collaborative research, to learn hot to use LLMs for social science🙂
Dates: 22-26 September
Venue: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
llmsforsocialscience.net
Oxford LLMs
A Workshop for Social Science Researchers
llmsforsocialscience.net
July 9, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Not an expert of LLMs or AI, but I can tell you that @antndlcrx.bsky.social is great!
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
(Nuffield’s canteen also deserve a shoutout)
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
These age trade-offs constitute a dilemma for social democratic parties. In the short run, it is important to appeal to older voters to win elections. However, in doing this they alienate younger voters who build party attachments with more progressive parties.
July 7, 2025 at 9:50 AM
These age trade-offs constitute a dilemma for social democratic parties. In the short run, it is important to appeal to older voters to win elections. However, in doing this they alienate younger voters who build party attachments with more progressive parties.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
I don’t think anyone is prepared for what they just did w/ ICE.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
July 3, 2025 at 6:58 PM
I don’t think anyone is prepared for what they just did w/ ICE.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
This is not a simple budget increase. It is an explosion - making ICE bigger than the FBI, US Bureau of Prisons, DEA,& others combined.
It is setting up to make what’s happening now look like child’s play. And people are disappearing.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Excited to present work on the impact of local unemployment in formative years on anti-immigration attitudes in adulthood tomorrow at #epsa2025
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08
June 27, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Excited to present work on the impact of local unemployment in formative years on anti-immigration attitudes in adulthood tomorrow at #epsa2025
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08
Saturday 11.20am-1pm
Room 1A.08
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Very excited to present my paper with @heikekluever.bsky.social on the consequences of far-right parties in government at #EPSA2025 on Friday!
🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30
📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253
🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30
📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253
June 26, 2025 at 7:14 AM
Very excited to present my paper with @heikekluever.bsky.social on the consequences of far-right parties in government at #EPSA2025 on Friday!
🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30
📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253
🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30
📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253
🇬🇧 data question here:
I’m looking for an over-time (survey?) measure of party brand recognition and/or voters’ left-right placement of parties for *Reform UK*. Ideally it would cover *2024*
Any ideas?
I’m looking for an over-time (survey?) measure of party brand recognition and/or voters’ left-right placement of parties for *Reform UK*. Ideally it would cover *2024*
Any ideas?
June 11, 2025 at 8:21 AM
🇬🇧 data question here:
I’m looking for an over-time (survey?) measure of party brand recognition and/or voters’ left-right placement of parties for *Reform UK*. Ideally it would cover *2024*
Any ideas?
I’m looking for an over-time (survey?) measure of party brand recognition and/or voters’ left-right placement of parties for *Reform UK*. Ideally it would cover *2024*
Any ideas?
PhDone! This (long) journey at @politicsoxford.bsky.social wouldn’t have been possible without the supervision and help of @spyroskosmidis.bsky.social @tabouchadi.bsky.social and Jane Gingrich. Thanks to my examiners @benansell.bsky.social & @markuswagner.bsky.social for their feedback
June 2, 2025 at 4:47 PM
PhDone! This (long) journey at @politicsoxford.bsky.social wouldn’t have been possible without the supervision and help of @spyroskosmidis.bsky.social @tabouchadi.bsky.social and Jane Gingrich. Thanks to my examiners @benansell.bsky.social & @markuswagner.bsky.social for their feedback
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
🚨3-Year Postdoc Position in Zurich @ipz.bsky.social
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
tinyurl.com
April 30, 2025 at 12:27 PM
🚨3-Year Postdoc Position in Zurich @ipz.bsky.social
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Looking forward to seeing folks at EPSA 🇪🇸
If you’re worried about conservative backlash & gender do check out our GENBACK panel
Papers from @djordjemilosav.bsky.social @katharinalawall.bsky.social @fraraffaelli.bsky.social @bertous.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social
coms.events/epsa2025/dat...
If you’re worried about conservative backlash & gender do check out our GENBACK panel
Papers from @djordjemilosav.bsky.social @katharinalawall.bsky.social @fraraffaelli.bsky.social @bertous.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social
coms.events/epsa2025/dat...
April 29, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Looking forward to seeing folks at EPSA 🇪🇸
If you’re worried about conservative backlash & gender do check out our GENBACK panel
Papers from @djordjemilosav.bsky.social @katharinalawall.bsky.social @fraraffaelli.bsky.social @bertous.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social
coms.events/epsa2025/dat...
If you’re worried about conservative backlash & gender do check out our GENBACK panel
Papers from @djordjemilosav.bsky.social @katharinalawall.bsky.social @fraraffaelli.bsky.social @bertous.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social
coms.events/epsa2025/dat...
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
JD Vance did it.
April 21, 2025 at 8:17 AM
JD Vance did it.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Our 5 Prize Winners are: Xiaoxia Huang (Syracuse), Alejandra López Villegas (Michigan State University), Francesco Raffaelli (University of Oxford), Colette Marcellin (Vanderbilt University), and Alyssa Heinze (University of California, Berkeley).
April 4, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Our 5 Prize Winners are: Xiaoxia Huang (Syracuse), Alejandra López Villegas (Michigan State University), Francesco Raffaelli (University of Oxford), Colette Marcellin (Vanderbilt University), and Alyssa Heinze (University of California, Berkeley).
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
March 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
Very interesting to look at the age distribution in the exit poll. The SPD which already did very poorly with young voters last time continues to loose further there - a party of pensioners. Interestingly, also huge losses for the Greens among young voters and massive gains for the Linke.
February 23, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Very interesting to look at the age distribution in the exit poll. The SPD which already did very poorly with young voters last time continues to loose further there - a party of pensioners. Interestingly, also huge losses for the Greens among young voters and massive gains for the Linke.
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
In an earlier thread about “The rural-urban divide in external political efficacy”, I cited a result showing that the gap in efficacy depends on countries’ electoral rules. Why may that be the case? Part of the answer may be in this paper by @leonardocarella.bsky.social and @aeggers.bsky.social 1/8
December 9, 2024 at 2:53 PM
In an earlier thread about “The rural-urban divide in external political efficacy”, I cited a result showing that the gap in efficacy depends on countries’ electoral rules. Why may that be the case? Part of the answer may be in this paper by @leonardocarella.bsky.social and @aeggers.bsky.social 1/8
Exciting workshop on political identities at HU-Berlin organised together with @tabouchadi.bsky.social & @markuskollberg.bsky.social
November 19, 2024 at 6:51 PM
Exciting workshop on political identities at HU-Berlin organised together with @tabouchadi.bsky.social & @markuskollberg.bsky.social
Reposted by Francesco Raffaelli
My paper is out at Legislative Studies Quarterly (open access). I look at whether electoral tiers in a mixed-member systems create different incentives for subnational legislators to try and run for higher office. This is, in fact, the case. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
November 23, 2023 at 8:10 AM
My paper is out at Legislative Studies Quarterly (open access). I look at whether electoral tiers in a mixed-member systems create different incentives for subnational legislators to try and run for higher office. This is, in fact, the case. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...