aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
@aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
One of the clearest, logical thinkers and strategic communicators on why Russia must not win - and why Ukraine needs more support, not more pressure to sign a deal that favours Russia.
We still need to get from a situation where Russia pretends to negotiate to a situation where they need to negotiate.
Extract from my press remarks following today’s informal Foreign Affairs Council ↓
Extract from my press remarks following today’s informal Foreign Affairs Council ↓
November 26, 2025 at 8:55 PM
One of the clearest, logical thinkers and strategic communicators on why Russia must not win - and why Ukraine needs more support, not more pressure to sign a deal that favours Russia.
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
just saying: it's possible that "I'm gonna dramatically constrict my state capacity while plotting dramatic imperial expansion, and expanding my set of internal enemies while alienating most of my foreign allies" is the beginning of a world-historical masterstroke. but also possible that it isn't
February 5, 2025 at 7:04 PM
just saying: it's possible that "I'm gonna dramatically constrict my state capacity while plotting dramatic imperial expansion, and expanding my set of internal enemies while alienating most of my foreign allies" is the beginning of a world-historical masterstroke. but also possible that it isn't
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
🖌️ An Ottoman Miniature Depicting the Descent of Jesus Christ (pbuh) to Earth, Escorted by Two Angels, in Damascus (Second Coming), 1583 #JesusChrist #SecondComing
September 19, 2025 at 2:02 PM
🖌️ An Ottoman Miniature Depicting the Descent of Jesus Christ (pbuh) to Earth, Escorted by Two Angels, in Damascus (Second Coming), 1583 #JesusChrist #SecondComing
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Oh my
September 20, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Oh my
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
cato institute analysis of murders by political ideology since 1975, excluding 9/11
September 16, 2025 at 8:20 PM
cato institute analysis of murders by political ideology since 1975, excluding 9/11
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Sometimes it's nice to remember that even Marcus Aurelius was like "you don't have to comment on everything bro"
September 17, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Sometimes it's nice to remember that even Marcus Aurelius was like "you don't have to comment on everything bro"
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
August 15, 2025 at 1:29 AM
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
So happy and excited for Kerry! 🤩
Kerry Goettlich, From Frontiers to Borders: How Colonial Technicians Created Modern Territoriality - Cambridge University Press, August 2025
www.cambridge.org/gb/universit...
www.cambridge.org/gb/universit...
July 30, 2025 at 6:38 AM
So happy and excited for Kerry! 🤩
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Truly delighted that our (co-edited with Ralf Emmers) @austjia.bsky.social Special Issue on ‘Coalition-Building and the Politics of Hegemonic Ordering in the Indo-Pacific’ is now out (Vol 79, Issue 4), with many articles Open Access!
www.tandfonline.com/toc/caji20/7...
www.tandfonline.com/toc/caji20/7...
July 30, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Truly delighted that our (co-edited with Ralf Emmers) @austjia.bsky.social Special Issue on ‘Coalition-Building and the Politics of Hegemonic Ordering in the Indo-Pacific’ is now out (Vol 79, Issue 4), with many articles Open Access!
www.tandfonline.com/toc/caji20/7...
www.tandfonline.com/toc/caji20/7...
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Filkins is always worth reading but the belligerent seemingly best prepared for the beginning of a major war often loses.
A growing consensus of defense experts holds that the United States is dangerously unprepared for the conflicts it might face.
Is the U.S. Ready for the Next War?
With global conflicts increasingly shaped by drones and A.I., the American military risks losing its dominance.
nyer.cm
July 18, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Filkins is always worth reading but the belligerent seemingly best prepared for the beginning of a major war often loses.
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Hi All, Just sent out this post outlining why, economically, militarily and historically, Russia is in a very beatable state in this war. Russia is not bound to win--it should lose, but so far we do not really want Ukraine to win. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Defeating Russia Is Not Complex--We Just Do Not Want To Do It
Also Minna and I Will Launch A Substack Live On Friday 1700BST/1200EST
open.substack.com
July 9, 2025 at 7:26 AM
Hi All, Just sent out this post outlining why, economically, militarily and historically, Russia is in a very beatable state in this war. Russia is not bound to win--it should lose, but so far we do not really want Ukraine to win. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Every time I look at LinkedIn
a man talking to another man with the words calibrate your enthusiasm on the screen
ALT: a man talking to another man with the words calibrate your enthusiasm on the screen
media.tenor.com
June 24, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Every time I look at LinkedIn
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Some Very Serious People writing in Very Serious Newspapers said some things about Iraq in 2003 that turned out to be fantastically stupid, and not one of them ever experienced a single consequence for it.
June 19, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Some Very Serious People writing in Very Serious Newspapers said some things about Iraq in 2003 that turned out to be fantastically stupid, and not one of them ever experienced a single consequence for it.
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Lando's leadership of Cloud City in The Empire Strikes Back turned out to be a tragically prescient parable for our time. Leaders of institutions: Pay attention! A story in four parts.
cc: Paul Weiss, Columbia University
bcc: all law firms, universities, and civil society organizations
cc: Paul Weiss, Columbia University
bcc: all law firms, universities, and civil society organizations
March 21, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Lando's leadership of Cloud City in The Empire Strikes Back turned out to be a tragically prescient parable for our time. Leaders of institutions: Pay attention! A story in four parts.
cc: Paul Weiss, Columbia University
bcc: all law firms, universities, and civil society organizations
cc: Paul Weiss, Columbia University
bcc: all law firms, universities, and civil society organizations
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
It is the express policy of the United States department of defense to suppress and destroy the service history of all non-white service members
March 18, 2025 at 2:08 AM
It is the express policy of the United States department of defense to suppress and destroy the service history of all non-white service members
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
I can't believe Big Balls, the Douche and Tommy Tuna could make a mistake like this, given their combined year of work experience.
DOGE’s federal property sell-off has accidentally revealed a CIA black site in Northern Virginia, according to Bloomberg.
March 6, 2025 at 10:13 PM
I can't believe Big Balls, the Douche and Tommy Tuna could make a mistake like this, given their combined year of work experience.
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Given ongoing efforts to strip all mention of diversity & inequality from the military + "unpublish" related work (including mine!), I thought I'd give away 6 copies of my book. It looks at how inequality affects battlefield performance in armies since 1800.
US military or mil-adjacent? Email me.
US military or mil-adjacent? Email me.
March 6, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Given ongoing efforts to strip all mention of diversity & inequality from the military + "unpublish" related work (including mine!), I thought I'd give away 6 copies of my book. It looks at how inequality affects battlefield performance in armies since 1800.
US military or mil-adjacent? Email me.
US military or mil-adjacent? Email me.
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
March 1, 2025 at 2:58 AM
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
This.
Well, as America implodes from within, it’d be a *great* time for the EU to finally do official Eurobonds. It’d likely be very attractive as a safe haven given the destruction of US hegemony & spillover to US T-bills. Bonus: Eurobonds can finance a desperately needed European security build up! 🇪🇺💶 ‼️
March 1, 2025 at 2:40 AM
This.
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
There are so many parallels between DOGE and China’s cultural revolution.
China in the 1960s sent doctors, engineers, and other experts to the country-side to work on farms.
Hospitals and factories were staffed with teenage Red Guards.
MAGA hasn’t read world history but we’re all going to suffer.
China in the 1960s sent doctors, engineers, and other experts to the country-side to work on farms.
Hospitals and factories were staffed with teenage Red Guards.
MAGA hasn’t read world history but we’re all going to suffer.
February 14, 2025 at 11:06 PM
There are so many parallels between DOGE and China’s cultural revolution.
China in the 1960s sent doctors, engineers, and other experts to the country-side to work on farms.
Hospitals and factories were staffed with teenage Red Guards.
MAGA hasn’t read world history but we’re all going to suffer.
China in the 1960s sent doctors, engineers, and other experts to the country-side to work on farms.
Hospitals and factories were staffed with teenage Red Guards.
MAGA hasn’t read world history but we’re all going to suffer.
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Once again, this is an agenda to surrender to the USA's global rivals
Hundreds of employees at the 1,800-person National Nuclear Security Administration were fired on Thursday. Many of them described the situation as a “national security crisis.”
Trump’s Purge Hits Nuclear Weapons Agency—Setting Off National Crisis
The Trump administration fired hundreds of employees at perhaps the one agency where stability is needed most.
newrepublic.com
February 14, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Once again, this is an agenda to surrender to the USA's global rivals
Reposted by aphillipsintrel.bsky.social
Biden’s IRA bolstered enforcement funding for just this reason, to help target wealthier ppl who evaded their taxes.
It was quite effective. And is now being targeted, tellingly, by the richest man in the world.
It was quite effective. And is now being targeted, tellingly, by the richest man in the world.
U.S. Department of the Treasury, IRS announce $1.3 billion recovered from high-income, high-wealth individuals under Inflation Reduction Act initiatives | Internal Revenue Service
IR-2024-233, Sept. 6, 2024 — Today, U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen and Commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service Danny Werfel are delivering remarks at the Austin, Texas, IRS campus...
www.irs.gov
February 14, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Biden’s IRA bolstered enforcement funding for just this reason, to help target wealthier ppl who evaded their taxes.
It was quite effective. And is now being targeted, tellingly, by the richest man in the world.
It was quite effective. And is now being targeted, tellingly, by the richest man in the world.