Topic
Politics US

Deportations will cut US jobs

1h

White House officials said ICE deportations would lower future U.S. job numbers and urged investors not to panic as hiring data softened.

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Peter Navarro: "The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like ... Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we're deporting millions of illegals out of the job market."
February 10, 2026 at 2:19 PM
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Any employer seeking to make a permanent hire has to be able to provide some assurance to top candidates that they will not be deported suddenly (who would take that risk?). Of course no one can guarantee what government will do. But it doesnโ€™t help hiring global talent to have chaotic rules
February 11, 2026 at 12:35 PM
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"If the data revisions play out as expected tomorrow, the United States may have just had a year with essentially no net job growth, yet without being in a recession."

stayathomemacro.substack.com/p/a-year-wit...
A Year With No Jobsโ€”But No Recession
Revisions in the January employment report may reveal that job growth stalled over the past year, even without a recession.
stayathomemacro.substack.com
February 10, 2026 at 10:40 PM
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The employed shares of both the foreign born and the native born population were flat throughout 2025. Deporting people does not create economic opportunities that require some adjustment. They hurt everyone with fewer employment opportunities, less growth and higher inflation.
Peter Navarro: "The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like ... Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we're deporting millions of illegals out of the job market."
February 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM
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core part of the ostensible economic justification for mass deportation was that Americans would rush in to take all the jobs immigrants left, but now unemployment rates for native born Americans are rising and the admin is sending people out to do damage control
February 10, 2026 at 2:28 PM

Reposted by W. Andy Knight

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Remember, the shitty jobs numbers you see from this administration are their fake numbers. The real numbers are much, much worse.
February 10, 2026 at 8:33 PM
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Sounds like this is going to be an atrocious jobs number due to an administration that's tanking the economy & is trying to blame one of their favorite scapegoats, undocumented immigrants, whom they disgustingly call by this slur.
Peter Navarro: "The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like ... Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we're deporting millions of illegals out of the job market."
February 10, 2026 at 2:22 PM
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What Replaces Deported Immigrant Workers? Not Americans. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/o...
Opinion | What Replaces Deported Immigrant Workers? Not Americans.
www.nytimes.com
February 11, 2026 at 8:17 AM
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You can kind of see a logic to this mass deportations plus AI thinking, until you realise that AI can't do the things most of the deportees are doing
Peter Navarro: "The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like ... Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we're deporting millions of illegals out of the job market."
February 10, 2026 at 2:49 PM
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The admin's policies are slowing economic growth and raising prices. Deportations are horrific and they are not the only harmful thing. They also are part of an overall economically harmful agenda that benefits the few at the top.
February 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM

Reposted by Dean Baker

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DHS Shutdown Looms as Senate Democrats Reject White House ICE Deal www.nytimes.com/2026/02/10/u...
Homeland Security Shutdown Nears Amid Stalemate on Immigration Agent Curbs
www.nytimes.com
February 10, 2026 at 7:46 PM
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Seems they peeked at tomorrow's jobs report and it sucks. Lutnick, Navarro, and all are pushing deportations as the new excuse. Don't buy it. All else equal, fewer people looking for jobs drops the unemployment rate. But it's going up:
February 10, 2026 at 2:49 PM

Reposted by Daniel W. Drezner

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Ahead of Jobs Report, White House Seeks to Downplay Any Slowdown www.nytimes.com/2026/02/10/u...
Ahead of Jobs Report, White House Seeks to Downplay Any Slowdown
www.nytimes.com
February 10, 2026 at 6:42 PM
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Also many redundancies at The Onion as the Trump Regime becomes increasingly self-sufficient in satire.
Peter Navarro: "The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like ... Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we're deporting millions of illegals out of the job market."
February 10, 2026 at 3:02 PM
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Lot's of people dunking on the obvious thing here. But what in the world is with "Wall St has to adjust..."? This isn't the S&P 500 index. It's federal data about what actual employers and workers are doing all over the country. This is nonsense.
Peter Navarro: "The jobs report comes out tomorrow. We have to revise our expectations down significantly for what a monthly job number should look like ... Wall Street has to adjust for the fact that we're deporting millions of illegals out of the job market."
February 10, 2026 at 3:01 PM