Simon Rosenberg
@simonwdc.bsky.social
Democratic political strategist, analyst, commentator. Hopium purveyor. More than 30 years in the fight.
My primary political home is on Substack.
Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/
My primary political home is on Substack.
Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/
Pinned
OK. The Senate Voted To Re-Open The Government. What Do We Do Now? Some Early Thoughts
I am going live with Stuart Stevens at noon ET today. Join us - we have a lot to talk about.....
www.hopiumchronicles.com
Some thoughts on what comes next for Democrats....👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
The leader of our country appears to not understand that inflation and prices have risen since he was elected. This is a sky is blue or sky is red test and he’s failing.
Oh, there’s a con job going on all right
Trump on affordability: It’s a con job. Costs are way down.
Ingraham: So you are saying voters are misperceiving how they feel?
Ingraham: So you are saying voters are misperceiving how they feel?
November 11, 2025 at 3:10 AM
The leader of our country appears to not understand that inflation and prices have risen since he was elected. This is a sky is blue or sky is red test and he’s failing.
Many of the more Trumpy polls showing meaningful movement against him in recent days.......
Harvard/Harris poll 11/4-11/6
Trump approval
Approve 44% (-2)
Disapprove 52% (+1)
(shift since last poll)
harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/u...
Trump approval
Approve 44% (-2)
Disapprove 52% (+1)
(shift since last poll)
harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/u...
harvardharrispoll.com
November 10, 2025 at 11:11 PM
Many of the more Trumpy polls showing meaningful movement against him in recent days.......
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
In the most predictable development ever, Mike Johnson is not committing to hold a House vote on ACA subsidies
November 10, 2025 at 10:19 PM
In the most predictable development ever, Mike Johnson is not committing to hold a House vote on ACA subsidies
Trump hits lowest mark of this term in new Morning Consult poll:
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
November 10, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Trump hits lowest mark of this term in new Morning Consult poll:
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Simon Rosenberg is correct, as usual -- as a political matter -- Trump and the Republicans lost this shutdown badly, as they did the election.
And the cracks in the TrumpedGOP coalition are showing, and will only grow. It is Democrats' job to aid in turning those cracks into crevasses.
And the cracks in the TrumpedGOP coalition are showing, and will only grow. It is Democrats' job to aid in turning those cracks into crevasses.
Some thoughts on what comes next for Democrats....👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
OK. The Senate Voted To Re-Open The Government. What Do We Do Now? Some Early Thoughts
I am going live with Stuart Stevens at noon ET today. Join us - we have a lot to talk about.....
www.hopiumchronicles.com
November 10, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Simon Rosenberg is correct, as usual -- as a political matter -- Trump and the Republicans lost this shutdown badly, as they did the election.
And the cracks in the TrumpedGOP coalition are showing, and will only grow. It is Democrats' job to aid in turning those cracks into crevasses.
And the cracks in the TrumpedGOP coalition are showing, and will only grow. It is Democrats' job to aid in turning those cracks into crevasses.
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Eight Senate Democrats saw charts like these and decided "oh yes, now that public opinion is on our side and our opponent is facing electoral consequences for their policy choices, now is a great time to give up all of our leverage in health care negotiations" www.gelliottmorris.com/p/donald-tru...
November 10, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Eight Senate Democrats saw charts like these and decided "oh yes, now that public opinion is on our side and our opponent is facing electoral consequences for their policy choices, now is a great time to give up all of our leverage in health care negotiations" www.gelliottmorris.com/p/donald-tru...
Some thoughts on what comes next for Democrats....👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
OK. The Senate Voted To Re-Open The Government. What Do We Do Now? Some Early Thoughts
I am going live with Stuart Stevens at noon ET today. Join us - we have a lot to talk about.....
www.hopiumchronicles.com
November 10, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Some thoughts on what comes next for Democrats....👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/ok-the-sen...
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Kyle Kingsbury is not a journalist. He is not an op-ed writer.
He is a computer safety researcher.
And he has written one of the most compelling, comprehensive accounts of the ongoing hell in Chicago that you could possibly imagine.
In under 1600 words.
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
He is a computer safety researcher.
And he has written one of the most compelling, comprehensive accounts of the ongoing hell in Chicago that you could possibly imagine.
In under 1600 words.
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
November 9, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Kyle Kingsbury is not a journalist. He is not an op-ed writer.
He is a computer safety researcher.
And he has written one of the most compelling, comprehensive accounts of the ongoing hell in Chicago that you could possibly imagine.
In under 1600 words.
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
He is a computer safety researcher.
And he has written one of the most compelling, comprehensive accounts of the ongoing hell in Chicago that you could possibly imagine.
In under 1600 words.
aphyr.com/posts/397-i-...
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
November 10, 2025 at 11:55 AM
There's one central rule in working against autocrats - if they see you as weak, if you attempt to appease, you are creating a permission structure for them to escalate, to take more.
Ds are strong right now, and he is weak. We need to use our strength to get more for the American people, not less
Ds are strong right now, and he is weak. We need to use our strength to get more for the American people, not less
With our big election win last week, and Trump's clear political and physical decline, Dems should be more ambitious now, and fight even harder, for the country and the American people. Voters saw us fighting for them & we were rewarded across the country 👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/trumps-gov...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/trumps-gov...
Trump's Government Has Failed, His Powers Are Ebbing And For The Good Of The Country Democrats Must Become More Ambitious Now
People are pissed and we need to keep fighting
www.hopiumchronicles.com
November 9, 2025 at 11:42 PM
There's one central rule in working against autocrats - if they see you as weak, if you attempt to appease, you are creating a permission structure for them to escalate, to take more.
Ds are strong right now, and he is weak. We need to use our strength to get more for the American people, not less
Ds are strong right now, and he is weak. We need to use our strength to get more for the American people, not less
With our big election win last week, and Trump's clear political and physical decline, Dems should be more ambitious now, and fight even harder, for the country and the American people. Voters saw us fighting for them & we were rewarded across the country 👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/trumps-gov...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/trumps-gov...
Trump's Government Has Failed, His Powers Are Ebbing And For The Good Of The Country Democrats Must Become More Ambitious Now
People are pissed and we need to keep fighting
www.hopiumchronicles.com
November 9, 2025 at 10:58 PM
With our big election win last week, and Trump's clear political and physical decline, Dems should be more ambitious now, and fight even harder, for the country and the American people. Voters saw us fighting for them & we were rewarded across the country 👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/trumps-gov...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/trumps-gov...
Thread.
What happened in Tuesday's elections? Here's our anatomy of a blue wave: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
November 9, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Thread.
Just as red wave pollsters created false impression NJ was close, they've been telling Rs "Trump is fine." Here's Trump's job approval in October: 1/
52-46 (+6) Insider Advantage
51-47 (+4) RMG
51-49 (+2) Daily Mail
48-50 (-2) Quantus
48-50 (-2) Rasmussen
45-48 (-3) Emerson
47-52 (-5) Atlas
52-46 (+6) Insider Advantage
51-47 (+4) RMG
51-49 (+2) Daily Mail
48-50 (-2) Quantus
48-50 (-2) Rasmussen
45-48 (-3) Emerson
47-52 (-5) Atlas
November 9, 2025 at 7:43 PM
Just as red wave pollsters created false impression NJ was close, they've been telling Rs "Trump is fine." Here's Trump's job approval in October: 1/
52-46 (+6) Insider Advantage
51-47 (+4) RMG
51-49 (+2) Daily Mail
48-50 (-2) Quantus
48-50 (-2) Rasmussen
45-48 (-3) Emerson
47-52 (-5) Atlas
52-46 (+6) Insider Advantage
51-47 (+4) RMG
51-49 (+2) Daily Mail
48-50 (-2) Quantus
48-50 (-2) Rasmussen
45-48 (-3) Emerson
47-52 (-5) Atlas
Let's do the list:
- Fell asleep at desk during live Oval event
- Has twice disappeared from public view for extended periods
- Has unexplained visible bruising, still no explanation for MRI or mid-year "check up"
- Frequently confabulates, makes no sense when speaking
- Weight gain, dishevelment
- Fell asleep at desk during live Oval event
- Has twice disappeared from public view for extended periods
- Has unexplained visible bruising, still no explanation for MRI or mid-year "check up"
- Frequently confabulates, makes no sense when speaking
- Weight gain, dishevelment
So the oldest person ever to become president keeps falling asleep in his office during public events and there’s no big public discussion on how this is a coverup or how republicans are lying to us about how this government is running?
November 9, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Let's do the list:
- Fell asleep at desk during live Oval event
- Has twice disappeared from public view for extended periods
- Has unexplained visible bruising, still no explanation for MRI or mid-year "check up"
- Frequently confabulates, makes no sense when speaking
- Weight gain, dishevelment
- Fell asleep at desk during live Oval event
- Has twice disappeared from public view for extended periods
- Has unexplained visible bruising, still no explanation for MRI or mid-year "check up"
- Frequently confabulates, makes no sense when speaking
- Weight gain, dishevelment
Some Sunday reflections on a very consequential week in our politics 👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/sunday-hop...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/sunday-hop...
Sunday Hopium - Recapping A Very Important Week In Our Politics
People are pissed, and we need to keep fighting
www.hopiumchronicles.com
November 9, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Some Sunday reflections on a very consequential week in our politics 👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/sunday-hop...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/sunday-hop...
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Insane
Virginia House seats won by Democrats this century, out of the chamber's 100 seats:
in 2001: 32
in 2003: 34
in 2005: 40
in 2007: 44
in 2009: 39
in 2011: 32
in 2013: 33
in 2015: 34
in 2017: 49
in 2019: 55 (first Dem majority since 1999)
in 2021: 48
in 2023: 51
2025, i.e. this week: 64
in 2001: 32
in 2003: 34
in 2005: 40
in 2007: 44
in 2009: 39
in 2011: 32
in 2013: 33
in 2015: 34
in 2017: 49
in 2019: 55 (first Dem majority since 1999)
in 2021: 48
in 2023: 51
2025, i.e. this week: 64
November 9, 2025 at 3:25 AM
Insane
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
He’s gotten so fat.
Trump arrives in FL for another weekend of parties and golf while his attorneys fight in the Supreme Court to deny food to SNAP beneficiaries despite a court order.
November 8, 2025 at 3:23 AM
He’s gotten so fat.
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
From Hopium:
- After an election blowout Trump doubles down on a destructive politics the country just loudly rejected
- Some thoughts about building the next Democratic party, and how our diversity is perhaps our greatest strength
👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/despite-el...
- After an election blowout Trump doubles down on a destructive politics the country just loudly rejected
- Some thoughts about building the next Democratic party, and how our diversity is perhaps our greatest strength
👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/despite-el...
Despite Election Blowout Trump Chooses To Keep Malevolently Harming The American People, The Government Shut Down, And The House Recklessly Out Of Session
In a new C-Span interview I talk about the exciting opportunity we have now to build the next Democratic Party, together
www.hopiumchronicles.com
November 8, 2025 at 6:17 PM
From Hopium:
- After an election blowout Trump doubles down on a destructive politics the country just loudly rejected
- Some thoughts about building the next Democratic party, and how our diversity is perhaps our greatest strength
👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/despite-el...
- After an election blowout Trump doubles down on a destructive politics the country just loudly rejected
- Some thoughts about building the next Democratic party, and how our diversity is perhaps our greatest strength
👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/despite-el...
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Angelina Jolie used her Instagram platform to shed light on Russia’s so-called ‘human safari’ in Kherson. It is a deeply important and much-appreciated gesture.
November 9, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Angelina Jolie used her Instagram platform to shed light on Russia’s so-called ‘human safari’ in Kherson. It is a deeply important and much-appreciated gesture.
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Just luv humour in the face of diversity dont you Kermits?
November 9, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Just luv humour in the face of diversity dont you Kermits?
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Thread
1/ The US Government has quietly removed a memorial to Black soldiers who died in World War II from the Netherlands American Cemetery in Margraten, South Limburg. The move follows a complaint from the right-wing Heritage Foundation to the American Battle Monuments Commission. ⬇️
November 9, 2025 at 12:02 PM
Thread
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Chris Coons: "He's not listening to concerns about lowering costs. Instead he's worried about decorating his new Marie Antoinette ballroom or engaging in trying to figure out how to get his name on more statues and stadiums, or he's sitting across the table in the Oval Office with authoritarians."
November 8, 2025 at 10:51 PM
Chris Coons: "He's not listening to concerns about lowering costs. Instead he's worried about decorating his new Marie Antoinette ballroom or engaging in trying to figure out how to get his name on more statues and stadiums, or he's sitting across the table in the Oval Office with authoritarians."
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
This is the food distribution line at Nellis Air Force Base in Las Vegas 11/7/25. This is what Trump doesn't want you to see.
November 8, 2025 at 7:17 PM
This is the food distribution line at Nellis Air Force Base in Las Vegas 11/7/25. This is what Trump doesn't want you to see.
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Fitchburg, Mass.
ICE is inflicting a lifetime of trauma on families. And it’s being carried out in the name of the United States of America.
November 8, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Fitchburg, Mass.
Reposted by Simon Rosenberg
Great job from @simonwdc.bsky.social on CSPAN. He has a way of slowing it down when people revert to shouty, shallow, hollow, & confusing RW talking points
Bringing it back to the main point, not allowing it to be distracted, and continuing with facts … not emotional fear
youtu.be/jGLTxRCHUdY?...
Bringing it back to the main point, not allowing it to be distracted, and continuing with facts … not emotional fear
youtu.be/jGLTxRCHUdY?...
Blue Wave, Enormous Margins, Clear Repudiation Of Trump - Talking 2025 Elections On C-SPAN
YouTube video by Simon Rosenberg
youtu.be
November 8, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Great job from @simonwdc.bsky.social on CSPAN. He has a way of slowing it down when people revert to shouty, shallow, hollow, & confusing RW talking points
Bringing it back to the main point, not allowing it to be distracted, and continuing with facts … not emotional fear
youtu.be/jGLTxRCHUdY?...
Bringing it back to the main point, not allowing it to be distracted, and continuing with facts … not emotional fear
youtu.be/jGLTxRCHUdY?...