Simon Rosenberg
@simonwdc.bsky.social
Democratic political strategist, analyst, commentator. Hopium purveyor. More than 30 years in the fight.
My primary political home is on Substack.
Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/
My primary political home is on Substack.
Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/
Trump hits lowest mark of this term in new Morning Consult poll:
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
November 10, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Trump hits lowest mark of this term in new Morning Consult poll:
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
Every R up in 2026 saw Trump abandon their candidates, refuse to campaign, and not spend from his war chest. Not only did Trump selfishly fail to lead them into battle he got his ass kicked, badly, tonight. Disastrous for his hold on Congress.
November 5, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Every R up in 2026 saw Trump abandon their candidates, refuse to campaign, and not spend from his war chest. Not only did Trump selfishly fail to lead them into battle he got his ass kicked, badly, tonight. Disastrous for his hold on Congress.
New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social data shows GOP position on the shutdown eroding; deep unhappiness with Trump's attempt to starve people; Republicans losing the big arguments.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
November 5, 2025 at 11:34 AM
New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social data shows GOP position on the shutdown eroding; deep unhappiness with Trump's attempt to starve people; Republicans losing the big arguments.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
Just look at this. Sherrill up 14 points!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
November 5, 2025 at 3:03 AM
Just look at this. Sherrill up 14 points!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Very encouraging data from the Exit polls in New Jersey:
November 4, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Very encouraging data from the Exit polls in New Jersey:
Generic Ballot:
Dems 50% - 42% GOP (+8) NBC News
Dems 49% - 41% GOP (+8) Strength In Numbers
bsky.app/profile/geof...
Dems 50% - 42% GOP (+8) NBC News
Dems 49% - 41% GOP (+8) Strength In Numbers
bsky.app/profile/geof...
November 2, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Generic Ballot:
Dems 50% - 42% GOP (+8) NBC News
Dems 49% - 41% GOP (+8) Strength In Numbers
bsky.app/profile/geof...
Dems 50% - 42% GOP (+8) NBC News
Dems 49% - 41% GOP (+8) Strength In Numbers
bsky.app/profile/geof...
In most of the issues that matter Trump is now regularly polling in the 30s not the 40s. The latest example is this nugget from the new Washington Post poll:
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
October 30, 2025 at 6:22 PM
In most of the issues that matter Trump is now regularly polling in the 30s not the 40s. The latest example is this nugget from the new Washington Post poll:
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
In the new Economist/YouGov weekly track Trump's approval drops two points and crawls in at 39% approve, 58% disapprove - his worst showing in this poll this year. Here are some of the demo/issue breakouts: 2/
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/senate-to-...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/senate-to-...
October 28, 2025 at 3:06 PM
In the new Economist/YouGov weekly track Trump's approval drops two points and crawls in at 39% approve, 58% disapprove - his worst showing in this poll this year. Here are some of the demo/issue breakouts: 2/
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/senate-to-...
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/senate-to-...
In Economist/YouGov's weekly track only 25% of Americans approve of Trump's tearing down the East Wing and building himself a big ballroom. One of the most unpopular things he's done this year. 1/
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
October 28, 2025 at 3:02 PM
In Economist/YouGov's weekly track only 25% of Americans approve of Trump's tearing down the East Wing and building himself a big ballroom. One of the most unpopular things he's done this year. 1/
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
Donald Trump's tearing down of the East Wing is illegal, and our leaders need to be saying so. He is breaking the law and betraying the country. This has become a rule of law issue now.
savingplaces.org/stories/nati...
savingplaces.org/stories/nati...
October 23, 2025 at 12:20 PM
Donald Trump's tearing down of the East Wing is illegal, and our leaders need to be saying so. He is breaking the law and betraying the country. This has become a rule of law issue now.
savingplaces.org/stories/nati...
savingplaces.org/stories/nati...
Here's my updated breakout of the Economist/YouGov weekly data. Trump is experiencing dramatic, across the board erosion. More here - www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/stuart-ste...
October 21, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Here's my updated breakout of the Economist/YouGov weekly data. Trump is experiencing dramatic, across the board erosion. More here - www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/stuart-ste...
American democracy today....
October 20, 2025 at 7:44 PM
American democracy today....
New Gallup Party ID tracker is out. Dems +7 now. Was +6 GOP in q4 2024. This is a 13 pt swing.
October 20, 2025 at 7:32 PM
New Gallup Party ID tracker is out. Dems +7 now. Was +6 GOP in q4 2024. This is a 13 pt swing.
Here I am with the big blubbery baby man!
October 18, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Here I am with the big blubbery baby man!
Trump clocks in at 37%-61% in new AP-NORC poll. It’s the worst poll of his rancid 2nd term. Happy No Kings Day!
October 17, 2025 at 10:50 PM
Trump clocks in at 37%-61% in new AP-NORC poll. It’s the worst poll of his rancid 2nd term. Happy No Kings Day!
Making good trouble here in DC!
October 17, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Making good trouble here in DC!
Trump now at lowest job approval so far this year in @gelliottmorris.com @fiftyplusone.news aggregate:
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
October 13, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Trump now at lowest job approval so far this year in @gelliottmorris.com @fiftyplusone.news aggregate:
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
In Economist/You Gov weekly tracking poll Trump's job approval drops 3 pts, now 39%-56% (-17)
- Only 37% support military in cities
- 33% support his handling of shutdown
- Rs lose 2 pts in generic ballot, Ds now up 44-39 w/RVs
Lots of not winning here for Trump/Rs
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
- Only 37% support military in cities
- 33% support his handling of shutdown
- Rs lose 2 pts in generic ballot, Ds now up 44-39 w/RVs
Lots of not winning here for Trump/Rs
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
October 7, 2025 at 1:54 PM
In Economist/You Gov weekly tracking poll Trump's job approval drops 3 pts, now 39%-56% (-17)
- Only 37% support military in cities
- 33% support his handling of shutdown
- Rs lose 2 pts in generic ballot, Ds now up 44-39 w/RVs
Lots of not winning here for Trump/Rs
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
- Only 37% support military in cities
- 33% support his handling of shutdown
- Rs lose 2 pts in generic ballot, Ds now up 44-39 w/RVs
Lots of not winning here for Trump/Rs
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
There is a mistaken impression in Democratic circles that Trump's invasion of our cities and trampling of our rights and freedoms is popular. It isn't:
October 5, 2025 at 2:24 PM
There is a mistaken impression in Democratic circles that Trump's invasion of our cities and trampling of our rights and freedoms is popular. It isn't:
New Fox News poll has Mikie Sherrill up 50-42 (+8) among NJ likely voters. This spread is very consistent with other independent polling in the race over the past few weeks.
September 30, 2025 at 10:26 PM
New Fox News poll has Mikie Sherrill up 50-42 (+8) among NJ likely voters. This spread is very consistent with other independent polling in the race over the past few weeks.
NYT/Siena poll confirms what most other polls have shown of late - the country has rejected his "strongman" authoritarian tactics, and he is deeply unpopular.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/p...
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/p...
September 30, 2025 at 11:45 AM
NYT/Siena poll confirms what most other polls have shown of late - the country has rejected his "strongman" authoritarian tactics, and he is deeply unpopular.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/p...
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/p...
