Justin Bloesch
justinbloesch.bsky.social
Justin Bloesch
@justinbloesch.bsky.social
Assistant Professor at Cornell. Macro, labor, inequality. "Bloesch" rhymes with "mesh".
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
New Indeed posted wage growth data out yesterday -- 2.38% year on year, a new low in this cycle
November 19, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Honor Tally: Larry Summers is no longer affiliated with the Hamilton Project or the Center for American Progress

👏
November 19, 2025 at 12:51 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile.

www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
For Women in Economics, the Hostility Is Out in the Open (Published 2021)
www.nytimes.com
November 15, 2025 at 4:32 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
So many people, including me, misinterpreted 2024 as an affirmation of fascism, when the reality is that it was a collective demand to press the Cheap Groceries Button.

But again: There is no Cheap Groceries Button and a politics in which elections hinge on its existence seems highly unstable.
This has gotten lost: Abigail Spanberger won big after vowing to RESCIND Glenn Youngkin's executive order directing local cooperation with ICE and voting AGAINST the anti-immigrant Laken Riley Act. Yet she gained bigly with working class.

New piece laying this out:

newrepublic.com/article/2030...
November 12, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
I received this email about Democrats caving to end the shutdown from one of the SNAP recipients I spoke to:
November 10, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
It's crazy how much the answer to a simple question like 'how confident are American consumers feeling about their current situation?' varies depending on how you measure the concept.

Conference Board: "Not as good as a year ago, but still above average."

University of Michigan: "WORST EVER!"
November 10, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Still upset about no power of the purse language. You truly do hate to see it. The Trump admin undertook the most expansive set of illegal budgetary actions of any president in history, and broadcast as loudly as possible they’d keep doing it, and nothing. Budgetary lawlessness.
November 10, 2025 at 2:00 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
The coordinated nature of this—none are facing voters in 2026—means that either Schumer approved it or failed in his job as Senate Majority Leader to stop it.

Dems voting "no" get zero credit until they demand a change in leadership. Schumer out as Leader, Durbin out as Whip.
so currently defectors are:

Kaine (2030)
Shaheen (Retiring)
Hasan (2028)
Fetterman (2028)
Durbin (Retiring)
CCM (2028)
Rosen (2030)
King (2030)
November 10, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
It was totally working. They were going to have to blow up the damned filibuster.
Sen. Angus King on why Democrats caved: "It wasn't working."
November 10, 2025 at 3:11 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Chris Murphy: "There will be pretty substantial damage to a Dem brand that has been rehabilitated if on the heels of an election in which the people told us to keep fighting, we immediately stop... if we surrender without having gotten anything, I worry it'll be hard to get them back up off the mat"
November 7, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Tell all the people whose premiums go up that they should be happy because you negotiated a symbolic failed vote to happen before hand.
Sen. Tim Kaine statement "on the funding deal to reopen government, protect federal employees, and vote to protect health care"
bluevirginia.us/2025/11/sund...
November 10, 2025 at 1:15 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
agreeing to make a terrible deal while your main opponent is quite literally being boo'd on live tv by an entire stadium of people is the kind of political instinct you'd normally only find in a 3 week old dead goldfish
November 10, 2025 at 12:36 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Staggering off-cycle overperformance by the opposition, now time to take all the enthusiasm of the base and watch it explosively drain out like it's an overstuffed tank of molasses on January 15, 1919
November 9, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Mitch McConnel's singular political insight is that Presidents get punished for Congressional obstinancy and he used that insight to get the Right an unbreakable majority on the Supreme Court, so of course Chuck Schumer's iteration on it is to proactively let democrats take blame after tangible harm
November 9, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
It is a handicap in politics to be the party that genuinely believes in governance and is broadly opposed to continued suffering of constituents, and yet there is no future for anything but degradation and misery if the Republican Party under Trump cannot be made to suffer consequences for its acts.
November 9, 2025 at 11:39 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
My deep concern about this approach is that it’s teaching the Trump administration that the path to get Democrats to cave is to inflict maximum pain.

It means if we do this again in January, he’s going to try and find new and creative ways to hurt more people faster to get Democrats to cave
November 9, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Claiming that getting a vote destined to fail as a win is an insult to everyone’s intelligence
Here's the full text of the deal:
- House CR extended to January 30, no RIFs permitted until then
- Minibus
- Ds get a filibusterable ACA vote in December

Read the text:
hillheat.com/files/467/co...
November 10, 2025 at 12:01 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
Upjohn Institute 2025 Dissertation Award winners:
Honorable Mentions:
Amy Burnett Cross (@amyburnettcross.bsky.social) - “Military Manpower Policy and Women” for American University

Omeed Maghzian
“Essays in Macroeconomics and Labor Markets” for Harvard University

www.upjohn.org/Upjohn-Insti...
Upjohn Institute announces 2025 Dissertation Award honorees
www.upjohn.org
November 6, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
The factional grifters will hate this, but the Mamdani-Spanberger-Sherrill axis actually suggests the outlines of a broad, emerging Dem coalition organized around both anti-Trump *and* affordability politics, not a party bitterly divided against itself.
These big wins will embolden Dems to take on Trump's lawbreaking and show there's a price for GOP enabling of him. Folks hate to hear this, but normal patterns are asserting themselves: Liberalism isn't dead, Rs are likely to lose in 2026, and Trump is really unpopular, not a magical exception.
November 5, 2025 at 2:48 AM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
New in PN: Trump wants Republicans to kill the filibuster. Great!

"The problem for Democrats is they simply want to do more things than Republicans do, so a status quo of near-total gridlock hurts them more than it hurts the GOP, for whom a govt unable to solve problems is a feature, not a bug."
Trump wants Republicans to kill the filibuster. Great!
In the long run, it would be good for Democrats and democracy.
www.publicnotice.co
November 5, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
had a last minute interview yesterday with a journalist about US multifamily housing, how our codes induce apartments that are far less family-friendly or livable than other countries, and we ended up down the building code rabbit hole.

that's where it got interesting.
November 29, 2023 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
If you want more on wage boards and how they can achieve what Dani was referring to, check out my book The Wage Standard - now available for pre-order.

www.thewagestandard.com
The Wage Standard by Arindrajit Dube: 9780593471418 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books
“The go-to guy on minimum wage” (Nobel Laureate and New York Times bestselling author Paul Krugman) tackles one of the thorniest social issues of our times—income inequality—from...
www.thewagestandard.com
November 4, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
There is no world where Congress asserts its constitutional prerogatives but can't legislate on a simple majority basis.

There is no world of effective federal governance where Dems can't integrate executive action with legislative backing.
October 31, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Reposted by Justin Bloesch
I cannot emphasize how much more credibility Dem campaigns and policy planning would have in a world without the filibuster. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/31/u...
Trump Calls on Republicans to End Filibuster in Shutdown Fight
www.nytimes.com
October 31, 2025 at 2:30 PM